Exchange Risk (exchange + risk)

Distribution by Scientific Domains


Selected Abstracts


Is the crisis problem growing more severe?

ECONOMIC POLICY, Issue 32 2001
Michael Bordo
The crisis problem is one of the dominant macroeconomic features of our age. Its prominence suggests questions like the following: Are crises growing more frequent? Are they becoming more disruptive? Are economies taking longer to recover? These are fundamentally historical questions, which can be answered only by comparing the present with the past. To this end, this paper develops and analyses a data base spanning 120 years of financial history. We find that crisis frequency since 1973 has been double that of the Bretton Woods and classical gold standard periods and is rivalled only by the crisis-ridden 1920s and 1930s. History thus confirms that there is something different and disturbing about our age. However, there is little evidence that crises have grown longer or output losses have become larger. Crises may have grown more frequent, in other words, but they have not obviously grown more severe. Our explanation for the growing frequency and chronic costs of crises focuses on the combination of capital mobility and the financial safety net, including the implicit insurance against exchange risk provided by an ex ante credible policy of pegging the exchange rate, which encourages banks and corporations to accumulate excessive foreign currency exposures. We also provide policy recommendations for restoring stability and growth. , Michael Bordo, Barry Eichengreen, Daniela Klingebiel and Maria Soledad Martinez-Peria [source]


EXCHANGE RATE RISK AND EXPORT REVENUE IN TAIWAN

PACIFIC ECONOMIC REVIEW, Issue 2 2004
Wen Shwo Fang
Depreciation is found to stimulate export revenue in domestic currency, but the quantitative impact is small and any associated increase in exchange risk has a negative impact. Implications for economic policy are discussed. [source]


The Simultaneous Hedging of Price Risk, Crop Yield Risk and Currency Risk

CANADIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS, Issue 2 2000
Govindaray N. Nayak
This study analyzes the joint hedging decision of a Canadian firm in U S. based price and yield futures. The key results of this study are that jointly hedging price and yield can reduce more revenue risk than hedging only with price futures. For offshore hedgers, the evidence shows that foreign exchange risk is important and can be reduced by jointly hedging in the currency futures markets. Nous analysons les décisions de couverture multiple d'une entreprise canadienne contre les risques afférents aux prix et aux rendement à terme. Les conclusions clés de l'étude sont qu'une couverture simultanée contre ces deux risques peut accorder une meilleure protection qu'une couverture établie seulement contre les risques des prix à terme. Pour ceux qui font affaire avec un pays étranger, l'expérience montre que le risque afférent au taux de change est important et qu'il est possible de le réduire en se couvrant en m,me temps contre les risques affectant la valeur à terme de l'argent. [source]


China as a Net Creditor: An Indication of Strength or Weaknesses?

CHINA AND WORLD ECONOMY, Issue 6 2007
Xin Wang
E44; F21; F31; F41 Abstract China's international investment position is characterized by large net foreign assets, a dominance of low-return foreign exchange reserves and costly foreign direct investment in foreign assets and foreign liabilities. In addition, China's foreign investment positions are facing potentially large exchange risks. These features reflect entrenched institutional and structural problems in China, including underdeveloped capital markets, biased resource allocation and a defective social security system. China's net creditor status might actually be an indication of weakness rather than strength. To improve its international investment position, China must speed up economic reforms and allow the market to play a fundamental role in resource allocation. [source]