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Ground Temperatures (ground + temperature)
Selected AbstractsThermal modelling and experimental validation of ground temperature distribution in greenhouseINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENERGY RESEARCH, Issue 1 2004M.K. Ghosal Senior Research Fellow Abstract A periodic analysis for daily and monthly variations of ground temperature with depths is presented both under greenhouse and bare surface conditions of Delhi and for bare surface condition in other climates of India in order to design an efficient earth to air heat exchanger for greenhouse system. Calculations were carried out for a typical winter and summer day of Delhi in year 2000. Predicted values of ground temperature at 1 m depth were in fair agreement with experimental values under both conditions. Ground temperatures at various depths inside greenhouse were found to be on an average 7,9°C and 3,6°C higher than bare surface for daily and monthly variations respectively. Copyright © 2004 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] A world-wide study of high altitude treeline temperaturesJOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY, Issue 5 2004Christian Körner Abstract Aim, At a coarse scale, the treelines of the world's mountains seem to follow a common isotherm, but the evidence for this has been indirect so far. Here we aim at underpinning this with facts. Location, We present the results of a data-logging campaign at 46 treeline sites between 68° N and 42° S. Methods, We measured root-zone temperatures with an hourly resolution over 1,3 years per site between 1996 and 2003. Results, Disregarding taxon-, landuse- or fire-driven tree limits, high altitude climatic treelines are associated with a seasonal mean ground temperature of 6.7 °C (±0.8 SD; 2.2 K amplitude of means for different climatic zones), a surprisingly narrow range. Temperatures are higher (7,8 °C) in the temperate and Mediterranean zone treelines, and are lower in equatorial treelines (5,6 °C) and in the subarctic and boreal zone (6,7 °C). While air temperatures are higher than soil temperatures in warm periods, and are lower than soil temperatures in cold periods, daily means of air and soil temperature are almost the same at 6,7 °C, a physics driven coincidence with the global mean temperature at treeline. The length of the growing season, thermal extremes or thermal sums have no predictive value for treeline altitude on a global scale. Some Mediterranean (Fagus spp.) and temperate South Hemisphere treelines (Nothofagus spp.) and the native treeline in Hawaii (Metrosideros) are located at substantially higher isotherms and represent genus-specific boundaries rather than boundaries of the life-form tree. In seasonal climates, ground temperatures in winter (absolute minima) reflect local snow pack and seem uncritical. Main conclusions, The data support the hypothesis of a common thermal threshold for forest growth at high elevation, but also reflect a moderate region and substantial taxonomic influence. [source] Permafrost thermal state in the polar Northern Hemisphere during the international polar year 2007,2009: a synthesisPERMAFROST AND PERIGLACIAL PROCESSES, Issue 2 2010Vladimir E. Romanovsky Abstract The permafrost monitoring network in the polar regions of the Northern Hemisphere was enhanced during the International Polar Year (IPY), and new information on permafrost thermal state was collected for regions where there was little available. This augmented monitoring network is an important legacy of the IPY, as is the updated baseline of current permafrost conditions against which future changes may be measured. Within the Northern Hemisphere polar region, ground temperatures are currently being measured in about 575 boreholes in North America, the Nordic region and Russia. These show that in the discontinuous permafrost zone, permafrost temperatures fall within a narrow range, with the mean annual ground temperature (MAGT) at most sites being higher than ,2°C. A greater range in MAGT is present within the continuous permafrost zone, from above ,1°C at some locations to as low as ,15°C. The latest results indicate that the permafrost warming which started two to three decades ago has generally continued into the IPY period. Warming rates are much smaller for permafrost already at temperatures close to 0°C compared with colder permafrost, especially for ice-rich permafrost where latent heat effects dominate the ground thermal regime. Colder permafrost sites are warming more rapidly. This improved knowledge about the permafrost thermal state and its dynamics is important for multidisciplinary polar research, but also for many of the 4 million people living in the Arctic. In particular, this knowledge is required for designing effective adaptation strategies for the local communities under warmer climatic conditions. