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Survival Patterns (survival + pattern)
Selected AbstractsEVALUATION OF SURVIVAL PATTERNS AND CELLULAR INJURY OF PSEUDOMONAS AERUGINOSA IN DIFFERENT BOTTLED WATERS STORED UNDER VARIOUS CONDITIONSJOURNAL OF FOOD SAFETY, Issue 3 2001PAULA TEIXEIRA ABSTRACT Pseudomonas aeruginosa cells were inoculated into different waters and sampled after different periods of starvation in order to evaluate the influences of storage under daylight or dark conditions, the presence or absence of the autochthonous flora, the chemical composition of the water and the storage temperature, on survival Survival was investigated by plate counts on selective and nonselective agar media. Light, low temperature (4C) and presence of the autochthonous flora negatively influenced the survival of P. aeruginosa during starvation in water. Higher survival rates were observed in waters with high mineral content. During starvation, cells developed sensitivity to the selective medium demonstrating that research is needed in the development of new media, or improvement in the existing ones, for the enumeration of P. aeruginosa in water. Current selective media/methodologies for detecting P. aeruginosa in mineral waters may seriously underestimate the levels of or presence of this organism which might represent, in some cases, a hazard to the public health. [source] Improved survival time: What can survival cure models tell us about population-based survival improvements in late-stage colorectal, ovarian, and testicular cancer?,CANCER, Issue 10 2008Lan Huang PhD Abstract BACKGROUND The objective of the current study was to investigate the long-term impact of treatment advances on the survival of patients with late-stage ovarian, colorectal (American Joint Committee on Cancer stage III, men), and testicular cancers by estimating the increase in the percentage cured from their disease and the change in survival time of uncured patients. METHODS Cause-specific survival data from 1973 to 2000 were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program. Survival cure models were fit and were used to estimate the gain in life expectancy (GLE) attributed to an increase in the fraction of cured patients and to prolonged survival among noncured patients. RESULTS Treatment improvement for ovarian cancer resulted in a total GLE of 2 years, and 80% of that GLE was because of an extension of survival time in uncured patients (from 0.9 years to 2.1 years) rather than an increased cure fraction (from 12% to 14%). In contrast, the cure rate rose from 29% to 47% for colorectal cancer, representing 82% of a 2.8-year GLE, and from 23% to 81% for testicular cancer, representing 100% of a 24-year GLE. CONCLUSIONS The current results suggested that treatment benefits for testicular and colorectal cancer in men with late-stage disease primarily are the result of increases in cure fraction, whereas survival gains for ovarian cancer occur despite persisting disease. Cure models, in combination with population-level data, provide insight into how treatment advances are changing survival and ultimately impacting mortality. Survival patterns reflect the underlying biology of response to cancer treatment and suggest promising directions for future research. Cancer 2008. Published 2008 by the American Cancer Society. [source] The survival rate of Lanyu Scops Owls Otus elegans botelensisIBIS, Issue 3 2001LUCIA LIU SEVERINGHAUS Few species of owls have been well studied in the wild and estimates of survival rates are available only for a few species in the temperate region. This paper reports the adult annual and monthly survival estimates of the Lanyu Scops Owl Otus elegans botelensis, a subtropical Asian species, based on a 13-year study of a colour-marked population. The estimated seasonal survival pattern was relatively stable, with an indication of lower survival during May-June, the time of egg-laying and chick-rearing. Female survival in this species was consistently higher than male survival by an estimated 7%, which may have resulted from differential costs in reproduction. Annual survival rates during 1986-96 showed no significant differences between years. Based on a model with constant survival and annual variation in recapture rate, average annual survival for all birds was estimated as 75%, which is higher than expected given the small body weight of the Lanyu Scops Owl. This survival and the stable monthly survival pattern are discussed in light of the mild subtropical conditions of Lanyu Island. [source] Evaluation of predictors of mortality in Frontotemporal Dementia,methodological aspectsINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GERIATRIC PSYCHIATRY, Issue 7 2003A. Gräsbeck Abstract Objectives To retrospectively evaluate pre-diagnostic clinical features (predictors) of mortality in frontotemporal dementia (FTD). The main aim was to investigate if there were indications against interpreting missing data as signs of absence. Material and methods 96 cases with FTD, here defined as Dementia in Pick's disease according to ICD-10. The predictors were behavioural/psychiatric features, language impairment and neurological deficits up to the date of diagnosis. Each predictor was rated as present (Yes), absent (No) or not recorded (Missing), and evaluated according to its distribution and mortality pattern: if a feature was not recorded because it was absent, the mortality of the Missing and the No-category should hypothetically be close. Statistical methods included Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox regression analyses. Results Neurological deficits and language impairments were frequently recorded as present or absent, while non-recordings were more prevalent among the behavioural/psychiatric features. Some features were excluded as predictors because they showed too little variation. Analyses of the survival pattern indicated that in some features, the observations of the Missing-category could be interpreted as absence of the symptoms. In other features these observations had to be regarded as truly missing. Conclusions In the retrospective evaluation of predictors of mortality a method for treating missing data was applied. The interpretation of non-recordings as signs of absence was supported by the analyses of the survival patterns in some of the studied features. However, the study underscores the importance of systematic estimations of pre-diagnostic clinical features in dementia. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Migratory connectivity in a declining bird species: using feather isotopes to inform demographic modellingDIVERSITY AND DISTRIBUTIONS, Issue 4 2010Thomas S. Reichlin Abstract Aim, Conservation programmes for endangered migratory species or populations require locating and evaluating breeding, stopover and wintering areas. We used multiple stable isotopes in two endangered European populations of wrynecks, Jynx torquilla L., to locate wintering regions and assess the degree of migratory connectivity between breeding and wintering populations. Location, Switzerland and Germany. Methods, We analysed stable nitrogen (,15N), carbon (,13C) and hydrogen (,D) isotopes from wing feathers from two populations of wrynecks to infer their wintering origins and to assess the strength of migratory connectivity. We tested whether variation in feather isotopic values within the Swiss population was affected by bird age and collection year and then considered differences in isotopic values between the two breeding populations. We used isotopic values of summer- and winter-grown feathers to estimate seasonal distributions. Finally, we calculated a species-specific ,D discrimination factor between feathers and mean annual ,D values to assign winter-grown feathers to origin. Results, Bird age and collection year caused substantial isotopic variation in winter-grown feathers, which may be because of annually variable weather conditions, movements of birds among wintering sites and/or reflect asynchronous moulting or selection pressure. The large isotopic variance in winter-grown feathers nevertheless suggested low migratory connectivity for each breeding population, with partially overlapping wintering regions for the two populations. Main conclusions, Isotopic variance in winter-grown feathers of two breeding populations of wrynecks and their geographical assignment point to defined, albeit overlapping, wintering areas, suggesting both leapfrog migration and low migratory connectivity. On this basis, integrative demographic models can be built looking at seasonal survival patterns with links to local environmental conditions on both breeding and wintering grounds, which may elucidate causes of declines in migratory bird species. [source] Evaluation of predictors of mortality in Frontotemporal Dementia,methodological aspectsINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GERIATRIC PSYCHIATRY, Issue 7 2003A. Gräsbeck Abstract Objectives To retrospectively evaluate pre-diagnostic clinical features (predictors) of mortality in frontotemporal dementia (FTD). The main aim was to investigate if there were indications against interpreting missing data as signs of absence. Material and methods 96 cases with FTD, here defined as Dementia in Pick's disease according to ICD-10. The predictors were behavioural/psychiatric features, language impairment and neurological deficits up to the date of diagnosis. Each predictor was rated as present (Yes), absent (No) or not recorded (Missing), and evaluated according to its distribution and mortality pattern: if a feature was not recorded because it was absent, the mortality of the Missing and the No-category should hypothetically be close. Statistical methods included Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox regression analyses. Results Neurological deficits and language impairments were frequently recorded as present or absent, while non-recordings were more prevalent among the behavioural/psychiatric features. Some features were excluded as predictors because they showed too little variation. Analyses of the survival pattern indicated that in some features, the observations of the Missing-category could be interpreted as absence of the symptoms. In other features these observations had to be regarded as truly missing. Conclusions In the retrospective evaluation of predictors of mortality a method for treating missing data was applied. The interpretation of non-recordings as signs of absence was supported by the analyses of the survival patterns in some of the studied features. However, the study underscores the importance of systematic estimations of pre-diagnostic clinical features in dementia. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Assessment of Individual Risk of Death Using Self-Report Data: An Artificial Neural Network Compared with a Frailty IndexJOURNAL OF AMERICAN GERIATRICS SOCIETY, Issue 7 2004Xiaowei Song PhD Objectives: To evaluate the potential of an artificial neural network (ANN) in predicting survival in elderly Canadians, using self-report data. Design: Cohort study with up to 72 months follow-up. Setting: Forty self-reported characteristics were obtained from the community sample of the Canadian Study of Health and Aging. An individual frailty index score was calculated as the proportion of deficits experienced. For the ANN, randomly selected participants formed the training sample to derive relationships between the variables and survival and the validation sample to control overfitting. An ANN output was generated for each subject. A separate testing sample was used to evaluate the accuracy of prediction. Participants: A total of 8,547 Canadians aged 65 to 99, of whom 1,865 died during 72 months of follow-up. Measurements: The output of an ANN model was compared with an unweighted frailty index in predicting survival patterns using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Results: The area under the ROC curve was 86% for the ANN and 62% for the frailty index. At the optimal ROC value, the accuracy of the frailty index was 70.0%. The ANN accuracy rate over 10 simulations in predicting the probability of individual survival mean±standard deviation was 79.2±0.8%. Conclusion: An ANN provided more accurate survival classification than an unweighted frailty index. The data suggest that the concept of biological redundancy might be operationalized from health survey data. [source] | |||||||||||||