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Factors Predictive (factor + predictive)
Selected AbstractsThe Prevalence, Incidence and Factors Predictive of Mental Ill-Health in Adults with Profound Intellectual Disabilities.JOURNAL OF APPLIED RESEARCH IN INTELLECTUAL DISABILITIES, Issue 6 2007Prospective Study [source] The Prevalence, Incidence and Factors Predictive of Mental Ill-Health in Adults with Profound Intellectual Disabilities.JOURNAL OF APPLIED RESEARCH IN INTELLECTUAL DISABILITIES, Issue 6 2007Prospective Study [source] Factors predictive of nephropathy in DCCT Type 1 diabetic patients with good or poor metabolic controlDIABETIC MEDICINE, Issue 7 2003L. Zhang Abstract Aims The study aim was to assess the time-related risk of developing diabetic nephropathy [albumin excretion rate (AER) , 40 mg/24 h] from baseline covariates in Type 1 diabetic patients with either good or poor metabolic control (MC). Methods Based on material from the Diabetes Control and Complications Trial study (n = 1441), patients were considered as under good or poor MC if their HbA1c mean level up to last visit fell in the lowest (, 6.9%) or highest (, 9.5%) quintile of the overall HbA1c distribution, respectively. Prevalence cases of nephropathy were excluded from the study. Survival analysis and Cox regression were applied to the data. Results Among patients with good MC (n = 277), 15% had developed nephropathy at the end of the study. Conversely, among patients with poor MC (n = 268), the proportion without the complication was 52%. When adjusting for MC, time to diabetic nephropathy was related to age (P < 0.0001), AER (P < 0.001), duration of diabetes (P < 0.005), body mass index (BMI) (P < 0.005), all at baseline, and to gender (P < 0.01). Patients with upper normal range AER levels, longer duration of diabetes and lower BMI were at higher risk, regardless of MC. The adverse effect of younger age on diabetic nephropathy was more marked in good than in poor MC. Although women tended to develop the complication more often under good MC, they appeared to be better protected under poor MC. Conclusions This study confirms occurrence of diabetic nephropathy under good MC and non-occurrence of the complication despite poor MC. It also demonstrates that some baseline covariates can affect, in a differential manner, time to diabetic nephropathy depending on MC. Diabet. Med. 20, 580,585 (2003) [source] Usefulness of follow-up after pancreatoduodenectomy for carcinoma of the ampulla of VaterHPB, Issue 2 2007LAURENCE CHICHE Abstract Background: The prognosis for carcinoma of the ampulla of Vater (CAV) is better than for pancreatic cancer. The 5-year survival median rate after resection of CAV is 45%, but late recurrences remain possible. Several survival factors have been identified (lymph nodes, perineural invasion), but few data are available on the type of recurrences, their impact and their management. Patients and methods: A total of 41 patients treated by pancreatoduodenectomy (PD) for CAV from 1980 to 2003 were studied retrospectively. Patient selection, long-term survival recurrence rate and recurrence treatment were reviewed. Univariate and multivariate proportional hazards analysis were conducted on this series. Results: The mean follow-up was 48 months. Five-year survival was 62.8%. Eleven patients had recurrences (6,67 months). Recurrence was associated with time to all-causes death (hazard ratio [HR] 4.3, p=0.003). Factors predictive of recurrence were perineural invasion (HR 5.3, p=0.02), lymph node invasion (HR 5.3, p=0.02) and differentiation (HR 0.2, p=0.05). Three patients underwent surgical R0 treatment of their recurrences. Two who presented with solitary liver metastasis are alive and disease-free. Conclusions: Recurrence represents a serious threat in the prognosis of CAV after surgery. Some of these recurrences, in particular liver metastases, are accessible for a curative treatment. This finding supports the usefulness of a close and long-term follow-up after surgery to improve survival of patients with CAV, especially in the group of patients with a good prognosis. [source] Poor correlation between clinical impression, the small colonic polyp and their neoplastic riskJOURNAL OF GASTROENTEROLOGY AND HEPATOLOGY, Issue 3 2006Ian Craig Lawrance Abstract Background and Objectives:, ,Significance of the small colonic polyp is unclear and its removal is frequently determined by the proceduralist's clinical impression. Our aims were to determine if clinical discernment is accurate, and the likelihood that lesions <,10 mm are histologically advanced. Method:, ,We prospectively collected 1988 lesions from 854 subjects (2215 consecutive colonoscopies). Lesion size, location, patient age, sex and the colonoscopist's clinical impression was recorded. Results:, Clinical assessment for neoplasia had a sensitivity of 87.4%, specificity of 65.0%, positive predictive value of 76.0% and negative predictive value of 80.2%, resulting in an accuracy of 73.4%. Factors predictive of correct clinical impression were polyp size, location in the rectum and being pedunculated, but not the patient's age, sex or the endoscopist's experience. Of the 1434 lesions ,,5 mm in size, 44.5% were neoplastic and 3.5% were histologically advanced. Of the 266 lesions 6,9 mm, 79.3% were neoplastic, 19.9% were histologically advanced, five demonstrated high-grade dysplasia and three were malignant. Only two patients with an adenocarcinoma or high-grade dysplasia in a polyp <10 mm had a lesion ,10 mm elsewhere in the colon. Of the 288 lesions ,10 mm in size, 92.7% were neoplastic, 29.5% had a villous component, 6.9% demonstrated high-grade dysplasia and 29.2% were malignant. Factors predictive of neoplasia were patient age, polyp size and sessile nature of the lesion. Conclusion:, Polyps <,10 mm had a significant risk of neoplasia and advanced histology and, in general, clinical impression correlated poorly with neoplasia. Removal of all lesions proximal to the rectum, regardless of size, should therefore be considered. [source] Predictors of Clinical Outcome Following NIR Stent Implantation for Coronary Artery Disease: Analysis of the Results of the First International New Intravascular Rigid-Flex Endovascular Stent Study (FINESS Trial)JOURNAL OF INTERVENTIONAL CARDIOLOGY, Issue 1 2002STEVEN FELD M.D. Background: Patient and procedural characteristics associated with major adverse cardiac events following balloon angioplasty have been identified. Factors predictive of angiographic restenosis following coronary stent implantation have been reported, although patient variables associated with adverse clinical outcome are not well defined. Hypothesis and Methods: To identify predictors of adverse