Home About us Contact
|
Home About us Contact | ||
|
|
||
Lower Troposphere (lower + troposphere)
Selected AbstractsPossible Environmental Factors Underlying Amphibian Decline in Eastern Puerto Rico: Analysis of U.S. Government Data ArchivesCONSERVATION BIOLOGY, Issue 4 2001Robert F. Stallard I examined changes in environmental conditions by examining time-series data sets that extend back at least into the 1980s, a period when frog populations were declining. The data include forest cover; annual mean, minimum, and maximum daily temperature; annual rainfall; rain and stream chemistry; and atmospheric-dust transport. I examined satellite imagery and air-chemistry samples from a single National Aeronautics and Space Administration aircraft flight across the Caribbean showing patches of pollutants, described as thin sheets or lenses, in the lower troposphere. The main source of these pollutants appeared to be fires from land clearing and deforestation, primarily in Africa. Some pollutant concentrations were high and, in the case of ozone, approached health limits set for urban air. Urban pollution impinging on Puerto Rico, dust generation from Africa ( potential soil pathogens), and tropical forest burning ( gaseous pollutants) have all increased during the last three decades, overlapping the timing of amphibian declines in eastern Puerto Rico. None of the data sets pointed directly to changes so extreme that they might be considered a direct lethal cause of amphibian declines in Puerto Rico. More experimental research is required to link any of these environmental factors to this problem. Resumen: Las pasadas tres décadas han visto grandes disminuciones poblacionales de especies de anfibios en altas elevaciones de Puerto Rico oriental, una región única en los trópicos húmedos debido al grado de monitoreo ambiental que se ha llevado a cabo mediante los esfuerzos de las agencias de gobierno de los Estados Unidos. Examiné los cambios en condiciones ambientales mediante el análisis de datos de series de tiempo que se extienden hasta los 1980s, un periodo en el que las poblaciones de ranas estaban declinando. Los datos incluyen cobertura forestal; temperatura diaria media, mínima y máxima anual; precipitación anual; química de la lluvia y arroyos; y el transporte atmosférico de polvo. Examiné imágenes de satélite y muestras de química del aire obtenidos de un solo vuelo de una nave de la NASA a lo largo del Caribe que mostraba parches de contaminantes descritas como capas delgadas de lentes en la inferior troposfera. La mayor fuente de contaminantes parece ser los incendios de tierras clareadas y la deforestación, principalmente en África. Algunas concentraciones de contaminantes fueron altas y en el caso del ozono, se aproximó a los límites de salud establecidos para aire urbano. La contaminación urbana afectando a Puerto Rico, la generación de polvo en África ( patógenos del suelo potenciales) y la quema de bosque tropical (contaminantes gaseosos) han incrementado durante las últimas tres décadas, superponiéndose con el periodo en que oturrieron las disminuciones de anfibios en Puerto Rico oriental. Ninguno de estos conjuntos de datos señaló directamente hacia cambios tan extremos que debieran ser considerados como una causa letal directa de las disminuciones en Puerto Rico. Se requiere de más investigación experimental que vincule a estos factores ambientales con este problema. [source] Consistency of modelled and observed temperature trends in the tropical troposphereINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 13 2008B. D. Santer Abstract A recent report of the U.S. Climate Change Science Program (CCSP) identified a ,potentially serious inconsistency' between modelled and observed trends in tropical lapse rates (Karl et al., 2006). Early versions of satellite and radiosonde datasets suggested that the tropical surface had warmed more than the troposphere, while climate models consistently showed tropospheric amplification of surface warming in response to human-caused increases in well-mixed greenhouse gases (GHGs). We revisit such comparisons here using new observational estimates of surface and tropospheric temperature changes. We find that there is no longer a serious discrepancy between modelled and observed trends in tropical lapse rates. This emerging reconciliation of models and observations has two primary explanations. First, because of changes in the treatment of buoy and satellite information, new surface temperature datasets yield slightly reduced tropical warming relative to earlier versions. Second, recently developed satellite and radiosonde datasets show larger warming of the tropical lower troposphere. In the case of a new satellite dataset from Remote Sensing Systems (RSS), enhanced warming is due to an improved procedure of adjusting for inter-satellite biases. When the RSS-derived tropospheric temperature trend is compared with four different observed estimates of surface temperature change, the surface warming is invariably amplified in the tropical troposphere, consistent with model results. Even if we use data from a second satellite dataset with smaller tropospheric warming than in RSS, observed tropical lapse rate trends are