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Conditional Analysis (conditional + analysis)
Selected AbstractsMental disorders as risk factors for substance use, abuse and dependence: results from the 10-year follow-up of the National Comorbidity SurveyADDICTION, Issue 6 2010Joel Swendsen ABSTRACT Aims The comorbidity of mental disorders and substance dependence is well documented, but prospective investigations in community samples are rare. This investigation examines the role of primary mental disorders as risk factors for the later onset of nicotine, alcohol and illicit drug use, abuse and dependence with abuse. Design The National Comorbidity Survey (NCS) was a nationally representative survey of mental and substance disorders in the United States carried out in 1990,92. The NCS-2 re-interviewed a probability subsample of NCS respondents in 2001,03, a decade after the baseline survey. Participants A total of 5001 NCS respondents were re-interviewed in the NCS-2 (87.6% of baseline sample). Results Aggregate analyses demonstrated significant prospective risks posed by baseline mental disorders for the onset of nicotine, alcohol and illicit drug dependence with abuse over the follow-up period. Particularly strong and consistent associations were observed for behavioral disorders and previous substance use conditions, as well as for certain mood and anxiety disorders. Conditional analyses demonstrated that many observed associations were limited to specific categories of use, abuse or dependence, including several mental disorders that were non-significant predictors in the aggregate analyses. Conclusions Many mental disorders are associated with an increased risk of later substance use conditions, but important differences in these associations are observed across the categories of use, abuse and dependence with abuse. These prospective findings have implications for the precision of prevention and treatment strategies targeting substance use disorders. [source] Contribution of a haplotype in the HLA region to anti,cyclic citrullinated peptide antibody positivity in rheumatoid arthritis, independently of HLA,DRB1ARTHRITIS & RHEUMATISM, Issue 12 2009Yukinori Okada Objective To examine the risk of anti,cyclic citrullinated peptide (anti-CCP) antibody positivity in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients carrying certain haplotypes in the HLA region. Methods A total of 1,389 Japanese patients with RA were genotyped for 30 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the HLA region using commercial oligonucleotide arrays (from Perlegen or Affymetrix) as well as for HLA,DRB1 alleles using a sequence-specific polymerase chain reaction method. Stepwise logistic regression was used to select from among the 30 SNPs the ones that represented a risk of anti-CCP antibody positivity. Haplotypes of the selected SNPs were inferred using an expectation-maximization algorithm. Associations of individual SNPs were evaluated with the Cochran-Armitage test for trend. DRB1 alleles and haplotypes were evaluated with the chi-square test. Heterogeneities of risks among the shared epitope (SE) and non-SE HLA,DRB1 alleles were examined using the exact test. Haplotype associations that were independent of individual HLA,DRB1 alleles were evaluated using the likelihood ratio test. Results Significant associations were found for 9 SNPs (smallest P value being 2.4 × 10,8) and in 4 HLA,DRB1 alleles (smallest P value being 2.0 × 10,10 in DRB1*0405). Stepwise logistic regression selected 4 SNPs (rs9262638, rs7775228, rs4713580, and rs9277359). Among the 16 inferred haplotypes of these 4 SNPs, 6 indicated significant associations (smallest P value being 1.9 × 10,11). Risks among SE and non-SE alleles were significantly heterogeneous (P = 0.0095 and P = 9.8 × 10,9, respectively), indicating the importance of stratification with individual DRB1 alleles rather than SE alleles. Conditional analysis of the risk associated with individual DRB1 alleles identified a risk haplotype that was independent of DRB1 (odds ratio 2.00 [95% confidence interval 1.44,2.79], P = 2.6 × 10,5). Conclusion Heterogeneous risks of anti-CCP antibody positivity were confirmed among SE and non-SE alleles in our patient population. A risk haplotype in the HLA region that is independent of HLA,DRB1 was confirmed. [source] Association of a functional polymorphism in the IRF5 region with systemic sclerosis in a Japanese populationARTHRITIS & RHEUMATISM, Issue 6 2009Ikue Ito Objective Interferon regulatory factor 5, an established susceptibility factor for systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), plays a role in type I interferon and proinflammatory cytokine induction. A recent study showed association of a functional single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) in intron 1 of IRF5, rs2004640, with systemic sclerosis (SSc) in a European French population. We undertook the present study to determine whether IRF5 polymorphisms are also associated with a predisposition to SSc in Japanese. Methods A case,control association study was performed for rs2004640 as well as for rs10954213 and rs2280714, all of which were previously reported to be associated with SLE, in 281 SSc patients and 477 healthy controls. Patients with SSc complicated by SLE or Sjögren's syndrome were excluded. Association of the rs2280714 genotype with messenger RNA (mRNA) levels of IRF5 and adjacently located transportin 3 (TNPO3) was examined using the GENEVAR database. Results All 3 SNPs were significantly associated with SSc, with the rs2280714 A allele having the strongest association (allele frequency P = 0.0012, odds ratio 1.42 [95% confidence interval 1.15,1.75]). Association was preferentially observed in subsets of patients with diffuse cutaneous SSc (dcSSc) and anti,topoisomerase I antibody positivity. Conditional