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Annual Loss (annual + loss)
Selected AbstractsPopulation Ageing, Fiscal Pressure and Tax Smoothing: A CGE Application to Australia,FISCAL STUDIES, Issue 2 2006Ross Guest Abstract This paper analyses the fiscal pressure from population ageing using an intertemporal CGE model, applied to Australia, and compares the results with those of a recent government-commissioned study. The latter study uses an alternative modelling approach based on extrapolation rather than optimising behaviour of consumers and firms. The deadweight losses from the fiscal pressure caused by population ageing are equivalent to an annual loss of consumption of $260 per person per year in 2003 dollars in the balanced-budget scenario. A feasible degree of tax smoothing would reduce this welfare loss by an equivalent of $70 per person per year. Unlike the extrapolation-based model, the CGE approach takes account of feedback effects of ageing-induced tax increases on consumption and labour supply, which in turn impact on the ultimate magnitude of fiscal pressure and therefore tax increases. However, a counterfactual simulation suggests that the difference in terms of deadweight losses between the two modelling approaches is modest, at about $30 per person per year. [source] Predation by brown trout: a major mortality factor for sexually mature European minnowsJOURNAL OF FISH BIOLOGY, Issue 3 2003J. Museth Brown trout Salmo trutta in the subalpine lake, Øvre Heimdalsvatn, showed large temporal variation in the rate of predation on the introduced minnow Phoxinus phoxinus population. Minnows were found in the stomachs of brown trout between 16 and 38 cm LT. Significantly greater predation was recorded shortly after ice break at the end of June 1999, with frequencies of 9 and 20% within the LT classes 16,29·9 cm and ,30 cm, respectively. Predation on minnows was only occasionally detected during July, August and September. The high level of predation coincided with minnow spawning, and lengths of consumed minnows were equal to those of sexually mature individuals. Accepting a causal link between minnow spawning, which lasted c. 3 weeks, and the contemporary high rate of predation, the estimated annual consumption of minnows by the brown trout population would be 138 kg wet mass. Although most of the annual consumption of minnows by brown trout (90%) occurred within a very short period (3 weeks), it accounted for a significant proportion (60%) of the annual loss in biomass of the sexually mature part of the population. [source] Soil carbon sequestration in China through agricultural intensification, and restoration of degraded and desertified ecosystems,LAND DEGRADATION AND DEVELOPMENT, Issue 6 2002R. Lal Abstract The industrial emission of carbon (C) in China in 2000 was about 1,Pg,yr,1, which may surpass that of the United States (1,84,Pg,C) by 2020. China's large land area, similar in size to that of the United States, comprises 124,Mha of cropland, 400,Mha of grazing land and 134,Mha of forestland. Terrestrial C pool of China comprises about 35,60,Pg in the forest and 120,186,Pg in soils. Soil degradation is a major issue affecting 145,Mha by different degradative processes, of which 126,Mha are prone to accelerated soil erosion. Total annual loss by erosion is estimated at 5,5,Pg of soil and 15,9,Tg of soil organic carbon (SOC). Erosion-induced emission of C into the atmosphere may be 32,64,Tg,yr,1. The SOC pool progressively declined from the 1930s to 1980s in soils of northern China and slightly increased in those of southern China because of change in land use. Management practices that lead to depletion of the SOC stock are cultivation of upland soils, negative nutrient balance in cropland, residue removal, and soil degradation by accelerated soil erosion and salinization and the like. Agricultural practices that enhance the SOC stock include conversion of upland to rice paddies, integrated nutrient management based on liberal use of biosolids and compost, crop rotations that return large quantities of biomass, and conservation-effective systems. Adoption of recommended management practices can increase SOC concentration in puddled soil, red soil, loess soils, and salt-affected soils. In addition, soil restoration has a potential to sequester SOC. Total potential of soil C sequestration in China is 105,198,Tg,C,yr,1 of SOC and 7,138,Tg,C,yr,1 for soil inorganic carbon (SIC). The accumulative potential of soil C sequestration of 11,Pg at an average rate of 224,Tg,yr,1 may be realized by 2050. Soil C sequestration potential can offset about 20 per cent of the annual industrial emissions in China. