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Increasing Risk (increasing + risk)
Selected AbstractsPOLITICAL AND SYSTEMIC BARRIERS INCREASING RISK OF HIV FOR INJECTING DRUG USERS IN EAST AFRICAADDICTION, Issue 10 2010DANIEL WOLFE No abstract is available for this article. [source] Reemergence of Malaria: Increasing Risks for TravelersJOURNAL OF TRAVEL MEDICINE, Issue 2001FRCPC, Jay S. Keystone MD No abstract is available for this article. [source] Zinc and nitrate in the ground water and the incidence of Type 1 diabetes in FinlandDIABETIC MEDICINE, Issue 3 2004E. Moltchanova Abstract Aims In Finland, the risk of childhood Type 1 diabetes varies geographically. Therefore we investigated the association between spatial variation of Type 1 diabetes and its putative environmental risk factors, zinc and nitrates. Methods The association was evaluated using Bayesian modelling and the geo-referenced data on diabetes cases and population. Results Neither zinc nor nitrate nor the urban/rural status of the area had a significant effect on the variation in incidence of childhood Type 1 diabetes. Conclusions The results showed that although there was no significant difference in incidence between rural and urban areas, there was a tendency to increasing risk of Type 1 diabetes with the increasing concentration of NO3 in drinking water. The fact that no significant effect was found may stem from the aggregated data being too crude to detect it. [source] Effects of sublethal concentrations of bifenthrin and deltamethrin on fecundity, growth, and development of the honeybee Apis mellifera ligusticaENVIRONMENTAL TOXICOLOGY & CHEMISTRY, Issue 3 2010Ping-Li Dai Abstract Bifenthrin and deltamethrin have been widely used as pesticides in agriculture and forestry and are becoming an increasing risk to honeybees. The honeybee, Apis mellifera ligustica, is widely recognized as a beneficial insect of agronomic, ecological, and scientific importance. It is important to understand what effects these chemicals have on bees. Effects of two pesticides at sublethal concentrations on fecundity, growth, and development of honeybees were examined with the feeding method for a three-year period (2006,2008). It was shown that both bifenthrin and deltamethrin significantly reduced bee fecundity, decreased the rate at which bees develop to adulthood, and increased their immature periods. The toxicity of bifenthrin and deltamethrin on workers of Apis mellifera ligustica was also assessed, and the results from the present study showed that the median lethal effects of bifenthrin and deltamethrin were 16.7 and 62.8,mg/L, respectively. Environ. Toxicol. Chem. 2010;29:644,649. © 2009 SETAC [source] Investment Decisions for Retirement SavingsJOURNAL OF CONSUMER AFFAIRS, Issue 3 2010HAZEL BATEMAN We conducted a choice experiment to investigate whether retirement savers follow simple portfolio theory when choosing investments. We modeled experimental survey data on 693 participants using a scale-adjusted version of the latent class choice model. Results show that underlying variability in response was explained by age and "risk profile" score and that preferences varied with income and age. Younger individuals were conventionally risk averse, but older, higher-income individuals may react positively to both higher returns and increasing risk, when risk is presented as widening ranges of possible outcomes. Respondents tended to choose among a few similar investment options. [source] Alcohol Consumption among Low-Income Pregnant LatinasALCOHOLISM, Issue 11 2005Christina D. Chambers Abstract: Background: Due to changing cultural norms, Latinas of childbearing age residing in the U.S. may be at increasing risk of drinking harmful levels of alcohol during pregnancy, and may also be unaware of the risks for Fetal Alcohol Spectrum Disorders associated with this behavior. We assessed the prevalence of alcohol consumption in a sample of low-income pregnant Latinas and examined risk factors for alcohol use in the periconceptional period. Methods: As part of a larger intervention trial, a cross-sectional in-home interview study was conducted among a sample of 100 pregnant low-income Latinas receiving services from the Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children (WIC) in San Diego County, California. Results: Fifty-seven percent of respondents indicated they were either life-time abstainers or had not consumed any alcohol in the periconceptional period. Forty-three percent reported some alcohol use in the three months prior to recognition of the current pregnancy, and 20% reported at least one binge episode of four or more standard drinks during that time frame. Five percent reported drinking seven or more drinks per week, and 8% continued drinking alcohol after recognition of pregnancy. Significant predictors of any alcohol use