Seasonal Variability (seasonal + variability)

Distribution by Scientific Domains


Selected Abstracts


SEASONAL VARIABILITY OF THE ORGANIC-WALLED DINOFLAGELLATE CYST PRODUCTION IN THE COASTAL UPWELLING REGION OFF CAPE BLANC (MAURITANIA): A FIVE-YEAR SURVEY,

JOURNAL OF PHYCOLOGY, Issue 1 2010
Karin A. F. Zonneveld
A 5-year sediment trap survey in the upwelling area off Cape Blanc (NW Africa) provides information on the seasonal and annual resting cyst production of dinoflagellates, their sinking characteristics and preservation potential. Strong annual variation in cyst production characterizes the region. Cyst production of generally all investigated species, including Alexandrium pseudogonyaulax (Biecheler) T. Horig. ex T. Kita et Fukuyo (cyst genus Impagidinium) and Gonyaulax spinifera (Clap. et J. Lachm.) Diesing (cyst genus Nematosphaeropsis) was enhanced with increasing upper water nutrient and trace-element concentrations. Cyst production of Lingulodinium polyedrum (F. Stein) J. D. Dodge was the highest at the transition between upwelling and upwelling-relaxation. Cyst production of Protoperidinium americanum (Gran et Braarud) Balech, Protoperidinium monospinum (Paulsen) K. A. F. Zonn. et B. Dale, and Protoperidinium stellatum (D. Wall) Balech, and heterotrophic dinoflagellates forming Brigantedinium spp. and Echinidinium aculeatum Zonn., increased most pronouncedly during upwelling episodes. Production of Protoperidinium conicum (Gran) Balech and Protoperidinium pentagonum (Gran) Balech cysts and total diatom valves were related, providing evidence of a predator,prey relationship. The export cyst-flux of E. aculeatum, P. americanum, P. monospinum, and P. stellatum was strongly linked to the flux of total diatom valves and CaCO3, whereas the export production of Echinidinium granulatum Zonn. and Protoperidinium subinerme (Paulsen) A. R. Loebl. correlated with total organic carbon, suggesting potential consumption of diatoms, prymnesiophytes, and organic matter, respectively. Sinking velocities were at least 274 m · d,1, which is in range of the diatom- and coccolith-based phytoplankton aggregates and "slower" fecal pellets. Species-selective degradation did not occur in the water column, but on the ocean floor. [source]


Seasonal variability in the response of the airflow characteristics to the changes in the macro-scale westerly flow intensity over Europe, 1971,2000

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 4 2009
Michal Marosz
Abstract The aim of the research was to identify the seasonal variability of correlation between the air motion characteristics and common zonal circulation index (Rossby's Index). Air flow characteristics comprised divergence and vorticity. The spatial coverage of the research was the so called Euro-Atlantic Region covering parts of North Atlantic and Europe (40W,40E, 35N,75N). Temporal extent was 1971,2000 thus matching the latest WMO normal period. The data used was the components of the wind vector (u,zonal component, v,meridional component) and geopotential heights (hgt) from NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis. The response of the vorticity field is apparent and the greatest variability is noted at 1000 hPa. The mid and upper levels in the troposphere reveal quite homogenous response of vorticity to the macro-scale forcing. The response of the divergence field is also apparent though more complex in the vertical profile of the troposphere. The analysis of correlation was followed by the description of annual as well as seasonal shape of vorticity and divergence fields in the extremes of Rossby Index. Copyright © 2008 Royal Meteorological Society [source]


Seasonal variability in velocity and ablation of Te Moeka o Tuawe/Fox Glacier, south Westland, New Zealand

NEW ZEALAND GEOGRAPHER, Issue 1 2008
Heather L. Purdie
Abstract:, Seasonal variations in ablation and surface velocity were investigated on the lower Fox Glacier. Variations occur between summer and winter ablation, with surface velocity also showing marked seasonality. Recent advance has resulted in the glacier gaining around 200 m length since late 2004. Longer term, Fox Glacier appears linked to the Southern Oscillation Index, with positive glacier mass balances associated with negative Southern Oscillation Index (El Niño). An estimated glacier response time of approximately 9,14 years suggests the current terminus advance was linked to mass gains in the mid-1990s. Recent collapses at the terminal face continue to prove a hazard at this busy tourist destination. [source]


Seasonal variability in exercise test responses in Ghana

PEDIATRIC ALLERGY AND IMMUNOLOGY, Issue 4 2002
Emmanuel O. D. Addo-Yobo
Exercise-induced bronchospasm (EIB) is widely used in epidemiological studies to investigate the prevalence of asthma. We aimed to determine seasonal variations in the prevalence of EIB in Ghanaian school children from urban-rich (UR), urban-poor (UP), and rural (R) schools. We have previously reported the prevalence of EIB in 9,16-year-old children to be 3.1% in the dry season, with UR children having a significantly higher prevalence of both EIB and atopy compared to UP or R children. In the current study, the prevalence of EIB was assessed in the same 1,095 children in the wet season (5 months following the initial study) using the same methodology. Exercise provocation consisted of free running outdoors for 6 min. In the wet season, 17/1,095 children [mean 1.55%, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.91,2.47] had a positive response to exercise, compared to our previous report of 34 children (mean 3.1%, 95% CI: 2.15,4.32) with EIB in the dry season (dry vs. wet season, difference 1.55, 95% CI: 0.41,2.69). The proportion of children with a positive response to exercise in the UR school fell from 4.2% (25/599) to 1.3% (8/599) (difference 2.9, 95% CI: 1.2,4.5). In the wet season, there was no difference in the prevalence of EIB among the UR, UP, and R children. Only five of 1,095 subjects (mean 0.5%, 95% CI: 0.15,1.07) demonstrated EIB in both seasons. In conclusion, although exercise challenge remains a useful tool for determining asthma prevalence in epidemiological studies, seasonal variations in the pattern of responses may occur and the results should be interpreted with caution. [source]


