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Moisture Flux (moisture + flux)
Selected AbstractsEpisodes of alpine heavy precipitation with an overlying elongated stratospheric intrusion: a climatologyINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 9 2006Olivia Martius Abstract This study discusses the role of stratospheric intrusions (determined as potential vorticity (PV) streamers) as upper-level instigators of heavy precipitation along the Swiss Alpine south side (AS) on a climatological timescale. A climatology of streamers is used compiled on the basis of the ECMWF 40-year re-analysis data set (ERA-40). Days of extreme and heavy precipitation along the Swiss AS are determined from an existing observational Alpine precipitation climatology. For these days, the presence of streamers over western Europe as well as their location and orientation is recorded. On 73% of the extreme precipitation days, a streamer is situated over western Europe. The mean spatial frequency distribution of the streamers on the extreme precipitation days exhibits a structure that resembles in its form and location the ,archetypal heavy precipitation streamer' known from case studies. The frequency maximum is situated over southern England and the west coast of France. The same analysis is applied to three sub-domains (Valais, Grisons, Ticino) along the Swiss AS. Significant differences in the location and the orientation of the streamers for the sub-domains are found. The majority of streamers associated with heavy rain in the western-most sub-domain (Valais) are oriented in a cyclonically-sheared fashion, while for the Ticino the streamers are more anti-cyclonically orientated. Differences for events of increasing severity are analysed by comparing the form, location, amplitude (PV), and persistence of the streamers on extreme and heavy precipitation days. The precipitation distribution is shifted to higher intensities for more persistent streamers. There is no detectable difference found in the form parameters, but the southerly moisture flux into the domain is significantly larger during extreme precipitation days than during heavy precipitation days. Likewise, the seasonal variation in the percentage of streamer-related heavy precipitation, which is highest in autumn (85%), can be related to the seasonal variation of southerly moisture fluxes. Copyright © 2006 Royal Meteorological Society. [source] Detection of a possible change point in atmospheric variability in the North Atlantic and its effect on Scandinavian glacier mass balanceINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 14 2005Rowan Fealy Abstract Climate change, resulting from an increase in global temperatures, is likely to have a large impact on glaciers and glacier meltwater during the course of the present century resulting in significant contributions to sea level rise. Globally, glaciers are in retreat, partly as a response to the return to warmer conditions after the last neoglacial period during the Little Ice Age but also because of the almost continuous increases evident in global temperature since then. In contrast, Scandinavian glaciers, particularly maritime glaciers, were maintaining equilibrium or advancing over the closing decades of the last century possibly resulting from an increased moisture flux over the North Atlantic. While the more continental glaciers were still declining, the rate of decline diminished during the late 1980s. This coincides with an accelerated rate of increase evident on the maritime glaciers in southwestern Norway. A change point in atmospheric variability in the North Atlantic is identified as having occurred during this period. This change point is associated with an intensification of westerlies over Europe, particularly since the late 1980s, which significantly contributes to increases in temperature and precipitation over northern Europe while suppressing the penetration of warm, moist air into more southern European locations. Regional variations in temperature and precipitation from selected Scandinavian stations are also found to be consistent with the changes in the large-scale modes of atmospheric variability in the North Atlantic. Copyright © 2005 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Interannual variability of lower-tropospheric moisture transport during the Australian monsoonINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 5 2002Christopher R. Godfred-Spenning Abstract The interannual variability of the horizontal lower-tropospheric moisture transport associated with the Australian summer monsoon has been analysed for the 1958,99 period. The 41-season climatology of moisture flux integrated between the surface and 450 hPa showed moderate levels of westerly transport in the month before Australian monsoon onset, associated with cross-equatorial flow in the Sulawesi Sea and west of Borneo. In the month after onset the westerly moisture transport strengthened dramatically in a zonal belt stretching from the Timor Sea to the Western Equatorial Pacific, constrained between the latitudes 5 and 15 °S, and associated with a poleward shift in the Intertropical Convergence Zone and deepening of the monsoon trough. Vertical cross-sections showed this transport extending from the surface to the 500 hPa level. In the second and third months after onset the horizontal flow pattern remained similar, although flux magnitudes progressively decreased, and the influence of trade winds became more pronounced over northern Australia. Nine El Niño and six La Niña seasons were identified from the data set, and composite plots of the affected years revealed distinct, and in some cases surprising, alterations to the large-scale moisture transport in the tropical Australian,Indonesian region. During an El Niño it was shown that the month prior to onset, in which the moisture flux was weaker than average, yielded to a dramatically