in the periconceptional period included English language/higher level of acculturation, younger maternal age, lower parity, higher level of education, younger age at first drink, and having ever smoked. Women who were aware of alcohol warning messages and /or had more knowledge of the Fetal Alcohol Syndrome (FAS) were significantly more likely to have consumed alcohol in the periconceptional period. Frequency of periconceptional use of alcohol did not differ between women who planned or did not plan the pregnancy. Conclusion: The prevalence and pattern of early pregnancy alcohol consumption in this sample of Latinas is similar to patterns noted in other race/ethnic groups in the U.S. Level of knowledge about FAS and awareness of warning messages was not protective for early pregnancy alcohol consumption, suggesting that specific knowledge was insufficient to prevent exposure or that other factors reinforce maintenance of alcohol consumption in early pregnancy. Selective interventions in low-income Latinas are warranted, and should be focused on women of reproductive age who are binge or frequent drinkers and who are at risk of becoming pregnant. [source] Specific Alteration of Peripheral Cytotoxic Cell Perforin Expression in Alcoholic Patients: A Possible Role in Alcohol-Related DiseasesALCOHOLISM, Issue 11 2003Pascal Perney Background: The association between chronic alcohol consumption and an increasing risk of infectious and neoplastic disease is related to an impairment of cellular immunity. However, studies of the number and activity of lymphocyte subsets show highly variable results. The aim of this study was to assess the expression of perforin, one of the main molecular agents of T and natural killer (NK) cell,mediated cytotoxicity, in alcoholic patients without cirrhosis. Methods: Eighteen patients with chronic alcoholism were prospectively included and compared with 18 age- and sex-matched healthy volunteers. Signs of hepatic insufficiency or portal hypertension, viral co-infection, other serious medical illness, and immune-related medications were exclusion criteria. Lymphocyte phenotype was assessed, and perforin expression was analyzed by flow cytometry in CD3+CD56+ T cells and NK cells. Granzyme synthesis was also evaluated in 11 of the 18 patients and compared with that of 11 age- and sex-matched controls. Results: The mean number of white blood cells and lymphocytes was not different between the controls and alcoholic patients, whereas the mean number of NK cells was significantly decreased in alcoholic patients (110 ± 79/mm3 versus 271 ± 192/mm3; p < 0.03). Perforin expression in T CD3+/CD56+ and in NK cells was significantly decreased in alcoholic patients compared with controls: 16 ± 3% vs. 36 ± 4% (p < 0.03) and 65 ± 15% vs. 78 ± 9% (p= 0.04), respectively. The percentage of cells expressing granzyme was similar in both groups. Conclusions: A decrease in perforin expression by cytotoxic cells could be a major factor in explaining the physiopathologic mechanisms of several alcohol-associated diseases. [source] A MODEL LIFE TABLE FOR BOTTLENOSE DOLPHINS (TURSIOPS TRUNCATUS) FROM THE INDIAN RIVER LAGOON SYSTEM, FLORIDA, U.S.A.MARINE MAMMAL SCIENCE, Issue 4 2003Megan K. Stolen Abstract Data gathered from 220 stranded bottlenose dolphins (Tursiops truncatus) in the Indian River Lagoon system, Florida, were used to derive a life table. Survivorship curves were fit to the data using Siler's competing-risk model and a maximum likelihood approach. Population growth was estimated to be between r= 0.0 and 0.046 based on the observed numbers of stranded dolphins. Variance in survival rates was estimated using an individual-based, age-structured population projection model. We estimate that the overall annual mortality rate for this population was 9.8% per year. Sex-specific differences in survivorship were apparent with females outliving males. The overall mortality curve resembles that of other large mammals, with high calf mortality and an exponentially increasing risk of senescent mortality. The inclusion of live-capture removals of individuals from this population did not significantly affect the estimation of survival parameters for most age classes. [source] Modelling prior reproductive history to improve prediction of risk for very preterm birthPAEDIATRIC & PERINATAL EPIDEMIOLOGY, Issue 5 2010Lyndsey F. Watson Summary Watson LF, Rayner J-A, King J, Jolley D, Forster D, Lumley J. Modelling prior reproductive history to improve prediction of risk for very preterm birth. Paediatric and Perinatal Epidemiology 2010. In published studies of preterm birth, analyses have usually been centred on individual reproductive events and do not account for the joint distributions of these events. In particular, spontaneous and induced abortions have often been studied separately and have been variously