Spatio-temporal climatic change of rainfall in East Java Indonesia

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 4 2008
Edvin Aldrian
Abstract Spatial and temporal rainfall analysis of the Brantas Catchment Area (DAS Brantas), East Java, from 1955 to 2005 based on 40 rainfall stations with monthly rainfall data derived from daily rainfall data has been performed. To identify the climatic trend and annual changes in the area over the last five decades, we use the empirical orthogonal function (EOF) method based on multivariate statistics, followed by the fast Fourier transform (FFT) method for the power density spectrum analysis, the non-parametric Mann-Kendall trend test and the wavelet transform method. With EOF, we found the monsoonal rainfall pattern as the most dominant in this area, which explains about 72% of all variances. Without the annual signal, the leading EOF shows significant ENSO-modulated inter-annual and seasonal variabilities, especially during the second transitional period. We found a common and significant negative trend of accumulated rainfall and a negative trend of the monsoonal strength and dominance. This finding leads to changes in the annual pattern, which are increase in the ratio of rainfall during the wet season and increase of the dry spell period or the imbalance of the annual pattern. The increased ratio of the rainfall in the wet season has led to an increased threat of drought in the dry season and extreme weather in the wet season in recent decades. The role of the orographic effect had been detected from the decadal pattern, in which the high-altitude areas have greater rainfall amount all year round. From the decadal isohyets in December/January/February (DJF) and June/July/August (JJA), the rainfall amount decreased significantly during the last five decades as shown by a persistent increase of areas with low rainfall amount. By comparing the time series of rainfall data in two locations, the mountain and coastal areas, we discovered that the dry periods have increased, mainly in the low altitude area. Copyright © 2007 Royal Meteorological Society [source]


Seasonal and interannual variability of Siberian river discharge in the Laptev Sea inferred from stable isotopes in modern bivalves

BOREAS, Issue 2 2003
THOMAS MUELLER-LUPP
Stable oxygen and carbon isotope profiles from modern bivalve shells were investigated in order to reconstruct short-term hydrographical changes in the river-shelf system of the Laptev Sea. Oxygen isotopic profiles obtained from the aragonitic species Astarte borealis exhibit amplitude cycles interpreted as annual hydrographical cycles. These records reflect the strong contrast between summer and winter bottom water conditions in the Laptev Sea. The seasonal variations in ,18O are mainly controlled by the riverine freshwater discharge during summer with 0.5, per salinity unit. Corrected for a defined species-dependent fractionation offset of -0.37,, time-dependent salinity records were reconstructed from these ,18O profiles. They indicate a good correspondence to seasonal hydrographic changes and synoptical data. Persistent trends with shell growth towards more negative ,13C values are observed in all specimens and appear to be related to metabolic changes of the bivalves during ontogeny. In contrast, short-term fluctuations are likely linked to seasonal variabilities of the river water outflow patterns and enhanced phytoplankton productivity during summer. This is corroborated by a clear watermass-related distinction of the various ,13C records made on the basis of water depth and distance from the riverine source. [source]


Interannual and seasonal variability of the diversity and structure of ichthyoplankton assemblages in the central Mexican Pacific

FISHERIES OCEANOGRAPHY, Issue 3 2008
C. FRANCO-GORDO
Abstract We examined larval fish diversity and assemblage structure off the central coast of the Mexican Pacific from December 1995 through December 1998, including the 1997,98 El Niño event. A total of 132 taxa were recorded, the dominant species being Bregmaceros bathymaster, Dormitator latifrons, and Harengula thrissina (90, 1.9, and 0.8% of the total abundance, respectively). Only B. bathymaster, D. latifrons, and Gobionellus sp. occurred in all samples. The effects of the 1997,98 El Niño on ichthyoplankton diversity were significant, but typical seasonal patterns were also detected. Diversity null models were used to determine the structural changes in the assemblage related to El Niño; both richness and evenness of the species were highest during this event. The most parsimonious models of assemblage organization include El Niño and seasonality as the most significant environmental variability sources. The small-scale spatial variability expressed as the cross-shore gradient was not significant. The dominant species group formed by B. bathymaster, D. latifrons, and Vinciguerria lucetia typifies, in terms of similarity, both the pre-El Niño and El Niño periods; abundance differed between periods. The El Niño period was characterized locally by the dominant Bentosema panamense and H. thrissina, by the rare Euthynnus lineatus, and species of Lutjanus. Seasonality produced changes also in the relative frequencies of the dominant species plus the occurrence of rare forms. The average taxonomical distinctness, considered herein as an indicator of functional diversity, reflected the seasonal variability of the assemblages, aside from El Niño; this index showed lowest values during tropical and transitional periods, both characterized by warm, oligotrophic waters. The high dominance of B. bathymaster in the area and its effect on diversity stabilized the local ichthyoplankton assemblage. An upgraded analysis of diversity allowed a more detailed description of the variability in this assemblage, thus stressing the differential effects of El Niño at distinct latitudes. [source]


