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Mean Precipitation (mean + precipitation)
Selected AbstractsSoil inorganic carbon storage pattern in ChinaGLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, Issue 10 2008NA MI Abstract Soils with pedogenic carbonate cover about 30% (3.44 × 106 km2) of China, mainly across its arid and semiarid regions in the Northwest. Based on the second national soil survey (1979,1992), total soil inorganic carbon (SIC) storage in China was estimated to be 53.3±6.3 PgC (1 Pg=1015 g) to the depth investigated to 2 m. Soil inorganic carbon storages were 4.6, 10.6, 11.1, and 20.8 Pg for the depth ranges of 0,0.1, 0.1,0.3, 0.3,0.5, and 0.5,1 m, respectively. Stocks for 0.1, 0.3, 0.5, and 1 m of depth accounted for 8.7%, 28.7%, 49.6%, and 88.9% of total SIC, respectively. In contrast with soil organic carbon (SOC) storage, which is highest under 500,800 mm yr,1 of mean precipitation, SIC storage peaks where mean precipitation is <400 mm yr,1. The amount and vertical distribution of SIC was related to climate and land cover type. Content of SIC in each incremental horizon was positively related with mean annual temperature and negatively related with mean annual precipitation, with the magnitude of SIC content across land cover types showing the following order: desert, grassland >shrubland, cropland >marsh, forest, meadow. Densities of SIC increased generally with depth in all ecosystem types with the exception of deserts and marshes where it peaked in intermediate layers (0.1,0.3 m for first and 0.3,0.5 m for latter). Being an abundant component of soil carbon stocks in China, SIC dynamics and the process involved in its accumulation or loss from soils require a better understanding. [source] Future hydroclimatology of the Mekong River basin simulated using the high-resolution Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) AGCMHYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES, Issue 9 2008Anthony S. Kiem Abstract Analysis of future Japan Meteorological Agency atmospheric general circulation model (JMA AGCM) based climate scenarios for the Mekong River basin (MRB) indicates that annual mean precipitation will increase in the 21st century (2080,2099) by 4·2% averaged across the basin, with the majority of this increase occurring over the northern MRB (i.e. China). Annual mean temperatures are also projected to increase by approximately 2·6 °C (averaged across the MRB). As expected, these changes also lead to significant changes in the hydrology of the MRB. All MRB subbasins will experience an increase in the number of wet days in the ,future' and, importantly for sustainable water resources management and the mitigation of extreme events (e.g. floods and droughts), the magnitude and frequency of what are now considered extreme events are also expected to increase resulting in increased risk of flooding, but a reduction in the likelihood of droughts/low-flow periods,assuming water extraction is kept at a sustainable level. Despite the fact that the climate change impact projections are associated with significant uncertainty, it is important to act now and put in place policies, infrastructure and mitigation strategies to protect against the increased flooding that could occur. In addition, despite this study indicating a decrease in the number of ,low-flow' days, across most of the MRB, further analysis is needed to determine whether the reduction in low-flow days is enough to compensate for (and sustain) the rapidly increasing population and development in the MRB. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Seasonal and inter-annual variability of the moisture sources for Alpine precipitation during 1995,2002INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 7 2010Harald Sodemann Abstract This study presents a first quantitative climatology of the moisture sources for precipitation in the European Alps, covering a 7-year period from January 1995 to August 2002. Using a Lagrangian moisture source diagnostic and data from the ERA-40: European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reanalysis, the contribution of the following moisture sources to annual mean precipitation has been diagnosed: North Atlantic ocean 39.6%, Mediterranean 23.3%, North Sea and Baltic Sea 16.6%, and European land surface 20.8%. However, strong seasonal variability of the influence of various moisture sources is evident. Most notably, moisture transport to the Alps changes from an oceanic mode characterised by dominantly North Atlantic moisture sources during winter to a continental mode during summer with a marked contribution from Central European land areas. The method identifies inter-annual variability with respect to the location of the moisture sources in the North Atlantic, and the importance of precipitation recycling during summer. Despite the smoothed Alpine orography in the ERA-40 model, the Alps act as an effective barrier for meridional moisture transport, leading to distinct mean moisture source locations at their northern and southern slopes. The Northern Alps are predominantly influenced by the North Atlantic ocean and Central European land sources with a clear seasonality and limited monthly variability. In contrast, the Southern Alps receive a large fraction of precipitation from the Mediterranean with considerable month-to-month variability. Possible implications of these differences for precipitation extremes and stable isotopes in precipitation are discussed. Copyright © 2009 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Atmospheric moisture budget over Antarctica and the Southern Ocean based on the ERA-40 reanalysisINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 15 2008Hanna Tietäväinen Abstract The atmospheric moisture budget over Antarctica and the Southern Ocean was analysed for the period 1979,2001 on the basis of the ERA-40 reanalysis of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. Meridional transport by transient eddies makes the largest contribution to the southward water vapour transport. The mean meridional circulation contributes to the northward transport in the Antarctic coastal areas, but this effect is compensated by the southward transport by stationary eddies. The convergence of meridional water vapour transport is at its largest at 64,68°S, while the convergence of zonal transport is regionally important in areas of high cyclolysis. Inter-annual variations in water vapour transport are related to the southern annular mode (SAM). The eastward transport has a significant (95% confidence level) positive correlation with the SAM index, while the northward transport has a significant negative correlation with SAM near 60°S. Hydrological balance is well-achieved in the ERA-40 reanalysis: the difference between the water vapour flux convergence (based on analysis) and the net precipitation (precipitation minus evaporation, based on 24-h forecasts) is only 13 mm yr,1 (3%) over the Southern Ocean and , 8 mm yr,1 (5%) over the continental ice sheet. Over the open ocean, the analysis methodology favours