reported as having no increased risk, increased risk or different risks for subsequent preterm birth. In order to address this inconsistency, we categorised women into mutually exclusive groups according to their reproductive history, and explored the range of risks associated with different reproductive histories and assessed similarities of risks between different pregnancy histories. The data were from a population-based case,control study, conducted in Victoria, Australia. The study recruited women giving birth between April 2002 and April 2004 from 73 maternity hospitals. Detailed reproductive histories were collected by interview a few weeks after the birth. The cases were 603 women who had had a singleton birth between 20 and less than 32 weeks gestation (very preterm births including terminations of pregnancy) and the controls were 796 randomly selected women from the population who had had a singleton birth of at least 37 completed weeks gestation. All birth outcomes were included. Unconditional logistic regression was used to assess the association of very preterm birth with type and number of prior abortions, prior preterm births and sociodemographic factors. Using the complex combinations of prior pregnancy experiences of women (including nulligravidity), we showed that a history of prior childbirth (at term) with no preterm births gave the lowest risk of very preterm birth. With this group as the reference category, odds ratios of more than two were associated with all other prior reproductive histories. There was no evidence of difference in risk between types of abortion (i.e. spontaneous or induced) although the risk increased if a prior preterm birth had also occurred. There was an increasing risk of very preterm birth associated with increasing numbers of abortions. This method of data analysis reveals consistent and similar risks for very preterm birth following spontaneous or induced abortions. The findings point to the need to explore commonalities rather than differences in regard to the impact of abortion on subsequent births. [source] Modelling sequence of prior pregnancies on subsequent risk of very preterm birthPAEDIATRIC & PERINATAL EPIDEMIOLOGY, Issue 5 2010Lyndsey F. Watson Summary Watson LF, Rayner J-A, King J, Jolley D, Forster D, Lumley J. Modelling sequence of prior pregnancies on subsequent risk of very preterm birth. Paediatric and Perinatal Epidemiology 2010. The prevalence and intractability of preterm birth is known as is its association with reproductive history, but the relationship with sequence of pregnancies is not well studied. The data were from a population-based case,control study, conducted in Victoria, Australia. The study recruited women giving birth between April 2002 and April 2004 from 73 maternity hospitals. Detailed reproductive histories were collected by interview a few weeks after the birth. The cases were 603 women having a singleton birth between 20 and <32 weeks gestation (very preterm births including terminations of pregnancy). The controls were 796 randomly selected women from the population having a singleton birth of at least 37 completed weeks gestation. Unconditional logistic regression was used to assess the association of very preterm birth with sequence of pregnancies defined by their outcome (prior abortion , spontaneous or induced, and prior preterm or term birth) with adjustment for sociodemographic factors. The outcomes of each prior pregnancy, stratified by pregnancy order, and starting with the pregnancy immediately before the index or control pregnancy, were categorised as one of abortion, preterm birth or term birth. We showed that each of these prior pregnancy events was an independent risk of very preterm birth. This finding does not support the hypothesis of a neutralising effect of a term birth after an abortion on the subsequent risk for very preterm birth and is further evidence for the cumulative or increasing risk associated with increasing numbers of prior abortions or preterm births. [source] Analysis of Donor Risk in Living-Donor Hepatectomy: The Impact of Resection Type on Clinical OutcomeAMERICAN JOURNAL OF TRANSPLANTATION, Issue 8 2002Ephrem Salamé The progressive shortage of liver donors has mandated investigation of living-donor transplantation (LDT). Concerns about increasing risk to the donor are evident, but the impact of the degree of parenchymal loss has not been quantified. We analyzed clinical and biological variables in 45 LDT performed by our team over 2years to assess risks faced in adult LDT. All donors are alive and well with complete follow-up through to February 2001. When the three operations were compared, right hepatectomy (RH) was significantly longer in terms of anesthesia time and blood loss compared with left hepatectomy (LH) and left lobectomy (LL). Donor remnant liver was significantly