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Selected AbstractsModelling lake stage and water balance of Lake Tana, EthiopiaHYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES, Issue 25 2009Yirgalem A. Chebud Abstract The level of Lake Tana, Ethiopia, fluctuates annually and seasonally following the patterns of changes in precipitation. In this study, a mass balance approach is used to estimate the hydrological balance of the lake. Water influx from four major rivers, subsurface inflow from the floodplains, precipitation, outflow from the lake constituting river discharge and evapotranspiration from the lake are analysed on monthly and annual bases. Spatial interpolation of precipitation using rain gauge data was conducted using kriging. Outflow from the lake was identified as the evaporation from the lake's surface as well as discharge at the outlet where the Blue Nile commences. Groundwater inflow is estimated using MODular three-dimensional finite-difference ground-water FLOW model software that showed an aligned flow pattern to the river channels. The groundwater outflow is considered negligible based on the secondary sources that confirmed the absence of lake water geochemical mixing outside of the basin. Evaporation is estimated using Penman's, Meyer's and Thornwaite's methods to compare the mass balance and energy balance approaches. Meteorological data, satellite images and temperature perturbation simulations from Global Historical Climate Network of National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration are employed for estimation of evaporation input parameters. The difference of the inflow and outflow was taken as storage in depth and compared with the measured water level fluctuations. The study has shown that the monthly and annually calculated lake level replicates the observed values with root mean square error value of 0·17 and 0·15 m, respectively. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Global analyses of satellite-derived vegetation index related to climatological wetness and warmthINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 4 2006Rikie Suzuki Abstract Wetness and warmth are the principal factors that control global vegetation distribution. This paper investigates climate,vegetation relationships at a global scale using the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), warmth index (WAI), and wetness index (WEI). The NDVI was derived from a global, 20-year Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) dataset with 4-min resolution. The WEI was defined as the ratio of precipitation to potential evaporation. The WAI was defined as the cumulative monthly mean temperature that exceeds 5 °C annually. Meteorological data from the International Satellite Land-Surface Climatology Project Initiative II (ISLSCP II) dataset were used to calculate the WEI and WAI. All analyses used annual values based on averages from 1986 to 1995 at 1 × 1 degree resolution over land. Relationships among NDVI, WEI, and WAI values were examined using a vegetation-climate diagram with the WEI and WAI as orthogonal coordinates. The diagram shows that large NDVI values correspond to areas of tropical and temperate forests and large WEI and WAI values. Small WEI and WAI values are associated with small NDVI values that correspond to desert and tundra, respectively. Two major regimes are revealed by the NDVI vegetation-climate diagram: wetness dominant and warmth dominant. Wetness dominates mid- and low latitudes. Warmth dominates high latitudes north of 60°N or elevated land such as the Tibetan Plateau. The boundary between the two regimes roughly corresponds to the vegetation boundary between taiga forest and southern vegetation. Over northern Eurasia, the boundary occurs in areas where the NDVI is large and the maximum monthly temperature is around 18 °C. Copyright © 2006 Royal Meteorological Society. [source] Comparison of atmospheric transport calculations over complex terrain using a mobile profiling system and rawinsondesMETEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS, Issue 4 2000Robert M Cox A comparison of atmospheric transport and dispersion calculations over complex terrain was investigated using a mobile profiling system (MPS) versus standard meteorological balloons. Meteorological and sulfur hexafluoride (SF6) concentration data were collected and used to evaluate the performance of a transport and diffusion model coupled with a mass consistency wind field model. Meteorological data were collected throughout April 1995, and parts of August 1995. Both meteorological and concentration data were measured in December 1995. Once the models were validated, the comparison of performance with different upper-air data were accomplished. The models used included the SCIPUFF (Second-order Closure Integrated Puff) transport and diffusion model and the MINERVE mass consistency wind model. Evaluation of the models was focused primarily on their effectiveness as a short-term (one to four hours) predictive tool. These studies showed how the combination of weather and transport models could be used to help direct emergency response following a hazardous material release. The models were used in tandem to direct the deployment of mobile sensors intended to intercept and measure tracer clouds. The MINERVE model was validated for the specific terrain of interest using April 1995 data. The capability of SCIPUFF driven by realistic three-dimensional wind fields generated by MINERVE is demonstrated using data collected in December 1995. Copyright © 2000 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Fate of the herbicides glyphosate, glufosinate-ammonium, phenmedipham, ethofumesate and metamitron in two Finnish arable soilsPEST MANAGEMENT SCIENCE (FORMERLY: PESTICIDE SCIENCE), Issue 6 2006Pirkko Laitinen Abstract The fate of five herbicides (glyphosate, glufosinate-ammonium, phenmedipham, ethofumesate and metamitron) was studied in two Finnish sugar beet fields for 26 months. Soil types were sandy loam and clay. Two different herbicide-tolerant sugar beet cultivars and three different herbicide application schedules were used. Meteorological data were collected throughout the study and soil properties were thoroughly analysed. An extensive data set of herbicide residue concentrations in soil was collected. Five different soil depths were sampled. The study was carried out using common Finnish agricultural practices and represents typical sugar beet cultivation conditions in Finland. The overall observed