clinical outcome following NIR stent implantation, clinical and angiographic characteristics of patients enrolled in the FINESS Trial were subjected to stepwise logistic regression analysis. From December 1995 through March 1996, NIR stent implantation was attempted in 255 patients (341 lesions) enrolled prospectively in a multicenter registry with broad entry criteria. Results: On stepwise logistic regression analysis, the presence of multivessel disease, diabetes, and the total length of the stented segment were predictive of major adverse cardiac events during 6-month follow-up. For every 1 mm increase in stent length, the risk for the combined end point of death or myocardial infarction increased by 3%. Lesion length was not predictive of clinical events on multivariate analysis. Conclusions: Our data raise the possibility that an attempt to use shorter stents to cover significant stenoses, but not adjacent areas of visible narrowing, may improve outcome. [source] Exploring the epidemiological characteristics of cancers of unknown primary site in an Australian population: implications for research and clinical careAUSTRALIAN AND NEW ZEALAND JOURNAL OF PUBLIC HEALTH, Issue 4 2008Colin Luke Abstract Objectives: To investigate incidence, mortality and case survival trends for cancer of unknown primary site (CUP) and consider clinical implications. Method: South Australian Cancer Registry data were used to calculate age-standardised incidence and mortality rates from 1977 to 2004. Disease-specific survivals, socio-demographic, histological and secular predictors of CUP, compared with cancers of known primary site, and of CUP histological types, using multivariable logistic regression were investigated. Results: Incidence and mortality rates increased approximately 60% between 1977-80 and 1981-84. Rates peaked in 1993-96. Male to female incidence and mortality rate ratios approximated 1.3:1. Incidence and mortality rates increased with age. The odds of unspecified histological type, compared with the more common adenocarcinomas, were higher for males than females, non-metropolitan residents, low socio-economic areas, and for 1977-88 than subsequent diagnostic periods. CUP represented a higher proportion of cancers in Indigenous patients. Case survival was 7% at 10 years from diagnosis. Factors predictive of lower case survival included older age, male sex, Indigenous status, lower socio-economic status, and unspecified histology type. Conclusion: Results point to poor CUP outcomes, but with a modest improvement in survival. The study identifies socio-demographic groups at elevated risk of CUP and of worse treatment outcomes where increased research and clinical attention are required. [source] Factors predictive of 5-year survival after transarterial chemoembolization for inoperable hepatocellular carcinoma,BRITISH JOURNAL OF SURGERY (NOW INCLUDES EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF SURGERY), Issue 3 2003C. B. O'Suilleabhain Background: Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is widely used for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but the long-term survival benefit remains unclear. Methods: Pretreatment variables were analysed for factors predictive of actual 5-year survival from a prospective database of patients with inoperable HCC treated by TACE between 1989 and 1996. Results: Complete 5-year follow-up (median 91 months) was obtained for 320 patients who underwent a median of 4 (range 1,41) TACEs. Median tumour size was 9 (range 1,28) cm. There were 25 5-year survivors (8 per cent), including eight with tumours larger than 10 cm in diameter and three with portal vein branch involvement. On univariate analysis, female gender (P = 0·037), absence of ascites (P = 0·028), platelet count below 150 ×109 per litre (P = 0·011), albumin concentration greater than 35 g/l (P = 0·04), ,-fetoprotein level below 1000 ng/ml (P = 0·007), unilobar tumour (P = 0·027), fewer than three tumours (P = 0·015), absence of venous invasion (P = 0·011), and tumour diameter less than 8 cm (P = 0·021) were significant predictors of 5-year survival. Albumin concentration greater than 35 g/l (P = 0·011), unilobar tumour (P = 0·012) and ,-fetoprotein level below 1000 ng/ml (P = 0·014) were independent prognostic factors on multivariate analysis. Conclusion: Five-year survival is possible with TACE for inoperable HCC, even in some patients with advanced tumours. Unilobar tumours, ,-fetoprotein level below 1000 ng/ml and albumin concentration greater than 35 g/l were factors predictive of 5-year survival. Copyright © 2003 British Journal of Surgery Society Ltd. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Analysis of prognostic factors in ewing sarcoma family of tumorsCANCER, Issue 2 2007Review of St. Jude Children's Research Hospital studies Abstract BACKGROUND. Advances in systemic and local therapies have improved outcomes for patients with the Ewing sarcoma family of tumors (ESFT). As new treatments are developed, a critical review of data from past treatment eras is needed to identify clinically relevant risk groups. METHODS. The authors reviewed the records of 220 patients with ESFT who were treated on protocols at St. Jude Children's Research Hospital from 1979 to 2004. Two treatment eras were defined. Factors predictive of outcome were analyzed to identify distinct risk groups. RESULTS. The median age at diagnosis was 13.7 years (range, 1.1,25.2 years). Metastatic disease was associated with tumors measuring >8 cm (P = .002) and axial location (P = .014). The 5-year overall survival (OS) estimate (63.5% ± 3.5%) did not appear to differ by protocol. Tumor stage and size were found to be the only independent predictors of outcome. Treatment era and type of local control therapy were found to influence the outcome of patients with localized disease. Four risk groups were defined: favorable risk (age <14 years with localized, nonpelvic tumors), intermediate risk (localized, age ,14 years, or pelvic tumors), unfavorable-pulmonary (isolated lung metastases), and unfavorable-extrapulmonary (extrapulmonary metastases). The 5-year OS estimates for these groups were 88.1% ± 4.4%, 64.9% ± 5.2%, 53.8% ± 9.4%, and 27.2% ± 7.3%, respectively (P < .001). The incidence of therapy-related leukemia was significantly higher during the second treatment era, when more intensified regimens were used (6.1% ± 2.7% vs 0% ± 0%; P = .005). CONCLUSIONS. Risk stratification schemes such as this should be used to prospectively evaluate novel risk-based therapies. Studies of biologic pathways may help to refine this model. Cancer 2007. © 2007 American Cancer Society. [source] Prognostic factors for patients with localized soft-tissue sarcoma treated with conservation