reduced after RH compared with LH and LL. There were significant functional differences as a consequence of the remnant size, measured by an increase in peak prothrombin time after RH. RH for adults represents a markedly different insult from pediatric donations in terms of parenchymal loss and early functional impairment. Left hepatectomy donation offers modest advantage over right lobes but seems to confer substantial technical risk for a small gain in graft size. Unless novel strategies are developed to enhance liver function of the LH graft in the adult recipient, right lobe donation will be necessary for adult LDT. [source] Total versus subtotal thyroidectomy for the management of benign multinodular goiter in an endemic regionANZ JOURNAL OF SURGERY, Issue 11 2004Tahsin Colak Background: Because controversy still continuous to surround use of total thyroidectomy for the management of benign multinodular goiter, the present study aims to prospectively compare the safety and efficacy of total thyroidectomy with subtotal thyroidectomy. Methods: A total of 200 consecutive patients with benign multinodular goiter were assigned to have either total thyroidectomy (n = 105) or subtotal thyroidectomy (n = 95) based on preoperative evaluation, intraoperative macroscopic findings and nodular dissemination. The patients with no healthy tissue or nodules localized in the dorsal part of the gland, which are usually left during normal subtotal resection, were assigned to the total thyroidectomy group. Demographic details, biochemical findings, indications for operation, operating time, specimen weight, complications and hospital stay were noted. Results: There was no significant difference in the sex, hormonal status or duration of goiter between the two groups (P = 0.74, P = 0.59 and P = 0.59, respectively). The mean operating time was longer (148.52 min ± 51.10 vs 135.10 min ± 32.47, P = 0.03), and the mean weight of the specimens was greater (228.40 g ± 229.91 vs 157.01 g ± 151.23, P = 0.01) for total rather than subtotal thyroidectomy. Either temporary recurrent laryngeal nerve (RLN) palsy or hypoparathyroidism occurred in 10 (9.3%) or 12 (11.4%) of the patients undergoing total compared with six (6.3%) or nine (9.5%) of the patients undergoing subtotal thyroidectomy (P = 0.40 and P = 0.65, respectively). Either permanent RLN palsy or hypoparathyroidism was observed in one patient undergoing total thyroidectomy (P = 0.34 for each comparison). The mean hospital stay was longer in the total thyroidectomy group (2.24 days ± 1.18 vs 1.89 days ± 0.72 for subtotal thyroidectomy, P = 0.01). Conclusions: The present study shows that total thyroidectomy can be performed without increasing risk of complication, and it is an acceptable alternative for benign multinodular goiter, especially in endemic regions, where patients present with a huge multinodular goiter. [source] 2424: Pulsatile haemodynamics: potential for end-organ damage?ACTA OPHTHALMOLOGICA, Issue 2010C HUDSON Purpose Increases in velocity pulse wave amplitude, or max:min velocity ratio, represent early haemodynamic disturbances associated with diabetic retinopathy (DR) and age-related macular degeneration. This change reflects an increase in vessel wall rigidity that is generally accepted to occur in the central vasculature but the peripheral vasculature is also implicated in this process. This presentation will highlight the implications of these changes in terms of end-organ damage in DR. Methods The sample comprised 4 groups: Group 1: 50 non-diabetic control subjects. Group 2: 56 diabetic patients without clinically visible DR. Group 3: 54 diabetic patients with micro-aneurysms and / or hard exudates within 2 disc diameters of the fovea in the absence of clinically manifest diabetic macular edema (DME). Group 4: 40 patients with clinically manifest DME. The diabetic patients were predominantly type 2. Retinal hemodynamics were assessed in the superior temporal retinal arteriole using the Canon Laser Blood Flowmeter. Intraocular pressure, blood pressure and relevant systemic markers of diabetes control and complications were also assessed. Results The velocity pulse wave amplitude was elevated with increasing risk of DME (p<0.0001). No significant differences were found between the groups with respect to diameter, velocity or flow. Pulse wave amplitude was correlated to age, duration of diabetes, blood pressure, pulse rate, IOP and serum potassium levels. Conclusion The increase in velocity pulse wave amplitude will induce excessive pressure pulsatility in the retinal arterioles and capillaries, changes in vascular function (e.g. loss of vascular regulation) and changes in vessel structure. Commercial interest [source] Influence of clinical status on the association between plasma total and unbound bilirubin and death or adverse neurodevelopmental