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Independent Risk (independent + risk)
Terms modified by Independent Risk Selected AbstractsPOSTPRANDIAL HYPERGLYCEMIA IS AN INDEPENDENT RISK FOR RETINOPATHY IN ELDERLY PATIENTS WITH TYPE 2 DIABETES MELLITUS, ESPECIALLY IN THOSE WITH NEAR-NORMAL GLYCOSYLATED HEMOGLOBINJOURNAL OF AMERICAN GERIATRICS SOCIETY, Issue 7 2010Toru Aizawa PhD No abstract is available for this article. [source] Systemic inflammatory response syndrome after percutaneous nephrolithotomy: An assessment of risk factorsINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF UROLOGY, Issue 12 2008Liang Chen Objectives: To analyze the risk factors for systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) after percutaneous nephrolithotomy (PCNL) and to quantitatively predict the probability of SIRS after PCNL. Methods: Medical records on 209 patients who underwent PCNL were retrospectively analyzed. The ,2 test, the t -test and a logistic regression model were used to identify key risk factors of SIRS after PCNL. A predictive equation was then formulated to assess the risk of SIRS according to the results from the logistic model. Subsequently, the accuracy of the equation by calculating sensitivity, specificity, overall correct percentage, and positive and negative predictive values was tested. Results: The incidence of SIRS after PCNL was 23.4%. The key risk factors for SIRS following PCNL were: the number of tracts, receipt of a blood transfusion, stone size, and presence of pyelocaliectasis. Other factors added no independent risk to the development of SIRS. The calculated values for sensitivity, specificity, overall percentage correct, positive predictive value and negative predictive value were 44.9%, 95.0%, 83.3%, 73.3%, and 84.9%, respectively. Conclusions: Number of tracts, receipt of a blood transfusion, stone size and presence of pyelocaliectasis are identified as the key risk factors for SIRS after PCNL. The predictive equation allows for an individualized and quantitative assessment of the probability of SIRS after PCNL. [source] Modelling sequence of prior pregnancies on subsequent risk of very preterm birthPAEDIATRIC & PERINATAL EPIDEMIOLOGY, Issue 5 2010Lyndsey F. Watson Summary Watson LF, Rayner J-A, King J, Jolley D, Forster D, Lumley J. Modelling sequence of prior pregnancies on subsequent risk of very preterm birth. Paediatric and Perinatal Epidemiology 2010. The prevalence and intractability of preterm birth is known as is its association with reproductive history, but the relationship with sequence of pregnancies is not well studied. The data were from a population-based case,control study, conducted in Victoria, Australia. The study recruited women giving birth between April 2002 and April 2004 from 73 maternity hospitals. Detailed reproductive histories were collected by interview a few weeks after the birth. The cases were 603 women having a singleton birth between 20 and <32 weeks gestation (very preterm births including terminations of pregnancy). The controls were 796 randomly selected women from the population having a singleton birth of at least 37 completed weeks gestation. Unconditional logistic regression was used to assess the association of very preterm birth with sequence of pregnancies defined by their outcome (prior abortion , spontaneous or induced, and prior preterm or term birth) with adjustment for sociodemographic factors. The outcomes of each prior pregnancy, stratified by pregnancy order, and starting with the pregnancy immediately before the index or control pregnancy, were categorised as one of abortion, preterm birth or term birth. We showed that each of these prior pregnancy events was an independent risk of very preterm birth. This finding does not support the hypothesis of a neutralising effect of a term birth after an abortion on the subsequent risk for very preterm birth and is further evidence for the cumulative or increasing risk associated with increasing numbers of prior abortions or preterm births. [source] Leukocytosis is a risk factor for recurrent arterial thrombosis in young patients with polycythemia vera and essential thrombocythemia,AMERICAN JOURNAL OF HEMATOLOGY, Issue 2 2010Valerio De Stefano There is evidence that leukocytosis is associated with an increased risk of first thrombosis in patients with polycythemia vera (PV) and essential thrombocythemia (ET). Whether it is a risk factor for recurrent thrombosis too is currently unknown. In the frame of a multicenter retrospective cohort study, we recruited 253 patients with PV (n = 133) or ET (n = 120), who were selected on the basis of a first arterial (70%) or venous major thrombosis (27.6%) or both (2.4%), and who were not receiving cytoreduction at the time of thrombosis. The probability of recurrent thrombosis associated with the leukocyte count recorded at the time of the first thrombosis was estimated by a receiver operating characteristic analysis and a multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression model. Thrombosis recurred in 78 patients (30.7%); multivariable analysis showed an independent risk of arterial recurrence (hazard ratio [HR] 2.16, 95% CI 1.12,4.18) in patients with a leukocyte count that was >12.4 × 109/L at the time of the first thrombotic episode. The prognostic role for leukocytosis was age-related, as it was only significant in patients that were aged <60 years (HR for arterial recurrence 3.35, 95% CI 1.22,9.19). Am. J. Hematol., 2010. © 2009 Wiley-Liss, Inc. [source] Blood transfusion for caesarean delivery complicated by placenta praeviaAUSTRALIAN AND NEW ZEALAND JOURNAL OF OBSTETRICS AND GYNAECOLOGY, Issue 6 2009R. K. BOYLE Aim:, This study