order of persistence was ethofumesate > glyphosate > phenmedipham > metamitron > glufosinate-ammonium. Only ethofumesate and glyphosate persisted until the subsequent spring. Seasonal variation in herbicide dissipation was very high and dissipation ceased almost completely during winter. During the 2 year experiment no indication of potential groundwater pollution risk was obtained, but herbicides may cause surface water pollution. Copyright © 2006 Society of Chemical Industry [source] Human birth seasonality and sunshineAMERICAN JOURNAL OF HUMAN BIOLOGY, Issue 3 2010David R. CummingsArticle first published online: 20 OCT 200 The environmental light intensity/photoperiod (ELI/PP) hypothesis proposes that the seasonality of human births is primarily associated with seasonal changes in ambient atmospheric luminosity or ELI. This study tests for the presence of increased ELI during the 1 or 2-month period preceding the conceptual month. Monthly birth data for Helsinki, Finland; Kiev, Ukraine; Hanoi, Vietnam; Matlab, Bangladesh; Nashville, Tennessee; Los Angeles, California; Dallas, Texas; Denver, Colorado and Pretoria, South Africa, are correlated (Pearsonian r) to corresponding monthly meteorological data. With the exception of Matlab, birth data are adjusted for conception date, 31-day months, leap years and monthly deviation from an annual mean. Meteorological data are adjusted for a 1,2-month exposure to ELI before conception. From these correlations, Helsinki r = 0.82, Kiev r = 0.80, Hanoi r = 0.93, Matlab r = 0.91, Nashville r = 0.84, Los Angeles r = 0.71, Dallas r = 0.86, Denver r = 0.53, and Pretoria r = ,82. Weakness and strengths of the ELI/PP hypothesis are reviewed using the criteria developed by AB Hill. Substituting meteorological variables for ELI may be a weakness, whereas the specificity of ELI/PP predictions may be a strength. Increased periods of ELI precede increased periods of conceptions. Increased ELI may influence seasonality for chimpanzee, baboon, and humans. Atmospheric pollution may alter the onset of seasonality. Increased ELI may be the initial, but not the singular variable to affect seasonality. Am. J. Hum. Biol., 2010. © 2009 Wiley-Liss, Inc. [source] The Dry Limit of Microbial Life in the Atacama Desert Revealed by Calorimetric ApproachesENGINEERING IN LIFE SCIENCES (ELECTRONIC), Issue 5 2008N. Barros Abstract The Atacama desert in Chile is one of the driest and most lifeless environments on Earth. It rains possibly once a decade. NASA examined these soils as a model for the Martian environment by comparing their degradation activity with Martian soil and looking for "the dry limit of life". The existence of heterotrophic bacteria in Atacama soil was demonstrated by DNA extraction and by the isolation of microorganisms. So far, however, no data have been available about the metabolic activities in these soils due to the limitations of the existing methodologies when applied to desert soils. Calorimetry was used to obtain information on the metabolic and thermal properties of eleven soil samples collected at different sites in the Atacama desert. Differential scanning calorimetry and isothermal calorimetry were employed to determine the pyrolysis properties of the carbon-containing matter and to measure biomass and microbial metabolism. They were compared to other soil properties such as total carbon and nitrogen, carbon to nitrogen ratio and pH. There was measurable organic matter in nine of the eleven samples and the heat of pyrolysis of those soils was correlated to the carbon content. In five of the eleven samples no biomass could be detected and the existence of basal microbial metabolism could not be established because all samples showed endothermic activity, probably from inorganic reactions with water. Six samples showed microbial activation after the addition of glucose. Carbon content, nitrogen content and the microbial activity after glucose amendment were correlated to the altitude and to the average minimum temperature of the sampling sites calculated from meteorological data. The detectable microbial metabolism was more dissipative with increasing altitude and decreasing temperature. [source] Comparison of air quality management strategies of PM10, SO2, and NOx by an industrial source complex model in BeijingENVIRONMENTAL PROGRESS & SUSTAINABLE ENERGY, Issue 1 2007Gaoxiang Ying Abstract The primary air pollutants in the Beijing urban area are fine particulate matter (PM10), sulfur dioxide (SO2), and nitrogen oxides (NOx). Using suitable emission factors for point, area, and line sources from 20 categories of industrial, commercial, domestic and traffic, total yearly mean emissions were estimated at 103.3 kton of PM10, 209.9 kton of SO2, and 225.4 kton of NOx in 1999. To abate this elevated air pollution, three air quality management schemes are adopted. After the implementation, the annual mean ground-level concentrations of air pollutants are predicted by an industrial source complex short term (ISCST3) dispersion model and compared by the geographic information system (GIS). The ISCST3 dispersion model is used by inputting emission inventory and meteorological data with 1 h temporal and 1 km × 1 km spatial resolution. The model validity is verified by its agreement with monitoring data from Beijing's Environmental Protection Bureau. Results indicate that the levels of PM10, SO2, and NOx in Beijing are improved gradually because of the adoption of these three control schemes. The predicted annual mean concentrations decreased from 90.63 to 67.28 ,g/m3 for PM10, 57.94 to 31.77 ,g/m3 for SO2, and 119.97 to 73.83 ,g/m3 for NOx, respectively. © 2007 American Institute of Chemical Engineers Environ Prog 26:33,42, 2007. [source] Profile of the climate change in the Kingdom of BahrainENVIRONMETRICS, Issue 8 2003W. E. Alnaser Abstract Long-term meteorological data from the Kingdom of Bahrain (1902 to 2001), along with other data from the Sultanate of Oman and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, were used to study the profile and the characteristics of the climate changes in the Kingdom of Bahrain. This article illustrates the possible effects of several factors, such as greenhouse gases (GHG), sunspot number, cosmic ray flux, planet conjunctions, the Earth's magnetic field, as well as volcanic eruption, on the profile of the climate change. In general, we found that the temperature variations, to a certain extent, are associated with the cyclic variations in sunspot number (the 11-year cycle), which in turn affect the pattern of the cosmic ray flux due to the distortion of the interplanetary magnetic field. The latter is believed to influence cloud formation. In addition, the discrepancy in the climate change pattern in Bahrain was also attributed to the combined effect of the high local level of CO2 emissions as well as that of other cooling gases in the region. