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Age-structured Population (age-structured + population)
Selected AbstractsHARVESTING AN AGE-STRUCTURED POPULATION AS BIOMASS: DOES IT WORK?NATURAL RESOURCE MODELING, Issue 4 2008OLLI TAHVONEN Abstract The economics of fisheries is based heavily on describing fish populations by the surplus production model. Both economists and ecologists have different opinions on whether this approach provides an adequate biological basis for economic analysis. This study takes an age-structured population model and shows how, under equilibrium conditions, it determines the surplus production model. The surplus production model is then used to solve an optimal feedback policy for a generic optimal harvesting problem. Next, it is assumed that the fishery manager applies this feedback policy even though the fish population actually evolves according to the age-structured model. This framework is applied to the widow rockfish, Atlantic menhaden, and Pacific halibut fisheries. Population age-structure contains information on future harvest possibilities. The surplus production model neglects this information and may lead to major deviations between the expected and actual outcomes especially under multiple steady states and nonlinearities. [source] Density-dependent growth rate in an age-structured population: a field study on stream-dwelling brown trout Salmo truttaJOURNAL OF FISH BIOLOGY, Issue 10 2009R. Kaspersson A field experiment during autumn, winter and spring was performed in a small stream on the west coast of Sweden, aiming to examine the direct and indirect consequences of density-dependent intercohort competition in brown trout Salmo trutta. Individual growth rate, recapture rate and site fidelity were used as response variables in the young-of-the-year (YOY) age class, experiencing two different treatments: presence or absence of yearlings and over-yearlings (age , 1+ year individuals). YOY individuals in stream sections with reduced density of age , 1+ year individuals grew significantly faster than individuals experiencing natural cohort structure. In the latter, growth rate was negatively correlated with density and biomass of age , 1+ year individuals, which may induce indirect effects on year-class strength through, for example, reduced fecundity and survival. Movement of YOY individuals and turnover rate (i.e. proportion of untagged individuals) were used to demonstrate potential effects of intercohort competition on site fidelity. While YOY movement was remarkably restricted (83% recaptured within 50 m from the release points), turnover rate was higher in sections with reduced density of age ,1+ year individuals, suggesting that reduced density of age ,1+ year individuals may have released favourable microhabitats. [source] Hepatitis C in ethnic minority populations in EnglandJOURNAL OF VIRAL HEPATITIS, Issue 6 2008A. G. Mann Summary., The aim of the study was to investigate the differing epidemiology of hepatitis C-related end-stage liver disease in ethnic minorities in England. We used Hospital Episode Statistics from 1997/98 to 2004/05 to directly age-standardize numbers of episodes and deaths from hepatitis C-related end-stage liver disease in ethnic groups using the white English population as standard and the age-structured population by ethnic group from the 2001 Census. We estimated the odds of having a diagnosis of end-stage liver disease amongst hepatitis C-infected individuals in each ethnic group compared with whites using logistic regression. The main outcome measures were age-standardized morbidity and mortality ratios and morbidity and mortality odds ratios. Standardized ratios (95% confidence interval) for hepatitis C-related end-stage liver disease ranged from 73 (38,140) in Chinese people to 1063 (952,1186) for those from an ,Other' ethnic group. Amongst individuals with a diagnosis of hepatitis C infection, the odds ratios (95% CI) of severe liver disease were 1.42 (1.13,1.79), 1.57 (1.36,1.81), 2.44 (1.85,3.22), 1.73 (1.36,2.19) and 1.83 (1.08,3.10) comparing individuals of Black African, Pakistani, Bangladeshi, Indian and Chinese origin with whites, respectively. Ethnic minority populations in England are more likely than whites to experience an admission or to die from severe liver disease as a result of hepatitis C infection. Ethnic minority populations may have a higher prevalence of hepatitis C or they may experience a poorer prognosis because of differential access to health services, longer duration of infection or the prevalence of co-morbidities. [source] Dynamics of an age-structured population drawn from a random numbers tableAUSTRAL ECOLOGY, Issue 4 2000Bertram G. Murray JR Abstract I constructed age-structured populations by drawing numbers from a random numbers table, the constraints being that within a cohort each number be smaller than the preceding number (indicating that some individuals died between one year and the next) and that the first two-digit number following 00 or 01 ending one cohort's life be the number born into the next cohort. Populations constructed in this way showed prolonged existence with total population numbers fluctuating about a mean size and with long-term growth rate (r) , 0. The populations' birth rates and growth rates and the females' per capita fecundity decreased significantly with population size, whereas the death rates showed no significant relationship to population size. These results indicate that age-structured populations can persist for long periods of time with long-term growth rates of zero in the absence of negative-feedback loops between a population's present or prior density and its birth rate, growth rate, and fecundity, contrary to the assumption of density-dependent regulation hypotheses. Thus, a long-term growth rate of zero found in natural populations need not indicate that a population's numbers are regulated by density-dependent factors. [source] Dynamics of an age-structured population drawn from a random numbers tableAUSTRAL ECOLOGY, Issue 4 2000BERTRAM G. MURRAY JR Abstract I constructed age-structured populations by drawing numbers from a random numbers table, the constraints being that within a cohort each number be smaller than the preceding number (indicating that some individuals died between one year and the next) and that the first two-digit number following 00 or 01 ending one cohort's life be the number born into the next cohort. Populations constructed in this way showed prolonged existence with total population numbers fluctuating about a mean size and with long-term growth rate (r) , 0. The populations' birth rates and growth rates and the females' per capita fecundity decreased significantly with population size, whereas the death rates showed no significant relationship to population size. These results indicate that age-structured populations can persist for long periods of time with long-term growth rates of zero in the absence of negative-feedback loops between a population's present or prior density and its birth rate, growth rate, and fecundity, contrary to the assumption of density-dependent regulation hypotheses. Thus, a long-term growth rate of zero found in natural populations need not indicate that a population's numbers are regulated by density-dependent factors. [source] Plastic changes in seed dispersal along ecological succession: theoretical predictions from an evolutionary modelJOURNAL OF ECOLOGY, Issue 2 2005OPHÉLIE RONCE Summary 1We use a deterministic model to explore theoretically the ecological and evolutionary relevance of plastic changes in seed dispersal along ecological succession. Our model describes the effect of changing disturbance regime, age structure, density and interspecific competition as the habitat matures, enabling us to seek the evolutionarily stable reaction norm for seed dispersal rate as a function of time elapsed since population foundation. 