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Nonlinear Dynamic Models (nonlinear + dynamic_models)

Distribution by Scientific Domains
Business, Economics, Finance and Accounting75%

Selected Abstracts

Solving, Estimating, and Selecting Nonlinear Dynamic Models Without the Curse of Dimensionality

ECONOMETRICA, Issue 2 2010
Viktor Winschel
We present a comprehensive framework for Bayesian estimation of structural nonlinear dynamic economic models on sparse grids to overcome the curse of dimensionality for approximations. We apply sparse grids to a global polynomial approximation of the model solution, to the quadrature of integrals arising as rational expectations, and to three new nonlinear state space filters which speed up the sequential importance resampling particle filter. The posterior of the structural parameters is estimated by a new Metropolis,Hastings algorithm with mixing parallel sequences. The parallel extension improves the global maximization property of the algorithm, simplifies the parameterization for an appropriate acceptance ratio, and allows a simple implementation of the estimation on parallel computers. Finally, we provide all algorithms in the open source software JBendge for the solution and estimation of a general class of models. [source]

Model selection tests for nonlinear dynamic models

THE ECONOMETRICS JOURNAL, Issue 1 2002
Douglas Rivers
This paper generalizes Vuong (1989) asymptotically normal tests for model selection in several important directions. First, it allows for incompletely parametrized models such as econometric models defined by moment conditions. Second, it allows for a broad class of estimation methods that includes most estimators currently used in practice. Third, it considers model selection criteria other than the models' likelihoods such as the mean squared errors of prediction. Fourth, the proposed tests are applicable to possibly misspecified nonlinear dynamic models with weakly dependent heterogeneous data. Cases where the estimation methods optimize the model selection criteria are distinguished from cases where they do not. We also consider the estimation of the asymptotic variance of the difference between the competing models' selection criteria, which is necessary to our tests. Finally, we discuss conditions under which our tests are valid. It is seen that the competing models must be essentially nonnested. [source]

Fractal response of physiological signals to stress conditions, environmental changes, and neurodegenerative diseases,

COMPLEXITY, Issue 5 2007
Nicola Scafetta
In the past two decades the biomedical community has witnessed several applications of nonlinear system theory to the analysis of biomedical time series and the development of nonlinear dynamic models. The development of this area of medicine can best be described as nonlinear and fractal physiology. These studies have been intended to develop more reliable methodologies for understanding how biological systems respond to peculiar altered conditions induced by internal stress, environment stress, and/or disease. Herein, we summarize the theory and some of our results showing the fractal dependency on different conditions of physiological signals such as inter-breath intervals, heart inter-beat intervals, and human stride intervals. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Complexity 12: 12,17, 2007 [source]