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Basic Patterns (basic + pattern)
Selected AbstractsIntuitive evaluation of likelihood judgment producers: evidence for a confidence heuristicJOURNAL OF BEHAVIORAL DECISION MAKING, Issue 1 2004Paul C. Price Abstract This research tests the hypothesis of Yates et al. (1996) that people prefer judgment producers who make extreme confidence judgments. In each of three experiments, college students evaluated two fictional financial advisors who judged the likelihood that each of several stocks would increase in value. One of the advisors (the moderate advisor) was reasonably well calibrated and the other (the extreme advisor) was overconfident. In all three experiments, participants tended to prefer the extreme advisor. Experiments 2 and 3 showed that the advisors' confidence influenced participants' perception of their knowledge, and Experiment 3 showed that it influenced their perception of the number of categorically correct judgments they made. Both of these variables were, in turn, related to participants' preferences. Experiment 3 also suggested that need for cognition and right-wing authoritarianism are positively related to preference for the extreme advisor. A quantitative model is presented, which captures the basic pattern of results. This model includes the assumption that people use a confidence heuristic; they assume that a more confident advisor makes more categorically correct judgments and is more knowledgeable. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Learning to recognize vulnerable patterns due to undesirable Zone-3 relay operationsIEEJ TRANSACTIONS ON ELECTRICAL AND ELECTRONIC ENGINEERING, Issue 3 2009Koji Yamashita Member Abstract Undesirable zone 3 relay operations caused by unexpected loading conditions can contribute to the cascaded events, leading to catastrophic outages. Identifying the basic patterns of zone 3 relay operations in advance is an effective way to help prevent cascaded events. The postcontingency impedances seen by zone 3 relays can be calculated on line in a steady state security assessment framework. However, their accuracy is inadequate compared with the postcontingency apparent impedance obtained from off-line time domain dynamic simulations. This paper proposes a fuzzy inference system (FIS) to correct discrepancies between the postcontingency apparent impedances obtained from the results of steady state security assessment and the corresponding values obtained by time-domain simulations. The postcontingency apparent impedances obtained from the results of steady state security assessment can be corrected on line using correction terms provided by the FIS. The dynamic model of a 200-bus system is used to validate the performance of the proposed FIS. Copyright © 2009 Institute of Electrical Engineers of Japan. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Inc. [source] Analysis of Pathotypic and Genotypic Diversity of Xanthomonas oryzae pv. oryzae in ChinaJOURNAL OF PHYTOPATHOLOGY, Issue 4 2009Gang Li Abstract Virulence analysis and restriction fragment length polymorphism (RFLP) were used to evaluated the population structure of Xanthomonas oryzae pv. oryzae (Xoo) from the main rice-growing region in China. The pathotype of Xoo was determined for 103 strains by inoculating 13 near-isogenic rice lines using IR24 as the recurrent parent. Sixty-one pathotypes was shared by these strains, on the basis of the consensus of three clustering statistics, and four clusters for pathotype were formed. Cluster 2 consists of strains with high molecular polymorphorism and many pathotypes that are either virulent to a majority of the 13 major resistance (R) genes or avirulent only to Xa21, and is geographically dispersed. The resistance gene Xa21 has broader resistance than others to the strains tested. A probe from a member of the avrBs3/pthA type III effector family, 1376 bp SphI-digested fragment, was used to screen the genomes of 52 strains tested. Four common bands were found in the DNA fingerprint pattern of Xoo, suggesting basic patterns of evolutionary relationship for members of avrBs3/pthA family and/or the pathogen. Each distinct RFLP banding pattern of each strain was considered as a haplotype; 42 haplotypes were revealed by the probe and divided into four lineages by the same statistics method. It was observed that some isolates with different pathotypes shared the same haplotype and others with different haplotypes harboured identical pathotype. There was a weak correlation between virulent pathotypes and molecular haplotypes. [source] Sex-biased natal dispersal and inbreeding avoidance in American black bears as revealed by spatial genetic analysesMOLECULAR ECOLOGY, Issue 21 2008CECILY M. COSTELLO Abstract We tested the hypothesis that sex-biased natal dispersal reduces close inbreeding in American black bears, a solitary species that exhibits nearly complete male dispersal and female philopatry. Using microsatellite DNA and spatial data from reproductively mature bears (, 4 years old), we examined the spatial genetic structure of two distinct populations in New Mexico