surgery and radiation therapyCANCER, Issue 10 2003An analysis of 1225 patients Abstract BACKGROUND Prognostic factors for patients with soft-tissue sarcoma who are treated with conservative surgery and radiation are documented poorly. METHODS The clinicopathologic features and disease outcome for 1225 patients with localized sarcoma who were treated with conservative surgery and radiation were reviewed retrospectively. Actuarial univariate and multivariate statistical methods were used to determine significant prognostic factors for local control, metastatic recurrence, and disease specific survival. RESULTS The median follow-up of surviving patients was 9.5 years. The respective local control rates at 5 years, 10 years, and 15 years were 83%, 80%, and 79%. Factors predictive of local recurrence were positive or uncertain resection margins; tumors located in the head and neck and the deep trunk; presentation with local recurrence; patient age > 64 years; malignant fibrous histiocytoma, neurogenic sarcoma. or epithelioid sarcoma histopathology; tumor measuring > 10 cm in greatest dimension; and high pathologic grade. Freedom from metastasis at 5 years, 10 years, and 15 years was 71%, 68%, and 66%, respectively. Factors that were predictive of metastatic recurrence were high tumor grade; large tumor size (> 5 cm); and leiomyosarcoma, rhabdomyosarcoma, synovial sarcoma, or epithelioid sarcoma. The respective disease specific survival rates at 5 years, 10 years, and 15 years were 73%, 68%, and 65%. Adverse factors for disease specific survival were high tumor grade; large tumor size (> 5 cm); tumors located in the head and neck and deep trunk; rhabdomyosarcoma, epithelioid sarcoma, or clear cell sarcoma; patient age > 64 years; and positive or uncertain resection margins. CONCLUSIONS Soft-tissue sarcoma comprises a heterogeneous group of diseases. Prognostic factors for local recurrence, metastatic recurrence, lymph node recurrence, disease free survival, and disease specific survival are different, and optimal treatment strategies need to take this complexity into account. Cancer 2003;10:2530,43. © 2003 American Cancer Society. DOI 10.1002/cncr.11365 [source] Independent predictors of contralateral metachronous upper urinary tract transitional cell carcinoma after nephroureterectomy: Multi-institutional dataset from three European centersINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF UROLOGY, Issue 2 2009Giacomo Novara Objectives: To identify the variables predictive of contralateral metachronous upper urinary tract transitional cell carcinoma (UUT-TCC) after nephroureterectomy (NFU) for non-metastatic UUT-TCC. Methods: Clinical and pathological data of 234 patients who had undergone NFU for UUT-TCC from 1989 to 2005 in three European urological centers were retrospectively collected and analyzed. Results: The median follow-up duration for the whole cohort was 34 months. Contralateral metachronous UUT-TCC was detected in 14 patients (6%). Three patients were treated by NFU, while seven patients underwent ureterectomy and reimplantation and four patients were treated by endoscopic resection plus bacillus Calmette,Guérin instillations within the UUT through a nephrostomic tube. On univariate analysis, a prior history of bladder TCC before NFU was the only factor predictive of the occurrence of contralateral UUT-TCC. Specifically, the 5-year probabilities of being free from contralateral UUT-TCC were 96.6% for the patients with de novo UUT-TCC, and 91.1% and 55.3% for those having non-muscle-invasive and muscle invasive bladder TCC before the UUT cancer, respectively. All survival differences were statistically significant (no history of bladder TCC vs history of non-muscle-invasive bladder TCC, log rank P value 0.015; history of non-muscle-invasive bladder TCC vs history of muscle-invasive bladder TCC, log rank P value 0.035). Conclusions: In our multicenter dataset of patients who had undergone NFU for UUT-TCC, contralateral metachronous UUT-TCC occurred in 6% of the patients. A prior history of bladder TCC before NFU was the only variable predictive of UUT recurrence at univariate analysis. [source] Primary central nervous system post-transplantation lymphoproliferative disorder,CANCER, Issue 4 2010An International Primary Central Nervous System Lymphoma Collaborative Group Report Abstract BACKGROUND: Primary central nervous system (CNS) post-transplantation lymphoproliferative disorder (PCNS-PTLD) is a rare complication of solid organ transplantation. The objectives of this study were to define the clinical, radiologic, and pathologic features of this disease and to explore the impact of treatment on patient outcomes. METHODS: The authors reviewed the databases of participating institutions of the International Primary CNS Lymphoma Collaborative Group for cases of PCNS-PTLD. Thirty-four patients who had pathologically confirmed PCNS-PTLD without evidence of systemic PTLD were investigated retrospectively. RESULTS: The median time from transplantation to diagnosis of PCNS-PTLD was 4.4 years. Disease usually was multifocal and involved any location of the brain but was most common in the cerebral hemispheres, usually in the subcortical white matter or basal ganglia. Radiographically, all lesions enhanced either homogenously or in a ring-enhancing pattern. Cerebral biopsy was required to establish diagnosis in most patients. Most patients had monomorphic, Epstein-Barr virus (EBV)-positive disease of B-cell origin. Response rates were high regardless of treatment type, and the median survival was 47 months. Age was the only factor predictive of survival. CONCLUSIONS: The current study demonstrated that PCNS-PTLD is typically an EBV-induced B-cell lymphoma that is responsive to treatment with favorable survival in many patients. An aggressive approach to tissue confirmation of diagnosis and treatment with chemotherapy or radiotherapy should be strongly considered. Cancer 2010. © 2010 American Cancer Society [source] Use of endoscopy in diagnosis and management of patients with dysphagia in an African settingDISEASES OF THE ESOPHAGUS, Issue 3 2010H. M. Y. Mudawi SUMMARY The objectives of this study were to define the utility of esophagogastroduodenoscopy in the diagnosis and management of patients presenting with dysphagia and to determine the relative incidence of the various causes of dysphagia in Sudan. This is a prospective, cross-sectional, descriptive, hospital-based study carried out at the endoscopy unit of Soba University Hospital, Khartoum, Sudan. All patients complaining of dysphagia underwent upper gastrointestinal endoscopy with therapeutic intervention when necessary. A total of 114 patients were enrolled in the study, with a mean age of 47 years SD ± 19 and a male to female ratio of 1 : 1.04. A benign condition was diagnosed in 56% of the cases; this included esophageal strictures in 21% of the cases and achalasia in 14%. Malignant causes were mainly due to esophageal cancer (40.4%) and cancer of the stomach cardia (3.5%). Therapeutic intervention was attempted in 83% of the cases. Risk factors predictive of a malignant etiology were age over 40 years (P < 0.000), dysphagia lasting between 1 month and 1 year (P < 0.000), and weight loss (P < 0.000). A barium study was performed in 35 cases (31%) prior to endoscopic examination and proved to be inaccurate in three cases (8.6%). Upper gastrointestinal endoscopy in our African setting is an accurate and useful investigation in the diagnosis and management of patients presenting with dysphagia. Patients over the age of 40 years presenting with dysphagia and weight loss are more likely to have a neoplastic disease and should be referred for urgent endoscopy. [source] Effectiveness of a smoking cessation intervention in older adultsADDICTION, Issue 1 2007Robert J. Tait ABSTRACT Aims To: (a) identify characteristics of older smokers considering cessation of smoking; (b) evaluate a cessation intervention plus access to nicotine replacement therapy (NRT); (c) identify predictors of those who successfully quit; and (d) evaluate the effectiveness of the intervention in those aged , 75 years. Design Self-selection of: (a) a cessation of smoking programme; or (b) ongoing smoking. Setting Teaching hospital, Perth, Western Australia. Participants A larger study recruited smokers and never smokers: from this the 215 community-dwelling smokers (, 5 cigarettes/day) aged , 68 years (171 males) were enrolled. Intervention Brief intervention with telephone support and access to NRT versus no intervention. Measurements (a) Profile of older adults planning to quit smoking compared with continuing smokers; (b) cessation at 6 months defined as 30-day point prevalence validated via expired carbon monoxide; and (c) factors predictive of successful cessation. Findings There were 165 intervention participants. Compared with the 50 continuing smokers, participants in the intervention were younger and had significantly less years of regular smoking, more previous quit attempts and greater nicotine dependence scores. At 6 months, the point prevalence of ex-smokers was 25% (n = 42) with 20% (n = 33) being abstinent throughout the study. No continuing smoker had ceased smoking. Among the intervention group, logistic regression showed that those who used NRT (OR 4.36), were male (OR 3.17), had higher anxiety (OR 1.67) or rejected ,more colds and coughs' as a reason for quitting (OR 2.91) were more likely to be successful quitters. Of those aged , 75 years (n = 77), 25% matched cessation criteria. Conclusions Older smokers can be engaged successfully in a brief intervention plus NRT as aids to cessation of smoking. The intervention was also effective in the older subgroup of participants. Social factors may provide an additional means of motivating older smokers to quit. [source] Ischaemic preconditioning of the graft in adult living related right lobe liver transplantation: impact on ischaemia,reperfusion injury and clinical relevanceHPB, Issue 7 2010Paola Andreani Abstract Background:, Ischaemic preconditioning (IPC) of the right liver graft in the donor has not been studied in adult-to-adult living related liver transplantation (LRLT). Objective:, To assess the IPC effect of the graft on ischaemia reperfusion injury in the recipient and compare recipient and donor outcomes with and without preconditioned grafts. Patients and methods:, Alternate patients were transplanted with right lobe grafts that were (n= 22; Group Precond) or were not (n= 22; Group Control) subjected to IPC in the living donor. Liver ischaemia,reperfusion injury, liver/kidney function, morbidity/mortality rates and outcomes were compared. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify factors predictive of the aspartate aminotransferase (AST) peak and minimum prothrombin time. Results:, Both groups had similar length of hospital stay, morbidity/mortality, primary non-function and acute rejection rates. Post-operative AST (P= 0.8) and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) peaks (P= 0.6) were similar in both groups (307 ± 189 and 437 ± 302 vs. 290 ± 146 and 496 ± 343, respectively). In univariate analysis, only pre-operative AST and warm ischemia time (WIT) were significantly associated with post-operative AST peak (in recipients). In multivariate analysis, the graft/recipient weight ratio (P= 0.003) and pre-operative bilirubin concentration (P= 0.004) were significantly predictive of minimum prothrombin time post-transplantation. Conclusions:, Graft IPC in the living related donor is not associated with any benefit for the recipient or the donor and its clinical value remains uncertain. [source] A high HIV DNA level in PBMCs at antiretroviral treatment interruption predicts a shorter time to treatment resumption, independently of the CD4 nadirJOURNAL OF MEDICAL VIROLOGY, Issue 11 2010Christophe Piketty Abstract This study aimed to evaluate the safety of antiretroviral treatment interruption (TI) in HIV-infected patients who started treatment based on earlier guidelines, and to identify baseline factors predictive of the time to reach fixed criteria for treatment resumption. Prospective, open-label, multicenter trial. Patients were eligible if they had a CD4 cell count >350/mm3 and plasma HIV RNA <50,000,copies/ml when they first started antiretroviral therapy (ART); and if they had a CD4 count >450/mm3 and stable plasma HIV RNA <5,000,copies/ml for at least 6 months prior to enrolment. The criteria for ART resumption were a CD4 cell count <300/mm3 and/or a CDC stage B or C event. 116 patients had received ART for a median of 5.3 years. The median CD4 cell count and plasma HIV RNA values at inclusion were 809/mm3 and 2.6,log copies/ml, respectively. Median HIV DNA load at inclusion was 2.3,log copies/106 peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs). Thirty-six months after TI, 63.9% of the patients had not yet reached the criteria for ART resumption, and 55.9% of patients had not resumed ART. In Cox multivariable analysis, a high HIV DNA level at TI, a low CD4 nadir, and pre-existing AIDS status were the only significant risk factors for reaching the criteria for ART resumption (hazards ratio: 2.15 (1.02,4.53), 4.59 (1.22,17.24), and 5.74 (1.60,20.56), respectively). Patients who started ART with a CD4 cell count above 350/mm3 were able to interrupt treatment for long periods without a high absolute risk of either AIDS or severe non-AIDS morbidity/mortality. A high PBMC HIV DNA level at TI was a strong predictor for more rapid treatment resumption. J. Med. Virol. 