Simulation and quantification of enrichment and retention processes in the southern Benguela upwelling ecosystem

FISHERIES OCEANOGRAPHY, Issue 5 2006
CHRISTOPHE LETT
Abstract Important environmental processes for the survival and recruitment of early life stages of pelagic fishes have been synthesized through Bakun's fundamental triad as enrichment, concentration and retention processes (A. Bakun, 1996, Patterns in the Ocean. Ocean Processes and Marine Population Dynamics. San Diego, CA, USA: University of California Sea Grant). This conceptual framework states that from favourable spawning habitats, eggs and larvae would be transported to and/or retained in places where food originating from enrichment areas would be concentrated. We propose a method for quantifying two of the triad processes, enrichment and retention, based on the Lagrangian tracking of particles transported within water velocity fields generated by a three-dimensional hydrodynamic model. We apply this method to the southern Benguela upwelling ecosystem, constructing putative maps of enrichment and retention. We comment on these maps regarding main features of the circulation in the region, and investigate seasonal variability of the processes. We finally discuss the results in relation to available knowledge on the reproductive strategies of two pelagic clupeoid species abundant in the southern Benguela, anchovy (Engraulis encrasicolus) and sardine (Sardinops sagax). Our approach is intended to be sufficiently generic so as to allow its application to other upwelling systems. [source]


Seasonal dynamics, typhoons and the regulation of lake metabolism in a subtropical humic lake

FRESHWATER BIOLOGY, Issue 10 2008
JENG-WEI TSAI
Summary 1. We used high-frequency in situ dissolved oxygen measurements to investigate the seasonal variability and factors regulating metabolism in a subtropical alpine lake in Taiwan between May 2004 and October 2005, specifically exploring how the typhoon season (from June or July to October) affects lake metabolism. 2. Gross primary production (GPP) and ecosystem respiration (R) both peaked in early summer and mid-autumn but dropped during the typhoon season and winter. Yuan-Yang Lake is a net heterotrophic ecosystem (annual mean net ecosystem production ,39.6 ,mole O2 m,3). 3. Compared to the summer peaks, seasonal averages of GPP and R decreased by approximately 50% and 25%, respectively, during the typhoon season. Ecosystem respiration was more resistant to external disturbances than GPP and showed strong daily variation during typhoon seasons. 4. Changes in the quality and quantity of dissolved organic carbon controlled the temporal dynamics and metabolic regulation. External disturbances (typhoons) caused increased allochthony, increasing DOC and water colour and influencing lake metabolism. 5. Seasonal winter mixing and typhoon-induced water mixing in summer and autumn play a key role in determining the extent to which the lake is a seasonal carbon sink or source to the atmosphere. [source]


Leaf dry matter content as an integrative expression of plant palatability: the case of freshwater macrophytes

FUNCTIONAL ECOLOGY, Issue 1 2003
A. Elger
Summary 1We examined the possibility of using the dry matter content (DMC) of macrophytes (the ratio of dry mass to wet mass) as an integrative variable to predict their palatability to generalist invertebrate grazers. 2We assessed the palatability of 20 macrophyte species, using the snail Lymnaea stagnalis (L.) in non-choice feeding experiments. Three of the species were studied at two different dates in the year, at two or four sites. 3The average dry mass consumed by L. stagnalis ranged widely between species, and was negatively correlated to plant DMC. At the intraspecific level, the dry mass consumed varied over time but was not related to site location. Again, the dry mass consumed was negatively correlated to plant DMC. 4The DMC of the macrophytes studied explained about 30% of interspecific variability, and >80% of seasonal variability, in snail consumption rate. Therefore this trait could be used as a shortcut to predict variations in macrophyte palatability, especially at the intraspecific level. At the interspecific level, the relationship between DMC and palatability might be weakened by the presence in some plants of low molecular weight chemical deterrents. [source]


The effects of groundwater level and vegetation on creep of the Mam Tor landslip

GEOLOGY TODAY, Issue 4 2010
Sam Green
The creeping Mam Tor landslide (North Derbyshire, UK) is sliding slowly downhill at up to 0.5 m per year. Annual measurements using conventional surveying techniques have shown that creep is exacerbated by periods of heavy rainfall, but to establish a detailed correlation between creep and groundwater levels requires spatially and temporally higher resolution monitoring. We have acquired three years of such data from wire creep meters, borehole piezometers and rainfall monitoring. These measurements showed that creep is strongly focused into the winter months and that it correlates well with groundwater levels. Summer grass and fern growth exerts a strong influence on rainfall infiltration, recycling much of the summer rainfall back to the atmosphere, and explaining the seasonal variability of creep motion. [source]