from 1993 to 2000. As predicted, relatedness (r) and the frequency of close relationships (parent,offspring or full siblings) decreased with distance among female dyads, but little change was observed among male or opposite-sex dyads. Neighbouring females were more closely related than neighbouring males. The potential for inbreeding was low. Most opposite-sex pairs that lived sufficiently close to facilitate mating were unrelated, and few were close relatives. We found no evidence that bears actively avoided inbreeding in their selection of mates from this nearby pool, as mean r and relationship frequencies did not differ between potential and actual mating pairs (determined by parentage analysis). These basic patterns were apparent in both study areas despite a nearly two-fold difference in density. However, the sex bias in dispersal was less pronounced in the lower-density area, based on proportions of bears with male and female relatives residing nearby. This result suggests that male bears may respond to reduced competition by decreasing their rate or distance of dispersal. Evidence supports the hypothesis that inbreeding avoidance is achieved by means of male-biased dispersal but also indicates that competition (for mates or resources) modifies dispersal patterns. [source] Just how useless is an amblyopic eye?OPHTHALMIC AND PHYSIOLOGICAL OPTICS, Issue 1 2008Eve Panesar Purpose:, The extent to which individuals with amblyopia are visually disadvantaged has generated renewed research interest. Investigation of the contribution of the amblyopic eye to visual performance under habitual conditions is a key component of this issue. This study aims to evaluate the contribution of each eye to a simple light detection task when both eyes are open and in their habitual motor position. Methods:, A custom program on the Humphrey Field Analyzer (Carl Zeiss Meditec Inc., Dublin, CA, USA) was used to measure detection thresholds for a blue light on a yellow background along the horizontal meridian at two degree intervals to an eccentricity of 25 degrees either side of fixation. Three viewing conditions were used: (1) both eyes open, (2) a yellow filter in front of the amblyopic eye and (3) a yellow filter in front of the fellow eye. The purpose of the yellow filter was to produce minimal dissociation as it only prevented the eye behind the filter from seeing the blue stimulus; the fixation mark and the background remained visible to both eyes. Participants included 10 visual normals and 16 volunteers with amblyopia. Results:, Within the sample of amblyopes there were three basic patterns of results, and each applied to around one third of the group: (1) habitual sensitivity governed by the sensitivity of the fellow eye at each stimulus location, (2) habitual sensitivity exceeding the sensitivities of either eye at each stimulus location and (3) a pattern of contribution that varied across the range of eccentricities. Surprisingly, in one amblyope the habitual sensitivity appeared to be governed by the sensitivity of the amblyopic eye. The pattern of contribution of each eye to the habitual sensitivity did not vary in a manner that was predictable by the visual acuity deficit or the presumed aetiology of the amblyopia. The control sample showed either pattern 2 (70%) or pattern 3 (30%). Conclusions:, The amblyopic eye did not contribute to the habitual performance in approximately one-third of cases in this simple detection task. Thus, in many cases the amblyopic eye may be a useful contributor to visual performance in the binocular field. This challenges the traditional view that an amblyopic eye is useful only for peripheral vision. [source] The prevalence of suppression in amblyopic individualsOPHTHALMIC AND PHYSIOLOGICAL OPTICS, Issue 1 2008Brendan Barrett Purpose:, A popular view of visual functioning in individuals with amblyopia is that the weaker eye is suppressed in key regions of the binocular visual field. Indeed, some have argued that chronic interocular suppression may represent the cause of amblyopia. Here we evaluate the prevalence of amblyopic-eye suppression in a simple light detection task when the eyes are open, minimally dissociated and in their habitual motor position. Methods:, A custom program on the Humphrey Field Analyzer (Carl Zeiss Meditec Inc., Dublin, CA, USA) was used to measure detection thresholds for a blue light on a yellow background along the horizontal meridian at two-degree intervals to an eccentricity of 25 degrees on either side of the fixation mark. The fellow eye was prevented from seeing the target using three different methods: (1) full-occlusion (i.e. no light entered the fellow eye), (2) a translucent occluder (3) a yellow filter in front of the fellow eye. In (3), the yellow filter only prevented the fellow eye from seeing the blue stimulus; the fixation mark and the background remained visible (minimal-dissociation condition). Fourteen amblyopes participated in the study, of whom 11 had strabismus. Results:, Three basic patterns of results were observed. (1) Only three of the fourteen participants (,21%) showed evidence of suppression, where