82:1819,1828, 2010. © 2010 Wiley-Liss, Inc. [source] Acute adenitis in children: Clinical course and factors predictive of surgical drainageJOURNAL OF PAEDIATRICS AND CHILD HEALTH, Issue 5-6 2005Thuy Mai Luu Objectives:, To describe clinical course of children hospitalized for a first episode of acute unilateral infectious adenitis and to identify factors predictive of surgical lymph node drainage. Methods:, We reviewed medical records of children from 0 to 17 years of age discharged from a tertiary care pediatric center with a diagnosis of adenitis between 1 April 1996 and 31 March 2001. Patients were included if they had acute (,10 days) unilateral lymph node swelling greater or equal to 2.5 cm on initial physical examination. Exclusion criteria were: bilateral adenitis or adenitis at more than one site; prior adenitis; underlying chronic disease. Results:, Two hundred and eighty-four patients were included in this study. The mean age was 4.0 years (3.1 SD). Twenty-three per cent of infected nodes were >5 cm in size and 92.6% were cervical. Thirteen of 252 blood cultures were positive (5.2%), of which one showed Streptococcus pneumoniae and 12 contaminants. Mean length of stay was 4.2 days (2.2 SD). Surgical node drainage was performed in 60 (21.1%) patients. Factors significantly associated with increased risk of surgical drainage were age <1 year (adjusted OR: 14.5; 95% CI: 5.0,42.2) and node involvement >48 h (adjusted OR: 2.9; 95% CI: 1.2,7.2). There were no major complications. Follow-up was documented in 183 patients, of whom 92.3% achieved complete healing. Conclusions:, Children hospitalized for a first episode of acute unilateral infectious adenitis generally do well. Younger patients and those with longer duration of node involvement before admission have an increased risk of surgical node drainage. [source] Incidence and risk factors for pulmonary embolism in the postpartum periodJOURNAL OF THROMBOSIS AND HAEMOSTASIS, Issue 5 2010J. M. MORRIS Summary.,Background: Pregnancy and the postpartum period are times of hypercoagulability, increasing the risk of pulmonary embolism. Better quantification of risk factors can help target women who are most likely to benefit from postpartum thromboprophylaxis with heparin. Objectives: To determine the incidence rate and timing of postpartum pulmonary embolism, and assess perinatal risk factors predictive of the event. Patients/Methods: Antenatal, delivery and postpartum admission records of a cohort of 510 889 pregnancies were analysed. Pulmonary embolism was identified from ICD-10 codes at delivery, transfer or upon readmission at any time in the postpartum period. Results: Pulmonary embolism occurred in 375 women and was most common postpartum. The rate of postpartum pulmonary embolism without an antecedent thrombotic event was 0.45 per 1000 births. By the end of 4 weeks postpartum, the weekly rate approached the background rate of pulmonary embolism in the population. Although the Caesarean section rate rose significantly throughout the study period, and pulmonary embolism was more common following abdominal birth, the rate of pulmonary embolism following Caesarean birth fell. Regression modelling demonstrated that stillbirth (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] =5.97), lupus (aOR = 8.83) and transfusion of a coagulation product (aOR = 8.84) were most strongly associated with pulmonary embolism postpartum. Conclusions: Pulmonary embolism most commonly occurs up to 4 weeks postpartum and following abdominal birth. Despite this the absolute event rate is low and a broadly inclusive risk factor approach to the use of pharmacological thromboprophylaxis will require many women to be exposed to heparin to prevent an embolic event. [source] Predicting progressive hepatic fibrosis stage on subsequent liver biopsy in chronic hepatitis C virus infection,JOURNAL OF VIRAL HEPATITIS, Issue 1 2005J. D. Collier Summary., Retrospective cross-sectional studies indicate that 20% with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection become cirrhotic within 20 years. Known risk factors for advanced hepatic fibrosis include age at time of infection, male sex, excess alcohol consumption and cytokine polymorphisms. Prospective study to assess and identify factors predictive of change in hepatic fibrosis stage in chronic HCV infection by interval protocol liver biopsy was performed. One hundred and five patients with paired liver biopsy specimens separated by a mean 41 months were recruited from a cohort of 823 HCV carriers. Five per cent developed worsening hepatic fibrosis by more than two stages. In 43% there was no change in fibrosis stage. Excessive alcohol intake currently (P = 0.037) or previously (P = 0.07) predicted progression. In contrast, always having a normal alanine transaminase (P = 0.038) and always being negative in serum for HCV RNA (P =0.067) predicted no progression. Three models were developed to predict outcome. Progressive fibrosis was predicted by baseline fibrosis (P = 0.018), steatosis (P = 0.02) and age (P = 0.017). The rate of progressive fibrosis was predicted by baseline fibrosis (P = 0.0002), steatosis (P =0.039) and lobular inflammation (P = 0.09). Fibrosis stage on the second biopsy was predicted by baseline fibrosis alone (P = 0.01). The rate of progression varies widely. Alcohol misuse is an important co-factor. Progressive fibrosis can be predicted at first liver biopsy, where baseline fibrosis is most critical, allowing targeted therapy for those with early disease and a significant risk of progression. [source] Predictors of a sustained virological response in patients with genotype 4 chronic hepatitis CLIVER INTERNATIONAL, Issue 8 2008Rita Raafat Gad Abstract Objectives: To determine the clinical, biological, virological and histological predictive factors associated with a sustained virological response (SVR) to combined interferon therapy among Egyptian patients infected by genotype 4 hepatitis C virus (HCV). Patients and Methods: Individual data from 250 patients with genotype 4 chronic hepatitis C, treated with different regimens of combined interferon, were analysed. The primary end point was SVR defined as undetectable HCV RNA by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) 24 weeks after the end of treatment. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to select the independent prognostic parameters associated with SVR. Results: A sustained virological response was achieved among 137/250 (54.8%) patients. Baseline factors independently and negatively associated with SVR were serum ,-fetoprotein (AFP) level (above 0.3 upper limit of normal) [odds ratio (OR)=0.5, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.2,0.8], severe fibrosis (Metavir score >F2) (OR=0.4, 95% CI: 0.2,0.8), presence of steatosis (OR=0.5, 95% CI: 0.3,0.97) and standard interferon treatment (OR=0.4, 95% CI: 0.2,0.8). Conclusions: Among genotype 4 chronic hepatitis C patients, severe fibrosis, severe steatosis, treatment with standard interferon and a high serum AFP level were all negatively associated with SVR. Pretreatment serum AFP level should be considered in the routine assessment of factors predictive of a treatment response. [source] Identifying risk for recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma after liver transplantation: Implications for surveillance studies and new adjuvant therapiesLIVER TRANSPLANTATION, Issue 7 2008Edie Y. Chan The recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major cause of mortality for patients transplanted with HCC. There currently exists no standard method for identifying those patients with a high risk for recurrence. Identification of factors leading to recurrence is necessary to develop an efficient surveillance protocol and address new potential adjuvant therapies. We conducted a retrospective review of 834 consecutive liver transplants from 1/1/1996 to 12/31/2005 (mean follow-up 1303 ± 1069 days) at one institution and 352 consecutive transplants from 1/2/2002 to 12/31/2005 (mean follow-up 836 ± 402 days) at a second institution. The test cohort comprised patients identified with HCC in their explanted livers from 1/1/2001 to 12/31/2005 at the first institution. Explant pathology and donor and recipient characteristics were reviewed to determine factors associated with HCC recurrence. These predictors were validated in the remaining liver transplant recipients. The test cohort had 116 patients with findings of HCC in their explanted livers. Twelve patients developed recurrent HCC. Stepwise logistic regression identified 4 independent significant explant factors predictive of recurrence. Size of one tumor (>4.5 cm), macroinvasion, and bilobar tumor were positive predictors of recurrence, whereas the presence of only well-differentiated HCC was a negative predictor. Designating each significant factor with points in relation to its odds ratio, a Predicting Cancer Recurrence Score (PCRS) with results ranging from ,3 to 6 was developed that accurately determined risk of recurrence. These findings were then applied to the two validation cohorts, which confirmed the high predictive value of this model. In conclusion, patients transplanted for HCC with a PCRS of ,0 have a low risk of recurrence. Patients with a PCRS of 1 or 2 have a moderate risk of recurrence, and those with a PCRS of ,3 have a high risk for recurrence. Liver Transpl 14:956,965, 2008. © 2008 AASLD. [source] Analysis of outcome of laparoscopic splenectomy for idiopathic thrombocytopenic purpura by platelet countAMERICAN JOURNAL OF HEMATOLOGY, Issue 2 2005A. Keidar Abstract Laparoscopic splenectomy (LS) is now performed routinely in patients with idiopathic thrombocytopenic purpura (ITP) refractory to the medical treatment. Low preoperative platelet count was deemed to be a contraindication for a laparoscopic approach; however, there is no data reporting the outcome in those patients. We aimed to evaluate the influence of the preoperative platelet count on the operative and postoperative course and complication rate. Retrospective cohort study that was conducted in tertiary care university-affiliated medical center and included 110 consecutive patients who underwent LS. All patients were divided into three groups by their preoperative platelet counts: ,20 × 109/L (n = 12), (20,50) × 109/L (n = 18), and >50 × 109/L (n = 80). The outcome and the influence of preoperative factors predictive of complications, blood transfusion, and length of stay were compared between the groups. Patients with a platelet count of ,20 × 109/L had a much longer hospital stay, received more blood transfusions, and suffered more complications than patients with platelet counts of (20,50) × 109/L or higher (P < 0.05). Transfused patients had a longer hospital stay than non-transfused patients (2.08 vs. 6.4 days, P = 0.029). The strongest predictor for transfusion was the platelet count (odds ratio = 23, P = 0.008). LS in patients with very low platelet counts is feasible and reasonably safe, but the platelet count is a major determinant of morbidity. Every effort should be made to elevate platelet levels to >20 × 109/L before surgery. Patients with counts >20 × 109/L can safely undergo LS. Am. J. Hematol. 80:95,100, 2005. © 2005 Wiley-Liss, Inc. [source] The Skin Cancer Index: Clinical Responsiveness and Predictors of Quality of Life,THE LARYNGOSCOPE, Issue 3 2007John S. Rhee MD Abstract Objective: To establish the clinical responsiveness of the Skin Cancer Index (SCI), a new disease-specific quality of life (QOL) instrument, and to assess demographic and clinical factors which impact QOL in patients with nonmelanoma skin cancer (NMSC). Study Design: Prospective study of 183 patients with NMSC of the face and neck referred to a tertiary care Mohs surgery clinic. Methods: The SCI is a 15 item, validated, disease-specific QOL instrument with 3 distinct subscales, Emotion, Social, and Appearance. Higher scores reflect better QOL. The SCI and the Dermatology Life Quality Index (DLQI), a general dermatology instrument, was administered at initial consultation and 4 months after surgical treatment. Multivariate analysis was conducted to assess demographic and clinical factors predictive of QOL for both instruments. Results: The SCI total score and all three subscale scores increased with treatment, demonstrating strong evidence of responsiveness over time (P < .001) in contrast with the DLQI (P = .46). Predictors of poorer QOL for the SCI included female sex and cancers located on the lip. Patients who demonstrated greatest improvement in QOL with treatment included those who were younger (<50 yr) and had lower reported household income. Also, first time NMSC patients and those patients who underwent less extensive reconstructions demonstrated greater improvements in QOL. Conclusion: The SCI is a sensitive and responsive QOL instrument for patients with NMSC. Distinct demographic and clinical variables that impact QOL have been demonstrated using this multidimensional, disease-specific instrument. [source] Sex Differences in Outcomes of Sinus Surgery,THE LARYNGOSCOPE, Issue 7 2006Sabrina Mendolia-Loffredo MS Abstract Purpose: Sex has been demonstrated to affect outcome in many diseases. Our current aim is to investigate the relationship between sex and outcomes of endoscopic sinus surgery (ESS) in patients with chronic rhinosinusitis (CRS). Methods: Forty-four