Seasonal and inter-annual variability of the moisture sources for Alpine precipitation during 1995,2002

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 7 2010
Harald Sodemann
Abstract This study presents a first quantitative climatology of the moisture sources for precipitation in the European Alps, covering a 7-year period from January 1995 to August 2002. Using a Lagrangian moisture source diagnostic and data from the ERA-40: European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reanalysis, the contribution of the following moisture sources to annual mean precipitation has been diagnosed: North Atlantic ocean 39.6%, Mediterranean 23.3%, North Sea and Baltic Sea 16.6%, and European land surface 20.8%. However, strong seasonal variability of the influence of various moisture sources is evident. Most notably, moisture transport to the Alps changes from an oceanic mode characterised by dominantly North Atlantic moisture sources during winter to a continental mode during summer with a marked contribution from Central European land areas. The method identifies inter-annual variability with respect to the location of the moisture sources in the North Atlantic, and the importance of precipitation recycling during summer. Despite the smoothed Alpine orography in the ERA-40 model, the Alps act as an effective barrier for meridional moisture transport, leading to distinct mean moisture source locations at their northern and southern slopes. The Northern Alps are predominantly influenced by the North Atlantic ocean and Central European land sources with a clear seasonality and limited monthly variability. In contrast, the Southern Alps receive a large fraction of precipitation from the Mediterranean with considerable month-to-month variability. Possible implications of these differences for precipitation extremes and stable isotopes in precipitation are discussed. Copyright © 2009 Royal Meteorological Society [source]


Seasonal variability in the response of the airflow characteristics to the changes in the macro-scale westerly flow intensity over Europe, 1971,2000

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 4 2009
Michal Marosz
Abstract The aim of the research was to identify the seasonal variability of correlation between the air motion characteristics and common zonal circulation index (Rossby's Index). Air flow characteristics comprised divergence and vorticity. The spatial coverage of the research was the so called Euro-Atlantic Region covering parts of North Atlantic and Europe (40W,40E, 35N,75N). Temporal extent was 1971,2000 thus matching the latest WMO normal period. The data used was the components of the wind vector (u,zonal component, v,meridional component) and geopotential heights (hgt) from NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis. The response of the vorticity field is apparent and the greatest variability is noted at 1000 hPa. The mid and upper levels in the troposphere reveal quite homogenous response of vorticity to the macro-scale forcing. The response of the divergence field is also apparent though more complex in the vertical profile of the troposphere. The analysis of correlation was followed by the description of annual as well as seasonal shape of vorticity and divergence fields in the extremes of Rossby Index. Copyright © 2008 Royal Meteorological Society [source]


Synoptic climatological influences on the spatial and temporal variability of aerosols over North America

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 6 2006
Helen C. Power
Abstract The spatial and temporal variability of atmospheric aerosols is not well understood, as most studies have been constrained to data sets that include few stations and are of short duration. Furthermore, all methods for quantifying atmospheric turbidity suffer from a major constraint in that they require cloudless sky conditions. This restriction produces gaps in the turbidity record and sampling bias, which has led to questionable inferences about the variability of aerosols. In this research, we address these concerns via analyses at scales broader than all previous studies. We analyzed the spectral aerosol optical depth at 500 nm (,a5) and Ångström's wavelength exponent (,), which represents the relative size distribution of aerosols. A total of 27 sites, with a mean period of record of 7.3 years, are included. Beyond seasonal and spatial summaries of aerosol variability, we have divided observations by synoptic condition, utilizing the Spatial Synoptic Classification (SSC). Our results show that atmospheric turbidity across North America is greatest over the east. Seasonality of both parameters was shown, most notably a greater ,a5 during summertime. Utilizing the SSC, we have uncovered significant differences across weather types. Moist weather types, especially moist tropical, display considerably higher turbidity, while the colder, drier dry polar weather type is associated with low aerosol optical depth. Certain weather types show considerable seasonal variability; the dry tropical weather type is associated with relatively low values in winter, but high values in summer, when convection is significant. Cluster analyses of stations yielded three general regions, each with similar synoptic variability: a western cluster with low aerosol optical depth and minimal synoptic variability, an eastern cluster with higher turbidity and variability, and a cluster located on the periphery of the eastern cluster, associated with moderate levels of turbidity but very high variability, suggesting a varied influence of nearby industrial areas. Copyright © 2006 Royal Meteorological Society. [source]


Trends in daily precipitation and temperature extremes across western Germany in the second half of the 20th century

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 9 2005
Yeshewatesfa Hundecha
Abstract The evolution of daily extreme precipitation and temperature from 1958 to 2001 was investigated within the German side of the Rhine basin. Trends of a set of extreme precipitation and temperature indices defined on daily time series of precipitation and temperature were calculated at 611 precipitation and 232 temperature stations located within the study area and their corresponding significances were tested using the non-parametric Kendall- tau test. The results obtained indicated that both the daily minimum and maximum extreme temperatures have increased over the investigation period, with the degree of change showing seasonal variability. On an annual basis, the change in the daily minimum extreme temperature was found to be greater than that of the daily maximum extreme temperature. The daily extreme heavy precipitation has shown increasing trends both in magnitude and frequency of occurrence in all seasons except summer, where it showed the opposite trend. The station values of the daily precipitation were also interpolated on a regular grid of 5 km × 5 km so that the changes in the indices could be investigated on areal precipitation by aggregating the interpolated precipitation to any desired scale. This enables assessment of the hydrological consequences of the changes in the extreme precipitation. Although the spatial pattern remained more or less similar with that of the point-scale trends for all indices, the average trend magnitude showed an increase with the scale of the area on which precipitation was aggregated. Copyright © 2005 Royal Meteorological Society [source]