not significantly different from those in all other model simulations. Our results contradict a recent claim that all simulated temperature trends in the tropical troposphere and in tropical lapse rates are inconsistent with observations. This claim was based on use of older radiosonde and satellite datasets, and on two methodological errors: the neglect of observational trend uncertainties introduced by interannual climate variability, and application of an inappropriate statistical ,consistency test'. Copyright © 2008 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Relationship between atmospheric circulation types over Greece and western,central Europe during the period 1958,97INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 14 2004Christina Anagnostopoulou Abstract An attempt is made to examine the relationship of the surface circulation prevailing over Europe with the corresponding surface and 500 hPa over Greece by correlating Lamb weather types for western Europe and Hess and Brezowsky (HB) types for central Europe with those derived from a new classification scheme for the Greek area. It was found that it was difficult to formulate rules controlling the frequency distributions of the circulation types over the Greek area in relation to the circulation over western and central Europe. However, statistically significant correlation was found between certain types with high frequency, which is greater between Lamb and HB types with the surface circulation types over the Greek area, compared with 500 hPa circulation types. For the most correlated pairs, seasonal composites of mean sea-level pressure and 500 hPa geopotential height anomalies demonstrated that the formation of the circulation types over the Greek area depends on the extent, intensity of the anticyclonic or cyclonic centres, air mass characteristics, and stability profile in the lower troposphere over the regions examined, but especially over the central and eastern Mediterranean. Copyright © 2004 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Climate dynamics of atmosphere and ocean in the equatorial zone: a synthesisINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 13 2004Stefan Hastenrath Abstract A synopsis is offered of circulation mechanisms in the oceanic regions of the equatorial zone. Over the eastern Atlantic and Pacific, and especially in boreal summer, cross-equatorial flow from the Southern Hemisphere is strong and induces a tongue of cold surface waters, centred to the south of the equator. Upon crossing the equator in these sectors, owing to the Coriolis effect and a kinetic energy imbalance, the airstream speeds up and divergence develops, producing the Intertropical Divergence Zone (ITDZ). Once these processes result in the wind recurving from southeasterly to southwesterly, the flow slows down and becomes convergent, manifest in the Intertropical Convergence Zone, with a maximum to the south of the wind confluence. By contrast, over the western Atlantic and central Pacific and especially in boreal winter, winds in the equatorial band are predominantly from the east, upper-ocean Ekman transport is directed away from the equator, and the upwelling and cold tongue are centred on the equator. Cross-equatorial flow is insufficient to produce recurvature, the ITDZ is narrower and weaker, the divergence maximum is at the equator rather than in low northern latitudes, and the convergence maximum straddles the wind confluence. Over the Indian Ocean, the wind field is dominated by the alternation between the predominantly meridional flow of the winter and summer monsoons. Equatorial westerlies are limited to the short monsoon transition seasons. Essential for their origin is an eastward pressure gradient along the equator and weak southern trade winds, allowing recurvature somewhat south of the equator. Because the zonal pressure gradient is strongest in boreal summer and the southern trade winds are weakest in austral summer, the equatorial westerlies peak in spring and autumn. The boreal autumn equatorial westerlies are the surface manifestation of a powerful zonal,vertical circulation cell along the Indian Ocean equator. Equatorial zonal,vertical circulation cells require well-developed zonal flow in the lower troposphere along the equator and, therefore, appear confined to the oceanic longitudes and certain seasons. Thus, they are found over the Atlantic only in boreal winter and over the Indian Ocean only in boreal autumn, whereas over the Pacific they prevail all year round. Copyright © 2004 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Characteristics of wintertime daily and extreme minimum temperature over South KoreaINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 2 2004Sang-Boom Ryoo Abstract In South Korea, consecutive positive temperature anomalies have been observed since the mid-1980s. The objective of this study is to assess the recent trends in, and variability of, daily minimum temperature over South Korea with particular emphasis on its extremes. Temporal characteristics of wintertime daily and extreme minimum temperature-related variables were analysed on a seasonal basis for the period of 1958,59 to 2000,01. The results show