males and 73 females undergoing ESS for CRS with a mean follow-up of 1.4 years were evaluated prospectively. Computed tomography (CT), endoscopy, and quality of life (QOL) assessment was performed. Univariate analyses were performed to evaluate whether sex was predictive of outcome. Multiple logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate sex association with patient factors predictive of outcome. Results: Although no sex differences in CT and endoscopy were observed (CT, P = .107 and endoscopy, P > .1), females consistently scored worse than males on disease-specific QOL pre- and postoperatively. Importantly, there was no effect of sex on improvement/change scores for the QOL instruments. Predictive Models and Multiple Logistic Regression Analysis: Sex was not found to be predictive of QOL or endoscopic outcome. Female sex was, however, associated with acetylsalicylic acid (ASA) intolerance and depression, both factors that have been associated with poorer outcome. Conclusion: Despite similarities in objective disease measures, females report significantly worse QOL scores pre- and postoperatively. Postoperative improvement did not differ by sex, nor was sex predictive of postoperative outcome. Sex differences in QOL reflect sex differences in ASA intolerance and depression, both more prevalent in females. [source] Consequences to Hearing During the Conservative Management of Vestibular Schwannomas,THE LARYNGOSCOPE, Issue 2 2000FRCS(ORL), Rory M. Walsh MA Abstract Objective: To estimate the risk of loss of serviceable hearing during the conservative management of vestibular schwannomas. Study Design: Retrospective case review. Methods: Twenty-five patients with a radiological diagnosis of unilateral vestibular schwannoma were managed conservatively for a mean duration of 43.8 months (range, 12,194 mo). The pure-tone average (PTA) (0.5, 1, 2, and 3 kHz) and speech discrimination scores (SDS) were measured at regular intervals throughout the entire duration of follow-up. Serviceable hearing was defined using two criteria: 70% SDS/30 dB PTA (the 70/30 rule) and 50% SDS/50 dB PTA (the 50/50 rule). The size and growth rate of tumors were determined according to the American Academy of Otolaryngology,Head and Neck Surgery guidelines (1995). Intervention was recommended if there was evidence of continuous or rapid radiological tumor growth, and/or increasing symptoms or signs suggestive of tumor growth. Results: The risk of loss of serviceable hearing for the total group was 43% using the 70/30 rule and 42% using the 50/50 rule. Tumor growth was considered significant (> 1 mm) in 8 tumors (32%) and nonsignificant in 17 (68%). The risk of loss of serviceable hearing for the tumor-growth group was 67% using the 70/30 rule and 80% using the 50/50 rule. In contrast, the risk of loss of serviceable hearing for the no tumor,growth group was 25% using the 70/30 rule and 14% using the 50/50 rule. No audiological factors predictive of tumor growth were identified. Conclusions: There is a significant risk of loss of serviceable hearing during the conservative management of vestibular schwannomas. This risk appears to be greater in tumors that demonstrate significant growth. [source] Can we predict recurrence of pre-eclampsia or gestational hypertension?BJOG : AN INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF OBSTETRICS & GYNAECOLOGY, Issue 8 2007MA Brown Objective, To estimate the rates of recurrence of pre-eclampsia or gestational hypertension in a subsequent pregnancy and to determine factors predictive of recurrence. Design, Retrospective cohort study. Setting, St George Public and Private Hospitals, teaching hospitals without neonatal intensive care units. Participants, A total of 1515 women with a diagnosis of pre-eclampsia or gestational hypertension between 1988 and 1998 were identified from the St George Hypertension in Pregnancy database, a system designed initially for ensuring quality outcomes of hypertensive pregnancies. Of these, 1354 women were followed up, and a further 333 records from women coded as having a normal pregnancy during that period were selected randomly as controls. Main outcome measures, Likelihood of recurrent pre-eclampsia or gestational hypertension and clinical and routine laboratory factors in the index pregnancy predictive of recurrence of pre-eclampsia or gestational hypertension. Methods, The index cases from our unit's database were linked to the matched pregnancy on the State Department of Health database, allowing us to determine whether further pregnancies had occurred at any hospital in the State. The outcome of these pregnancies was determined by review of medical records, using strict criteria for diagnosis of pre-eclampsia or gestational hypertension. Results, Almost all women with a normal index pregnancy had a further normotensive pregnancy. One in 50 women hypertensive in their index pregnancy had developed essential hypertension by the time of their next pregnancy. Women with pre-eclampsia in their index pregnancy were equally likely to develop either pre-eclampsia or gestational hypertension (approximately 14% each), while women with gestational hypertension were more likely to develop gestational hypertension (26%) rather than pre-eclampsia (6%) in their next pregnancy. Multiparous women with gestational hypertension were more likely than primiparous women to develop pre-eclampsia (11 versus 4%) or gestational hypertension (45 versus 22%) in their next pregnancy. Early gestation at diagnosis in the index pregnancy, multiparity, uric acid levels in the index pregnancy and booking blood pressure parameters in the next pregnancy significantly influenced the likelihood of recurrence, predominantly for gestational hypertension and less so for pre-eclampsia. No value for these parameters was significant enough to be clinically useful as a discriminate value predictive of recurrent pre-eclampsia or gestational hypertension. Conclusions, Approximately 70% of women with pre-eclampsia or gestational hypertension will have a normotensive next pregnancy. The highest risk group for recurrent hypertension in pregnancy in this study was multiparous women with gestational hypertension. No readily available clinical or laboratory factor in the index pregnancy reliably predicts recurrence of pre-eclampsia. [source] Increasing likelihood of further live births in HIV-infected women in recent yearsBJOG : AN INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF OBSTETRICS & GYNAECOLOGY, Issue 7 2005European Collaborative Study Objective To examine how the subsequent childbearing of HIV-infected mothers enrolled in the European Collaborative Study (ECS) has changed over time and identify factors predictive of further