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Market Movements (market + movement)
Selected AbstractsInternational Transmission of Swap Market Movements: The U.S., Korea, and China,ASIA-PACIFIC JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL STUDIES, Issue 5 2009Hahn S. Lee Abstract This paper investigates whether and to what extent the Korean and Chinese swap markets are linked to the US counterpart. We apply bivariate EGARCH models to daily closing mid-rate data on swap maturities of 3, 5, and 10 years for the US, Korea, and China. We find that the US swap market has a major influence on the Korean and the Chinese swap markets. Strong evidence is found for the swap spread as well as volatility spillover effects from the US swap market to the Korean counterpart. On the other hand, the linkage between the US and Chinese swap markets turns out to be weak. This result indicates that the Chinese swap market, which opened on April 2006, is yet premature. [source] INDUSTRIAL DYNAMICS AND THE NEOCLASSICAL GROWTH MODELECONOMIC INQUIRY, Issue 4 2009WILLIAM F. BLANKENAU This paper studies industry-level dynamics and demonstrates the ability of a modified neoclassical growth model to capture a range of empirical facts. The paper begins by using U.S. data to document skilled and unskilled labor trends within industry sector classifications as well as industry sector output trends. Using Current Population Survey data from 1968 to 2004, it is shown that the ratio of skilled workers to unskilled workers employed has risen in all industries. The absolute increase in this ratio was larger in the more skilled industries, while the growth rate was larger in the less skilled industries. Furthermore, using national income account data, it is shown that relatively high-skilled industries have accounted for an increasing share of output over time. A version of the neoclassical growth model is then constructed to match these observations. One important feature of this model is a structure that introduces new goods into the economy at each moment of time. The model is able to capture a rich set of labor market movements between sectors and between skill levels as well as changes in the relative output shares across industries, yet preserves many nice features of the neoclassical growth model.(JEL E13, J20, 030) [source] DYNAMIC ORDER SUBMISSION AND HERDING BEHAVIOR IN ELECTRONIC TRADINGTHE JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL RESEARCH, Issue 1 2010Wing Lon Ng Abstract I analyze the dynamic trading behavior of market participants by developing a bivariate modeling framework for describing the arrival process of buy and sell orders in a limit order book. The model contains an extended autoregressive conditional duration model with a flexible generalized Beta distribution to explain the duration process, combined with a dynamic logit model to capture the traders' order submission strategy. I find that the state of the order book as well as the speed of the order arrival have a significant influence on the order placement, inducing temporal asymmetric market movements. [source] SENSITIVITY OF INVESTOR REACTION TO MARKET DIRECTION AND VOLATILITY: DIVIDEND CHANGE ANNOUNCEMENTSTHE JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL RESEARCH, Issue 1 2005Diane Scott Docking Abstract We examine whether investor reactions are sensitive to the recent direction or volatility of underlying market movements. We find that dividend change announcements elicit a greater change in stock price when the nature of the news (good or bad) goes against the grain of the recent market direction during volatile times. For example, announcements to lower dividends elicit a significantly greater decrease in stock price when market returns have been up and more volatile. Similarly, announcements to raise dividends tends to elicit a greater increase in stock price when market returns have been normal or down and more volatile, although this latter tendency lacks statistical significance. We suggest an explanation for these results that combines the implications of a dynamic rational expectations equilibrium model with behavioral considerations that link the responsiveness of investors to market direction and volatility. [source] Investor Sentiment and Return Predictability in Agricultural Futures MarketsTHE JOURNAL OF FUTURES MARKETS, Issue 10 2001Changyun Wang This study examines the usefulness of trader-position-based sentiment index for forecasting future prices in six major agricultural futures markets. It has been found that large speculator sentiment forecasts price continuations. In contrast, large hedger sentiment predicts price reversals. Small trader sentiment hardly forecasts future market movements. An investigation was performed into various sentiment-based timing strategies, and it was found that the combination of extreme large trader sentiments provides the strongest timing signal. These results are generally consistent with the hedging-pressure theory, suggesting that hedgers pay risk premiums to transfer nonmarketable risks in futures markets. Moreover, it does not appear that large speculators in the futures markets possess any superior forecasting ability. © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 21:929,952, 2001 [source] PURE INDICATOR OF RISK APPETITEAUSTRALIAN ECONOMIC PAPERS, Issue 1 2009PHILIPPE DUPUY We study the concept of risk appetite, that is investors' willingness to buy risky assets. Market players and researchers have tried to find a proxy for it, notably by means of spreads in high yielding markets like credit or emerging markets. However, these measures might be biased because they hinge on series of prices that include market movements due to the re-pricing of both systemic and specific risks. Being macro factors that affect all the assets in the universe, risk appetite and risk aversion can only produce systemic risk re-pricing. We apply a methodology to correct this bias. We analysed emerging market debt capital markets and compute a systemic risk only indicator that enables one to ascertain more precisely periods in which risk appetite might have driven market returns. We find that from the end of 1997 to 2004 only about 30 per cent of the return of the EMBI+ might have been due to changes in risk appetite. [source] | ||||||||||||||||||||||