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] A dynamic simulation model for powdery mildew epidemics on winter wheat,EPPO BULLETIN, Issue 3 2003V. Rossi A system dynamic model for epidemics of Blumeria graminis (powdery mildew) on wheat was elaborated, based on the interaction between stages of the disease cycle, weather conditions and host characteristics. The model simulates the progress of disease severity, expressed as a percentage of powdered leaf area, on individual leaves, with a time step of one day, as a result of two processes: the growth of fungal colonies already present on the leaves and the appearance of new colonies. By means of mathematical equations, air temperature, vapour pressure deficit, rainfall and wind are used to calculate incubation, latency and sporulation periods, the growth of pathogen colonies, infection and spore survival. Effects of host susceptibility to infection, and of leaf position within the plant canopy, are also included. Model validation was carried out by comparing model outputs with the dynamics of epidemics observed on winter wheat grown at several locations in northern Italy (1991,98). Simulations were performed using meteorological data measured in standard meteorological stations. As there was good agreement between model outputs and actual disease severity, the model can be considered a satisfactory simulator of the effect of environmental conditions on the progress of powdery mildew epidemics. [source] Structure and development of decision-support systems and their use by the State Plant Protection Services in Germany,EPPO BULLETIN, Issue 1 2000B. Kleinhenz To ensure continuing work on decision-support systems (DSSs) and the elaboration of new systems according to the needs of the Plant Protection Services of the federal states of Germany, these services have installed ZEPP (Central Institution for Decision Support Systems and Programmes in Crop Protection). At the national level, ZEPP guarantees a permanent supply of meteorological data, organizes and co-ordinates trials, incorporates scientific progress into the existing DSSs and, in close co-operation with universities and federal research stations, develops new systems for important pests. The PASO desktop system includes a data bank that administers all relevant meteorological files and field data. It allows for automated simulation runs and forecasts, serving as input for timely warnings by different media. Depending on the individual decision-support modules, results are presented as tables and/or graphs. [source] Development of an interactive decision-support system on a Web site for control of Mycosphaerella graminicola in winter wheat,EPPO BULLETIN, Issue 1 2000J.-M. Moreau A decision-support system (DSS) has been developed in Belgium to help farmers and advisers to manage Mycosphaerella graminicola in winter wheat during stem elongation. The system calculates in real time the interactions between winter wheat and M. graminicola development to simulate disease progression in the canopy in order to guide field observations on the different leaf layers and determine the risks for the crop. It has been structured to run with individual field input and local hourly meteorological data. An interactive Internet version of the system has been developed to facilitate the delivery of information. It allows users to base their decisions on advice tailored to conditions in their own fields, as well as to recent and validated hourly local meteorological data that is regularly updated on the server computer. [source] Interaction between wind-induced seiches and convective cooling governs algal distribution in a canyon-shaped reservoirFRESHWATER BIOLOGY, Issue 7 2007RAFAEL MARCÉ Summary 1. Wind is considered the dominant factor controlling phytoplankton distribution in lentic environments. In canyon-shaped reservoirs, wind tends to blow along the main axis generating internal seiches and advective water movements that jointly with biological features of algae can produce a heterogeneous phytoplankton distribution. Turbulence generated by wind stress and convection will also affect the vertical distribution of algae, depending on their sinking properties. 2. We investigated the vertical and horizontal distribution of phytoplankton during the stratification period in Sau Reservoir (NE Spain). Sites along the main reservoir axis were sampled every 4 h for 3 days, and profiles of chlorophyll- a and temperature were made using a fluorescent FluoroProbe, which can discriminate among the main algal groups. Convective and wind shear velocity scales, and energy dissipation were calculated from meteorological data, and simulation experiments were performed to describe non-measured processes, like vertical advection and sinking velocity of phytoplankton. 3. Wind direction changed from day to night, producing a diel thermocline oscillation and an internal seiche. Energy dissipation was moderate during the night, and mainly attributed to convective cooling. During the day the energy dissipation was entirely attributed to wind shear, but values indicated low turbulence intensity. 4. The epilimnetic algal community was mainly composed of diatoms and chlorophytes. Chlorophytes showed a homogeneous distribution on the horizontal and vertical planes. Diatom horizontal pattern was also homogeneous, because the horizontal advective velocities generated by wind forcing were not high enough to develop phytoplankton gradients along the reservoir. 