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Two decades of responses (1986,2006) to climate by the Laurichard rock glacier, French AlpsPERMAFROST AND PERIGLACIAL PROCESSES, Issue 4 2009Xavier Bodin Abstract The Laurichard active rock glacier is the permafrost-related landform with the longest record of monitoring in France, including an annual geodetic survey, repeated geoelectrical campaigns from 1979 onwards and continuous recording of ground temperature since 2003. These data were used to examine changes in creep rates and internal structure from 1986 to 2006. The control that climatic variables exert on rock glacier kinematics was investigated over three time scales. Between the 1980s and the early 2000s, the main observed changes were a general increase in surface velocity and a decrease in internal resistivity. At a multi-year scale, the high correlation between surface movement and snow thickness in the preceding December appears to confirm the importance of snow cover conditions in early winter through their influence on the ground thermal regime. A comparison of surface velocities, regional climatic datasets and ground sub-surface temperatures over six years suggests a strong relation between rock glacier deformation and ground temperature, as well as a role for liquid water due to melt of thick snow cover. Finally, unusual surface lowering that accompanied peak velocities in 2004 may be due to a general thaw of the top of the permafrost, probably caused both by two successive snowy winters and by high energy inputs during the warm summer of 2003. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Winter streamflow, ground temperature and active-layer thickness in Northeast ChinaPERMAFROST AND PERIGLACIAL PROCESSES, Issue 1 2003Prof. Jingshi Liu Abstract Seasonal freezing and thawing influence the hydrological regimes of winter streamflow in northeast China where abrupt increases of 1.3° C and 2.8° C in the annual and winter air temperatures have occurred since the 1990s. Correlation between winter discharge and soil freezing is based upon hydrometeorological and geocryological data for the last 40 years. A mountainous watershed is used. The active-layer temperature is estimated by a statistical model derived from annual air temperature, its annual range and the maximum depth of snow cover in January. Results indicate an asymptotic curve between winter streamflow and both thickness of the active layer and winter temperature. They imply that winter streamflow increases with a thickening of the active layer and a decrease in the depth of seasonal frost penetration in winter. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Thermal Characteristics of the Embankment with Crushed Rock Side Slope to Mitigate Thaw Settlement Hazards of the Qinghai-Tibet RailwayACTA GEOLOGICA SINICA (ENGLISH EDITION), Issue 5 2009Guoyu LI Abstract: Permafrost (perennially frozen ground) appears widely in the Golmud-Lhasa section of the Qinghai-Tibet railway and is characterized by high ground temperature (,,1°C) and massive ground ice. Under the scenarios of global warming and human activity, the permafrost under the railway will gradually thaw and the massive ground ice will slowly melt, resulting in some thaw settlement hazards, which mainly include longitudinal and lateral cracks, and slope failure. The crushed rock layer has a thermal semiconductor effect under the periodic fluctuation of natural air. It can be used to lower the temperature of the underlying permafrost along the Qinghai-Tibet railway, and mitigate the thaw settlement hazards of the subgrade. In the present paper, the daily and annual changes in the thermal characteristics of the embankment with crushed rock side slope (ECRSS) were quantitatively simulated using the numerical method to study the cooling effect of the crushed rock layer and its mitigative ability. The results showed that the ECRSS absorbed some heat in the daytime in summer, but part of it was released at night, which accounted for approximately 20% of that absorbed. Within a year, it removed more heat from the railway subgrade in winter than that absorbed in summer. It can store approximately 20% of the "cold" energy in subgrade. Therefore, ECRSS is a better measure to mitigate thaw settlement hazards to the railway. [source] Permafrost Characteristics of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau and Methods of Roadbed Construction of RailwayACTA GEOLOGICA