amblyopic-eye sensitivity was lower with the fellow eye open. In these cases, the retinal locations that showed greatest suppression corresponded to the direction and angle of the strabismus. (2) Three participants (,21%) showed the opposite effect to the result in (1); i.e. amblyopic-eye sensitivity was greatest when the fellow was open with minimal dissociation between the eyes. One possible explanation is that the dominance of the fellow eye caused this reduction. (3) Seven participants (50%) exhibited patterns of amblyopic sensitivity that did not depend upon the occlusion status of the fellow eye. The results for one participant did not fit into any of the above patterns. Conclusions:, Suppression appears not to be a universal feature of central amblyopic vision. Our results for this simple detection task suggest that suppression may exist in as few as 20% of amblyopes. These results present a challenge to the view that suppression represents a root cause of amblyopia but they are consistent with the view that the amblyopic eye makes a useful contribution under habitual viewing conditions. [source] The climatology of small-scale orographic precipitation over the Olympic Mountains: Patterns and processesTHE QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, Issue 633 2008Justin R. Minder Abstract The climatology of small-scale patterns of mountain precipitation is poorly constrained, yet important for applications ranging from natural hazard assessment to understanding the geologic evolution of mountain ranges. Synthesizing four rainy seasons of high-resolution precipitation observations and mesoscale model output (from the Penn State/NCAR MM5), reveals a persistent small-scale pattern of precipitation over the ,10 km wide, ,800 m high ridges and valleys of the western Olympic Mountains, Washington State, USA. This pattern is characterized by a 50,70% excess accumulation over the ridge crests relative to the adjacent valleys in the annual mean. While the model shows excellent skill in simulating these patterns at seasonal time-scales, major errors exist for individual storms. Investigation of a range of storm events has revealed the following mechanism for the climatological pattern. Regions of enhanced condensation of cloud water are produced by ascent in stable flow over the windward slopes of major ridges. Synoptically generated precipitation grows by collection within these clouds, leading to enhanced precipitation which is advected by the prevailing winds. Instances of atypical patterns of precipitation suggest that under certain conditions (during periods with a low freezing level, or convective cells) fundamental changes in small-scale patterns may occur. However, case-studies and composite analysis suggest that departures from the pattern of ridge-top enhancement are rare; the basic patterns and processes appear robust to changes in temperature, winds, and background rainfall rates. Copyright © 2008 Royal Meteorological Society [source] l -Isoleucyl- l -asparagine 1.094-hydrate: a hybrid hydrogen-bonding patternACTA CRYSTALLOGRAPHICA SECTION C, Issue 7 2010Carl Henrik Görbitz The title compound, C10H20N3O4·1.094H2O, crystallizes with two dipeptide molecules in the asymmetric unit, each participating in two head-to-tail chains with hydrogen bonds between the terminal amino and carboxylate groups. As with many other dipeptides, the resulting structure is divided into distinct layers, but as the amide groups of the two peptide molecules participate in different types of interaction, the observed hydrogen bonds within a peptide main-chain layer (as distinct from the side-chain/solvent regions) cannot adapt to any of the four basic patterns observed previously for dipeptides. Instead, a rare hybrid pattern is formed. [source] LIFE-CENTERED ETHICS, AND THE HUMAN FUTURE IN SPACEBIOETHICS, Issue 8 2009MICHAEL N. MAUTNER ABSTRACT In the future, human destiny may depend on our ethics. In particular, biotechnology and expansion in space can transform life, raising profound questions. Guidance may be found in Life-centered ethics, as biotic ethics that value the basic patterns of organic gene/protein life, and as panbiotic ethics that always seek to expand life. These life-centered principles can be based on scientific insights into the unique place of life in nature, and the biological unity of all life. Belonging to life then implies a human purpose: to safeguard and propagate life. Expansion in space will advance this purpose but will also raise basic questions. Should we expand all life or only intelligent life? Should we aim to create populations of trillions? Should we seed other solar systems? How far can we change but still preserve the human species, and life itself? The future of all life may be in our hands, and it can depend on our guiding ethics whether life will fulfil its full potentials. Given such profound powers, life-centered ethics can best secure future generations. Our descendants may then understand nature more deeply, and seek to extend life indefinitely. In that future, our human existence can find a cosmic purpose. [source] | ||||||||||