Climate of the seasonal cycle in the North Pacific and the North Atlantic oceans

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 4 2001
Igor M. Yashayaev
Abstract Time series of monthly sea-surface temperature (SST), air temperature (AT) and sea level pressure (SLP) were constructed from merged releases of the Comprehensive Ocean-Atmosphere Data Set (COADS). The time series were decomposed into seasonal and non-seasonal (short and long-term) components. The contribution of the seasonal cycle to the total variance of SST and AT exceeds 80% in the mid and in some high latitude locations and reaches its peak (>95%) in the centres of subtropical gyres. In most cases, a combination of annual and semiannual harmonics accounts for more than 95% of the seasonal variability. Amplitudes of SST and AT annual cycles are highest near the western boundaries of the oceans; annual phases of SST and AT increase toward the eastern tropical oceans, revealing a southeastern propagation of the annual cycle over the Northern Hemisphere oceans. The annual cycle of AT leads that of SST by 1,3 weeks. The largest phase differences are observed in the regions of western boundary currents in the North Pacific and the North Atlantic oceans. This is consistent with spatial patterns of integral air,sea heat fluxes. Annual phases of SST increase along the Gulf Stream and the Kuroshio Current. This points to the importance of signal transport by the major ocean currents. The lowest annual amplitudes of SLP are observed along the equator (0°,10°N) in both oceans. There are three distinct areas of high annual amplitudes of SLP in the North Pacific Ocean: Asian, Aleutian and Californian. Unlike the North Pacific, only one such area exists in the North Atlantic centred to the west of Iceland. A remarkable feature in the climate of the North Pacific is a maximum of semiannual SLP amplitudes, centred near 40°N and 170°W. It is also an absolute maximum in the entire Northern Hemisphere. Analysis of phases of harmonics of SLP seasonal cycle has revealed the trajectories of propagation of the annual and semiannual cycles. Analysis of semiannual to annual amplitudes ratio has revealed the regions of semiannual cycle dominance. Copyright © 2001 Royal Meteorological Society [source]


A comparison of sex ratio, birth periods and calf survival among Serengeti wildebeest sub-populations, Tanzania

AFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY, Issue 4 2009
Vedasto G. NdibalemaArticle first published online: 31 AUG 200
Abstract Although adaptation and environmental conditions can easily predict demographic variation in most savannah ungulates, no study on demographic consequences arising from natural and anthropogenic factors among Serengeti wildebeest (Connochaetes taurinus) sub-populations in Tanzania has been carried out. Here, I report estimates of annual sex ratio, calf and yearling survival rate and birth seasonality between resident and migratory sub-populations to explore demographic patterns arising from the different age and sex structure. The results indicate significantly higher female-biased sex ratios in the resident and almost even sex ratios among individual migrants. The calf recruitment estimated as mother: offspring ratios indicate a more synchronous birth in the migrant than the resident sub-population. Also, birth seasonality in the migratory sub-population coincided with seasonal variability of rainfall and the timing of the birth peak was more variable in the migrants than the resident sub-population. The migratory sub-population had a higher annual proportional mean calf survival estimate (0.84) than that of the residents (0.44) probably due to higher mortality resulting from predation in the western corridor. However, the proportion of yearling survival estimates was much lower (0.31) in the migrants and relatively higher (0.39) in the residents. Different demographic outcomes resulting from environment, predation, movements and ecological factors including resource competition have conservation implications for the two sub-populations. Résumé Bien que l'adaptation et les conditions environnementales puissent facilement aider à prédire la variation démographique de la plupart des ongulés de savane, aucune étude n'a encore été réalisée sur les conséquences démographiques de facteurs naturels et anthropiques chez les sous-populations de gnous (Connochaetes taurinus) du Serengeti, en Tanzanie. Ici, je rapporte des estimations du sex-ratio annuel, du taux de survie des veaux et des jeunes d'un an et le caractère saisonnier des naissances entre des sous-populations résidentes et migratrices, pour explorer les schémas démographiques qui se dessinent à partir des différentes structures d'âge et de sexe. Les résultats indiquent un sex-ratio significativement biaisé en faveur des femelles chez les animaux résidents et un sex-ratio presque équilibré chez les individus migrateurs. Le recrutement des veaux estimé selon le rapport mère/progéniture indique des naissances plus synchrones chez la sous-population migratrice que chez la résidente. La saisonnalité des naissances chez la sous-population migratrice coïncidait avec la variabilité saisonnière des chutes de pluies, et le timing du pic des naissances était plus variable chez la sous-population migratrice que chez la résidente. La sous-population migratrice avait une espérance de vie annuelle proportionnelle des veaux plus élevée (0,84) que la résidente (0,44), probablement en raison de la plus forte mortalité causée par des prédateurs dans le corridor occidental. Cependant, les estimations de la proportion de jeunes d'un an survivants étaient beaucoup plus basses (0,31) chez les migrateurs et relativement plus hautes (0,39) chez les résidents. Les résultats démographiques différents des facteurs environnementaux, de la prédation, des déplacements et des facteurs écologiques, y compris la compétition pour les ressources, ont des implications pour la conservation des deux sous-populations. [source]