was undertaken to determine if the need for red cell blood transfusion in placenta praevia could be predicted. Methods:, Data from a retrospective observational study of 246 obstetric patients, with placenta praevia, from 1999 to 2005 were analysed to generate a model to predict requirement for transfusion. Results:, Seventy-one patients were transfused. Independent risk factors for transfusion were gestational age at delivery of 32,35 weeks [odds ratio (OR): 2.6; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.1,6.4] and caesarean combined with hysterectomy (OR: 29.4; 95% CI: 5.9,145.9; P < 0.001). No independent risk of transfusion was associated with maternal age, race, parity, smoking status, type of anaesthesia, caesarean combined with arterial balloon occlusion, grade of placenta, accreta and previous uterine surgery. Conclusions:, Gestational age at delivery and type of surgery required are predictors of transfusion during caesarean for placenta praevia. Arterial balloon occlusion does not appear to increase transfusion risk and may be considered as one of the techniques in management. [source] Trends in mode of delivery during 1984,2003: can they be explained by pregnancy and delivery complications?BJOG : AN INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF OBSTETRICS & GYNAECOLOGY, Issue 7 2007CM O'Leary Objectives, To describe trends in mode of delivery, to identify significant factors which affected mode of delivery, and to describe how these factors and their impact have changed over time. Design, Total population birth cohort. Setting, Western Australia 1984,2003. Participants, The analysis was restricted to all singleton infants delivered at 37,42 weeks of gestation with a cephalic presentation (n= 432 327). Methods, Logistic regression analyses were undertaken to estimate significant independent risk factors separately for elective and emergency caesarean sections compared with vaginal delivery (spontaneous and instrumental), adjusting for potential confounding variables. Main outcome measures, Trends in mode of delivery, demographic factors, and pregnancy and delivery complications. Estimated likelihood of elective caesarean section compared with vaginal delivery and emergency caesarean section compared with vaginal delivery. Results, Between 1984,88 and 1999,2003, the likelihood of women having an elective caesarean section increased by a factor of 2.35 times (95% CI 2.28,2.42) and the likelihood of an emergency caesarean section increased 1.89 times (95% CI 1.83,1.96). These caesarean section rate increases remained even after adjustment for their strong associations with many sociodemographic factors, obstetric risk factors, and obstetric complications. Rates of caesarean section were higher in older mothers, especially those older than 40 years of age (elective caesarean section, OR 5.42 [95% CI 4.88,6.01]; emergency caesarean section, OR 2.67 [95% CI 2.39,2.97]), and in nulliparous women (elective caesarean section, OR 1.54 [95% CI 1.47,1.61]; emergency caesarean section, OR 3.61 [95% CI 3.47,3.76]). Conclusions, Our data show significant changes in mode of delivery in Western Australia from 1984,2003, with an increasing trend in both elective and emergency caesarean section rates that do not appear to be explained by increased risk or indication. [source] The presence of lymphovascular invasion in radical cystectomy specimens from patients with urothelial carcinoma portends a poor clinical prognosisBJU INTERNATIONAL, Issue 8 2008Daniel Canter OBJECTIVES To assess the prognostic significance of lymphovascular invasion (LVI) on clinical outcomes in patients with transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder treated with radical cystectomy (RC). PATIENTS AND METHODS We retrospectively evaluated a prospectively maintained and authorised cystectomy database; the presence or absence of LVI was determined by pathological examination of the RC specimen. Cox regression analysis and Kaplan-Meier tables were developed to evaluate the contribution of LVI to clinical outcomes. RESULTS In all, we analysed 356 patients treated with RC and urinary diversion between 1988 and 2006, with a mean follow-up of 45.6 months. Of these patients, 242 (68%) had no evidence of LVI in the RC specimen, whereas 114 (32%) had LVI. Patients with LVI tended to present with higher pathological stage; 84 (74%) had pT3 or pT4 disease. On univariable analysis the presence of LVI conferred a significant risk for decreased overall, cancer-specific and recurrence-free survival (P < 0.001); the mean values for LVI-negative patients were 96.8, 157.4, and 135.0 months, respectively, vs LVI-positive patients, whose survival times were 52.3, 82.7 and 75.2 months, respectively. The multivariable analysis showed significant independent risk for cancer-specific and overall survival for patients who were LVI-positive and had no lymph-node metastases. The hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) were 1.63 (1.06,2.51, P < 0.026) and 1.81 (1.06,3.08, P < 0.03) for overall and disease-specific survival, respectively. CONCLUSIONS The presence of LVI in the pathological RC specimen confers significant independent risk for reduced bladder cancer-specific and overall survival. This variable could be used to prospectively stratify patients who would benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy. [source] Dysplastic naevi with moderate to severe histological dysplasia: a risk factor for melanomaBRITISH JOURNAL OF DERMATOLOGY, Issue 5 2006A.R. Shors Summary Background, The risk of malignant melanoma associated with histologically dysplastic naevi (HDN) has not been defined. While clinically atypical naevi appear