5. Diatom vertical distribution was heterogeneous in space and time. Different processes dominated in different regions of the reservoir, due to the interaction between seiching and the daily cycle of convective-mediated turbulence. As the meteorological forcing followed a clear daily pattern, we found very different diatom sedimentation dynamics between day and night. Remarkably, these dynamics were asynchronous in the extremes of the seiche, implying that under the same meteorological forcing a diatom population can show contrasting sedimentation dynamics at small spatial scales (approximately 103 m). This finding should be taken into account when interpreting paleolimnological records from different locations in a lake. 6. Vertical distribution of non-motile algae is a complex process including turbulence, vertical and horizontal advection, variations in the depth of the mixing layer and the intrinsic sinking properties of the organisms. Thus, simplistic interpretations considering only one of these factors should be regarded with caution. The results of this work also suggest that diatoms can persist in stratified water because of a synergistic effect between seiching and convective turbulence. [source] METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS DURING SLUSH-FLOW RELEASE AND THEIR GEOMORPHOLOGICAL IMPACT IN NORTHWESTERN ICELAND: A CASE STUDY FROM THE BÍLDUDALUR VALLEYGEOGRAFISKA ANNALER SERIES A: PHYSICAL GEOGRAPHY, Issue 3 2006ARMELLE DECAULNE ABSTRACT. This paper examines triggering factors and geomorphic significance of slush flows in the Bíldudalur valley, northwestern Iceland. The area is prone to release slush flows from two confined gullies, and at least ten flows have been reported since the beginning of the twentieth century. Despite their short path (600 m) and their moderate magnitude (from 6000 to 8000 m3), slush flows in the Bíldudalur valley represent a serious threat for the local community that is situated within the runout and deposition zones. With the help of meteorological data, the release of known slush flows is examined, highlighting the role of heavy rainfall and rapid snow-melt during winter cyclonic activity. The geomorphological impact of slush flows is assessed through the characteristics of the landforms produced during the 1997 and 1998 slush-flow events. It appears that the most obvious characteristics of slush flows in the Bíldudalur valley are the entrainment and deposition of debris, spatially differentiated. Chaotic sedimentation occurs chiefly in the middle part of a clearly concave cone, even if the flows continue beyond the cone. [source] Persistent effects of a discrete warming event on a polar desert ecosystemGLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, Issue 10 2008J. E. BARRETT Abstract A discrete warming event (December 21, 2001,January 12, 2002) in the McMurdo Dry Valleys, Antarctica, enhanced glacier melt, stream flow, and melting of permafrost. Effects of this warming included a rapid rise in lake levels and widespread increases in soil water availability resulting from melting of subsurface ice. These increases in liquid water offset hydrologic responses to a cooling trend experienced over the previous decade and altered ecosystem properties in both aquatic and terrestrial ecosystems. Here, we present hydrological and meteorological data from the McMurdo Dry Valleys Long Term Ecological Research project to examine the influence of a discrete climate event (warming of >2 °C) on terrestrial environments and soil biotic communities. Increases in soil moisture following this event stimulated populations of a subordinate soil invertebrate species (Eudorylaimus antarcticus, Nematoda). The pulse of melt-water had significant influences on Taylor Valley ecosystems that persisted for several years, and illustrates that the importance of discrete climate events, long recognized in hot deserts, are also significant drivers of soil and aquatic ecosystems in polar deserts. Thus, predictions of Antarctic ecosystem responses to climate change which focus on linear temperature trends may miss the potentially significant influence of infrequent climate events on hydrology and linked ecological processes. [source] Downy mildew (Plasmopara viticola) epidemics on grapevine under climate changeGLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, Issue 7 2006SALINARI FRANCESCA Abstract As climate is a key agro-ecosystem driving force, climate change could have a severe impact on agriculture. Many assessments have been carried out to date on the possible effects of climate change (temperature, precipitation and carbon dioxide concentration changes) on plant physiology. At present however, likely effects on plant pathogens have not been investigated deeply. The aim of this work was to simulate future scenarios of downy mildew (Plasmopara viticola) epidemics on grape under climate change, by combining a disease model to output from two general circulation models (GCMs). Model runs corresponding to the SRES-A2 emissions scenario, characterized by high projections of both population and greenhouse gas emissions from present to 2100, were chosen in order to investigate impacts of worst-case scenarios, among those currently available from IPCC. Three future decades were simulated (2030, 2050, 2080), using as baseline historical series of meteorological data collected from 1955 to 2001 in Acqui Terme, an important grape-growing area in the north-west of Italy. Both GCMs predicted increase of temperature and decrease of precipitation in this region. The simulations obtained by combining the disease model to the two GCM outputs predicted an increase of the disease pressure in each decade: more severe epidemics were a direct consequence of more favourable temperature conditions during the months of May and June. These negative effects of increasing temperatures more than counterbalanced the effects of precipitation reductions, which alone would have diminished disease pressure. Results suggested that, as adaptation response to future climate change, more attention would have to be paid in the management of early downy mildew infections; two more fungicide sprays were necessary under the most negative climate scenario, compared with present management regimes. At the same time, increased knowledge on the effects of climate change on host,pathogen interactions will be necessary to improve current predictions. [source] Simulated and observed fluxes of sensible and latent heat and CO2 at the WLEF-TV tower using SiB2.5GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, Issue 9 2003Ian Baker Abstract Three years of meteorological data collected at the WLEF-TV tower were used to drive a revised version of the Simple Biosphere (SiB 2.5) Model. Physiological properties and vegetation phenology were specified from satellite imagery. Simulated fluxes of heat, moisture, and carbon were compared to eddy covariance measurements taken onsite as a means of evaluating model performance on diurnal, synoptic, seasonal, and interannual time scales. The model was very successful in simulating variations of latent heat flux when compared to observations, slightly less so in the simulation of sensible heat flux. The