Variability in the carbon isotope signature of Prochilodus lineatus (Prochilodontidae, Characiformes) a bottom-feeding fish of the Neotropical region

JOURNAL OF FISH BIOLOGY, Issue 6 2007
C. A. Lopes
The spatial and seasonal variability of stable carbon isotopes in detritivorous Prochilodus lineatus, primary producers and particulate organic carbon (POC) were examined to promote a better understanding of the trophic dynamics of food webs in Neotropical ecosystems. Spatial variability in carbon isotope composition in the species showed a decreasing gradient in the Upper Paraná River system, from the Paraná River and Itaipu Reservoir subsystems to the Baía and Ivinheima subsystems. Fish ,13C followed the isotopic trend of POC along the Paraná River and Baía subsystem. Seasonal differences were not observed in fish. The analysis of percentile contribution of C3 and C4 sources in the species diet revealed the predominance of C3 plants (phytoplanktonic and periphytic algae and riparian vegetation) in most of the analysed subsystems and seasons. Nevertheless, the considerable participation of riparian vegetation was verified, especially in the Ivinheima subsystem in the dry season. C4 macrophytes presented a maximum contribution along the Upper Paraná River. These results demonstrate the existence of specific variability for the consumer and their food sources in different environments of the same ecosystem. [source]


CLIMATE CHHANGE SENSITIVITY ASSESSMENT ON UPPER MISSISSIPPI RIVER BASIN STREAMFLOWS USING SWAT,

JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN WATER RESOURCES ASSOCIATION, Issue 4 2006
Manoj Jha
ABSTRACT: The Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model was used to assess the effects of potential future climate change on the hydrology of the Upper Mississippi River Basin (UMRB). Calibration and validation of SWAT were performed using monthly stream flows for 1968,1987 and 1988,1997, respectively. The R2 and Nash-Sutcliffe simulation efficiency values computed for the monthly comparisons were 0.74 and 0.69 for the calibration period and 0.82 and 0.81 for the validation period. The effects of nine 30-year (1968 to 1997) sensitivity runs and six climate change scenarios were then analyzed, relative to a scenario baseline. A doubling of atmospheric CO2 to 660 ppmv (while holding other climate variables constant) resulted in a 36 percent increase in average annual streamflow while average annual flow changes of ,49, ,26, 28, and 58 percent were predicted for precipitation change scenarios of ,20, ,10, 10, and 20 percent, respectively. Mean annual streamflow changes of 51,10, 2, ,6, 38, and 27 percent were predicted by SWAT in response to climate change projections generated from the CISRO-RegCM2, CCC, CCSR, CISRO-Mk2, GFDL, and HadCMS general circulation model scenarios. High seasonal variability was also predicted within individual climate change scenarios and large variability was indicated between scenarios within specific months. Overall, the climate change scenarios reveal a large degree of uncertainty in current climate change forecasts for the region. The results also indicate that the simulated UMRB hydrology is very sensitive to current forecasted future climate changes. [source]


GROUPWISE MODELING STUDY OF BACTERIALLY IMPAIRED WATERSHEDS IN TEXAS: CLUSTERING ANALYSIS,

JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN WATER RESOURCES ASSOCIATION, Issue 4 2006
Sabu Paul
ABSTRACT: Under the Clean Water Act (CWA) program, the Texas Commission on Environmental Quality (TCEQ) listed 110 stream segments in the year 2000 with pathogenic bacteria impairment. A study was conducted to evaluate the probable sources of pollution and characterize the watersheds associated with these impaired water bodies. The primary aim of the study was to group the water bodies into clusters having similar watershed characteristics and to examine the possibility of studying them as a group by choosing models for total maximum daily load (TMDL) development based on their characteristics. This approach will help to identify possible sources and determine appropriate models and hence reduce the number of required TMDL studies. This in turn will help in reducing the effort required to restore the health of the impaired water bodies in Texas. The main characteristics considered for the classification of water bodies were land use distribution within the watershed, density of stream network, average distance of land of a particular use to the closest stream, household population, density of on-site sewage facilities (OSSFs), bacterial loading from different types of farm animals and wildlife, and average climatic conditions. The climatic data and observed instream fecal coliform bacteria concentrations were analyzed to evaluate seasonal variability of instream water quality. The grouping of water bodies was carried out using the multivariate statistical techniques of factor analysis/principal component analysis, cluster analysis, and discriminant analysis. The multivariate statistical analysis resulted in six clusters of water bodies. The main factors that differentiated the clusters were found to be bacterial contribution from farm animals and wildlife, density of OSSFs, density of households connected to public sewers, and land use distribution. [source]