the accuracy of the flux convergence. For the whole study region, the annual mean flux convergence exceeded net precipitation by 11 mm yr,1 (3%). The ERA-40 result for the mean precipitation over the Antarctic continental ice sheet in 1979,2001 is 177 ± 8 mm yr,1, while previous estimates range from 173 to 215 mm yr,1. For the period 1979,2001, the ERA-40 data do not show any statistically significant trend in precipitation over the Antarctic grounded ice sheet and ice shelves. From the ERA-40 data, the annual average net evaporation (evaporation minus condensation) is positive over the whole continent. Copyright © 2008 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Statistical downscaling of extremes of daily precipitation and temperature and construction of their future scenariosINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 5 2008Yeshewatesfa Hundecha Abstract Two statistical downscaling methods have been tested in terms of their ability to construct indices of extremes of daily precipitation and temperatures from large-scale atmospheric variables with the aim of developing a tool for the construction of future scenarios of the extremes. One of the methods implements an approach for constructing seasonal indices of extremes of precipitation and temperature from seasonal measures of large-scale variables, while the other method implements a stochastic model for generating daily series of precipitation and temperature whose parameters are conditioned on large-scale circulation patterns. While both models generally tend to perform fairly well in reproducing indices of precipitation in winter, their performance for the summer season is not attractive. For indices of temperature, the performance of both models is better than the corresponding performance for indices of precipitation and the seasonal variation in performance is less prominent. The models were applied to construct scenarios of the extremes for the end of the 21st century using predictor sets simulated by the Hadley Centre GCM (HadAM3P) forced by two of the special report on emission scenarios (SRES) emission scenarios. Both models project an increase in both the mean daily minimum and mean daily maximum temperatures for future climate change scenarios in all seasons. The summer increase is accompanied by an increase in the inter-annual variability of the temperatures. On the other hand, they show consistency in the direction of the projected changes in indices of precipitation only in winter, where they projected an increase in both the magnitude and frequency of extremes as well as the mean precipitation. The disparity in the changes simulated by the two models revealed the existence of considerable inter-model uncertainty in predicting changes for future climate. Copyright © 2007 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Trends in extreme daily rainfall across the South Pacific and relationship to the South Pacific Convergence ZoneINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 8 2003G. M. Griffiths Abstract Daily rainfall records from 22 high-quality stations located in the South Pacific were analysed, over the common period 1961,2000, in order to assess whether extreme rainfall events have altered in their frequency or magnitude. A comprehensive spatial coverage across the South Pacific was provided, analysing a range of indices of extreme precipitation, which reflect both high rainfall events and drought. Clear spatial patterns emerged in the trends of extreme rainfall indices, with a major discontinuity across the diagonal section of the South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ). Stations located between 180 and 155°W exhibit a greater number of significant abrupt changes in extreme climate than elsewhere in the South Pacific, and the majority of climatic jumps occur in the 1970s or 1980s (coincident with a displacement northeastward of the diagonal part of the SPCZ and a large local increase in mean annual temperature). Notably, all significant abrupt changes in an extreme rainfall intensity index occurred in the late 1970s or early 1980s, and in every case the index showed an increase in extremity following the change point, regardless of station location. For the stations located south of the SPCZ, this may also be linked to the observed warming since the 1970s. Significant abrupt changes in mean precipitation were also identified around the mid 1940s, for two longer, century-scale records, which again correspond to a major displacement of the diagonal section of the SPCZ. An indicator of the diagonal SPCZ position is significantly temporally correlated with an extreme rainfall intensity index, at two locations either side of the diagonal section of the SPCZ, at decadal time scales or longer. This suggests that the displacement of the diagonal portion of the SPCZ on decadal time scales influences not only mean precipitation, but also daily rainfall extremes. Copyright © 2003 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Large-scale effect of aerosols on precipitation in the West African Monsoon regionTHE QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, Issue 640 2009J. Huang Abstract We used multi-year satellite observations to study aerosol effects on the large-scale variability in precipitation of the West African Monsoon (WAM) region, which is often impacted by high concentrations of desert dust and biomass-burning smoke. We find a statistically significant precipitation reduction associated with high aerosol concentration near the coast of the Gulf of Guinea from late boreal autumn to winter. The largest aerosol-related precipitation reduction (,1.5 mm d,1) is about 50% of the climatological mean precipitation in the region and occurs mainly at rain rates in the range of 2,17 mm d,1 off the northern coast of the Gulf of Guinea. This reduction cannot be linearly attributed to known climate and weather factors such as El Niño,Southern Oscillation, North Atlantic Oscillation, Atlantic sea-surface temperature, or water vapour. The fractional precipitation variance related to aerosol is about 13%, a value comparable to those related to the known climate factors. Based on the spatial pattern and seasonality of the observed precipitation reduction and its dependence on the rain rate, the observed negative correlation cannot be readily attributed to precipitation effects on aerosol by wet deposition or to rain and cloud contamination of satellite aerosol retrievals. We therefore suggest that our results can be taken as observational evidence of aerosol effects on precipitation. The aerosol associated with the observed precipitation reduction can be traced back to various African sources where large quantities of desert dust and biomass-burning smoke are emitted during much of the year. Given that the emissions of dust and smoke have varied considerably over the past several decades, in part attributable to human activities, our observed rainfall reduction may reflect an anthropogenic impact to some degree. Copyright © 2009 Royal Meteorological Society [source] | ||||||||||