childbearing. Design Prospective cohort study. Setting Centres in nine European countries included in the ECS, enrolled between end 1986 and November 2003. Population HIV-infected women (3911): 3693 with only one and 218 with subsequent live births. Methods Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses to obtain odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Kaplan,Meier (KM) analyses to estimate cumulative proportions of women having a subsequent live birth. Main outcome measures Subsequent live birth. Results In multivariable analysis adjusting for time period, ethnicity, maternal age and parity, black women were more likely [adjusted odds ratio (AOR) 2.45; 95% CI, 1.75,3.43], and women >30 years less likely (AOR 0.54, 0.37,0.80), to have a subsequent live birth. Time to subsequent live birth significantly shortened over time, with an estimated 2% of women having a subsequent live birth within 24 months of enrolment pre-1989 versus 14% in 2000,2003 (P < 0.001). Estimated time to subsequent live birth was shorter for black than for white women (P < 0.001). Conclusions The likelihood of subsequent live births substantially increased after 1995 and birth intervals were shorter in women on HAART and among black women. Numbers are currently too small to address the issue of advantages and disadvantages in the management of subsequent deliveries. [source] Detection rate and factors predictive the presence of prostate cancer in patients undergoing ultrasonography-guided transperineal saturation biopsies of the prostateBJU INTERNATIONAL, Issue 9 2010Giacomo Novara Study Type , Diagnostic (case series) Level of Evidence 4 OBJECTIVES To assess the prostate cancer detection rate and predictive factors for prostate cancer after transrectal ultrasonography (TRUS)-guided transperineal saturation re-biopsies of the prostate, using a 24-core scheme. PATIENTS AND METHODS We evaluated 143 consecutive patients undergoing TRUS-guided transperineal saturation re-biopsy of the prostate using a 24-core scheme. The inclusion criteria were a previous negative biopsy and a prostate-specific antigen (PSA) level of ,10.0 ng/mL, or of 4.0,10.0 ng/mL with a free/total ratio of <20% or an abnormal digital rectal examination or previous high-grade prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia (HGPIN) or atypical small acinar proliferation (ASAP). RESULTS The mean (sd) age of the patients was 66.5 (6.1) years and the median (interquartile range) PSA level was 9.0 (6.1,12.8) ng/mL. The number of previous biopsies was one in 59% of patients, two in 26% and three or more in 15%. We detected prostate cancer in 26%, ASAP in 5.6% and HGPIN in 2.1%. The cancer detection rate was 47%, 25.5% and 14% for prostate volumes of <40, 40,60 and ,60 mL, respectively (P = 0.002). On a multivariate analysis the total prostate volume (40,60 vs <40 mL, hazard ratio 5.683; >60 vs <40 mL, hazard ratio 6.965; P = 0.01) was the only significant predictor of prostate cancer at saturation biopsy. CONCLUSIONS TRUS-guided transperineal saturation re-biopsy of the prostate using a 24-core scheme resulted in a high cancer detection rate also in patients who had had two or more previous biopsies. The total prostate volume was the only predictor of prostate cancer. [source] Surgical management of primary anorectal melanoma,BRITISH JOURNAL OF SURGERY (NOW INCLUDES EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF SURGERY), Issue 9 2004P. Pessaux Background: This aim of this study was to analyse outcome after surgery for primary anorectal melanoma and to determine factors predictive of survival. Methods: Records of 40 patients treated between 1977 and 2002 were reviewed. Results: Twelve men and 28 women of mean age 58·1 (range 37,83) years were included in the analysis. Overall and disease-free survival rates were 17 and 14 per cent at 5 years. Median overall survival was 17 months and disease-free survival was 10 months. The 5-year survival rate was 24 per cent for patients with stage I tumours, and zero for those with stage II or stage III disease. There was no significant difference in overall survival after wide local excision (49 and 16 per cent at 2 and 5 years respectively) and abdominoperineal resection (33 per cent at both time points). In patients with stage I and stage II disease, there was a significant association between poor survival and duration of symptoms (more than 3 months), inguinal lymph node involvement, tumour stage and presence of amelanotic melanoma. Conclusion: Anorectal melanoma is a rare disease with a poor prognosis. Wide local excision is recommended as primary therapy if negative resection margins can be achieved. Copyright © 2004 British Journal of Surgery Society Ltd. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Factors predictive of 5-year survival after transarterial chemoembolization for inoperable hepatocellular carcinoma,BRITISH JOURNAL OF SURGERY (NOW INCLUDES EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF SURGERY), Issue 3 2003C. B. O'Suilleabhain Background: Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is widely used for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but the long-term survival benefit remains unclear. Methods: Pretreatment variables were analysed for factors predictive of actual 5-year survival from a prospective database of patients with inoperable HCC treated by TACE between 1989 and 1996. Results: Complete 5-year follow-up (median 91 months) was obtained for 320 patients who underwent a median of 4 (range 1,41) TACEs. Median tumour size was 9 (range 1,28) cm. There were 25 5-year survivors (8 per cent), including eight with tumours larger than 10 cm in diameter and three with portal vein branch involvement. On univariate analysis, female gender (P = 0·037), absence of ascites (P = 0·028), platelet count below 150 ×109 per litre (P = 0·011), albumin concentration greater than 35 g/l (P = 0·04), ,-fetoprotein level below 1000 ng/ml (P = 0·007), unilobar tumour (P = 0·027), fewer than three tumours (P = 0·015), absence of venous invasion (P = 0·011), and tumour diameter less than 8 cm (P = 0·021) were significant predictors of 5-year survival. Albumin concentration greater than 35 g/l (P = 0·011), unilobar tumour (P = 0·012) and ,-fetoprotein level below 1000 ng/ml (P = 0·014) were independent prognostic factors on multivariate analysis. Conclusion: Five-year survival is possible with TACE for inoperable HCC, even in some patients with advanced tumours. Unilobar tumours, ,-fetoprotein level below 1000 ng/ml and albumin concentration greater than 35 g/l were factors predictive of 5-year survival. Copyright © 2003 British Journal of Surgery Society Ltd. Published by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||