continually fewer days with extreme low minimum temperature since the mid-1980s. However, no significant change in the 1 day temperature difference was observed during the same period, indicating little change in the frequency of cold surges. Also, during the period analysed, there is a significant positive trend in the seasonal mean temperature, a negative trend in the frequency of the extreme cold days, and no significant trend in the seasonal occurrence of cold surges. Northern Hemisphere geopotential height fields before and after 1986,87, i.e. the start of successive positive anomalies in the winter surface air temperature over South Korea, showed a substantial decrease throughout the troposphere over the polar region. In the upper levels the overall pattern becomes more wavelike, with eddies embedded between meanders. The differences in the lower troposphere are remarkably similar to the Arctic oscillation, although the centre in the North Atlantic is shifted toward western Europe and differences in the North Pacific are relatively weaker than those in the polar region. The recent positive phase of the Arctic oscillation may contribute to these abrupt changes in wintertime daily minimum temperatures over South Korea. El Niño,southern oscillation phenomena appear to contribute to the interannual variation of cold surge days in South Korea. Years with no cold surges were experienced during La Niña episodes. On the other hand, all years with more than four cases of cold surges were during El Niño episodes. Copyright © 2004 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Patterns of variability in the satellite microwave sounding unit temperature record: comparison with surface and reanalysis dataINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 15 2003Giovanni Sturaro Abstract Principal component analysis is applied to global temperature records to study the differences in the patterns of variability between surface and troposphere. Surface, Microwave Sounding Unit (lower troposphere, channel 2 and channel 4) and National Centers for Environmental Prediction,National Center for Atmospheric Research reanalysis thickness data are studied in the common period 1979,2000. The patterns of variability are classified into geographical regions and compared. The series of their time coefficients are correlated to assess the existence of common and significant climate-change signals in the form of climatic trends. The objective is to identify the physical processes determining the records' variations and the differences between the surface and the satellite records that might be related to the discrepancy in their globally averaged trend. Major differences were found in the Tropics, where the surface warming is not paralleled in any other record. The surface record has two major patterns over the Tropics, one of which is connected to El Niño,southern oscillation. Satellite variability is instead described by only one pattern, most probably deriving from the merging of the two distinct patterns found for the near-surface records. In the eastern Antarctic a higher troposphere and lower stratosphere negative trend is found connected to ozone depletion. This signal prevails in the satellite record, despite evidence that it is confined only above 500 hPa. A pattern over Siberia is linked to the ,Euro-Siberian oscillation', i.e. the change in the pressure field determining the tracks of the Atlantic storms over the area Copyright © 2003 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Spatial and temporal 850 hPa air temperature and sea-surface temperature covariances in the Mediterranean region and their connection to atmospheric circulationINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 6 2002C. J. Lolis Abstract The spatial and temporal covariability between the lower troposphere and sea surface temperatures (SSTs) are studied in the Mediterranean basin for the period 1958,98. Monthly air temperature anomalies for the 850 hPa pressure level (T-850hPa) at 2.5° × 2.5° grid points and SST anomalies in 5° × 5° grid boxes are utilized. As a first step, factor analysis is applied on both sets of data in order to reduce their dimensionality. Then, canonical correlation analysis is applied and this leads to one statistically significant pair of canonical variates for winter and to two pairs for summer. In winter, a teleconnection (see-saw) between western Europe and the eastern Mediterranean at the 850 hPa level is revealed, and a corresponding weaker one between the areas of central-west and eastern Mediterranean for SST. The correlation between T-850hPa and SST appears higher over the eastern Mediterranean. In summer, the first pair of canonical variates reveals a covariability between T-850hPa and SST in the western Mediterranean, and the second one shows a covariability in the eastern Mediterranean, without the existence of any strong spatial teleconnection. The analysis is repeated, using time lags of 1 month, or longer, in order to detect any possible non-synchronous relation. Statistically significant results are found only when T-850hPa leads SST with a time lag of 1 month. In particular, the results are statistically significant for winter only, and