SINICA (ENGLISH EDITION), Issue 5 2008NIU Fujun Abstract Permafrost along the Qinghai-Tibet railway is featured by abundant ground ice and high ground temperature. Under the influence of climate warming and engineering activities, the permafrost is under degradation process. The main difficulty in railway roadbed construction is how to prevent thawing settlement caused by degradation of permafrost Therefore the proactively cooling methods based on controlling solar radiation, heat conductivity and heat convection were adopted instead of the traditional passive methods, which is simply increasing thermal resistance. The cooling methods used in the Qinghai-Tibet railway construction include sunshine-shielding roadbeds, crushed rock based roadbeds, roadbeds with rock revetments, duct-ventilated roadbeds, thermosyphon installed roadbeds and land bridges. The field monitored data show that the cooling methods are effective in protecting the underlying permafrost, the permafrost table was uplifted under the embankments and therefore the roadbed stability was guaranteed. [source] Earth hummocks (thúfur): new insights to their thermal characteristics and development in eastern Lesotho, southern AfricaEARTH SURFACE PROCESSES AND LANDFORMS, Issue 5 2005Stefan W. Grab Abstract The aspect-controlled variations in soil freezing within earth hummocks of eastern Lesotho (southern Africa) are analysed. Ground thermal data were measured for an earth hummock from late autumn to early spring in 1995 and 1996, using TinytalkÔ data loggers. During 1995, ground temperatures were recorded at 15 and 20 cm depth on the hummock north, east, south and west aspects, whilst in 1996 temperatures were recorded at 1 cm, 5 cm and 10 cm on the north and south aspects. The data from 1995 indicate that soil freezing commences on the hummock southern aspects and gradually progresses towards the western and northern aspects, whilst the eastern aspect remained unfrozen throughout winter. The data from 1996 indicate that a thick snow cover almost nullifies the temperature differences between the hummock northern and southern aspects. However, given the relative absence of snow during contemporary winters, freeze intensity and duration is longest on the hummock southern and western aspects, which helps explain earth hummock deformation (elongation and coalescence) in a southwesterly direction on slope gradients ,3°. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Regional-scale measurements of CH4 exchange from a tall tower over a mixed temperate/boreal lowland and wetland forestGLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, Issue 9 2003Cindy Werner The biosphere,atmosphere exchange of methane (CH4) was estimated for a temperate/boreal lowland and wetland forest ecosystem in northern Wisconsin for 1997,1999 using the modified Bowen ratio (MBR) method. Gradients of CH4 and CO2 and CO2 flux were measured on the 447-m WLEF-TV tower as part of the Chequamegon Ecosystem,Atmosphere Study (ChEAS). No systematic diurnal variability was observed in regional CH4 fluxes measured using the MBR method. In all 3 years, regional CH4 emissions reached maximum values during June,August (24±14.4 mg m,2 day,1), coinciding with periods of maximum soil temperatures. In 1997 and 1998, the onset in CH4 emission was coincident with increases in ground temperatures following the melting of the snow cover. The onset of emission in 1999 lagged 100 days behind the 1997 and 1998 onsets, and was likely related to postdrought recovery of the regional water table to typical levels. The net regional emissions were 3.0, 3.1, and 2.1 g CH4 m,2 for 1997, 1998, and 1999, respectively. Annual emissions for wetland regions within the source area (28% of the land area) were 13.2, 13.8, and 10.3 g CH4 m,2 assuming moderate rates of oxidation of CH4 in upland regions in 1997, 1998, and 1999, respectively. Scaling these measurements to the Chequamegon Ecosystem (CNNF) and comparing with average wetland emissions between 40°N and 50°N suggests that wetlands in the CNNF emit approximately 40% less than average wetlands at this latitude. Differences in mean monthly air temperatures did not affect the magnitude of CH4 emissions; however, reduced precipitation and water table levels suppressed CH4 emission during 1999, suggesting that long-term climatic changes that reduce the water table will likely transform this landscape to a reduced source or possibly a sink for atmospheric CH4. [source] A world-wide study of high altitude treeline temperaturesJOURNAL OF BIOGEOGRAPHY, Issue 5 2004Christian Körner Abstract Aim, At a coarse scale, the treelines of the world's mountains seem to follow a common