outcomes in extremely low birth weight infantsACTA PAEDIATRICA, Issue 5 2010W Oh Abstract Objectives:, To assess the influence of clinical status on the association between total plasma bilirubin and unbound bilirubin on death or adverse neurodevelopmental outcomes at 18,22 months corrected age in extremely low birth weight infants. Method:, Total plasma bilirubin and unbound bilirubin were measured in 1101 extremely low birth weight infants at 5 ± 1 days of age. Clinical criteria were used to classify infants as clinically stable or unstable. Survivors were examined at 18,22 months corrected age by certified examiners. Outcome variables were death or neurodevelopmental impairment, death or cerebral palsy, death or hearing loss, and death prior to follow-up. For all outcomes, the interaction between bilirubin variables and clinical status was assessed in logistic regression analyses adjusted for multiple risk factors. Results:, Regardless of clinical status, an increasing level of unbound bilirubin was associated with higher rates of death or neurodevelopmental impairment, death or cerebral palsy, death or hearing loss and death before follow-up. Total plasma bilirubin values were directly associated with death or neurodevelopmental impairment, death or cerebral palsy, death or hearing loss, and death before follow-up in unstable infants, but not in stable infants. An inverse association between total plasma bilirubin and death or cerebral palsy was found in stable infants. Conclusions:, In extremely low birth weight infants, clinical status at 5 days of age affects the association between total plasma bilirubin and death or adverse neurodevelopmental outcomes at 18,22 months of corrected age. An increasing level of UB is associated a higher risk of death or adverse neurodevelopmental outcomes regardless of clinical status. Increasing levels of total plasma bilirubin are directly associated with increasing risk of death or adverse neurodevelopmental outcomes in unstable, but not in stable infants. [source] Sensitivity to ultraviolet B is a risk factor for cutaneous melanoma in a Mediterranean population: results from an Italian case,control studyCLINICAL & EXPERIMENTAL DERMATOLOGY, Issue 1 2009A. Chiarugi Summary Background., Sun sensitivity is one of the predictors of melanoma risk, together with other individual characteristics such as skin and eye colour and number of naevi. However, it is unclear how best to measure sun sensitivity in order to quantify the individual risk of melanoma. Objectives., In this case,control study, the relationship between minimal erythema dose (MED) and skin colour (both instrumentally assessed) was investigated, and their possible role as independent risk factors for melanoma in a Mediterranean population evaluated. Methods., In total, 143 patients with cutaneous melanoma and 102 controls were enrolled in the study. Skin colour was assessed using a Minolta CR-200 chromameter. For MED calculation, a fluorescent lamp (Philips TL 4W/12) was used as a source of ultraviolet B light. MED was defined as the lowest dose that produced an increase of 2.5 in the redness value, expressed by the parameter a* of the Commission Internationale d'Eclairage (CIE) L*a*b* colour space (,a* = 2.5). Results., A significant excess of risk was associated with increasing L* values of skin colour (P < 0.05; OR = 1.12; 95% CI 1.01,1.24) for each unit of change. Low MED values were also associated with an increasing risk of melanoma, with an excess of risk of 18% (OR = 1.18, 95% CI 1.04,1.35) for every 10 mJ/cm2 of MED reduction. Compared with the highest MED values (> 97.7 mJ/cm2), subjects with MED values , ,50 mJ/cm2 or lower had a > 2-fold increased risk of melanoma (OR = 2.37, 95% CI 1.05,5.38). The effect of decreasing MED value as a melanoma risk factor persisted after adjustment for skin colour and atypical naevi in a multivariate model. Conclusions., In conclusion, both instrumentally assessed skin colour and MED are significant risk factors for malignant melanoma in a Mediterranean population. MED seems be an independent variable in establishing the subject's risk profile. [source] Primary tumour diameter as a risk factor for advanced disease features of differentiated thyroid carcinomaCLINICAL ENDOCRINOLOGY, Issue 2 2009Frederik A. Verburg Summary Objective, To study the relationship between primary tumour size and the risk of advanced disease features (multifocal or locally invasive disease, lymph-node or distant metastases) in differentiated thyroid carcinoma (DTC). Design, A retrospective chart review study. Patients, The study sample comprised 935 papillary (PTC) and 291 follicular thyroid carcinoma (FTC) patients treated in our hospital from 1978 to 2007. Measurements, Kaplan,Meier analyses and log-rank tests were performed to calculate tumour size-adjusted cumulative risk of