the findings are similar to those of the first analysis. Therefore, the existence of a 1 month time scale SST persistence is detected for winter months. Copyright © 2002 Royal Meteorological Society. [source] Winter temperature covariances in the middle and the lower troposphere over Europe and the North Atlantic OceanINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 6 2001C.J. Lolis Abstract In this work, the variability and covariability of winter temperatures in the middle and the lower troposphere are studied over Europe and the North Atlantic Ocean. Temperature variations of the middle and the lower troposphere are examined in terms of (a) 500,700 hPa and 700,l000 hPa thickness and (b) air temperature on the isobaric surfaces of 500 hPa and 700 hPa. At first, factor analysis (FA) defined areas with characteristic temperature variability in each layer (and on each isobaric surface) and then, canonical correlation analysis (CCA) revealed areas in both layers (and on both isobaric surfaces) presenting common temperature variations. A temperature see-saw between N Europe and W Asia was revealed for both layers and isobaric surfaces implying that temperature changes in these areas are vertically spread. Another well-defined area, appearing in both analyses, is the area of the Labrador Sea and S Greenland. This region is also teleconnected to other regions, though not very clearly in every height. These temperature patterns are mainly attributed to the Eurasian (EU) and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) circulation patterns, which are responsible for large air mass exchanges in the area, being vertically extended in the middle and the lower troposphere. Copyright © 2001 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Two major modes of variability of the East Asian summer monsoonTHE QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, Issue 649 2010Xuguang Sun Abstract We study the two primary modes of variability associated with the East Asian summer monsoon, as identified using a multivariate Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis. The second mode is shown to be related to changes in intensity of the South Asian High at 100 hPa while, consistent with previous work, the first mode is associated with an index for the shear vorticity of the 850 hPa zonal wind over the monsoon region. We show that a linear, dry dynamical model, when driven by the diabatic heating anomalies associated with each mode, can reproduce many of the anomalous circulation features, especially for the first EOF and in the lower troposphere. The model results indicate the importance of diabatic heating anomalies over the tropical Indian Ocean in the dynamics of both modes, especially EOF-1, and illustrate the role of local diabatic feedback for intensifying the circulation anomalies; in particular, the subtropical anticyclonic anomalies that are found in the positive phase of both modes, and the circulation anomaly associated with the Meiyu/Changma/Baiu rain band. A running cross-correlation analysis shows that the second EOF is consistently linked to both the decaying and the onset phase of El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events throughout the study period (1958,2001). We attribute the connection in the onset phase to zonal wind anomalies along the Equator in the west Pacific associated with this mode. On the other hand, a link between the first EOF and ENSO is found only in the post-1979 period. We note also the role of sea-surface temperature anomalies in the tropical Indian Ocean in the dynamics of EOF-1, and a link to the variability of the Indian summer monsoon in the case of EOF-2. Copyright © 2010 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Characterization of the impact of geostationary clear-sky radiances on wind analyses in a 4D-Var contextTHE QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, Issue 644 2009C. Peubey The impact of geostationary clear-sky radiances (CSRs) on 4D-Var wind analyses has been investigated by running a set of observing system experiments. Analysis scores have been calculated to measure the ability of individual satellite datasets to improve the wind analysis, starting from a no-satellite baseline. In this context, the assimilation of CSRs from the two water-vapour channels on Meteosat-9 has been found to improve the wind analysis throughout the troposphere, with the strongest signal at 300 and 500 hPa. Indeed, for the Northern Hemisphere and the Tropics, the CSR impact at these levels exceeds that of the Meteosat-9 atmospheric motion vectors (AMVs), the sampling of the latter in the assimilation being rather limited. Conversely, the impact of AMVs exceeds that of CSRs in the lower troposphere, where the latter provide very little direct information. This demonstrates the complementarity of the two datasets in the operational 4D-Var wind analysis. The mechanisms through which the assimilation of CSRs can impact wind analyses have been isolated. The dominant effect is that of humidity-tracer advection, by which the wind field is adjusted in order to fit observed humidity features via the minimization of the 4D-Var cost function. Other mechanisms, such as balance constraints