analysis revealed that rs2280714 could account for most of the association of these SNPs, while an additional contribution of rs2004640 was also suggested for dcSSc. The genotype of rs2280714 was strongly associated with IRF5 mRNA expression, while only marginal association was detected with TNPO3 mRNA expression. Conclusion Association of IRF5 with SSc was replicated in a Japanese population. Whether the causal SNP is different among populations requires further investigation. [source] Factors influencing Soay sheep survivalJOURNAL OF THE ROYAL STATISTICAL SOCIETY: SERIES C (APPLIED STATISTICS), Issue 4 2000E. A. Catchpole We present a survival analysis of Soay sheep mark recapture and recovery data. Unlike previous conditional analyses, it is not necessary to assume equality of recovery and recapture probabilities; instead these are estimated by maximum likelihood. Male and female sheep are treated separately, with the higher numbers and survival probabilities of the females resulting in a more complex model than that used for the males. In both cases, however, age and time aspects need to be included and there is a strong indication of a reduction in survival for sheep aged 7 years or more. Time variation in survival is related to the size of the population and selected weather variables, by using logistic regression. The size of the population significantly affects the survival probabilities of male and female lambs, and of female sheep aged 7 or more years. March rainfall and a measure of the North Atlantic oscillation are found to influence survival significantly for all age groups considered, for both males and females. Either of these weather variables can be used in a model. Several phenotypic and genotypic individual covariates are also fitted. The only covariate which is found to influence survival significantly is the type of horn of first-year female sheep. There is a substantial variation in the recovery probabilities over time, reflecting in part the increased effort when a population crash was expected. The goodness of fit of the model is checked by using graphical procedures. [source] Hip geometry variation is associated with bone mineralization pathway gene variants: The framingham studyJOURNAL OF BONE AND MINERAL RESEARCH, Issue 7 2010Ching-Lung Cheung Abstract Mineralization of bone matrix is an important process in bone formation; thus defects in mineralization have been implicated in bone mineral density (BMD) and bone structure alterations. Three central regulators of phosphate balance, ALPL, ANKH, and ENPP1, are central in the matrix mineralization process; therefore, the genes encoding them are considered important candidates genes for BMD and bone geometry. To test for an association between these three candidate genes and BMD and bone geometry traits, 124 informative single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were selected and genotyped in 1513 unrelated subjects from the Framingham offspring cohort. Initial results showed that SNP rs1974201 in the gene ENPP1 was a susceptibility variant associated with several hip geometric indices, with the strongest p value of 3.8,×,10,7 being observed for femoral neck width. A few modest associations were observed between SNPs in or near ALPL and several bone traits, but no association was observed with ANKH. The association signals observed for SNPs around rs1974201 were attenuated after conditional analysis on rs1974201. Transcription factor binding-site prediction revealed that the HOXA7 binding site was present in the reference sequence with the major allele, whereas this potential binding site is lost in the sequence with the minor allele of rs1974201. In conclusion, we found evidence for association of bone geometry variation with an SNP in ENPP1, a gene in the mineralization pathway. The alteration of a binding site of the deregulator of extracellular matrix HOXA7 warrants further investigation. © 2010 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research [source] The Conditional Analysis of Dispositions and the Intrinsic Dispositions ThesisPHILOSOPHY AND PHENOMENOLOGICAL RESEARCH, Issue 3 2009SUNGHO CHOI The idea that dispositions are an intrinsic matter has been popular among contemporary philosophers of dispositions. In this paper I will first state this idea as exactly as possible. I will then examine whether it poses any threat to the two current versions of the conditional analysis of dispositions, namely, the simple and reformed conditional analysis of dispositions. The upshot is that the intrinsic nature of dispositions, when properly understood, doesn't spell trouble for either of the two versions of the conditional analysis of dispositions. Along the way, I will propose an extensionally correct and practically useful criterion for identifying nomically intrinsic dispositions and criticize one objection raised by Lewis against the simple conditional analysis of dispositions. [source] Development and application of topographic descriptors for conditional analysis of rainfallATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS, Issue 3 2009Emma Jayne Sakamoto Ferranti Abstract Upland rainfall is changing but regional climate models (RCMs) are poor at simulating observed precipitation in such areas of complex topography. This paper presents a method of examining observed rainfall patterns and processes under different conditions of synoptic meteorology and local topography. Objective topographic descriptors are defined and used to distinguish the modification of rainfall by local topography from that due to different synoptic conditions and climate change. A case study examining winter rainfall in Cumbria is presented. The conditional analysis method can be used to test RCM outputs so that model parameterisation can be improved. Copyright © 2009 Royal Meteorological Society [source] | ||||||||||