model overestimated peak values of sensible heat flux on both monthly and diurnal scales. There was evidence that the differences between observed and simulated fluxes might be linked to wetlands near the WLEF tower, which were not present in the SiB simulation. The model overestimated the magnitude of the net ecosystem exchange of CO2 in both summer and winter. Mid-day maximum assimilation was well represented by the model, but late afternoon simulations showed excessive carbon uptake due to misrepresentation of within-canopy shading in the model. Interannual variability was not well simulated because only a single year of satellite imagery was used to parameterize the model. [source] Seasonal patterns in biomass smoke pollution and the mid 20th-century transition from Aboriginal to European fire management in northern AustraliaGLOBAL ECOLOGY, Issue 2 2007David M. J. S. Bowman ABSTRACT Aim, Globally, most landscape burning occurs in the tropical savanna biome, where fire is a characteristic of the annual dry season. In northern Australia there is uncertainty about how the frequency and timing of dry season fires have changed in the transition from Aboriginal to European fire management. Location, In the tropical eucalypt savannas that surround the city of Darwin in the northwest of the Northern Territory of Australia. Methods, Our study had three parts: (1) we developed a predictive statistical model of mean mass (µg) of particulates 10 µm or less per cubic metre of air (PM10) using visibility and other meteorological data in Darwin during the dry seasons of 2000 and 2004; (2) we tested the model and its application to the broader air shed by (a) matching the prediction of this model to PM10 measurements made in Darwin in 2005, (b) matching the predictions to independent measurements at two locations 20 km to the north and south of Darwin and (c) matching peaks in PM10 to known major fire events in the region (2000,01 dry seasons); and (3) we used the model to explore changes in air quality over the last 50 years, a period that spans the transition from Aboriginal to European land management. Results, We demonstrated that visibility data can be used reliably as a proxy for biomass burning across the largely uncleared tropical savannas inland of Darwin. Validations using independent measurements demonstrated that our predictive model was robust, and geographically and temporally representative of the regional airshed. We used the model to hindcast and found that seasonal air quality has changed since 1955, with a trend to increasing PM10 concentrations in the early dry season. Main conclusions, The results suggest that the transition from Aboriginal to European land management has been associated with an increase in fire activity in the early months of the dry season. [source] Is there a connection between weather at departure sites, onset of migration and timing of soaring-bird autumn migration in Israel?GLOBAL ECOLOGY, Issue 6 2006Judy Shamoun-Baranes ABSTRACT Aims, Different aspects of soaring-bird migration are influenced by weather. However, the relationship between weather and the onset of soaring-bird migration, particularly in autumn, is not clear. Although long-term migration counts are often unavailable near the breeding areas of many soaring birds in the western Palaearctic, soaring-bird migration has been systematically monitored in Israel, a region where populations from large geographical areas converge. This study tests several fundamental hypotheses regarding the onset of migration and explores the connection between weather, migration onset and arrival at a distant site. Location, Globally gridded meteorological data from the breeding areas in north-eastern Europe were used as predictive variables in relation to the arrival of soaring migrants in Israel. Methods, Inverse modelling was used to study the temporal and spatial influence of weather on initiation of migration based on autumn soaring-bird migration counts in Israel. Numerous combinations of migration duration and temporal influence of meteorological variables (temperature, sea-level pressure and precipitable water) were tested with different models for meteorological sensitivity. Results, The day of arrival in Israel of white storks, honey buzzards, Levant sparrowhawks and lesser spotted eagles was significantly and strongly related to meteorological conditions in the breeding area days or even weeks before arrival in Israel. The cumulative number of days or cumulative value above or below a meteorological threshold performed significantly better than other models tested. Models provided reliable estimates of migration duration for each species. Main conclusions, The meteorological triggers of migration at the breeding grounds differed between species and were related to deteriorating living conditions and deteriorating migratory flight conditions. Soaring birds are sensitive to meteorological triggers at the same period every year and their temporal response to weather appears to be constrained by their annual routine. [source] Net primary productivity mapped for Canada at 1-km resolutionGLOBAL ECOLOGY, Issue 2 2002J Liu Abstract Aim To map net primary productivity (NPP) over the Canadian landmass at 1-km resolution. Location Canada. Methods A simulation model, the Boreal Ecosystem Productivity Simulator (BEPS), has been developed. The model uses a sunlit and shaded leaf separation strategy and a daily integration scheme in order to implement an instantaneous leaf-level photosynthesis model over large areas. Two key driving variables, leaf area index (every 10 days) and land cover type (annual), are derived from satellite measurements of the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR). Other spatially explicit input data are also prepared, including daily meteorological data (radiation, precipitation, temperature, and humidity), available soil water holding capacity (AWC) and forest biomass. The model outputs are compared with ground plot data to ensure that no significant systematic biases are created. Results The simulation results show that Canada's annual net primary production was 1.22 Gt C year,1 in 1994, 78% attributed to forests, mainly the boreal forest, without considering the contribution of the understorey. The NPP averaged over the entire landmass was ~140 g C m,2 year,1 in 1994. Geographically, NPP varied greatly among ecozones and provinces/territories. The seasonality of NPP is characterized by strong summer photosynthesis capacities and a short growing