and the cycling of the forecast model that links the humidity and wind variables, have been found to play a minor role. The benefit of having frequent CSR images within the assimilation window has also been demonstrated. Copyright © 2009 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Life cycle of the QBO-modulated 11-year solar cycle signals in the Northern Hemispheric winterTHE QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, Issue 641 2009Hua Lu Abstract This paper provides some insights on the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) modulated 11-year solar cycle (11-yr SC) signals in Northern Hemisphere (NH) winter temperature and zonal wind. Daily ERA-40 Reanalysis and ECMWF Operational data for the period of 1958,2006 were used to examine the seasonal evolution of the QBO-solar cycle relationship at various pressure levels up to the stratopause. The results show that the solar signals in the NH winter extratropics are indeed QBO-phase dependent, moving poleward and downward as winter progresses with a faster descent rate under westerly QBO than under easterly QBO. In the stratosphere, the signals are highly significant in late January to early March and have a life span of ,30,50 days. Under westerly QBO, the stratospheric solar signals clearly lead and connect to those in the troposphere in late March and early April where they have a life span of ,10 days. As the structure changes considerably from the upper stratosphere to the lower troposphere, the exact month when the maximum solar signals occur depends largely on the altitude chosen. For the low-latitude stratosphere, our analysis supports a vertical double-peaked structure of positive signature of the 11-yr SC in temperature, and demonstrates that this structure is further modulated by the QBO. These solar signals have a longer life span (,3,4 months) in comparison to those in the extratropics. The solar signals in the lower stratosphere are stronger in early winter but weaker in late winter, while the reverse holds in the upper stratosphere. Copyright © 2009 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Use of GPS/MET refraction angles in three-dimensional variational analysisTHE QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, Issue 570 2000X. Zou Abstract The Spectral Statistical Interpolation (SSI) analysis system of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) is modified to include GPS/MET data (meteorological data from the Global Positioning Satellite system) using a GPS ray-tracing operator. The new system is tested by incorporating 30 actual GPS/MET observations of refraction angles obtained during the GPS/MET experiment. This is the first time that real radio occupation refraction angles and refractivities have been incorporated into a three-dimensional variational analysis system. We examine the magnitude and the vertical distribution of the analysis adjustments that result from using refraction-angle observations in the NCEP SSI analysis system. The average magnitudes of the adjustments in the temperature and specific-humidity fields are approximately 0.4 degC and 0.6 g kg,1, respectively. Individual changes can be as large as 4 degC and 4g kg,1, respectively. The greatest adjustments to the temperature occur in the middle and upper troposphere and stratosphere, while the major changes in specific humidity occur in the lower troposphere. An assessment of the impact of the GPS/MET observations on the analysis, verified by conventional (mostly radiosonde) data, is difficult because of the small number of GPS/MET data used. Nevertheless, it is found that, even over data-rich regions (regions containing many radiosonde observations), and even when the verification data were the radiosonde data themselves, the use of GPS/MET refraction angles makes a slight improvement, overall, to the analysed temperatures and winds. The impact on the water-vapour analyses, again as measured against radiosonde data, is mixed, with improvements shown in some layers and degradation in others. Compared with the background field, the use of refraction angles from one occultation results in an analysis whose simulated refraction angles are much closer to the withheld GPS/MET refraction angles at the two nearby occultation locations, and whose temperature and moisture profiles are also closer to those resulting from the direct assimilation of the two withheld occultations. Although the forward model used in this study, with the ray tracing being carried out in a two-dimensional plane, is much cheaper than a more accurate three-dimensional forward model, it is still quite expensive. In order to further reduce the computational requirement for the assimilation of GPS/MET data, we test a scheme in which the GPS/MET-retrieved refractivities (instead of refraction angles) are used above a selected height for each occupation. These heights are determined objectively based on the departures from spherical symmetry of the model field. It is shown that the mixed use of GPS/MET refraction angles and refractivities produces an analysis result similar to the one using refraction angles alone, while the computational cost is reduced by more than 30%. [source] | ||||||||||