2Our model predicts that, in the context of ecological succession, selection should generally favour plastic strategies allowing plants to increase their dispersal rate with population age, contrary to previous predictions of models that have assumed genetically fixed dispersal strategies. 3More complex patterns can evolve showing periods with high production of dispersing seeds separated by periods of intense local recruitment. These patterns are due to the interaction of individual senescence with change in ecological conditions within sites. 4Evolution of plastic dispersal strategies affects the patterns of density variation with time since foundation and accelerates successional replacement. An interesting parallel can be drawn between the evolution of age-specific dispersal rates in successional systems and the evolution of senescence in age-structured populations. 5Seed dispersal plasticity could be a potential mechanism for habitat selection in plants and have implications for range expansion in invasive species because recently founded populations at the advancing front may show different patterns to those in the established range. [source] Partial life cycle analysis: a model for pre-breeding census dataOIKOS, Issue 3 2001Madan K. Oli Matrix population models have become popular tools in research areas as diverse as population dynamics, life history theory, wildlife management, and conservation biology. Two classes of matrix models are commonly used for demographic analysis of age-structured populations: age-structured (Leslie) matrix models, which require age-specific demographic data, and partial life cycle models, which can be parameterized with partial demographic data. Partial life cycle models are easier to parameterize because data needed to estimate parameters for these models are collected much more easily than those needed to estimate age-specific demographic parameters. Partial life cycle models also allow evaluation of the sensitivity of population growth rate to changes in ages at first and last reproduction, which cannot be done with age-structured models. Timing of censuses relative to the birth-pulse is an important consideration in discrete-time population models but most existing partial life cycle models do not address this issue, nor do they allow fractional values of variables such as ages at first and last reproduction. Here, we fully develop a partial life cycle model appropriate for situations in which demographic data are collected immediately before the birth-pulse (pre-breeding census). Our pre-breeding census partial life cycle model can be fully parameterized with five variables (age at maturity, age at last reproduction, juvenile survival rate, adult survival rate, and fertility), and it has some important applications even when age-specific demographic data are available (e.g., perturbation analysis involving ages at first and last reproduction). We have extended the model to allow non-integer values of ages at first and last reproduction, derived formulae for sensitivity analyses, and presented methods for estimating parameters for our pre-breeding census partial life cycle model. We applied the age-structured Leslie matrix model and our pre-breeding census partial life cycle model to demographic data for several species of mammals. Our results suggest that dynamical properties of the age-structured model are generally retained in our partial life cycle model, and that our pre-breeding census partial life cycle model is an excellent proxy for the age-structured Leslie matrix model. [source] Dynamics of an age-structured population drawn from a random numbers tableAUSTRAL ECOLOGY, Issue 4 2000Bertram G. Murray JR Abstract I constructed age-structured populations by drawing numbers from a random numbers table, the constraints being that within a cohort each number be smaller than the preceding number (indicating that some individuals died between one year and the next) and that the first two-digit number following 00 or 01 ending one cohort's life be the number born into the next cohort. Populations constructed in this way showed prolonged existence with total population numbers fluctuating about a mean size and with long-term growth rate (r) , 0. The populations' birth rates and growth rates and the females' per capita fecundity decreased significantly with population size, whereas the death rates showed no significant relationship to population size. These results indicate that age-structured populations can persist for long periods of time with long-term growth rates of zero in the absence of negative-feedback loops between a population's present or prior density and its birth rate, growth rate, and fecundity, contrary to the assumption of density-dependent regulation hypotheses. Thus, a long-term growth rate of zero found in natural populations need not indicate that a population's numbers are regulated by density-dependent factors. [source] Dynamics of an age-structured population drawn from a random numbers tableAUSTRAL ECOLOGY, Issue 4 2000BERTRAM G. MURRAY JR Abstract I constructed age-structured populations by drawing numbers from a random numbers table, the constraints being that within a cohort each number be smaller than the preceding number (indicating that some individuals died between one year and the next) and that the first two-digit number following 00 or 01 ending one cohort's life be the number born into the next cohort. Populations constructed in this way showed prolonged existence with total population numbers fluctuating about a mean size and with long-term growth rate (r) , 0. The populations' birth rates and growth rates and the females' per capita fecundity decreased significantly with population size, whereas the death rates showed no significant relationship to population size. These results indicate that age-structured populations can persist for long periods of time with long-term growth rates of zero in the absence of negative-feedback loops between a population's present or prior density and its birth rate, growth rate, and fecundity, contrary to the assumption of density-dependent regulation hypotheses. Thus, a long-term growth rate of zero found in natural populations need not indicate that a population's numbers are regulated by density-dependent factors. [source] | ||||||||||