advanced disease features. Results, Accounting for primary tumour diameter, there were no significant differences in cumulative risks of multifocal carcinoma (P = 0·12) or distant metastases (P = 0·49) between PTC and FTC. PTC showed higher cumulative risks of local invasion (P < 0·0001) or lymph-node metastases (P < 0·0001). The cumulative risk of tumour multifocality increased 5%/cm of primary tumour diameter. The cumulative risk of local invasion or lymph-node metastases in PTC and of distant metastases in DTC increased exponentially at a threshold tumour diameter of 10 mm. In FTC, lymph-node metastases are associated almost exclusively with primary tumours showing extrathyroidal growth. Conclusions, Starting with a 1 cm primary tumour diameter, increasing tumour size is associated with an exponentially increasing risk of local invasion or lymph-node or distant metastases of DTC. The current classification of carcinomas < 2 cm as T1 is therefore questionable. [source] Biodegradable polylactide membranes for bone defect coverage: biocompatibility testing, radiological and histological evaluation in a sheep modelCLINICAL ORAL IMPLANTS RESEARCH, Issue 4 2006Gerhard Schmidmaier Abstract: Large bony defects often show a delayed healing and have an increasing risk of infection. Several materials are used for the coverage of large defects. These materials must be biocompatible, easy to use, and must have an appropriate stability to present a mechanical hindrance. Aim of this study was to investigate two different biodegradable membranes for defect coverage in a sheep model. Round cranial defects (1.5 cm diameter) were created in sheep. Six different treatments were investigated: defects without membrane, defects covered with a poly(d,l -lactide) or with a 70/30 poly(l/d,l -lactide) membrane and all defects with or without spongiosa filling. The sheep were sacrificed 12 or 24 weeks postoperatively. Bone formation in the defects was quantified by computer-assisted measurements of the area of the residual defect on CT radiographs. Histomorphometry and host-tissue response were evaluated by light microscopy. The biocompatibility was investigated by analyzing the amount of osteoclasts and foreign body cells. Both membranes served as a mechanical hindrance to prevent the prolapse of soft tissue into the defect. The biocompatibility test revealed no differences in the amount and distribution of osteoclasts at the two investigated time points and between the investigated groups. No negative effect on the tissue regeneration was detectable between the investigated groups related to the type of membrane, but a foreign body reaction around the two membrane types was observed. In the membrane-covered defects, the spongiosa showed a progressing remodeling to the native bony structure of the cranium. The groups without spongiosa partly revealed new bone formation, without complete bridging in any group or at any time point. Comparing the 12 and 24 weeks groups, an increased bone formation was detectable at the later time point. In conclusion, the results of the present in vivo study reveal a good biocompatibility and prevention of soft tissue prolapse of the two used membranes without differences between the membranes. An enhanced remodeling of the spongiosa into native bony structures under the membranes was detectable, but no osteopromoting effect was observed due to the membranes. [source] Use of IL-2 receptor antagonists to reduce delayed graft function following renal transplantation: a reviewCLINICAL TRANSPLANTATION, Issue 6 2005Silvio Sandrini Abstract:, Delayed graft function (DGF) occurs in approximately 30% of renal transplant patients, and significantly increases risk of long-term graft loss. This article reviews the potential for use of interleukin-2 receptor (IL-2R) antagonists to reduce the burden of DGF. IL-2R antagonists decrease incidence of acute rejection without increasing risk of cytomegalovirus infection or malignancy, and show equivalent efficacy to lymphocyte-depleting antibody agents in standard risk patients with immediate graft function. The nephrotoxicity associated with calcineurin inhibitors (CNIs) has led to use of delayed or low-dose CNI regimens with induction therapy in patients with DGF. In this setting, use of an IL-2R antagonist with mycophenolate mofetil and steroids with delayed cyclosporine appears to be associated with a low incidence of biopsy-proven rejection and comparable renal function to patients with immediate function. Additionally, there is intriguing evidence to suggests that IL-2R antagonists may reduce risk of DGF occurring. A number of large-scale and smaller studies have reported a trend to reduced incidence of DGF or improved early renal function using IL-2R antagonists compared with placebo, although data are not entirely consistent. In conclusion, the ability