isotherm, but the evidence for this has been indirect so far. Here we aim at underpinning this with facts. Location, We present the results of a data-logging campaign at 46 treeline sites between 68° N and 42° S. Methods, We measured root-zone temperatures with an hourly resolution over 1,3 years per site between 1996 and 2003. Results, Disregarding taxon-, landuse- or fire-driven tree limits, high altitude climatic treelines are associated with a seasonal mean ground temperature of 6.7 °C (±0.8 SD; 2.2 K amplitude of means for different climatic zones), a surprisingly narrow range. Temperatures are higher (7,8 °C) in the temperate and Mediterranean zone treelines, and are lower in equatorial treelines (5,6 °C) and in the subarctic and boreal zone (6,7 °C). While air temperatures are higher than soil temperatures in warm periods, and are lower than soil temperatures in cold periods, daily means of air and soil temperature are almost the same at 6,7 °C, a physics driven coincidence with the global mean temperature at treeline. The length of the growing season, thermal extremes or thermal sums have no predictive value for treeline altitude on a global scale. Some Mediterranean (Fagus spp.) and temperate South Hemisphere treelines (Nothofagus spp.) and the native treeline in Hawaii (Metrosideros) are located at substantially higher isotherms and represent genus-specific boundaries rather than boundaries of the life-form tree. In seasonal climates, ground temperatures in winter (absolute minima) reflect local snow pack and seem uncritical. Main conclusions, The data support the hypothesis of a common thermal threshold for forest growth at high elevation, but also reflect a moderate region and substantial taxonomic influence. [source] Interannual changes in seasonal ground freezing and near-surface heat flow beneath bottom-fast ice in the near-shore zone, Mackenzie Delta, NWT, CanadaPERMAFROST AND PERIGLACIAL PROCESSES, Issue 3 2010Christopher W. Stevens Abstract Interannual changes in seasonal ground freezing and near-surface heat flow beneath zones of bottom-fast ice (BFI) were examined over the winters of 2005,06 and 2006,07 within the near-shore zone of the Mackenzie Delta, Canada. Winter variability in ground thermal conditions was determined at three monitoring sites. Ground-penetrating radar surveys were conducted in late winter to determine spatial variability in landfast ice conditions and the extent of ice-bonded sediments. Shallow water sites (<0.5,m-water depth) were characterised by early onset of BFI, freezeback of the active layer and mean winter sediment bed temperatures ranging between ,3°C and ,10°C. In contrast, deep water sites (>1,m of water) experienced prolonged periods of floating ice, which limited the duration of ice contact with the sediment bed and the depth of seasonal frost, and resulted in warmer winter ground temperatures (between ,0.5°C and ,2.6°C). Under similar water depths, interannual changes in ice growth altered the timing of BFI and winter heat loss from the ground. When comparing conditions over the two winters, 2005,06 was characterised by a decrease in ice thickness that limited the extent of BFI and seasonal cooling of the ground. These changes in ice conditions had a greater effect on the thermal conditions at sites where water depths were close to the maximum ice thickness. The short ice contact times at these sites are important to the thermal state of permafrost, as only minimal heat exchange contributing to permafrost cooling occurs prior to freezeback of the active layer. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Permafrost thermal state in the polar Northern Hemisphere during the international polar year 2007,2009: a synthesisPERMAFROST AND PERIGLACIAL PROCESSES, Issue 2 2010Vladimir E. Romanovsky Abstract The permafrost monitoring network in the polar regions of the Northern Hemisphere was enhanced during the International Polar Year (IPY), and new information on permafrost thermal state was collected for regions where there was little available. This augmented monitoring network is an important legacy of the IPY, as is the updated baseline of current permafrost conditions against which future changes may be measured. Within the Northern Hemisphere polar region, ground temperatures are currently being measured in about 575 boreholes in North America, the Nordic region and Russia. These show that in the discontinuous permafrost zone, permafrost temperatures fall within a narrow range, with the mean annual ground temperature (MAGT) at most sites being higher than ,2°C. A greater range in MAGT is present within the continuous permafrost zone, from above ,1°C at some locations