Ellagic acid content in strawberries of different cultivars and ripening stages

JOURNAL OF THE SCIENCE OF FOOD AND AGRICULTURE, Issue 8 2003
María R Williner
Abstract Ellagic acid is a phenolic compound which occurs naturally in strawberries. Interest in ellagic acid has increased during the past few years owing to its properties as a micronutrient. The objective of this study was to determine the ellagic acid content in strawberries compared with that in other common fruits and to evaluate its variability, the effects of ripening stage, and the tissue and seasonal variability in selected cultivars widely grown in Argentina. Strawberries showed significantly higher levels of ellagic acid than many other fruits of economic importance, ranging from 0.16 to 2.07 mg g,1 dry weight. The ellagic acid content was highest in green fruit, intermediate in mid-ripe fruit and lowest in full-ripe fruit. Cultivars ,Chandler' and ,Camarosa' contained the highest amounts of ellagic acid in strawberries with edible value (0.78 and 0.70 mg g,1 dry weight respectively), while ,Oso Grande' and ,Milsei' exhibited the lowest (0.35 and 0.31 mg g,1 dry weight respectively). Moreover, the level of this phytochemical was found to be higher when considering pulp with achenes compared with pulp without achenes. Copyright © 2003 Society of Chemical Industry [source]


Variability in the nutritional value of the major copepods in Cape Cod Bay (Massachusetts, USA) with implications for right whales

MARINE ECOLOGY, Issue 2 2006
Amy DeLorenzo Costa
Abstract The North Atlantic right whale, a seriously endangered species, is found in Cape Cod Bay (Massachusetts, USA) during the winter and early spring. During their residency in these waters, these whales are frequently observed feeding. This study evaluated spatial and temporal changes in the chemical composition (carbon weight and C/N ratio) of the food resource targeted by the right whales in Cape Cod Bay. The three taxa measured (Centropages typicus, Pseudocalanus spp., and Calanus finmarchicus) had highly variable chemical compositions resulting from the different life strategies and from fluctuations in their surrounding environment. The impact of seasonal variability in the energy densities of the food resource of right whales was calculated and compared to the energetic requirements of these whales. Calculations indicated that differences in the nutritional content of the zooplankton prey in Cape Cod Bay could have a considerable effect on the nutrition available to the right whales. Therefore, it is likely that using more precise estimates of the energetic densities of the prey of right whales would lead to a re-evaluation of the adequacy of the food resource available to these whales in the North Atlantic. [source]


Uptake of perchlorate by vegetation growing at field sites in arid and subhumid climates

REMEDIATION, Issue 4 2007
Dawit D. Yifru
Previous greenhouse and field studies show that terrestrial and aquatic vegetation, including trees, grasses, and agricultural produce grown on perchlorate-contaminated soil or with perchlorate-contaminated irrigation water, accumulate perchlorate mainly in their leaf tissue. The phytoaccumulated perchlorate poses potential ecological risk by either contaminating the food chain of humans and animals or recycling in the ecosystem as leaf litter fall that accumulates on topsoil. In this study, the uptake and phytoaccumulation of perchlorate in terrestrial and aquatic vegetation growing at two perchlorate-contaminated sites (the Longhorn Army Ammunition Plant [LHAAP] in Karnack, Texas, and the Las Vegas Wash [LVW], Nevada) was monitored during multiple growing seasons. The LHAAP site is located in a subhumid climate, while the LVW site is located in an arid climate. All vegetation species collected from both sites contained quantifiable levels of perchlorate. The detected concentrations varied with the type of plant species, amount of perchlorate concentration in soil, and season and stage of plant maturity. The highest perchlorate concentrations were measured in willows (Salix nigra), crabgrass (Digitaria spp.), and Bermuda grass (Cynodon dactylon) at the LHAAP, while salt cedar (Tamarix ramosissima) at the LVW phytoaccumulated the highest mass of perchlorate. The concentrations of perchlorate measured in plant leaves growing over contaminated soils at multiple LHAAP locations did not reveal the strong seasonal variability observed at the LVW site. The slow rate of phytodegradation of the perchlorate fraction taken up by plants during the growing season explained the detection of higher perchlorate concentrations in leaves collected later in the growing season (fall) and in senesced leaves compared to younger, live leaves. This proves that senesced plant leaves potentially recycle perchlorate back into the soil on which plant litter collects. To minimize the potential recycling of perchlorate during phytoremediation, it is recommended that senesced leaves be collected and composted or phytoremediation be designed to enhance rapid rhizodegradation (rhizoremediation). © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. [source]


A dynamical model for characterising seasonality effects on eelgrass plastochron intervals

