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Continuous Area (continuous + area)
Selected AbstractsOn Estimation and Prediction for Spatial Generalized Linear Mixed ModelsBIOMETRICS, Issue 1 2002Hao Zhang Summary. We use spatial generalized linear mixed models (GLMM) to model non-Gaussian spatial variables that are observed at sampling locations in a continuous area. In many applications, prediction of random effects in a spatial GLMM is of great practical interest. We show that the minimum mean-squared error (MMSE) prediction can be done in a linear fashion in spatial GLMMs analogous to linear kriging. We develop a Monte Carlo version of the EM gradient algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation of model parameters. A by-product of this approach is that it also produces the MMSE estimates for the realized random effects at the sampled sites. This method is illustrated through a simulation study and is also applied to a real data set on plant root diseases to obtain a map of disease severity that can facilitate the practice of precision agriculture. [source] Historical biogeography of Androcymbium Willd. (Colchicaceae) in Africa: evidence from cpDNA RFLPsBOTANICAL JOURNAL OF THE LINNEAN SOCIETY, Issue 4 2001JULI CAUJAPÉ-CASTELLS The cpDNA restriction variation in 39 populations representing a geographical sampling of 18 species of Androcymbium in southwestern and northern Africa was examined to assess the historical biogeography of the genus. The cpDNA phylogeny indicates that the disjunction between South and North Africa is best explained by the dispersal of southern African ancestors into North Africa. Divergence time estimates suggest that the geographic range of the genus may have extended considerably north (perhaps to Tanzania and Kenya) prior to the global desiccation of Africa in the Miocene. Further expansion of the genus northward was probably stalled until climatic changes in the late Miocene brought about the gradual replacement of a subtropical woodland savanna with the arid landscape that gave rise to the Sahara. Aridification of the northern quarter of the continent provided the ecological conditions for fostering the expansion of Androcymbium along the Mediterranean fringe (probably east to west) and its introduction into the Canary Islands. Unlike their South African congeners, the northern species have experienced expansions, fragmentations, and local extinctions in response to the severe climatic shifts in this area during the Pliocene-Pleistocene. According to our divergence time estimates, the arid track may have already existed as a continuous area connecting southern and northern Africa in the late Miocene. [source] Dispersal characteristics and management of a rare damselflyJOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY, Issue 4 2003Bethan V. Purse Summary 1Coenagrion mercuriale is a rare damselfly in Britain and mainland Europe and has been declining in the last 30 years. It has specialized habitat requirements and has been viewed, traditionally, as a poor disperser. Knowledge of its dispersal ability was considered in its Biodiversity Species Action Plan as essential for the formulation of appropriate conservation management strategies. 2Mark,release,recapture (MRR) studies of C. mercuriale in two large UK heathland populations were undertaken. Mature adults had a low rate of movement within continuous areas of habitat (average < 25 m movement), low emigration rates (1·3,11·4%) and low colonization distances (maximum 1 km), all comparable to similarly sized coenagrionids. 3Movements were more likely within than between patches of suitable habitat over short to medium distances (50,300 m). Between-patch movements were more likely between patches that were close together. Scrub barriers reduced dispersal. 4The probability of dispersal between two recaptures depended on the length of the time interval between them. Coenagrion mercuriale performed considerable between-patch movements within a small fraction (1,2 days) of its mean mature adult life span (7,8 days). 5Qualitative comparison of field colonization distances measured here and distances between UK sites occupied by C. mercuriale revealed that empty sites within large clusters of sites would probably be recolonized rapidly and dispersal events would be frequent. However, such events would occur rarely within small isolated sites or clusters of sites, leaving local populations prone to extinction. 6Synthesis and applications. These data show that management effort should be directed towards maximizing the likelihood of C. mercuriale recolonizing sites naturally within 1,3 km of other populations (particularly within large clusters). Scrub boundaries should be removed between existing populations and empty, but suitable, sites to facilitate stepping-stone dispersal movements. [source] The effects of fragmentation on fluctuating asymmetry in passerine birds of Brazilian tropical forestsJOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY, Issue 6 2000M. Anciães Summary 1. ,Fluctuating asymmetry (FA) refers to the difference between the right and left sides in characters that should otherwise be bilaterally symmetrical, but whose expression is affected by epigenetic stress during development. Forest fragmentation may promote an increase in FA in isolated populations, by either genetic or environmental stress. FA may function as a biomonitor index in conservation biology if increased levels were observed in populations from fragmented habitats. 2. ,We tested the hypothesis that FA is higher in birds from small tropical forest patches than in large forest tracts. We measured wing and tarsus FA on mist-netted birds from seven fragments and seven continuous areas from south-eastern Atlantic rain forest in Brazil. We performed FA comparisons between fragments and control groups for the whole community, for individual foraging guilds and for the six most abundant species. 3. ,Wing and tarsus FA were significantly greater in fragments than continuous areas for the whole community and were both negatively correlated with forest fragment size. Differences in FA varied among foraging guilds, being more evident for insectivorous species, especially those feeding in or near the understorey. 4. ,FA levels increased significantly in forest fragments in at least one trait for five of the six most abundant species. There was no correlation between tarsus and wing asymmetries for the individuals of any species nor any difference between the degree of asymmetries of these characters. 5. ,We suggest that FA is a useful tool to assess the effects of fragmentation on forest birds, and may be applied in monitoring neotropical birds. FA indices might be profitably developed, particularly in species most threatened by fragmentation effects and when investigated in different morphological characters. [source] | ||||||||||