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Selected AbstractsA test of the relationship between seasonal rainfall and saguaro cacti branching patternsECOGRAPHY, Issue 4 2003Taly Dawn Drezner Reproductive output, as well as photosynthetically active radiation interception and CO2 uptake, increase as saguaro cacti Carnegiea gigantea (Engelm.) Britt. and Rose branch, and branching increases with increasing moisture. The Sonoran Desert experiences distinct summer and winter precipitation regimes that vary in both geography and scale. Many aspects of saguaro ecology are known to depend on the summer rains, which has resulted in an emphasis on summer rains in the literature. Similarly, branching studies have been limited geographically to areas that receive relatively high amounts of summer rainfall. These studies, therefore, attribute branching patterns to the summer (or possibly annual) rains, and conclusions reflect the summer precipitation bias. Environmental variability in space was explored in the present study to investigate saguaro branching patterns. I collected height and branching data in thirty saguaro populations across their American range. Stepwise regression was used to determine which climate, vegetation and soil variables best predict branching. Contrary to the literature, this study found that winter precipitation, particularly from January to April, was the best predictor of branching, not summer or annual rain. Surprisingly, the relationship between the summer monsoons (July and August precipitation) and branching was negative. This is likely due to the fact that summer and winter rainfall patterns are geographically distinct. Winter precipitation appears to play a key role in branching, and thus in seed production. This suggests that saguaros benefit from moisture during the winter, possibly utilizing cold-season rains for increasing their reproductive output through branching, and challenging the view that the summer rains dominate virtually every aspect of the saguaro life-cycle, and creating a more balanced view of saguaro ecology. [source] Fire regimes of China: inference from statistical comparison with the United StatesGLOBAL ECOLOGY, Issue 5 2009Meg A. Krawchuk ABSTRACT Aim, Substantial overlap in the climate characteristics of the United States and China results in similar land-cover types and weather conditions, especially in the eastern half of the two countries. These parallels suggest similarities in fire regimes as well, yet relatively little is known about the historical role of fire in Chinese ecosystems. Consequently, we aimed to infer fire regime characteristics for China based on our understanding of climate,fire relationships in the United States. Location, The conterminous United States and the People's Republic of China. Methods, We used generalized additive models to quantify the relationship between reference fire regime classes adopted by the LANDFIRE initiative in the United States, and a global climate data set. With the models, we determined which climate variables best described the distribution of fire regimes in the United States then used these models to predict the spatial distribution of fire regimes in China. The fitted models were validated quantitatively using receiver operating characteristic area under the curve (AUC). We validated the predicted fire regimes in China by comparison with palaeoecological fire data and satellite-derived estimates of current fire activity. Results, Quantitative validation using the AUC indicated good discrimination of the distribution of fire regimes by models for the United States. Overall, fire regimes with more frequent return intervals were more likely in the east than in the west. The resolution of available historical and prehistorical fire data for China, including sediment cores, allowed only coarse, qualitative validation, but provided supporting evidence that fire has long been a part of ecosystem function in eastern China. MODIS satellite data illustrated that fire frequency within the last decade supported the classification of much of western China as relatively fire-free; however, much of south-eastern China experiences more fire activity than predicted with our models, probably as a function of the extensive use of fire by people. Conclusions, While acknowledging there are many cultural, environmental and historical differences between the United States and China, our fire regime models based on climate data demonstrate potential historical fire regimes for China, and propose that large areas of China share historical fire,vegetation,climate complexes with the United States. [source] Ecological biogeography of North American mammals: species density and ecological structure in relation to environmental gradientsJOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY, Issue 6 2000Catherine Badgley Abstract Aim, To evaluate the relationship of climate and physiography to species density and ecological diversity of North American mammals. Location, North America, including Mexico and Central America. Methods, Species density, size structure and trophic structure of mammalian faunas and nine environmental variables were documented for quadrats covering the entire continent. Spatial autocorrelation of species density and the environmental variables illustrated differences in their spatial structure at the continental scale. We used principal component analysis to reduce the dimensionality of the climatic variables, linear multiple regression to determine which environmental variables best predict species density for the continent and several regions of the continent, and canonical ordination to evaluate how well the environmental variables predict ecological structure of mammalian faunas over North America. Results, In the best regression model, five environmental variables, representing seasonal extremes of temperature, annual energy and moisture, and elevation, predicted 88% of the variation in species density for the whole continent. Among different regions of North America, the environmental variables that predicted species density vary. Changes in the size and trophic structure of mammalian faunas accompany changes in species density. Redundancy analysis demonstrated that environmental variables representing winter temperature, frostfree period, potential and actual evapotranspiration, and elevation account for 77% of the variation in ecological structure. Main conclusions, The latitudinal gradient in mammalian species density is strong, but most of it is explained by variation in the environmental variables. Each ecological category peaks in species richness under particular environmental conditions. The changes of greatest magnitude involve the smallest size categories (< 10 g, 11,100 g), aerial insectivores and frugivores. Species in these categories, mostly bats, increase along a gradient of decreasing winter temperature and increasing annual moisture and frostfree period, trends correlated with latitude. At the opposite end of this gradient, species in the largest size category (101,1000 kg) increase in frequency. Species in size categories 3 (101,1000 g), 5 (11,100 kg) and 6 (101,1000 kg), herbivores, and granivores increase along a