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Price Inflation (price + inflation)
Selected AbstractsAnalyzing Factors Affecting U.S. Food Price InflationCANADIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS, Issue 3 2010Jungho Baek Since the summer of 2007, U.S. food price inflation has increased dramatically. Given public anxiety over fast-rising food prices, this study attempts to analyze the effects of market factors,prices of energy and agricultural commodities and exchange rate,on U.S. food prices using a cointegration analysis. Results show that the agricultural commodity price and exchange rate play the key roles in determining the short- and long-run movement of U.S. food prices. It is also found that in recent years, energy price has been a significant factor affecting U.S. food prices in the long run, but has little effect in the short run. This implies the strong linkage between energy and agricultural markets in the long run over the recent years. Depuis l'été 2007, l'inflation des prix des aliments aux États-Unis a augmenté considérablement. En raison de l'anxiété que la hausse rapide des prix des aliments suscite au sein de la population, nous avons tenté d'évaluer, à l'aide d'une analyse de co-intégration, les répercussions de certains facteurs de marché, le prix de l'énergie, le prix des produits agricoles primaires et le taux change , sur les prix des aliments aux États-Unis. Les résultats ont montré que les prix des produits agricoles primaires et le taux de change jouent un rôle important dans la détermination des tendances à court et à long terme des prix des aliments aux États-Unis. Nous avons également constaté que, au cours des dernières années, le prix de l'énergie a eu une forte influence sur les prix des aliments aux États-Unis à long terme, mais peu d'influence à court terme. Cette observation montre l'étroit lien à long terme des marchés de l'énergie et des produits agricoles au cours des dernières années. [source] BINGE BORROWERS OR RATIONAL CONSUMERS?ECONOMIC AFFAIRS, Issue 1 2008THE FSA AND GOVERNMENT FAILURE The FSA seeks to address the putative financial incompetence of the borrowing public by improving its financial capability. The response of rational agents to asset price inflation in the UK is one indication of the competence with which many people use innovations in the financial services industry. The FSA succeeds only in shielding government failures in the money and housing markets. [source] Health systems in East Asia: what can developing countries learn from Japan and the Asian Tigers?HEALTH ECONOMICS, Issue 5 2007Adam Wagstaff Abstract The health systems of Japan and the Asian Tigers (Hong Kong, Korea, Singapore and Taiwan), and the recent reforms to them, provide many potentially valuable lessons to East Asia's developing countries. All five systems have managed to keep a check on health spending despite their different approaches to financing and delivery. These differences are reflected in the progressivity of health finance, but the precise degree of progressivity of individual sources and the extent to which households are vulnerable to catastrophic health payments depend on the design features of the system , the height of any ceilings on social insurance contributions, the fraction of health spending covered by the benefit package, the extent to which the poor face reduced copayments, whether there are caps on copayments, and so on. On the delivery side, too, Japan and the Tigers offer some interesting lessons. Singapore's experience with corporatizing public hospitals , rapid cost and price inflation, a race for the best technology, and so on , illustrates the difficulties of corporatization. Korea's experience with a narrow benefit package illustrates the danger of providers shifting demand from insured services with regulated prices to uninsured services with unregulated prices. Japan, in its approach to rate setting for insured services, has managed to combine careful cost control with fine-tuning of profit margins on different types of care. Experiences with DRGs in Korea and Taiwan point to cost-savings but also to possible knock-on effects on service volume and total health spending. Korea and Taiwan both offer important lessons for the separation of prescribing and dispensing, including the risks of compensation costs outweighing the cost savings caused by more ,rational' prescribing, and cost-savings never being realized because of other concessions to providers, such as allowing them to have onsite pharmacists. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Britain, EMU and the European economyINDUSTRIAL RELATIONS JOURNAL, Issue 4 2000Steve Bradley In January 1999, 11 member countries of the European Union ,irrevocably' locked the foreign exchange values of their currencies to the euro, and they committed themselves to abandon their currencies in favour of the euro in 2002. As a result, these countries ceased to operate independent monetary policies. Monetary policy for the whole euro-zone became the responsibility of the European Central Bank (ECB), whose primary objective is to maintain a low and stable rate of price inflation for the euro currency. The rules governing Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) were laid down in the treaty of Maastricht in 1992. As conditions for entry to EMU, the treaty specified ,convergence criteria' which consisted of upper limits for several macroeconomic aggregates including, notably, a 3 per cent maximum for the ratio of the public sector