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Good Predictive Value (good + predictive_value)
Selected AbstractsPrediction of hyperbilirubinaemia in the healthy term newbornACTA PAEDIATRICA, Issue 2 2001X Carbonell The aim is to establish the correlation between transcutaneous bilirubin (TCB) and serum bilirubin (TSB) and its predictive value for significant hyperbilirubinaemia ,290 mcmol/L (17mg/dL). We studied a total of 2004 healthy full-term newborns, weight 3.230g ± 491g; 90% received breast milk. The study was performed in two phases. In the first phase (610 newborns), the following tests were carried out: hematocrit and bilirubin in umbilical cord blood; TCB at 24 h, 48 h and between 60 h and 96 h at the forehead and over the sternum; TSB was measured along with this last test. In the second phase (1394 newborns), the predictive value of TCB and TSB was validated. The incidence of bilirubin >290 mcmol/L was 2.95% and 3.2%. The correlation between TSB and TCB is high (n= 996; r = 0.92; y = 5.916 + 0.804x; p < 0.000). There was a better correlation between TCB and TSB with sternal compared to forehead determination (< 24 h: 0.81 vs 0.77; 24,48 h: 0.887 vs 0.83; and >48 h: 0.94 vs 0.83). The study showed the scant sensitivity of umbilical cord blood bilirubin and good predictive value at 24 h of TSB > 102 mcmol/L (6mg/dL) and at 48 h of TSB > 154 mcmol/L (9mg/dL) and TCB > 13 (equivalent to 154 mcmol/L). Conclusion: There is a good correlation between TCB and TSB. In infants with TSB 102 mcmol/L at 24 h or TSB > 154 mcmol/L or transcutaneous readings > 13 h at 48 h, a TSB test must be performed after 48 h of life. [source] Testing the outcome score of spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage in haemodialysis patientsINTERNAL MEDICINE JOURNAL, Issue 10 2009B.-R. Huang Abstract The aim of this study is to determine the predictive value of the spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) outcome score (which we described previously) in haemodialysis (HD) patients who develop spontaneous ICH. The validation cohort consisted of all HD patients with spontaneous ICH presenting to Chang Gung Memorial Hospital in Taiwan during 2005,2007. The data were collected from one hospital and prospectively analysed, and the predictive model was tested using an external validation dataset. The prognostic factors were confirmed by chi-squared testing. We calculated the 30-day mortality in different groups of the validation cohort divided according to outcome score and tested the predictive value of the outcome score. The overall mortality rate was 52.6% in 38 HD patients. The originally identified prognostic factors were Glasgow Coma Scale score, age ,70 years, systolic blood pressure <130 or ,200 mmHg, ICH volume ,30 mL, presence of intraventricular haemorrhage and serum glucose ,8.8 mmol/L. All but one (serum glucose ,8.8 mmol/L (P= 0.07)) were subsequently found to be associated with 30-day mortality. In patients scoring 6 and 7, mortality was 100%, but in patients scoring 0, it was only 11.1%. The 30-day mortality in the validation cohort increased steadily with score and had good predictive value (correlation coefficient = 0.986, P < 0.001). Similar results in two different cohorts indicate that the ICH outcome score is a reliable outcome measure. [source] Minireview: does in-vitro testing of oximes help predict their in-vivo action after paraoxon exposure?JOURNAL OF APPLIED TOXICOLOGY, Issue 6 2009D. E. Lorke Abstract K-oximes have recently been developed in the search for efficacious broad-band reactivators of acetylcholinesterase (AChE) inhibited by organophosphorus compounds (OPC). Before clinical use, their toxicity and efficacy need to be assessed, and there is clear demand for simple in vitro tests that can predict in vivo performance. This article summarizes our in vitro data obtained for conventional and experimental oximes in human and rat blood exposed to the OPC paraoxon and correlates them with our in vivo results. The intrinsic AChE inhibitory activity of oximes, as reflected by their in vitro IC50, is strongly correlated with their LD50 (rat): oximes with a high IC50 (K-27, K-48, pralidoxime and obidoxime) also show a high LD50 and are thus relatively non-toxic, whereas oximes K-105, K-108 and K-113 have a low IC50, a low LD50 and are far more toxic. The IC50 is also correlated with the in vivo capacity to protect from paraoxon-induced mortality: oximes with a higher IC50 reduce the relative risk of death more. In contrast, the protective ability as assessed in vitro by the slope of the IC50 shift (tan,), is not correlated with in vivo protection from paraoxon-induced mortality: the best in vivo protectors (K-27 and K-48) show a much lower tan, value (around 2) than K-110 and K-113 (tan, around 10), which hardly reduce the relative risk of death after paraoxon exposure. The partition coefficient logP of the individual oximes is inversely correlated with their IC50 and with their LD50 and is therefore an indicator of toxicity: strongly hydrophilic oximes tend to be less toxic than less hydrophilic ones. These data highlight the good predictive value of in vitro IC50 testing for in vivo toxicity and the limited practical significance of in vitro assessment of protective potency. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Glass Transition and Food Technology: A Critical AppraisalJOURNAL OF FOOD SCIENCE, Issue 7 2002M. Le Meste ABSTRACT: Most low water content or frozen food products are partly or fully amorphous. This review will discuss the extent to which it is possible to understand and predict their behavior during processing and storage, on the basis of glass transition temperature values (Tg) and phenomena related to glass transition. Two main conclusions are provisionally proposed. Firstly, glass transition cannot be considered as an absolute threshold for molecular mobility. Transport of water and other small molecules takes place even in the glassy state at a significant rate, resulting in effective exchange of water in multi-domains foods or sensitivity to oxidation of encapsulated materials. Texture properties (crispness) also appear to be greatly affected by sub-Tg relaxations and aging below Tg. Secondly, glass transition is only one among the various factors controlling the kinetics of evolution of products during storage and processing. For processes such as collapse, caking, crystallization, and operations like drying, extrusion, flaking, Tg data and WLF kinetics have good predictive value as regards the effects of temperature and water content. On the contrary, chemical/biochemical reactions are frequently observed at temperature below Tg, albeit at a reduced rate, and WLF kinetics may be obscured by other factors. [source] |