of IL-2R antagonists to reduce acute rejection with no additional safety concerns makes them an attractive option for patients with DGF. [source] Analysing Perceived Downside Risk: the Component Value-at-Risk FrameworkEUROPEAN FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT, Issue 4 2004Winfried G. Hallerbach G3; G32; G1; G14 Abstract Multinational companies face increasing risks arising from external risk factors, e.g. exchange rates, interest rates and commodity prices, which they have learned to hedge using derivatives. However, despite increasing disclosure requirements, a firm's net risk profile may not be transparent to shareholders. We develop the ,Component Value-at-Risk (VaR)' framework for companies to identify the multi-dimensional downside risk profile as perceived by shareholders. This framework allows for decomposing downside risk into components that are attributable to each of the underlying risk factors. The firm can compare this perceived VaR, including its composition and dynamics, to an internal VaR based on net exposures as it is known to the company. Any differences may lead to surprises at times of earnings announcements and thus constitute a litigation threat to the firm. It may reduce this information asymmetry through targeted communication efforts. [source] A Demonstration of a Presurgical Behavioral Medicine Evaluation for Categorizing Patients for Implantable Therapies: A Preliminary StudyNEUROMODULATION, Issue 4 2008Kimberly Gardner Schocket PhD ABSTRACT Objectives., The aim of the current study was to evaluate the potential efficacy of a presurgical behavioral medicine evaluation screening algorithm with patients undergoing evaluation for implantable pain management devices. Methods., Sixty patients were evaluated for prognostic recommendations regarding outcomes from surgery for spinal cord stimulators and intrathecal pumps. Diagnostic interviews, review of medical charts, and psychosocial and functional measures were used in the initial evaluation. Results., Patients were classified into one of four prognostic groups, from low to increasing risks: Green, Yellow I, Yellow II, and Red. The Green group showed the most positive biopsychosocial profile, while the Red groups showed the worst profiles. Conclusions., This preliminary study suggests that the presurgical behavioral medicine evaluation algorithm may be an effective method for categorizing patients into prognostic groups. Psychological and adverse clinical features appear to have the most power in the classification of such patients. [source] Latest news and product developmentsPRESCRIBER, Issue 19 2007Article first published online: 22 NOV 200 UK data suggest OCs may reduce cancer risk The latest analysis of the RCGP oral contraception (OC) study suggests that oral contraceptives may be associated with an overall reduction in the risk of cancer (Br Med J online: 11 September 2007; doi:10.1136/bmj.39289. 649410.55). The cohort of 46 000 women provided 744 000 woman-years for ever use of an oral contraceptive and 339 000 woman-years of never use. Longer use was associated with increasing risks of cervical (RR 2.73), and pituitary or CNS (RR 5.51) cancers, but decreasing risks of uterine (RR 0.57) and ovarian (RR 0.38) cancers. OC use was also associated with a lower overall risk of colorectal cancers. The overall risk of any cancer was reduced by 12 per cent (RR 0.88). CombAT two-year data Two-year data revealed at the 29th Congress of the Société Internationale d'Urologie in Paris in September show that dutasteride (Avodart) and tamsulosin combination therapy provides significantly improved symptom control in BPH compared with either therapy alone. The Combination therapy with Avodart (dutasteride) and tamsulosin (CombAT) study took over 4800 eligible men (age ,50 years with a prostate volume ,30cc, serum PSA level ,1.5-10ng per ml and IPSS ,12) who received placebo for four weeks before being randomised in a 1:1:1 ratio to either dutasteride monotherapy (0.5mg per day), tamsulosin monotherapy (0.4mg per day) or a combination of both drugs. At two years the primary efficacy end-point was achieved: combination therapy was significantly more effective than either monotherapy, and continuous improvement could be observed throughout the two years. The combination therapy was also well tolerated, although drug-related adverse events were more common with combination therapy (24 per cent) than either monotherapy (dutasteride 18 per cent, tamsulosin 14 per cent). Dutasteride, a 5-, reductase inhibitor, has been shown to be more effective for long-term use in men than tamsulosin, while tamsulosin, an alpha blocker, has been shown to be effective in the short term. CombAT is the first study to demonstrate that the combination therapy of both drugs could lead to greater symptom improvement over time than an alpha