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Multivariate Predictors (multivariate + predictor)
Selected AbstractsOpen Heart Surgery in Patients 85 Years and OlderJOURNAL OF CARDIAC SURGERY, Issue 1 2004Wellington J. Davis III M.D. Several reports have documented acceptable morbidity and mortality in patients 80 years and older. The results from surgical patients 85 years and older were analyzed. Methods: The records of 89 consecutive patients 85 years and older having cardiac operations between June 1993 and May 1999 were retrospectively reviewed. For purposes of statistical analysis follow-up was considered as a minimum of one office visit to the surgeon, cardiologist, or internist at least 1 month postoperatively. Results: Eighty-seven patients underwent coronary artery grafting and two patients had mitral valve replacement. Follow-up was 100% complete. The operative mortality rate was 12.3%; probability of in-hospital death was 8.2%; risk-adjusted mortality rate was 3.2%. The complication rate was 31.5%. The actuarial 1-, 3-, and 5-year survivals were as follows: 75%, 67%, and 40%. Multivariate predictors of 30-day mortality were preoperative EF, less than 30% (p = 0.029) and postoperative renal failure (p = 0.0039). Conclusions: Cardiac surgery can be performed in patients 85 years and older with good results. There is an associated prolonged hospital stay for elderly patients. Consistent successful outcomes can be expected in this patient population with selective criteria identifying risk factors. (J Card Surg 2004;19:7-11) [source] Predictors of Early Mortality in Patients Age 80 and Older Receiving Implantable DefibrillatorsPACING AND CLINICAL ELECTROPHYSIOLOGY, Issue 8 2010DREW ERTEL M.D. Background: There are no upper age restrictions for implantable defibrillators (ICDs) but their benefit may be limited in patients , 80 years with strong competing risks of early mortality. Risk factors for early (1-year) mortality in ICD recipients , 80 years of age have not been established. Methods: Two-center retrospective cohort study to assess predictors of one-year mortality in ICD recipients , 80 years of age. Results: Of 2,967 ICDs implanted in the two centers from 1990,2006, 225 (7.6%) patients were ,80 years of age and followed-up at one of the two centers. Mean age was 83.3 ± 3.1 years and follow-up time 3.3 ± 2.6 years. Median survival was 3.6 years (95% confidence interval 2.3,4.9). Multivariate predictors of 1-year mortality included ejection fraction (EF) , 20% and the absence of beta-blocker use. Actuarial 1-year mortality of ICD recipients , 80 with an EF , 20% was 38.2% versus 13.1% in patients 80+ years with an EF > 20% and 10.6% for patients < 80 years with an EF , 20% (P < 0.001 for both). There was no significant difference in the risk of appropriate ICD therapy between those patients 80+ years with EF above and below 20%. Conclusion: In general, patients , 80 years of age who meet current indications for ICD implantation live sufficiently long to warrant device implantation based on anticipated survival alone. However, those with an EF , 20% have a markedly elevated 1-year mortality with no observed increase in appropriate ICD therapy, thus reducing the benefit of device implantation in this population. (PACE 2010; 981,987) [source] Risk Factors for Rejection and Infection in Pediatric Liver TransplantationAMERICAN JOURNAL OF TRANSPLANTATION, Issue 2 2008R. W. Shepherd Rejection and infection are important adverse events after pediatric liver transplantation, not previously subject to concurrent risk analysis. Of 2291 children (<18 years), rejection occurred at least once in 46%, serious bacterial/fungal or viral infections in 52%. Infection caused more deaths than rejection (5.5% vs. 0.6% of patients, p < 0.001). Early rejection (<6 month) did not contribute to mortality or graft failure. Recurrent/chronic rejection was a risk in graft failure, but led to retransplant in only 1.6% of first grafts. Multivariate predictors of bacterial/fungal infection included recipient age (highest in infants), race, donor organ variants, bilirubin, anhepatic time, cyclosporin (vs. tacrolimus) and era of transplant (before 2002 vs. after 2002); serious viral infection predictors included donor organ variants, rejection, Epstein-Barr Virus (EBV) naivety and era; for rejection, predictors included age (lowest in infants), primary diagnosis, donor-recipient blood type mismatch, the use of cyclosporin (vs. tacrolimus), no induction and era. In pediatric liver transplantation, infection risk far exceeds that of rejection, which causes limited harm to the patient or graft, particularly in infants. Aggressive infection control, attention to modifiable factors such as pretransplant nutrition and donor organ options and rigorous age-specific review of the risk/benefit of choice and intensity of immunosuppressive regimes is warranted. [source] Predictors of acute distress among young adults injured by community violenceJOURNAL OF TRAUMATIC STRESS, Issue 3 2003Lisa H. Jaycox Abstract Acute reactions to trauma are examined in 267 individuals severely injured via community violence. Respondents were interviewed about pretrauma, peritraumatic, and acute posttraumatic factors. A series of bivariate and multivariate analyses were conducted. We found few factors related to peritraumatic dissociation (PD): only injury severity and neuroticism emerged as multivariate predictors and the effects were small. PD was strongly related to acute PTSD symptoms, and partially mediated the relationship between other factors and acute PTSD and general distress symptoms. Different patterns of predictors emerged for acute PTSD symptoms vis-à-vis general distress symptoms. Future research on predictors of PD is indicated to develop prevention and early intervention programs. [source] | ||||||||||