to confer an independent risk of melanoma, no study has evaluated the extent to which HDN are predictive of melanoma. Objectives, To estimate the risk of melanoma associated with HDN. Secondarily, the risk associated with number of naevi and large naevi is estimated. Methods, We enrolled 80 patients with newly diagnosed melanoma along with 80 spousal controls. After obtaining information on melanoma risk factors and performing a complete cutaneous examination, the most clinically atypical naevus was biopsied in both cases and controls. Histological dysplasia was then assessed independently by 13 dermatopathologists (0, no dysplasia; 1, mild dysplasia; 2, moderate dysplasia; 3, severe dysplasia). The dermatopathologists were blinded as to whether the naevi were from melanoma subjects or controls. Multivariate analyses were performed to determine if there was an independent association between the degree of histological dysplasia in naevi and a personal history of melanoma. Results, In persons with naevi receiving an average score of > 1 (i.e. naevi considered to have greater than mild histological dysplasia), there was an increased risk of melanoma [odds ratio (OR) 2·60, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0·99,6·86] which persisted after adjustment for confounders (OR 3·99, 95% CI 1·02,15·71). Very few dermatopathologists reliably graded naevi of subjects with melanoma as being more dysplastic than naevi of control subjects. Among the entire group, the interobserver reliability associated with grading histological dysplasia in naevi was poor (weighted kappa 0·28). Conclusions, HDN do appear to confer an independent risk of melanoma. However, this result may add more to our biological understanding of melanoma risk than to clinical assessment of risk, because HDN assessed by a single pathologist generally cannot be used to assess risk of melanoma. Future studies should be directed at establishing reproducible, predictive criteria for grading naevi. [source] Bayesian Logistic Injury Severity Score: A Method for Predicting Mortality Using International Classification of Disease-9 CodesACADEMIC EMERGENCY MEDICINE, Issue 5 2008Randall S. Burd MD Abstract Objectives:, Owing to the large number of injury International Classification of Disease-9 revision (ICD-9) codes, it is not feasible to use standard regression methods to estimate the independent risk of death for each injury code. Bayesian logistic regression is a method that can select among a large numbers of predictors without loss of model performance. The purpose of this study was to develop a model for predicting in-hospital trauma deaths based on this method and to compare its performance with the ICD-9,based Injury Severity Score (ICISS). Methods:, The authors used Bayesian logistic regression to train and test models for predicting mortality based on injury ICD-9 codes (2,210 codes) and injury codes with two-way interactions (243,037 codes and interactions) using data from the National Trauma Data Bank (NTDB). They evaluated discrimination using area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) and calibration with the Hosmer-Lemeshow (HL) h-statistic. The authors compared performance of these models with one developed using ICISS. Results:, The discrimination of a model developed using individual ICD-9 codes was similar to that of a model developed using individual codes and their interactions (AUC = 0.888 vs. 0.892). Inclusion of injury interactions, however, improved model calibration (HL h-statistic = 2,737 vs. 1,347). A model based on ICISS had similar discrimination (AUC = .855) but showed worse calibration (HL h-statistic = 45,237) than those based on regression. Conclusions:, A model that incorporates injury interactions had better predictive performance than one based only on individual injuries. A regression approach to predicting injury mortality based on injury ICD-9 codes yields models with better predictive performance than ICISS. [source] Which comes first: atypical antipsychotic treatment or cardiometabolic risk?ACTA PSYCHIATRICA SCANDINAVICA, Issue 3 2009S. M. Stahl Objective:, To provide an overview for practicing clinicians on the pharmacological basis of cardiometabolic risk induced by antipsychotic drugs in patients with serious mental illness, to propose hypotheses to explain these risks and to give tips for managing cardiometabolic risk during antipsychotic treatment. Method:, A MEDLINE search using terms for atypical antipsychotics (including individual drug names), metabolic, cardiovascular, weight gain and insulin resistance, cross-referenced with schizophrenia was performed on articles published between 1990 and May 2008. Results:, Strong evidence exists for significant cardiometabolic risk differences among several antipsychotic agents. Histamine H1 and serotonin 5HT2C antagonism are associated with risk of weight gain, but receptor targets for dyslipidemia and insulin resistance have not yet been identified. Convincing data indicate that hypertriglyceridemia and insulin resistance may occur in the absence of weight gain with certain antipsychotics. Conclusion:, Although lifestyle and genetics may contribute independent risks of cardiometabolic dysfunction in schizophrenia and other serious mental illness, antipsychotic treatment also represents an important contributor to risk of cardiometabolic dysfunction, particularly for certain drugs and for vulnerable patients. Mental health professionals must learn to recognize the clinical signposts indicating antipsychotic-related cardiometabolic problems to forestall progression to type II diabetes, cardiovascular events and premature death. [source] | |||||||||||||||||||