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Substantial Loss (substantial + loss)
Selected AbstractsEffect of including environmental data in investigations of gene-disease associations in the presence of qualitative interactionsGENETIC EPIDEMIOLOGY, Issue 6 2010Elizabeth Williamson Abstract Complex diseases are likely to be caused by the interplay of genetic and environmental factors. Despite this, gene-disease associations are frequently investigated using models that focus solely on a marginal gene effect, ignoring environmental factors entirely. Failing to take into account a gene-environment interaction can weaken the apparent gene-disease association, leading to loss in statistical power and, potentially, inability to identify genuine risk factors. If a gene-environment interaction exists, therefore, a joint analysis allowing the effect of the gene to differ between groups defined by the environmental exposure can have greater statistical power than a marginal gene-disease model. However, environmental data are subject to measurement error. Substantial losses in statistical power for detecting gene-environment interactions can arise from measurement error in the environmental exposure. It is unclear, however, what effect measurement error may have on the power of the joint analysis. We consider the potential benefits, in terms of statistical power, of collecting concurrent environmental data within large cohorts in order to enhance gene detection. We further consider whether these benefits remain in the presence of misclassification in both the gene and the environmental exposure. We find that when an effect of the gene is apparent only in the presence of the environmental exposure, the joint analysis has greater power than a marginal gene-disease analysis. This comparative increase in power remains in the presence of likely levels of misclassification of either the gene or environmental exposure. Genet. Epidemiol. 34:552,560, 2010. © 2010 Wiley-Liss, Inc. [source] DISCOLORATION OF SUN-DRIED AND PROCESSED ELBERTA PEACHES DURING STORAGEJOURNAL OF FOOD PROCESSING AND PRESERVATION, Issue 5 2003E. JOUBERT Discoloration of sun-dried ,Elberta' (Prunus persica) peaches during a 48 week storage period as affected by moisture content (15 and 17%) and temperature (4, 7, 10 and 20C) was investigated. In addition, the effect of rehydration to moisture contents of 20, 24 and 27% and resulphuring on the color of the processed fruit during storage for 100 days at 0 and 25C was studied. Drying fruit to 15% instead of 17% moisture content gave darker-colored fruit, and it did not improve color retention during storage. Storage at 20C decreased L* values, indicating darkening of the fruit, but the quality, correlated with chroma, was still acceptable for fruit obtained with most of the treatment combinations. Substantial losses of SO2 occurred at 20C. Rehydration and resulphuring increased chroma and hue values of the fruit. Storage of processed fruit at OC was effective in preventing discoloration, irrespective of treatment, while discoloration took place at 25C. [source] Retention of Folate, Carotenoids, and Other Quality Characteristics in Commercially Packaged Fresh SpinachJOURNAL OF FOOD SCIENCE, Issue 9 2004S. Pandrangi ABSTRACT: The effect of storage temperature (4 °C, 10 °C, and 20 °C) on retention of folate, carotenoids, and other quality characteristics in commercially packaged fresh spinach were determined. Based on visual color and appearance, spinach was unacceptable after 8 d, 6 d, and 4 d at 4 °C, 10 °C, and 20 °C, respectively. Color differences (AE), chlorophyll degradation, fresh weight loss, and microbial populations increased at all storage temperatures and occurred more rapidly at higher temperatures. Peroxidase activity increased but was not significantly (P > 0.05) affected by storage temperature. Lipoxygenase activity was unaffected by storage time or temperature. Substantial losses of nutrients occurred at each storage temperature. Only 53% of folate in packaged spinach was retained after 8 d, 6 d, and 4 d at 4 °C, 10 °C, and 20 °C, respectively. Carotenoid losses increased with temperature with only 54%, 61%, and 44%, respectively, of initial detected levels remaining. Vitamin and quality changes were unaffected by presence or absence of packaging. [source] A Sampling Approach for Evaluating Particle Loss During Continuous Field Measurement of Particulate MatterPARTICLE & PARTICLE SYSTEMS CHARACTERIZATION, Issue 2 2005Christopher A. Noble Abstract A method for evaluating sample bias in field measurements is presented. Experiments were performed in the field and laboratory to quantify the bias as a function of particle size for the scanning mobility particle sizer and the aerodynamic particle sizer. Sources of bias and sample loss considered in this work were sampling line loss, instrumental differences and inlet efficiencies. Measurement of the bias and sample loss allow for correction of the data acquired in the field, so as to obtain more representative samples of atmospheric concentrations. Substantial losses of fine and ultrafine particle count were observed, with sampling line losses ranging from 10,50,%, dependent on particle size. Only minor line losses were observed for coarse particles (approximately 5,%) because the sampling line was oriented vertically. Please note: corrected DOI, in print wrong DOI (10.1002/ppsc.200400939) [source] Estimating the burden of disease attributable to illicit drug use and mental disorders: what is ,Global Burden of Disease 2005' and why does it matter?ADDICTION, Issue 9 2009Louisa Degenhardt ABSTRACT Background The estimated impact of illicit drug use and mental disorders upon population health needs to be understood because there is evidence that they produce substantial loss of life and disability, and information is needed on the comparative population health impact of different diseases and risk factors to help focus policy, service and research planning and execution. Aims To provide an