deficit to GDP and 60 per cent for the ratio of public debt to GDP.1 In February 1998 the 11 applicant countries submitted statistical analyses relating to their satisfaction of these conditions. Despite doubts as to whether some of them had strictly met the conditions, the European Commission deemed them all eligible, and the euro was launched.2 The British government, though more clearly eligible than most other EU countries on the basis of the convergence criteria, decided to defer its decision on entry. In this paper we consider the arguments for and against Economic and Monetary Union, and in particular whether it would be in Britain's interest to join. We begin with a brief review of the state of the European economy and an analysis of the first year performance of the new Euro currency. [source] On the feasibility of a monetary union in the Southern Africa Development CommunityINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FINANCE & ECONOMICS, Issue 2 2008Terence D. Agbeyegbe Abstract This paper investigates the feasibility of a monetary union in Southern Africa Development Community (SADC) by looking at evidence of nominal exchange rate and inflation convergence. Using a methodology based on estimating time-varying parameters, the evidence suggests non-convergence. The non-convergence of nominal exchange rate and consumer price inflation suggests that presently the chances of SADC member countries satisfying some form of Maastricht-type criteria is quite low. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Why Has U.S. Inflation Become Harder to Forecast?JOURNAL OF MONEY, CREDIT AND BANKING, Issue 2007JAMES H. STOCK Phillips curve; trend-cycle model; moving average; great moderation We examine whether the U.S. rate of price inflation has become harder to forecast and, to the extent that it has, what changes in the inflation process have made it so. The main finding is that the univariate inflation process is well described by an unobserved component trend-cycle model with stochastic volatility or, equivalently, an integrated moving average process with time-varying parameters. This model explains a variety of recent univariate inflation forecasting puzzles and begins to explain some multivariate inflation forecasting puzzles as well. [source] TESTING WAGE AND PRICE PHILLIPS CURVES FOR THE UNITED STATESMETROECONOMICA, Issue 4 2007Peter Flaschel ABSTRACT This paper demonstrates how the labour and product markets interact in determining as outcome a generalized reduced-form price Phillips curve. For the labour market we consider a wage Phillips curve and for the product market a price Phillips curve. We estimate separately the wage and price Phillips curves for the USA, using ordinary least squares, non-parametric estimation and three-stage least squares techniques. The finding is that wages are always more flexible than prices with respect to their respective demand pressure and that price inflation responds somewhat more to a medium-run cost pressure than does wage inflation. The implications for macroeconomic stability are demonstrated. We also show,as a link between product and labour markets,that employment is related to output as Okun's law states. In comparing linear and non-linear estimates of the wage and price Phillips curves we find furthermore that for some relationships non-linearities are important while not for others. Although overall the non-linear estimates tend to confirm our linear estimates, non-linearities in some relationships of the Phillips curve are important as well. [source] GROWTH, COMMODITY PRICES, INFLATION AND THE DISTRIBUTION OF INCOMEMETROECONOMICA, Issue 1 2007Harry Bloch ABSTRACT A primary commodity price boom is underway. Given the role of internationally traded primary commodities as inputs into the productive process in the industrialized world, an important question arises: namely what effects will this price-boom exert upon wage and price inflation in industrialized countries? In order to address this question, we specify and estimate a system of equations in which the key dependent variables are world commodity prices, the domestic inflation rate for finished goods and the rate of domestic industrial wage inflation. This model is estimated against data for each of three major industrialized countries: Japan, the UK and the USA and the implications of the results thus obtained are explored. [source] Inflation- Plus Targeting at the Reserve Bank of AustraliaTHE AUSTRALIAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, Issue 4 2004Stephen Bell This article first outlines the dynamics of what appear to be increasingly prevalent cycles of asset price inflation in liberalised financial systems, as well as the difficulties entailed in successful monetary policy responses. The article then analyses the Reserve Bank of Australia's policy responses to recent rises in credit growth and asset price inflation in the property sector. The Bank's responses are characterized in terms of an inflation- plus targeting framework which has subtly redefined the Bank's approach to inflation targeting to include vaguely defined factors such as mediumterm,risks', as well as extending the time frame of such risk assessment. The article explains why, for a variety of reasons, the Bank has been reticent to fully declare its hand. [source] Modelling Wages and Prices in Australia*THE ECONOMIC RECORD, Issue 261 2007GUNNAR BÅRDSEN This paper estimates a simultaneous-equation model of wages and prices for Australia, underpinned by a