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International Transmission (international + transmission)
Selected AbstractsInternational Transmission of Swap Market Movements: The U.S., Korea, and China,ASIA-PACIFIC JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL STUDIES, Issue 5 2009Hahn S. Lee Abstract This paper investigates whether and to what extent the Korean and Chinese swap markets are linked to the US counterpart. We apply bivariate EGARCH models to daily closing mid-rate data on swap maturities of 3, 5, and 10 years for the US, Korea, and China. We find that the US swap market has a major influence on the Korean and the Chinese swap markets. Strong evidence is found for the swap spread as well as volatility spillover effects from the US swap market to the Korean counterpart. On the other hand, the linkage between the US and Chinese swap markets turns out to be weak. This result indicates that the Chinese swap market, which opened on April 2006, is yet premature. [source] Twin deficits: squaring theory, evidence and common senseECONOMIC POLICY, Issue 48 2006Giancarlo Corsetti SUMMARY Budget deficits and current accounts OPENNESS AND FISCAL PERSISTENCE Simple accounting suggests that shocks to the government budget move the current account in the same direction, and this ,twin deficits' intuition leads many observers to call for fiscal consolidation in the US as a necessary measure to reduce the large external imbalance of this country. The response of other macroeconomic variables to budget developments, however, has important implications for ,twin deficits' and for this policy prescription. Focusing on the international transmission of fiscal policy shocks via terms of trade changes, we show that the likelihood and magnitude of twin deficits increases with the degree of openness of an economy, and decreases with the persistence of fiscal shocks. We take this insight to the data and investigate the transmission of fiscal shocks in a vector autoregression (VAR) model estimated for Australia, Canada, the UK and the US. We find that in less open countries the external impact of shocks to either government spending or budget deficits is limited, while private investment responds in line with our theoretical prediction. These results suggest that a fiscal retrenchment in the US may have a limited impact on its current external deficit. , Giancarlo Corsetti and Gernot J. Müller [source] The transmission mechanism in a changing worldJOURNAL OF APPLIED ECONOMETRICS, Issue 1 2007Michael Artis The paper aims to identify those factors that cause changes in the speed and strength of the international transmission of output shocks from the USA to specified European economies. These factors are identified through the use of generalized impulse response functions conditioned on histories defined by an abrupt transition VAR. The chosen transition variables comprise changes in exchange rates, financial prices, international capital flows, trade links and monetary policy instruments. Besides the identification of asymmetric responses, the proposed model is useful in analyzing the strong effect of the recent US recession on the European economies and changes in business cycle synchronization over time. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] A Primer on Financial ContagionJOURNAL OF ECONOMIC SURVEYS, Issue 4 2003Marcello Pericoli Abstract., This paper presents a theoretical framework to highlight possible channels for the international transmission of financial shocks. We first review the different definitions and measures of contagion adopted by the literature. We then use a simple multi-country asset pricing model to classify the main elements of the current debate on contagion and provide a stylized account of how a crisis in one country can spread to the world economy. In particular, the model shows how crises can be transmitted across countries, without assuming ad hoc portfolio management rules or market imperfections. Finally, tracking our classification, we survey the results of the empirical literature on contagion. [source] | ||||||||||