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Nigrostriatal dysfunction in homozygous and heterozygous parkin gene carriers: An 18F-dopa PET progression study,MOVEMENT DISORDERS, Issue 15 2009Nicola Pavese MD Abstract Little is known about the rate of progression of striatal dysfunction in subjects with parkin -linked parkinsonism. Being a heterozygous parkin gene carrier may confer susceptibility to Parkinson's disease (PD). In a previous 18F-dopa PET study, we reported that 69% of carriers of a single parkin mutation showed subclinical loss of putamen dopaminergic function. Using serial 18F-dopa PET, the present longitudinal study addresses rates of progression of nigrostriatal dysfunction in both compound heterozygous (parkin -linked parkinsonism) and single heterozygous parkin gene carriers. Three symptomatic patients who were compound heterozygotes for parkin gene mutations and six asymptomatic heterozygous carriers were clinically assessed and had 18F-dopa PET at baseline and again after 5 years. The patients with symptomatic parkin showed a mean 0.5% annual reduction in putamen 18F-dopa uptake over 5 years while caudate 18F-dopa uptake declined by a mean annual rate of 2 %. The asymptomatic heterozygote gene carriers showed a mean 0.56% annual reduction in putamen and 0.62 % annual reduction in caudate 18F-dopa uptake. Neurological examination at both baseline and follow-up showed no evidence of parkinsonism. Loss of nigrostriatal dysfunction in parkin -linked parkinsonism occurs at a very slow rate compared to the 9,12% annual loss of putamen 18F-dopa uptake reported for idiopathic PD. Although subclinical reductions of striatal 18F-dopa uptake are common in carriers of a single parkin mutation their slow rate of progression suggests that few if any of these will develop clinical parkinsonism. © 2009 Movement Disorder Society [source] A prospective study of lung function among boilermaker construction workers exposed to combustion particulatesAMERICAN JOURNAL OF INDUSTRIAL MEDICINE, Issue 5 2001Russ Hauser MD Abstract Background Given the evidence of both acute cross-shift and short-term decrements in lung function in boilermaker construction workers following occupational exposure to combustion particulates, we sought to determine whether exposure is associated with an annual loss in lung function. Methods As part of an ongoing investigation, we conducted a 2-year longitudinal study of lung function among 118 boilermakers. Exposure was assessed with a work history questionnaire. Spirometry measurements were performed annually. Results We found an association between annual FEV1 and hours worked at a gas-fired plant during the previous year, ,,=,,,9.8 mls/100 hours worked (95% CI: ,,16.0, ,,3.5) after adjustment for age, baseline FEV1 and cigarette smoking status. The adjusted association between FEV1 and "ever" worked at a gas-fired plant was ,,,99.7 mls (95% CI: ,,154.8, ,,44.5). There was also evidence of a negative association between FEV1 and "ever" worked and hours worked at oil and coal-fired plants. Conclusions These data suggest an association between annual lung function loss and working at gas, coal and oil-fired plants. Further follow-up of this cohort of boilermakers is in progress. Am. J. Ind. Med. 39:454,462, 2001. © 2001 Wiley-Liss, Inc. [source] Strategic planning for captive populations: projecting changes in genetic diversityANIMAL CONSERVATION, Issue 1 2004Joanne M. Earnhardt Maintenance of genetic diversity is critical for the preservation of small populations. Most captive populations are small and managers focus their efforts on reducing extinction risks by minimising loss of genetic diversity. To project changes in genetic diversity, managers use a genetic drift model. We used data from 40 managed captive populations to test whether this drift model is a good predictor of change in genetic diversity by comparing projected 10-year trajectories of annual loss in expected heterozygosity with the changes estimated from pedigree analysis. We found that the drift model frequently overestimated the rate at which genetic diversity would be lost and could not predict increases, which we observed in 22 species. We suggest that the drift model does not adequately reflect the potential for management strategies, such as prioritised breeding recommendations and recruitment of potential founders, to slow the loss of genetic diversity. In many cases, the drift model may be overly pessimistic, leading managers to seek solutions such as importation, increased population size or the abandonment of a captive population, that may be unnecessary or premature. Managers should be cautious when interpreting results from genetic drift models, taking care to assess how management actions might lead to more optimistic prognoses. [source] Pricing Reinsurance Contracts on FDIC LossesFINANCIAL MARKETS, INSTITUTIONS & INSTRUMENTS, Issue 3 2008Dilip B. Madan This paper proposes a pricing model for the FDIC's reinsurance risk. We derive a closed-form Weibull call option pricing model to price a call-spread a reinsurer might sell to the FDIC. To obtain the risk-neutral loss-density necessary to price this call spread we risk-neutralize a Weibull distributed FDIC annual losses by a tilting coefficient estimated from the traded call options on the BKX index. An application of the proposed approach yield reasonable reinsurance prices. [source] | ||||||||||||||||