stronger than average flux during the following month, with a zone of westerly flux anomalies stretching across the north Australian coast and Arafura Sea. The period of enhanced moisture flux during an El Niño is relatively short-lived, with drier easterly anomalies asserting themselves during the following 2 months, suggesting a shorter than usual monsoon period in north Australia. In the La Niña composite, the initial month after onset shows a tendency to weaker horizontal moisture transport over the Northern Territory and Western Australia. The subsequent 2 months show positive anomalies in flux magnitude over these areas; the overall effect is to prolong the monsoon. Comparison of these results with past research has led us to suggest that the tendency for stronger (weaker) circulations to arise in the initial month of El Niño (La Niña) events is a result of mesoscale changes in soil moisture anomalies on land and offshore sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies, brought about by the large-scale alterations to SST and circulation patterns during the El Niño,Southern Oscillation. The soil moisture and SST anomalies initially act to enhance (suppress) the conditions necessary for deep convection in the El Niño (La Niña) cases via changes in land,sea thermal contrast and cloud cover. Copyright © 2002 Royal Meteorological Society. [source] Post-summer heavy rainfall events in Southeast Brazil associated with South Atlantic Convergence ZoneATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS, Issue 1 2010Kellen Carla Lima Abstract Heavy rainfall events (HREs) in the post-summer month of March in Southeast Brazil cause disasters such as floods, mudslides and landslides, mainly because the soil becomes saturated by February. Forty-five years of rainfall data show that heavy rainfall frequency increases again in the month of March. The composite anomaly fields of the atmospheric circulation during and before HREs associated with the formation of South Atlantic Convergence Zone show some special characteristics that may be used as a guide for early warning. The convergence of moisture flux in the troposphere over the region grows 40% during the 48 h before the HRE in March. Copyright © 2010 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Modelled changes in arctic tundra snow, energy and moisture fluxes due to increased shrubsGLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, Issue 1 2002Glen E. Liston Abstract In arctic tundra, shrubs can significantly modify the distribution and physical characteristics of snow, influencing the exchanges of energy and moisture between terrestrial ecosystems and the atmosphere from winter into the growing season. These interactions were studied using a spatially distributed, physically based modelling system that represents key components of the land,atmosphere system. Simulations were run for 4 years, over a 4-km2 tundra domain located in arctic Alaska. A shrub increase was simulated by replacing the observed moist-tundra and wet-tundra vegetation classes with shrub-tundra; a procedure that modified 77% of the simulation domain. The remaining 23% of the domain, primarily ridge tops, was left as the observed dry-tundra vegetation class. The shrub enhancement increased the averaged snow depth of the domain by 14%, decreased blowing-snow sublimation fluxes by 68%, and increased the snowcover's thermal resistance by 15%. The shrub increase also caused significant changes in snow-depth distribution patterns; the shrub-enhanced areas had deeper snow, and the non-modified areas had less snow. This snow-distribution change influenced the timing and magnitude of all surface energy-balance components during snowmelt. The modified snow distributions also affected meltwater fluxes, leading to greater meltwater production late in the melt season. For a region with an annual snow-free period of approximately 90 days, the snow-covered period decreased by 11 days on the ridges and increased by 5 days in the shrub-enhanced areas. Arctic shrub increases impact the spatial coupling of climatically important snow, energy and moisture interactions by producing changes in both shrub-enhanced and non-modified areas. In addition, the temporal coupling of the climate system was modified when additional moisture held within the snowcover, because of less winter sublimation, was released as snowmelt in the spring. [source] Performance assessment of a GCM land surface scheme using a fine-scale calibrated hydrological model: an evaluation of MOSES for the Nile BasinHYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES, Issue 11 2009Mohamed Ezzat Elshamy Abstract Land surface schemes (LSSs) represent the interface between land surface and the atmosphere in general circulation models (GCMs). Errors in LSS-simulated heat and moisture fluxes can result from inadequate representation of hydrological features and the derivation of effective surface parameters for large heterogeneous GCM gridboxes from small-scale observations. Previous assessments of LSS performance have generally compared simulated heat and moisture fluxes to observations over a defined experimental domain for a limited period. A different approach has been evaluated in this study, which uses a fine-resolution calibrated hydrological model of the study basin to provide a quasi-observed runoff series for direct comparison with simulated runoff from a selected LSS at GCM scale. The approach is tested on two GCM gridboxes covering two contrasting regions within the Nile Basin. Performance is mixed; output from the LSS is generally compatible with that of the fine-resolution model for one gridbox while it cannot reproduce the runoff dynamics for the other. The results also demonstrate the high sensitivity of runoff and evapotranspiration to radiation and precipitation inputs and show the importance of subtle issues such as temporal disaggregation of climatic inputs. We conclude that the use of a fine-resolution calibrated model to evaluate a LSS has several advantages, can be generalized to other areas to improve the performance of global models and provides useful data that can be used to constrain LSS parameterizations. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Use of multi-platform, multi-temporal remote-sensing data for calibration of a distributed hydrological model: an application in the Arno basin, ItalyHYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES, Issue 13 2006Lorenzo Campo Abstract Images from satellite platforms are a valid aid in order to obtain distributed information about hydrological surface states and parameters needed in calibration and validation of the water balance and flood forecasting. Remotely sensed data are easily available on large areas and with a frequency compatible with land cover changes. In this paper, remotely sensed images from different types of sensor have been utilized as a support to the calibration of the distributed hydrological model MOBIDIC, currently used in the experimental system of flood forecasting of the Arno River Basin Authority. Six radar images from ERS-2 synthetic aperture radar (SAR) sensors (three for summer 2002 and three for spring,summer 2003) have been utilized and a relationship between soil saturation indexes and backscatter coefficient from SAR images has been investigated. Analysis has been performed only on pixels with meagre or no vegetation cover, in order to legitimize the assumption that water content of the soil is the main variable that influences the backscatter coefficient. Such pixels have been obtained by considering vegetation indexes (NDVI) and land cover maps produced by optical sensors (Landsat-ETM). In order to calibrate the soil moisture model based on information provided by SAR images, an optimization algorithm has been utilized to minimize the regression error between saturation indexes from model and SAR data and error between measured and modelled discharge flows. Utilizing this procedure, model parameters that rule soil moisture fluxes have been calibrated, obtaining not only a good match with remotely sensed data, but also an enhancement of model performance in flow prediction with respect to a previous calibration with river discharge data only. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Episodes of alpine heavy precipitation with an overlying elongated stratospheric intrusion: a climatologyINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 9 2006Olivia Martius Abstract This study discusses the role of stratospheric intrusions (determined as potential vorticity (PV) streamers) as upper-level instigators of heavy precipitation along the Swiss Alpine south side (AS) on a climatological timescale. A climatology of streamers is used compiled on the basis of the ECMWF 40-year re-analysis data set (ERA-40). Days of extreme and heavy precipitation along the Swiss AS are determined from an existing observational Alpine precipitation climatology. For these days, the presence of streamers over western Europe as well as their location and orientation is recorded. On 73% of the extreme precipitation days, a streamer is situated over western Europe. The mean spatial frequency distribution of the streamers on the extreme precipitation days exhibits a structure that resembles in its form and location the ,archetypal heavy precipitation streamer' known from case studies. The frequency maximum is situated over southern England and the west coast of France. The same analysis is applied to three sub-domains (Valais, Grisons, Ticino) along the Swiss AS. Significant differences in the location and the orientation of the streamers for the sub-domains are found. The majority of streamers associated with heavy rain in the western-most sub-domain (Valais) are oriented in a cyclonically-sheared fashion, while for the Ticino the streamers are more anti-cyclonically orientated. Differences for events of increasing severity are analysed by comparing the form, location, amplitude (PV), and persistence of the streamers on extreme and heavy precipitation days. The precipitation distribution is shifted to higher intensities for more persistent streamers. There is no detectable difference found in the form parameters, but the southerly moisture flux into the domain is significantly larger during extreme precipitation days than during heavy precipitation days. Likewise, the seasonal variation in the percentage of streamer-related heavy precipitation, which is highest in autumn (85%), can be related to the seasonal variation of southerly moisture fluxes. Copyright © 2006 Royal Meteorological Society. [source] The cumulus-capped boundary layer.THE QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, Issue 618 2006II: Interface fluxes Abstract This paper considers the relationship between the mean temperature and humidity profiles and the fluxes of heat and moisture at cloud base and the base of the inversion in the cumulus-capped boundary layer. The relationships derived are based on an approximate form of the scalar-flux budget and the scaling properties of the turbulent kinetic energy (TKE) budget. The scalar-flux budget gives a relationship between the change in the virtual potential temperature across either the cloud base transition zone or the inversion and the flux at the base of the layer. The scaling properties of the TKE budget lead to a relationship between the heat and moisture fluxes and the mean subsaturation through the liquid-water flux. The ,jump relation' for the virtual potential temperature at cloud base shows the close connection between the cumulus mass flux in the cumulus-capped boundary layer and the entrainment velocity in the dry-convective boundary layer. Gravity waves are shown to be an important feature of the inversion. © Crown copyright. 2006 [source] | ||||||||||