longitudinal gradient of increasing annual potential evapotranspiration and elevation. Much of the spatial pattern is consistent with ecological sorting of species ranges along environmental gradients, but differential rates of speciation and extinction also may have shaped the ecological diversity of extant North American mammals. [source] Changes in arterial oxygen tension when weaning neonates from inhaled nitric oxide,,PEDIATRIC PULMONOLOGY, Issue 1 2001Gregory M. Sokol MD Abstract We set out to evaluate changes in arterial oxygen tension (PaO2) when weaning neonates from inhaled nitric oxide (INO). We reviewed the records of 505 prospectively collected INO weaning attempts on 84 neonates with hypoxic respiratory failure. PaO2 values before and 30 min after weaning attempts were recorded. Relationships between change in PaO2 and decreases in INO concentrations were investigated using regression analysis and ANOVA. PaO2 decreased (,18.7,±,1.8 torr; P,<,0.001); when weaning INO. A stepwise decline in PaO2 was observed weaning INO from 40 ppm. The greatest decline occurred when INO was discontinued (,42.1,±,4.1 torr). Forward stepwise multiple regression using variables with significant relationships to the decline in PaO2 identified the specific dose reduction 7(P,<,0.001), the prewean PaO2 (P,<,0.001), and surfactant therapy (P,=,0.018) as the variables best describing the change in PaO2(P,=,0.004, r,=,0.51). In conclusion, a graded decline in PaO2 occurs when reducing INO. INO should be weaned to less than 1 ppm before discontinuing its use. Prior surfactant treatment appears to enhance the oxygenation reserve when weaning INO. Pediatr Pulmonol. 2001; 32:14,19. © 2001 Wiley-Liss,Inc. [source] Effects of climate on occurrence and size of large fires in a northern hardwood landscape: historical trends, forecasts, and implications for climate change in Témiscamingue, QuébecAPPLIED VEGETATION SCIENCE, Issue 3 2009C. Ronnie Drever Abstract Questions: What climate variables best explain fire occurrence and area burned in the Great Lakes-St Lawrence forest of Canada? How will climate change influence these climate variables and thereby affect the occurrence of fire and area burned in a deciduous forest landscape in Témiscamingue, Québec, Canada? Location: West central Québec and the Great Lakes-St Lawrence forest of Canada. Methods: We first used an information-theoretic framework to evaluate the relative role of different weather variables in explaining occurrence and area burned of large fires (>200 ha, 1959-1999) across the Great Lakes-St Lawrence forest region. Second, we examined how these weather variables varied historically in Témiscamingue and, third, how they may change between the present and 2100 according to different scenarios of climate change based on two Global Circulation Models. Results: Mean monthly temperature maxima during the fire season (Apr-Oct) and weighted sequences of dry spells best explained fire occurrence and area burned. Between 1910 and 2004, mean monthly temperature maxima in Témiscamingue showed no apparent temporal trend, while dry spell sequences decreased in frequency and length. All future scenarios show an increase in mean monthly temperature maxima, and one model scenario forecasts an increase in dry spell sequences, resulting in a slight increase in forecasted annual area burned. Conclusion: Despite the forecasted increase in fire activity, effects of climate change on fire will not likely affect forest structure and composition as much as natural succession or harvesting and other disturbances, principally because of the large relative difference in area affected by these processes. [source] Phenological description of natural vegetation in southern Africa using remotely-sensed vegetation dataAPPLIED VEGETATION SCIENCE, Issue 1 2004David Hoare Abstract. Various attempts have been made to describe and map the vegetation of southern Africa with recent efforts having an increasingly ecologi cal context. Vegetation classification is usually based on vegetation physiognomy and floristic composition, but phenology is useful source of information which is rarely used, although it can contribute functional information on ecosystems. The objectives of this study were to identify a suite of variables derived from time-series NDVI data that best describe the phenological phenomena of vegetation in southern Africa and, secondly, to assess a classification of pixels of the study area based on NDVI variables using a preexisting map of the biomes that was delimited on the basis of life forms and climate. A number of variables were derived from the satellite data for describing phenological phenomena, which were analysed by multivariate techniques to determine which variables best explained the variation in the satellite data. This set of variables was used to produce a phenological classification of the vegetation of southern Africa, the results of which are discussed in relation to their concordance with the existing biome boundaries. [source] An integrated approach to optimization of Escherichia coli fermentations using historical dataBIOTECHNOLOGY & BIOENGINEERING, Issue 3 2003Matthew C. Coleman Abstract Using a fermentation database for Escherichia coli producing green fluorescent protein (GFP), we have implemented a novel three-step optimization method to identify the process input variables most important in modeling the fermentation, as well as the values of those critical input variables that result in an increase in the desired output. In the first step of this algorithm, we use either decision-tree analysis (DTA) or information theoretic subset selection (ITSS) as a database mining technique to identify which process input variables best classify each of the process outputs (maximum cell concentration, maximum product concentration, and productivity) monitored in the experimental fermentations. The second step of the optimization method is to train an artificial neural network (ANN) model of the process input,output data, using the critical inputs identified in the first step. Finally, a hybrid genetic algorithm (hybrid GA), which includes both gradient and stochastic search methods, is used to identify the maximum output modeled by the ANN and the values of the input conditions that result in that maximum. The results of the database mining techniques are compared, both in terms of the inputs selected and the subsequent ANN performance. For the E. coli process used in this study, we identified 6 inputs from the original 13 that resulted in an ANN that best modeled the GFP fluorescence outputs of an independent test set. Values of the six inputs that resulted in a modeled maximum fluorescence were identified by applying a hybrid GA to the ANN model developed. When these conditions were tested in laboratory fermentors, an actual maximum fluorescence of 2.16E6 AU was obtained. The previous high value of fluorescence that was observed was 1.51E6 AU. Thus, this input condition set that was suggested by implementing the proposed optimization scheme on the available historical database increased the maximum fluorescence by 55%. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Biotechnol Bioeng 84: 274,285, 2003. [source] |