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Marine Survival (marine + survival)
Selected AbstractsTracking environmental processes in the coastal zone for understanding and predicting Oregon coho (Oncorhynchus kisutch) marine survivalFISHERIES OCEANOGRAPHY, Issue 6 2003E.A. Logerwell Abstract To better understand and predict Oregon coho (Oncorhynchus kisutch) marine survival, we developed a conceptual model of processes occurring during four sequential periods: (1) winter climate prior to smolt migration from freshwater to ocean, (2) spring transition from winter downwelling to spring/summer upwelling, (3) the spring upwelling season and (4) winter ocean conditions near the end of the maturing coho's first year at sea. We then parameterized a General Additive Model (GAM) with Oregon Production Index (OPI) coho smolt-to-adult survival estimates from 1970 to 2001 and environmental data representing processes occurring during each period (presmolt winter SST, spring transition date, spring sea level, and post-smolt winter SST). The model explained a high and significant proportion of the variation in coho survival (R2 = 0.75). The model forecast of 2002 adult survival rate ranged from 4 to 8%. Our forecast was higher than predictions based on the return of precocious males (,jacks'), and it won't be known until fall 2002 which forecast is most accurate. An advantage to our environmentally based predictive model is the potential for linkages with predictive climate models, which might allow for forecasts more than 1 year in advance. Relationships between the environmental variables in the GAM and others (such as the North Pacific Index and water column stratification) provided insight into the processes driving production in the Pacific Northwest coastal ocean. Thus, coho may be a bellwether for the coastal environment and models such as ours may apply to populations of other species in this habitat. [source] Different ocean and climate factors control the marine survival of wild and hatchery Atlantic salmon Salmo salar in the north-east Atlantic OceanJOURNAL OF FISH BIOLOGY, Issue 4 2008A. Peyronnet The influence of climate and ocean conditions on the marine survival of 1SW Irish Atlantic salmon Salmo salar was explored. Generalized additive models (GAM) explained c. 85% of the observed variations in survival and provided an insight into the mechanisms involved. A positive phase of the North Atlantic oscillation (NAO) and increasing sea surface temperatures (SST) were linked to a decrease in S. salar survival. The NAO in the winter before the smolts migration contributed to c. 70% of the deviance in marine survival of wild fish. The abundance of the copepod Calanus finmarchicus in the north-east Atlantic Ocean explained a further 25% of these variations in wild S. salar survival. By contrast, hatchery populations seem to be controlled by additional processes involving coastal SST. The marine recruitment of hatchery S. salar was largely explained (70% of the deviance) by SST close to the Irish coast in the spring before the year of the smolts migration. This study constitutes the first description of the processes controlling marine recruitment for these populations. [source] | ||||||||||