blocker alone. Aliskiren - new class of antihypertensive Novartis has introduced aliskiren (Rasilez), the first direct renin inhibitor for the treatment of hypertension. It is likely to be used in combination with other agents but is also licensed as monotherapy. The commonest adverse effect is diarrhoea. At the recommended dose of 150-300mg per day, a month's treatment costs £19.80-£23.80. MHRA updates drug safety advice The balance of benefit and risks from HRT may be more favourable for younger women, the MHRA says in its monthly bulletin, Drug Update (September 2007). GPs considering prescribing HRT should evaluate the potential risks and benefits for each individual, the MHRA says. The bulletin summarises the risks of cardiovascular events and cancers associated with HRT. Cardiovascular risk is a particular concern for women over 60, whose baseline risk is high; although evidence for the safety of HRT in younger women is limited, their baseline risk is lower. Overall, the lowest dose of HRT should be used for the shortest possible time, and HRT should be prescribed to prevent osteoporosis only when alternatives are not suitable. The MHRA also advises in the bulletin that: Individual risk of stroke, breast cancer and endometrial cancer should be considered before prescribing tibolone (Livial). Nasal formulations of desmopressin are no longer indicated for primary nocturnal enuresis; prescribers are reminded to adhere to product guidance on fluid intake. Patients and carers should be warned of the risk of psychiatric effects associated with corticosteroids; symptoms may develop within a few days or weeks in children and adults, and may be more common at higher doses. Patients taking steroids for more than three weeks are reminded not to stop treatment abruptly. A list of questions and answers for patients is available at www.mhra.gov.uk. The use of parenteral B vitamins plus ascorbic acid (Pabrinex) may rarely be associated with severe allergic reactions, but this should not preclude its use for patients who need it. Study claims statin switch may increase CV morbidity Switching patients from atorvastatin (Lipitor) to simvastatin may increase the risk of cardiovascular events, according to a UK study presented at the European Society of Cardiology Congress in Vienna. The analysis, from The Health Improvement Network database, included 11 520 patients taking atorvastatin for at least six months, of whom 2511 were switched to simvastatin. Switching was associated with a 30 per cent increase in the relative risk of cardiovascular events, though absolute figures have not been reported. Patients who were switched were also more likely to discontinue treatment (21 vs 8 per cent of those continuing atorvastatin). Details of the conduct of the study, which will be published in the British Journal of Cardiology, are not available. Glitazones controversy rumbles on New systematic reviews have fuelled the controversy over the cardiac safety of rosiglitazone and pioglitazone. A meta-analysis of four trials involving 14 291 patients and lasting one to four years found that rosiglitazone was associated with a significantly increased risk of myocardial infarction (relative risk, RR, 1.42) and heart failure (RR 2.09) but not cardiovascular mortality (RR 0.90) (J Am Med Assoc 2007;298:1189-95). The second review included 19 trials of pioglitazone involving 16 390 patients, with follow-up from four months to 3.5 years. Pioglitazone was associated with a lower risk of composite events (death, myocardial infarction, stroke; hazard ratio, HR, 0.82) but an increased risk of serious heart failure (HR 1.41) (J Am Med Assoc 2007;298: 1180-8). Neither review reported significant heterogeneity between the included studies. Another systematic review of eight controlled and cohort studies concluded that metformin is the only antidiabetic drug not associated with an increased risk of harm in patients with diabetes and heart failure (Br Med J Online First 30 August; doi:10.1136/bmj.39314. 620174.80). The Canadian authors found methodological problems with all studies, and concluded that results for sulphonylureas were conflicting due to differences between the studies. Asthma prescribing education Health professionals need more education about rational prescribing for children with asthma, say researchers from Australia (Arch Dis Child online: 4 September 2007; doi: 10. 1136/adc.2007.119834). Analysing trends in asthma medication prescriptions for children in the UK between 2000 and 2006, they found the proportion of steroid inhalers prescribed as combinations increased from 2.7 per cent in 2000 to 25 per cent in 2006. The authors say this excessive increase is inconsistent with guidance that steroid-only inhalers should be the mainstay for most people with asthma. Copyright © 2007 Wiley Interface Ltd [source] | ||||||||||||||||