ANNALS OF APPLIED BIOLOGY, Issue 1 2010
E. Solana-Arellano
The plastochron interval is widely used to calculate age and rates of productivity in many plants, including seagrasses. However, plant responses to changing environmental conditions, including seasonal patterns, can introduce substantial errors in methods for calculating age and rates of growth. We propose a generalised method for characterising seasonal variability in eelgrass plastochron values based on a model that consists of a linear combination of a trend, a seasonality component and a stochastic noise component. The model was validated using data obtained biweekly during 1998,2003 in a Zostera marina meadow in a coastal lagoon in northwestern Baja California. Plastochron intervals exhibited marked interannual and seasonal variability as well as in the timing of plastochron interval (PI) minima and maxima. Correlation analyses indicated that sea surface temperature is a fundamental forcing factor for the plastochron interval, whose local variability is influenced by the onset of ,El Niño' and ,La Niña' events. The proposed model provided reliable interpretations that elicited the existence of seasonal processes which are usually masked by multimodal changes in the plastochron interval. Using successive averages of seasonal PI to describe annual cycles resulted in reliable leaf-growth assessments as well as in better determinations of shoot age than those calculated using a single annual mean. [source]


Plant management research: status and what it can offer to address challenges and limitations

AUSTRALIAN JOURNAL OF GRAPE AND WINE RESEARCH, Issue 2010
P.R. CLINGELEFFER
Abstract Seasonal fluctuations in yield, grape composition and wine attributes, largely driven by variable climatic conditions, are major challenges for the wine industry aiming to meet consumer expectations for consistent supply, wine style and product quality. This paper will address known causes for this variability and identify management techniques, together with their limitations, that offer potential to modulate these responses. Results will be presented from research studies, conducted over a number of seasons, which link vineyard management practices with fruit composition and wine assessments. They show that there is potential to develop integrated systems to stabilise yield, fruit composition and wine quality attributes across seasons. These techniques include lighter pruning, deficit irrigation techniques and adoption of low-moderate vigour rootstocks which lead to reduced shoot vigour and the development of open canopies and small bunches with small berries, with enhanced colour, phenolics and sensory appeal; application of mechanical and chemical crop thinning techniques for yield stabilisation and promotion of early ripeness, colour and flavour development. However, the results also show that variability between seasons in many cases is much larger than can be achieved by modifying management practices. Hence, opportunities to use management practices to completely reduce the seasonal variability, particularly with respect to grape composition and wine attributes, factors largely affected by climatic conditions during berry development, may be limited. There exists significant potential in the longer term to use new varieties and rootstocks better adapted to variable and changing climatic conditions. It can be concluded that vineyard practices can be modified to stabilise yield, grape composition and wine attributes to varying degrees and hence, minimise the impact of variability in climatic conditions from season to season. In the longer term, the adoption of new varieties together with new rootstocks adapted to higher temperatures and limited water supply will assist the wine industry to cope with impacts of climate variability and change and address ever changing consumer expectations. A total systems approach to vineyard management offers potential to modulate seasonal fluctuations in yield, grape composition and wine quality attributes with significant benefit for an industry. [source]


Admission rates of bipolar depressed patients increase during spring/summer and correlate with maximal environmental temperature

BIPOLAR DISORDERS, Issue 1 2004
Avraham Shapira
Objective:, We intended to identify a relationship, if exists, between various climatic factors and the admission rates of bipolar affective disorder depressed patients (BPD) or major depressive disorder patients (unipolar) (UPD) to psychiatric hospitals, as well as potential seasonal variability in hospitalization rates of this population. Methods:, Data on admissions of ICD-9 BPD and UPD patients to Tel Aviv's seven public psychiatric hospitals during 11 consecutive years were collected along with concomitant meteorological information Results:, Admissions of 4117 patients with BPD and 1036 with UPD who fulfilled our specific inclusion criteria were recorded. Bipolar depressed, but not UPD, patients exhibited significant seasonal variation (higher spring and summer versus winter mean monthly admission rates), and the admission rates of patients with BPD, but not UPD, correlated significantly with mean maximal monthly environmental temperature Conclusions:, Increased environmental temperature may be a risk factor for evolvement of major depressive episode in patients with bipolar disorder with psychiatric co-morbidity, at least in cases that necessitate hospitalization and at the examined geographic/climatic region of Israel. Further large-scale studies with bipolar depressed patients with and without co-morbid disorders are needed to substantiate our findings and to determine the role of seasonal and climatic influence on this population, as well as its relationship to the pathophysiology of bipolar disorder. [source]


Identification of candidate genes for schizophrenia based on natural resistance to infectious diseases

ACTA NEUROPSYCHIATRICA, Issue 3 2003
James S Brown Jr
Background:, Identification of candidate genes for schizophrenia may be more successful than genome screens as the latter have not found consistent linkages. Objective:, To assist in the gene search, a model of schizophrenia based on resistance to infectious diseases, rather than susceptibility, is proposed. The theory blends the geography of schizophrenia with the assumption that genes that cause schizophrenia likely evolved and persist from selection pressure. The theory includes the notion that schizophrenia enhances biological survival at the cost of psychological and social functioning. Method:, To demonstrate the utility of using this model, the Medline literature was searched for resistance genes, mostly identified in mice. Results:, Based on homologous locations in the human genome, these resistance genes are shown to be located in human chromosome regions linked significantly, in at least one genome screen, with schizophrenia or some physiologically related function or condition associated with schizophrenia. Conclusions:, The infectious disease resistance theory of schizophrenia is offered as a viable model for understanding the origins of schizophrenia. The theory also allows for the inclusion of persistent infections, seasonal variability and translational pathophysiology to contribute to the etiology of schizophrenia. [source]