season in northern ecosystems. Conclusions This study is the first attempt to simulate Canada-wide NPP with a process-based model at 1-km resolution and using a daily step. The statistics of NPP are therefore expected to be more accurate than previous analyses at coarser spatial or temporal resolutions. The use of remote sensing data makes such simulations possible. BEPS is capable of integrating the effects of climate, vegetation, and soil on plant growth at a regional scale. BEPS and its parameterization scheme and products can be a basis for future studies of the carbon cycle in mid-high latitude ecosystems. [source] Homogeneity analysis of Turkish meteorological data setHYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES, Issue 8 2010Sinan Sahin Abstract The missing value interpolation and homogeneity analysis were performed on the meteorological data of Turkey. The data set has the observations of six variables: the maximum air temperature, the minimum air temperature, the mean air temperature, the total precipitation, the relative humidity and the local pressure of 232 stations for the period 1974,2002. The missing values on the monthly data set were estimated using two methods: the linear regression (LR) and the expectation maximization (EM) algorithm. Because of higher correlations between test and reference series, EM algorithm results were preferred. The homogeneity analysis was performed on the annual data using a relative test and four absolute homogeneity tests were used for the stations where non-testable series were found due to the low correlation coefficients between the test and the reference series. A comparison was accomplished by the graphics where relative and absolute tests provided different outcomes. Absolute tests failed to detect the inhomogeneities in the precipitation series at the significance level 1%. Interestingly, most of the inhomogeneities detected on the temperature variables existed in the Aegean region of Turkey. It is considered that theseinhomogeneities were mostly caused by non-natural effects such as relocation. Because of changes at topography at short distance in this region intensify non-random characteristics of the temperature series when relocation occurs even in small distances. The marine effect, which causes artifical cooling effect due to sea breezes has important impact on temperature series and the orograhpy allows this impact go through the inner parts in this region. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Effects of topography on the spatial distribution of evapotranspiration over a complex terrain using two-source energy balance model with ASTER dataHYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES, Issue 16 2009H. K. Kafle Abstract Spatial distribution of evapotranspiration (ET) over a complex terrain is estimated using a new approach of the conventional two-source energy balance (TSEB) model by considering the effect of topography (difference in slope and aspect). We name this approach topography considered two-source energy balance (T2SEB) model. The novelty of this model is the estimation of incoming shortwave solar radiation considering slope, aspect, altitude, latitude, longitude, and the day of calculation in the TSEB model, so that the new model should have wider applicability than existing models over topographically complex areas. In this study, high spatial resolution Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer (ASTER) data and meteorological data are used. ET over a complex terrain of Nagoya, Japan, on three different dates, 4 November 2005, 25 May 2004 and 30 October 2003, is estimated using both TSEB and T2SEB models. To validate both models, estimated results are compared with ground observation data at the flux tower site. Moreover, estimated results from TSEB and T2SEB models are compared in five different locations of different topography within the study area. Variation of net radiation absorbed by the surface (Rn) with topographical variables is also studied with the help of scatter plots. Estimated results for all three dates agreed within ±75 W m,2 with calculated values from both models at the flux tower site. TSEB underestimated/overestimated ET in sunlit/shaded areas in hilly areas. The T2SEB model estimated ET in hilly areas better than the TSEB model. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Sublimation from thin snow cover at the edge of the Eurasian cryosphere in MongoliaHYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES, Issue 18 2008Yinsheng Zhang Abstract Sublimation from thin snow cover at the edge of the Eurasian cryosphere in Mongolia was calculated using the aerodynamic profile method and verified by eddy covariance observations using multiple-level meteorological data from three sites representing a variety of geographic and vegetative conditions in Mongolia. Data were collected in the winter and analysed from three sites. Intense sublimation events, defined by daily sublimation levels of more than 0·4 mm, were predominant in their effect on the temporal variability of sublimation. The dominant meteorological elements affecting sublimation were wind speed and air temperature, with the latter affecting sublimation indirectly through the vapour deficit. Seasonal and interannual variations in sublimation were investigated using long-interval estimations for 19 years at a mountainous-area meteorological station and for 24 years at a flat-plain meteorological station. The general seasonal pattern indicated higher rates of sublimation in both the beginning and ending of the snow-covered period, when the wind speed and vapour deficit were higher. Annual sublimation averaged 11·7 mm at the flat-plain meteorological station, or 20·3% of the annual snowfall, and 15·7 mm at the site in the mountains, or 21·6% of snowfall. The sum of snow sublimation and snowmelt evaporation represented 17 to 20% of annual evapotranspiration in a couple observation years. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Seasonal changes in radiation and evaporation implied from the diurnal distribution of rainfall in the Lower MekongHYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES, Issue 9 2008Kumiko Tsujimoto Abstract Solar radiation is an important input to many empirical equations for estimating evaporation, which in turn plays an important role in the hydrologic cycle in the Lower Mekong River Basin due to the high evaporation potential of the tropical monsoon climate. Few proper meteorological data exist for the Lower Mekong River Basin, however, and the region's meteorological conditions, including seasonal variation in radiation and evaporation, have not been clarified. In this study, ground-based hourly hydrometeorological data were collected at three observation stations located in different land-use types (urban district, paddy area, and lake) in the Lower Mekong River Basin. These data were analysed to investigate the seasonal variation in radiation and evaporation related to the diurnal distribution of rainfall. Contrary to common expectations, our results showed that rainy and dry seasons had nearly the same amount of solar radiation in the Lower Mekong River Basin because (1) rainy seasons had a relatively larger amount of extraterrestrial radiation; (2) no rain fell on nearly half of the days during rainy seasons; and (3) the amount of solar radiation on rainy days reached 88% of that on non-rainy days. The third factor was attributed to the high frequency of evening rainfall. Furthermore, this rainfall,radiation relationship meant that rainy seasons had a large amount of net radiation due to the low reduction ratio of solar radiation and an increase in long-wave incoming radiation. Accordingly, rainy seasons had a high evaporation potential. Moreover, for the rain-fed rice paddies that prevail in this region, sufficient radiation during the rainy season would be a great advantage for rice growing. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Validation of hydrological models for climate scenario simulation: the case of Saguenay watershed in QuebecHYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES, Issue 23 2007Yonas B. Dibike Abstract This paper presents the results of an investigation into the problems associated with using downscaled meteorological data for hydrological simulations of climate scenarios. The influence of both the hydrological models and the meteorological inputs driving these models on climate scenario simulation studies are investigated. A regression-based statistical tool (SDSM) is used to downscale the daily precipitation and temperature data based on climate predictors derived from the Canadian global climate model (CGCM1), and two types of hydrological model, namely the physically based watershed model WatFlood and the lumped-conceptual modelling system HBV-96, are used to simulate the flow regimes in the major rivers of the Saguenay watershed in Quebec. The models are validated with meteorological inputs from both the historical records and the statistically downscaled outputs. Although the two hydrological models demonstrated satisfactory performances in simulating stream flows in most of the rivers when provided with historic precipitation and temperature records, both performed less well and responded differently when provided with downscaled precipitation and temperature data. By demonstrating the problems in accurately simulating river flows based on downscaled data for the current climate, we discuss the difficulties associated with downscaling and hydrological models used in estimating the possible hydrological impact of climate change scenarios. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Seasonal changes in runoff characteristics on a permafrost watershed in the southern mountainous region of eastern SiberiaHYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES, Issue 3 2006Yusuke Yamazaki Abstract We attempted to clarify the runoff characteristics of a permafrost watershed in the southern mountainous region of eastern Siberia using hydrological and meteorological data obtained by the State Hydrological Institute in Russia from 1976 to 1985. We analysed seasonal changes in the direct runoff ratio and recession gradient during the permafrost thawing period. Thawing depth began to increase from the beginning of May and continued to increase until the end of September, exceeding 150 cm. Annual precipitation and discharge were in the range 525,649 mm and 205,391 mm respectively. The sum of the annual evapotranspiration and changes in water storage ranged from 235 to 365 mm. The mean daily evapotranspiration in June, July, August and September was 1·5 mm day,1, 1·7 mm day,1, 1·5 mm day,1, and 0·5 mm day,1 respectively. The direct runoff ratio was highest in June, decreasing from 0·8 in June to 0·2 in September. The recession gradient also decreased from June to September. Since the frozen soil functioned as an impermeable layer, the soil water storage capacity in the thawing part of the soil, the depth of which changed over time, controlled the runoff characteristics. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Performance analysis of different meteorological data and resolutions using MaScOD hydrological modelHYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES, Issue 16 2004Roshan Shrestha Abstract Distributed meteorological data collected from different sources are rarely identical within the same domain of space and time. Discrepancies of these data in magnitude, pattern, and resolution play an important role in hydrological simulation. Using four different sets of distributed meteorological data (from the HUBEX-Intense Observation Period and GAME experimental products at different resolutions), hydrological simulations are conducted through a distributed hydrological model called MaScOD (macro-scale OHyMoS assisted distributed) hydrological model. The model's performance is measured using 12 different indexes. Based on these indexes, a relative normalized score is calculated to evaluate the overall performance of the result from each data set. Three sub-basins of the Huaihe River basin in China, taking the cases at Bengbu (132 350 km2), Wangjiaba (29 844 km2) and Suiping (2093 km2), are used for numerical experiments. This study shows the competence of coarse-resolution meteorological data, the GAME reanalysis 1·25° data, to apply in hydrological simulations of large catchments. However, that data failed to simulate the hydrograph in smaller catchments. The results are significantly improved by including spatial variability at finer resolution in that data. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Oblique rainfall and contemporary geomorphological dynamics (Serra da Estrela, Portugal)HYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES, Issue 4 2004Gonçalo Vieira Abstract Coarse sand accumulations are polygenic microforms that attain a width of several metres, a height up to 30,40 cm, a gradient of 8,12° and a slope length up to 1 m. These accumulations are frequent in the gruss-covered plateaus of the granite mountains of central and northern Portugal, but they have been described in other mountain areas (i.e. Cairngorms, Scotland). Though these microforms are frequent features, studies on them are rare. They have been attributed to complex genesis controlled primarily by aeolian processes, but also by wash and cryogenic dynamics. Results presented here add new insights into the origin of the sand accumulations and emphasize the importance of rainsplash-saltation induced by oblique rainfall as the main transportation mechanism. The study was conducted in the Serra da Estrela, a granite mountain in central Portugal (1993 m above sea level) and is supported by a detailed mapping of the orientation of the accumulations, monitoring of the surface material and analysis of meteorological data. The results are particularly significant since they indicate that the coarse sand accumulations are very active features that show a clear climatic and ecological signal. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] A distributed approach for estimating catchment evapotranspiration: comparison of the combination equation and the complementary relationship approachesHYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES, Issue 8 2003Z. X. Xu Abstract In large river basins, there may be considerable variations in both climate and land use across the region. The evapotranspiration that occurs over a basin may be drastically different from one part of the region to another. The potential influence of these variations in evapotranspiration estimated for the catchment is weakened by using a spatially based distributed hydrological model in such a study. Areal evapotranspiration is estimated by means of approaches requiring only meteorological data: the combination equation (CE) model and the complementary relationship approach,the complementary relationship areal evapotranspiration (CRAE) and advection,aridity (AA) models. The capability of three models to estimate the evapotranspiration of catchments with complex topography and land-use classification is investigated, and the models are applied to two catchments with different characteristics and scales for several representative years. Daily, monthly, and annual evapotranspiration are estimated with different accuracy. The result shows that the modified CE model may underestimate the evapotranspiration in some cases. The CRAE and AA models seem to be two kinds of effective alternatives for estimating catchment evapotranspiration. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Application of the distributed hydrology soil vegetation model to Redfish Creek, British Columbia: model evaluation using internal catchment dataHYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES, Issue 2 2003Andrew Whitaker Abstract The Distributed Hydrology Soil Vegetation Model is applied to the Redfish Creek catchment to investigate the suitability of this model for simulation of forested mountainous watersheds in interior British Columbia and other high-latitude and high-altitude areas. On-site meteorological data and GIS information on terrain parameters, forest cover, and soil cover are used to specify model input. A stepwise approach is taken in calibrating the model, in which snow accumulation and melt parameters for clear-cut and forested areas were optimized independent of runoff production parameters. The calibrated model performs well in reproducing year-to-year variability in the outflow hydrograph, including peak flows. In the subsequent model performance evaluation for simulation of catchment processes, emphasis is put on elevation and temporal differences in snow accumulation and melt, spatial patterns of snowline retreat, water table depth, and internal runoff generation, using internal catchment data as much as possible. Although the overall model performance based on these criteria is found to be good, some issues regarding the simulation of internal catchment processes remain. These issues are related to the distribution of meteorological variables over the catchment and a lack of information on spatial variability in soil properties and soil saturation patterns. Present data limitations for testing internal model accuracy serve to guide future data collection at Redfish Creek. This study also illustrates the challenges that need to be overcome before distributed physically based hydrologic models can be used for simulating catchments with fewer data resources. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Evidence for seasonal subglacial outburst events at a polythermal glacier, Finsterwalderbreen, SvalbardHYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES, Issue 12 2001J. L. Wadham Bulk runoff and meteorological data suggest the occurrence of two meltwater outburst events at Finsterwalderbreen, Svalbard, during the 1995 and 1999 melt seasons. Increased bulk meltwater concentrations of Cl, during the outbursts indicate the release of snowmelt from storage. Bulk meltwater hydrochemical data and suspended sediment concentrations suggest that this snowmelt accessed a chemical weathering environment characterized by high rock:water ratios and long rock,water contact times. This is consistent with a subglacial origin. The trigger for both the 1995 and 1999 outbursts is believed to be high rates of surface meltwater production and the oversupply of meltwater to areas of the glacier bed that were at the pressure melting point, but which were unconnected to the main subglacial drainage network. An increase in subglacial water pressure to above the overburden pressure lead to the forcing of a hydrological connection between the expanding subglacial reservoir and the ice-marginal channelized system. The purging of ice blocks from the glacier during the outbursts may indicate the breach of an ice dam during connection. Although subglacial meltwater issued continually from the glacier terminus via a subglacial upwelling during both melt seasons, field observations showed outburst meltwaters were released solely via an ice-marginal channel. It is possible that outburst events are a seasonal phenomenon at this glacier and reflect the periodic drainage of meltwaters from the same subglacial reservoir from year to year. However, the location of this reservoir is uncertain. A 100 m high bedrock ridge traverses the glacier 6·5 km from its terminus. The overdeepened area up-glacier from this is the most probable site for subglacial meltwater accumulation. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] |