to as low as ,15°C. The latest results indicate that the permafrost warming which started two to three decades ago has generally continued into the IPY period. Warming rates are much smaller for permafrost already at temperatures close to 0°C compared with colder permafrost, especially for ice-rich permafrost where latent heat effects dominate the ground thermal regime. Colder permafrost sites are warming more rapidly. This improved knowledge about the permafrost thermal state and its dynamics is important for multidisciplinary polar research, but also for many of the 4 million people living in the Arctic. In particular, this knowledge is required for designing effective adaptation strategies for the local communities under warmer climatic conditions. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Degradation of permafrost in the Xing'anling Mountains, northeastern ChinaPERMAFROST AND PERIGLACIAL PROCESSES, Issue 3 2007Huijun Jin Abstract Permafrost in the Da and Xiao Xing'anling Mountains in northeastern China is warm, thin and sensitive to climatic warming. In the 1970s, the southern limit of permafrost (SLP) was empirically correlated to the ,1 to 0°C isotherms of mean annual air temperature (MAAT) in the western part of the Da Xing'anling Mountains, to about 0°C in the northern part of the Songnen Plain, and to 0 to +1°C in the eastern part of the Xiao Xing'anling Mountains. Climate warming and deforestation have led to permafrost degradation as shown by deepening of the active layer, thinning permafrost, rising ground temperatures, expanding taliks and the disappearance of permafrost patches. The present position of the SLP was estimated using the ,1.0 to +1.0°C MAAT isotherms for 1991,2000. Compared to the SLP in the 1970s, areas of sporadic discontinuous and isolated patchy permafrost have decreased by 90,000,100,000,km2, or 35,37% of their total areal extent (260,000,270,000,km2) in the 1970s. Recent field observations along the Hei'he to Bei'an Highway, the proposed Mo'he to Daqing Crude Oil Pipeline route and the Hai'lar to Daqing Highway confirm these changes. Continuing northward shifting of the SLP is likely to occur during the next 40,50 years under a warming of 1.0,1.5 °C, reducing the permafrost areal extent to an estimated 35% of that in the 1970s and 1980s. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] A review of recent frozen soil engineering in permafrost regions along Qinghai-Tibet Highway, ChinaPERMAFROST AND PERIGLACIAL PROCESSES, Issue 3 2002Wu Qingbai Abstract The nature of frozen soil research along the Qinghai-Tibet Highway between 1993 and 2000 is systemically reviewed. Recent studies involve the engineering geology of frozen soil, the study of ground temperatures under the roadbed and the influence of the frozen soil environment, the engineering classification of frozen soils, and the use of geographical information systems. This research will materially assist in the construction of the Qinghai-Tibet Railway. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Ground thermal conditions in a frost-crack polygon, a palsa and a mineral palsa (lithalsa) in the discontinuous permafrost zone, northern SwedenPERMAFROST AND PERIGLACIAL PROCESSES, Issue 4 2001Bo Westin Abstract Ground temperature measurements were collected during 1997 to 1998 at three locations in the discontinuous permafrost zone in northern Sweden. Measurements were made in two frost-crack polygons, two palsas and a mineral palsa (lithalsa). Important for the formation of permafrost at all locations are (i) the absence of snow and, (ii) local soil properties. The seasonal variation in apparent thermal diffusivity,with higher diffusivities in summer than in winter in the mineral soil of the frost-crack polygon and relatively little seasonal variation in the peat of the palsas,is the main cause for the cooler conditions in the palsas in summer. Morphology adds to the temperature fluctuations as indicated by highly fluctuating ground temperatures in the dome-shaped mineral palsa as compared to the frost-crack polygon. Occasional ground temperature gradients of more than ,10 °C/m are probably sufficient for seasonal frost cracking. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. RÉSUMÉ En trois endroits de la zone du pergélisol discontinu, Staloluokta, Kisuris, et Laivadalen dans le nord de la Suède où les températures moyennes annuelles sont d'environ,0.9°C, des mesures de température du sol ont été réalisées jusqu'à des profondeurs de 125 cm dans deux polygones de fissures de gel, deux palses et une palse minérale (lithalse). Le facteur le plus important pour la formation du pergélisol en tous les sites étudiés paraît être l'absence de couverture neigeuse et secondairement les propriétés des sols. Le pergélisol a été trouvé dans les sols des polygones de fissures de gel, dans les palses et la palse minérale, en des endroits où probablement une faible couverture de neige existe en hiver. La variation saisonnière de la diffusivité thermique apparente,avec une plus grande diffusivité en été qu'en hiver dans le sol minéral du polygone de fissure de gel et relativement peu de variations saisonnières dans la tourbe des palses,a été la cause principale des conditions plus froides dans la palse en hiver. La morphologie des formes périglaciaires peut engendrer des fluctuations de température plus importantes comme l'indique la grande variation de la température du sol dans une palse minérale en forme de dôme par comparaison avec ce qui se produit dans un polygone de fissures de gel de la même région. En outre, des gradients de température de plus de 10°C/m dans le sol gelé de la majeure partie des formes étudiées ont été probablement suffisants pour permettre la fissuration par contraction thermique. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Three deep Alpine-permafrost boreholes in Svalbard and ScandinaviaPERMAFROST AND PERIGLACIAL PROCESSES, Issue 1 2001Ketil Isaksen Abstract The presence and thermal character of permafrost reflect past and present surface energy balances plus the heat flux from the Earth's interior. Analysis of permafrost ground temperatures constitutes a key research tool for detecting thermal anomalies caused by twentieth-century warming. Three deep boreholes in alpine permafrost were drilled in Svalbard and Scandinavia and form part of the latitudinal transect of mountain permafrost boreholes through the mountains of Europe established under the EU PACE (Permafrost and Climate in Europe) project. The northernmost borehole in the transect, at Janssonhaugen (depth 102 m), western Svalbard (78°10,46,,N, 16°28,01,,E, 270 m ASL) was drilled in May 1998. In Scandinavia, boreholes were drilled at Tarfalaryggen (depth 100 m), northern Sweden (67°55,09,,N, 18°38,29,,E, 1550 m ASL) in March 2000 and at Juvvasshøe (depth 129 m), southern Norway (61°40,32,,N, 08°22,04,,E, 1894 m ASL) in August 1999. Permafrost thickness at Janssonhaugen is estimated as approximately 220 m. The temperature profiles on Tarfalaryggen and Juvvasshøe show anomalously low geothermal gradients, indicating low heat flow through thick permafrost (,350 m and ,380 m respectively). Palaeoclimatic analysis based on inversion modelling of the ground temperature measurements at Janssonhaugen shows near surface warming of 1.5 ± 0.5 °C during the twentieth century. Both the Tarfalaryggen and Juvvasshøe boreholes also reveal thermal anomalies, which reflect a surface warming over the past decades, with a magnitude of approximately 0.5,1.0 °C. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. RÉSUMÉ L'existence d'un pergélisol ainsi que ses caractères thermiques reflètent la balance entre l'énergie de surface (passée et actuelle) et le flux de chaleur interne de la terre. L'étude des températures du pergélisol constitue ainsi une recherche fondamentale pour détecter les anomalies thermiques dues au réchauffement du vingtième siècle. Trois sondages profonds dans le pergélisol alpin ont été réalisés au Svalbard et en Scandinavie. Ils constituent une partie du transect en latitude de sondages du pergélisol de montagne réalisé dans le cadre du projet de l'Union Européenne Pace (Pergélisol et Climat en Europe). Le sondage le plus septentrional du transect a été foré en mai 1998 à Janssonhaugen (profondeur 102 m), à l'ouest de Svalbard (78°10,46,,N, 16°28,01,,E, à 270 m d'altitude). En Scandinavie, des sondages ont été réalisés en mars 2000 à Tarfallaryggen (profondeur 100 m) au nord de la Suède (67°55,09,,N, 18°38,29,,E, à 1550 m d'altitude) et en août 1999 à Juvvasshoe (profondeur 129 m), au sud de la Norvège (61°40,32,,N, 08°22,04,,E, à 1894 m d'altitude). L'épaisseur du pergélisol à Janssonhaugen est approximativement de 220 m. Les profils de température à Tarfalaryggen et à Juvvasshoe montrent des gradients géothermiques anormalement faibles, indiquant un faible écoulement de chaleur au travers d'un pergélisol épais (respectivement d'environ 350 m et 380 m). Des analyses paléoclimatiques basées sur un modèle d'inversion des mesures de la température du sol à Janssonhaugen indiquent un réchauffement près de la surface de 1.5 0.5 °C pendant le 20e siècle. A la fois à Tarfalarygen et à Juvvasshoe, les anomalies thermiques existantes révèlent un réchauffement de la surface d'une ampleur de approximative de 0.5 à 1.0 °C au cours des dernières décades [source] |