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Error Sources (error + source)
Selected AbstractsMie simulations as an error source in mineral aerosol radiative forcing calculationsTHE QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, Issue 623 2007M. Kahnert Abstract The role of aerosols remains a major uncertainty for climate and climate change. For the direct radiative forcing by mineral aerosols, the uncertainty in the refractive index m has been regarded as the most important error source, while the impact of aerosol non-sphericity has been considered a minor issue and is neglected in climate models. Here, the errors caused by the spherical particle approximation (SPA) are evaluated by comparing radiative fluxes based on (i) Mie simulations and (ii) laboratory measurements of aerosol optical properties. Furthermore, they are contrasted with the errors related to the uncertainty in the refractive index. These two error sources are found to be of comparable magnitude, although they are strongly dependent on optical depth, surface albedo, and particle size. Thus, our results provide evidence that, contrary to common beliefs, the use of spherical model particles in radiative transfer simulations is probably among the major sources of error in quantifying the climate forcing effect of mineral aerosols. This stems from misrepresentation of the scattering phase function and the asymmetry parameter. Aerosol single-scattering computations based on non-spherical model particles are expected to reduce the shape-related errors and thus significantly improve the accuracy of radiative forcing simulations. Copyright © 2007 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Detection efficiency of multiplexed Passive Integrated Transponder antennas is influenced by environmental conditions and fish swimming behaviourECOLOGY OF FRESHWATER FISH, Issue 4 2009J. C. Aymes Abstract,,, The efficiency of a Passive Integrated Transponder (PIT)-tag detection system was tested during a 23-day experiment using a permanent digital video to record the passage of fish through multiplexed antennas. Coupling video to the PIT system allowed the detection of error sources and the correction of erroneous data. The efficiency of the detection system and its variation were investigated according to fish swimming speed, direction of movement and individual fish behaviour. Influence of time and environmental conditions on detection results were also checked. The PIT tag system was 96.7% efficient in detecting fish. Upstream movements were better detected (99.8%) than downstream movements (93.7%). Moreover, results showed that efficiency rate was not stable over the experiment; it was reduced on stormy days. Several sources of errors were identified such as sub-optimal orientation of the PIT tag relative to the antenna plane, the influence of fish swimming speed, individual fish behaviour and influence of environmental conditions. [source] Early findings in comparison of AMSR-E/Aqua L3 global snow water equivalent EASE-grids data with in situ observations for Eastern TurkeyHYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES, Issue 15 2008A. Emre Tekeli Abstract Microwave remote sensing (RS) enables the direct determination of snow water equivalent (SWE), which is an important snow parameter for water resources management. The accuracy of remotely sensed SWE values has always been a concern. Previous studies evaluated global SWE monitoring. However, regional effects such as vegetation, snow grain size, snow density and local meteorological conditions may lead to uncertainties. Thus, regional validation studies that quantify and help to understand these uncertainties and possible error sources are important both for algorithm development and accurate SWE computation. In this study, data of Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer (AMSR-E)/Aqua level 3 global SWE Equal Area Scalable Earth (EASE) Grids are compared with ground measurements for 2002,2003 winter period for Eastern Turkey, which includes the headwaters of the Euphrates and Tigris rivers and is fed largely from snowmelt. Thus, accurate determination of SWE is important in optimum resource management for both Turkey and downstream nations. Analyses indicated that AMSR-E generally overestimated SWE in early season. As winter progressed, higher in situ SWE values with respect to AMSR-E were observed which led to underestimation by AMSR-E. The differences between AMSR-E and in situ SWE varied between , 218 and 93 mm. Use of in situ snow densities lead the correlation coefficient between AMSR-E and in situ SWE to increase from 0·10 to 0·32. Underestimation of SWE by AMSR-E occurs after some warm periods, while overestimations occur following refreezing. On rainy days or some days after precipitation within the warm periods, zero AMSR-E SWE values are observed. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Kinetostatic modeling of the clearance-affected prismatic pairJOURNAL OF FIELD ROBOTICS (FORMERLY JOURNAL OF ROBOTIC SYSTEMS), Issue 9 2005Vincenzo Parenti Castelli The presence of clearance in the kinematic pairs of mechanisms has a strong influence on the mechanism performances. Where positioning tasks are concerned, clearance can be considered as one of the most relevant error sources, since it affects both accuracy and repeatability. The development of predictive models then becomes relevant, suitable for assessing in advance the influence of clearance and for correcting unacceptable effects. Several deterministic techniques assessing the accuracy of clearance-affected mechanisms have been proposed in the literature; these techniques require the development of kinetostatic models for clearance-affected pairs. This paper presents a modeling for clearance-affected prismatic pairs. Such a model determines the three-dimensional displacement between the pairing elements in the prismatic pair, and relates it to the load acting on the pair. Since the displacement depends strongly on the actual pair design, the model is described in detail for a particular pair geometry; in principle, however, this approach could be used for any geometry. The proposed model may be implemented in kinematic, kinetostatic, or dynamic analyses as well, with the purpose of computing the influence of clearance on the position and orientation error of any link of a mechanism. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. [source] Generalization and numerical investigation of QMOMAICHE JOURNAL, Issue 1 2007R. Grosch Abstract A generalized framework is developed for the quadrature method of moments (QMOM), which is a solution method for population balance models. It further evaluates the applicability of this method to industrial suspension crystallization processes. The framework is based on the concepts of generalized moments and coordinate transformations, which have been used already in earlier solution approaches. It is shown how existing approaches to QMOM are derived from the suggested unified framework. Thus, similarities and differences between the various QMOM methods are uncovered. Further, potential error sources involved in the different approaches to QMOM are discussed and assessed by means of a series of test cases. The test cases are selected to be challenging. The error in the QMOM solution is evaluated by comparison to an adaptive, error controlled solution of the population balance. The behavior of a range of different QMOM formulations is analyzed by means of numerical quadrature, dynamic simulation, as well as numerical continuation and bifurcation analysis. As a result of this detailed analysis, some general limitations of the method are detected and guidelines for its application are developed. This article is limited to lumped population balance models with one internal coordinate. © 2006 American Institute of Chemical Engineers AIChE J, 2007 [source] In vivo spectroscopy in dermatology: methods and new fields of applicationJOURNAL OF THE EUROPEAN ACADEMY OF DERMATOLOGY & VENEREOLOGY, Issue 1 2000K Liebold Abstract Background,The human skin is an easily accessible organ on which non-invasive examination methods can be applied. Remittance spectroscopy uses registration of the proportion of reflected light from the skin surface. Optical characteristics of skin are determined by scattering, reflection and absorption. The remittance is influenced by various test conditions and topography. Spectroscopic methods are applied for determination of microcirculation, measuring of erythema and pigmentation and in pharmacology and toxicology of applied drugs. Conclusion,The standardization of spectroscopic measurement of human skin is essential to reduce error sources. In future a better investigation of skin structures and molecules, which are responsible for optical characteristics of skin and a more precise evaluation of spectroscopic signals are necessary to get more information about the state of skin and to develop new fields of applications, such as early diagnosis of skin diseases or monitoring of metabolic processes. [source] Evaluation of a Single-monochromator Diode Array Spectroradiometer for Sunbed UV-radiation Measurements,PHOTOCHEMISTRY & PHOTOBIOLOGY, Issue 2 2005Lasse Ylianttila ABSTRACT The suitability of a new technology single-monochromator diode array spectroradiometer for UV-radiation safety measurements, in particular for sunbed measurements, was evaluated. The linearity, cosine response, temperature response, wavelength scale, stray-light and slit function of the spectroradiometer were determined and their effects on the measurement accuracy evaluated. The main error sources were stray-light and nonideal cosine response, for which correction methods are presented. Without correction, the stray-light may reduce the accuracy of the measurement excessively, particularly in the UV-B range. The expanded uncertainty of the corrected UV measurements is estimated to be 14%, which is confirmed with the comparative measurements carried out with a well-characterized double-monochromator spectroradiometer. The measurement accuracy is sufficient for sunbed measurements, provided that all corrections described above have been done and the user of the instrument has a good understanding of the instrument's operating principles and potential error sources. If these requirements are met, the tested spectroradiometer improves and facilitates market surveillance field measurements of sunbeds. [source] Mie simulations as an error source in mineral aerosol radiative forcing calculationsTHE QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, Issue 623 2007M. Kahnert Abstract The role of aerosols remains a major uncertainty for climate and climate change. For the direct radiative forcing by mineral aerosols, the uncertainty in the refractive index m has been regarded as the most important error source, while the impact of aerosol non-sphericity has been considered a minor issue and is neglected in climate models. Here, the errors caused by the spherical particle approximation (SPA) are evaluated by comparing radiative fluxes based on (i) Mie simulations and (ii) laboratory measurements of aerosol optical properties. Furthermore, they are contrasted with the errors related to the uncertainty in the refractive index. These two error sources are found to be of comparable magnitude, although they are strongly dependent on optical depth, surface albedo, and particle size. Thus, our results provide evidence that, contrary to common beliefs, the use of spherical model particles in radiative transfer simulations is probably among the major sources of error in quantifying the climate forcing effect of mineral aerosols. This stems from misrepresentation of the scattering phase function and the asymmetry parameter. Aerosol single-scattering computations based on non-spherical model particles are expected to reduce the shape-related errors and thus significantly improve the accuracy of radiative forcing simulations. Copyright © 2007 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Probabilistic temperature forecast by using ground station measurements and ECMWF ensemble prediction systemMETEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS, Issue 4 2004P. Boi The ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System 2-metre temperature forecasts are affected by systematic errors due mainly to resolution inadequacies. Moreover, other errors sources are present: differences in height above sea level between the station and the corresponding grid point, boundary layer parameterisation, and description of the land surface. These errors are more marked in regions of complex orography. A recursive statistical procedure to adapt ECMWF EPS-2metre temperature fields to 58 meteorological stations on the Mediterranean island of Sardinia is presented. The correction has been made in three steps: (1) bias correction of systematic errors; (2) calibration to adapt the EPS temperature distribution to the station temperature distribution; and (3) doubling the ensemble size with the aim of taking into account the analysis errors. Two years of probabilistic forecasts of freezing are tested by Brier Score, reliability diagram, rank histogram and Brier Skill Score with respect to the climatological forecast. The score analysis shows much better performance in comparison with the climatological forecast and direct model output, for all forecast timse, even after the first step (bias correction). Further gains in skill are obtained by calibration and by doubling the ensemble size. Copyright © 2004 Royal Meteorological Society. [source] | ||||||||||||||||