competing claims framework of imperfect competition. Two separate co-integrating relationships for wages and prices are identified by imposing the economic hypotheses implied by the theory. The steady-state relationships for wages and prices are then embedded in a parsimonious, dynamic wage-price model. The final model is both simple and parsimonious and able to describe the process of wage and price inflation in Australia. [source] Short Sellers and Financial MisconductTHE JOURNAL OF FINANCE, Issue 5 2010JONATHAN M. KARPOFF ABSTRACT We examine whether short sellers detect firms that misrepresent their financial statements, and whether their trading conveys external costs or benefits to other investors. Abnormal short interest increases steadily in the 19 months before the misrepresentation is publicly revealed, particularly when the misconduct is severe. Short selling is associated with a faster time-to-discovery, and it dampens the share price inflation that occurs when firms misstate their earnings. These results indicate that short sellers anticipate the eventual discovery and severity of financial misconduct. They also convey external benefits, helping to uncover misconduct and keeping prices closer to fundamental values. [source] COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF EXCHANGE RATE APPRECIATION AND AGGREGATE ECONOMIC ACTIVITY: THEORY AND EVIDENCE FROM MIDDLE EASTERN COUNTRIESBULLETIN OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, Issue 1 2008Magda Kandil F31; F40; F41; F43 ABSTRACT The paper examines the effects of exchange rate depreciation on real output and price in a sample of 11 developing countries in the Middle East. The theoretical model decomposes movements in the exchange rate into anticipated and unanticipated components. Unanticipated currency fluctuations determine aggregate demand through exports, imports, and the demand for domestic currency, and determine aggregate supply through the cost of imported intermediate goods. The evidence indicates that the supply channel attributed to anticipated exchange rate appreciation results in limited effects on output growth and price inflation. Consistent with theory's predictions, unanticipated appreciation of the exchange rate appears more significant with varying effects on output growth and price inflation across developing countries. [source] Nominal Wage Flexibility and Economic Performance: Evidence and Implications Across Industrial CountriesBULLETIN OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH, Issue 1 2006Magda Kandil Abstract By considering the theoretical connection between labour and product markets, the paper evaluates the economic relationship of these markets within the contractual wage rigidity New Keynesian explanation of business cycles. The empirical analysis focuses on the short-run cyclical behaviour of real output, prices and wages for 19 industrial countries. Time-series and cross-sectional regressions are estimated. Cross-sectional cyclical correlations in the labour and goods markets are also evaluated across countries. Consistent with the theoretical predictions, aggregate uncertainty is an important factor in increasing the flexibility of the nominal wage in response to aggregate demand shocks. Wage flexibility accelerates price inflation and moderates the response of real output growth to aggregate demand shocks. Wage flexibility does not appear to be an important factor in differentiating the real and inflationary effects of energy price shocks across countries. Finally, aggregate uncertainty increases the responsiveness of output and price to productivity shocks. [source] Analyzing Factors Affecting U.S. Food Price InflationCANADIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS, Issue 3 2010Jungho Baek Since the summer of 2007, U.S. food price inflation has increased dramatically. Given public anxiety over fast-rising food prices, this study attempts to analyze the effects of market factors,prices of energy and agricultural commodities and exchange rate,on U.S. food prices using a cointegration analysis. Results show that the agricultural commodity price and exchange rate play the key roles in determining the short- and long-run movement of U.S. food prices. It is also found that in recent years, energy price has been a significant factor affecting U.S. food prices in the long run, but has little effect in the short run. This implies the strong linkage between energy and agricultural markets in the long run over the recent years. Depuis l'été 2007, l'inflation des prix des aliments aux États-Unis a augmenté considérablement. En raison de l'anxiété que la hausse rapide des prix des aliments suscite au sein de la population, nous avons tenté d'évaluer, à l'aide d'une analyse de co-intégration, les répercussions de certains facteurs de marché, le prix de l'énergie, le prix des produits agricoles primaires et le taux change , sur les prix des aliments aux États-Unis. Les résultats ont montré que les prix des produits agricoles primaires et le taux de change jouent un rôle important dans la détermination des tendances à court et à long terme des prix des aliments aux États-Unis. Nous avons également constaté que, au cours des dernières années, le prix de l'énergie a eu une forte influence sur les prix des aliments aux États-Unis à long terme, mais peu d'influence à court terme. Cette observation montre l'étroit lien à long terme des marchés de l'énergie et des produits agricoles au cours des dernières années. [source] | ||||||||||||||||||||||