overview of a global project, running since the end of 2007,Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2005. Methods The new GBD aims to update comprehensively the findings of the first GBD exercise. It aims to provide regional and global estimates of the burden of disease attributable to hundreds of diseases, injuries and their risk factors. Groups have been assembled to provide expert advice on the parameters needed to inform these estimates; here, we provide a brief summary of the broad range of work being undertaken by the group examining illicit drug use and mental disorders. Discussion The estimates of the contribution of mental disorders and illicit drugs to GBD will inform and potentially shape the focus of researchers, clinicians and governments in the years to come. We hope that interested readers might be encouraged to submit new data or feedback on the work completed thus far, as well as the work that is still under way and yet to be completed. [source] Effect of temperature and moisture on rates of carbon mineralization in a Mediterranean oak forest soil under controlled and field conditionsEUROPEAN JOURNAL OF SOIL SCIENCE, Issue 5 2005A. Rey Summary We examined the relationship between carbon mineralization (Cmin), moisture and temperature in a Mediterranean forest soil under controlled and field conditions. We studied the following. 1,The temperature sensitivity at three soil depths: soil samples were incubated at 4, 10, 20 and 30°C at optimal water content of 60% of water holding capacity (WHC). Values of Cmin of the top layer were more than 12 times faster than those measured in deeper layers. We found a temperature sensitivity factor (Q10) of 3.3, 2.7 and 2.2 for the 0,5 cm, 5,10 cm and 10,20 cm layers, respectively. 2,The relationship between Cmin, moisture and temperature (top layer). The sensitivity of Cmin to fluctuating moisture depended on temperature. However, the Q10 was not significantly affected by soil moisture. We fitted a multiple polynomial model that predicted Cmin as a multiplicative function of temperature and moisture (R2 > 0.99). 3,The response of Cmin of soil to rewetting after 1 and 24 hours. In all cases, the response was rapid. The soil incubated at 60% WHC or less responded positively to a sudden increase in water content, with the largest increase in the 20% WHC treatment. The model predicted Cmin in the field well when rewetting effects were taken into account (R2 > 0.81). These results indicate that sudden changes in soil moisture can lead to increased carbon mineralization during the dry summer. It is necessary to include such responses in models as they may represent a substantial loss of carbon in the overall carbon balance of Mediterranean ecosystems. [source] A critical evaluation of genomic control methods for genetic association studiesGENETIC EPIDEMIOLOGY, Issue 4 2009Tony Dadd Abstract Population stratification is an important potential confounder of genetic case-control association studies. For replication studies, limited availability of samples may lead to imbalanced sampling from heterogeneous populations. Genomic control (GC) can be used to correct ,2 test statistics which are presumed to be inflated by a factor ,; this may be estimated by a summary ,2 value (,median or ,mean) from a set of unlinked markers. Many studies applying GC methods have used fewer than 50 unlinked markers and an important question is whether this can adequately correct for population stratification. We assess the behavior of GC methods in imbalanced case-control studies using simulation. SNPs are sampled from two subpopulations with intra-continental levels of FST (,0.005) and sampling schemata ranging from balanced to completely imbalanced between subpopulations. The sampling properties of ,median and ,mean are explored using 6,1,600 unlinked markers to estimate Type 1 error and power empirically. GC corrections based on the ,2 -distribution (GCmedian or GCmean) can be anti-conservative even when more than 100 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) are genotyped and realistic levels of population stratification exist. The GCF procedure performs well over a wider range of conditions, only becoming anti-conservative at low levels of , and with fewer than 25 SNPs genotyped. A substantial loss of power can arise when population stratification is present, but this is largely independent of the number of SNPs used. A literature survey shows that most studies applying GC have used GCmedian or GCmean, rather than GCF, which is the most appropriate GC correction method. Genet. Epidemiol. 2009. © 2008 Wiley Liss, Inc. [source] Selection of the most informative individuals from families with multiple siblings for association studiesGENETIC EPIDEMIOLOGY, Issue 4 2009Chunyu Liu Abstract Association analyses may follow an initial linkage analysis for mapping and identifying genes underlying complex quantitative traits and may be conducted on unrelated subsets of individuals where only one member of a family is included. We evaluate two methods to select one sibling per sibship when multiple siblings are available: (1) one sibling with the most extreme trait value; and (2) one sibling using a combination score statistic based on extreme trait values and identity-by-descent sharing information. We compare the type I error and power. Furthermore, we compare these selection strategies with a strategy that randomly selects one sibling per sibship and with an approach that includes all siblings, using both simulation study and an application to fasting blood glucose in the Framingham Heart Study. When genetic effect is homogeneous, we find that using the combination score can increase power by 30,40% compared to a random selection strategy, and loses only 8,13% of power compared to the full sibship analysis, across all additive models considered, but offers at least 50% genotyping cost saving. In the presence of genetic heterogeneity, the score offers a 50% increase in power over a random selection strategy, but there is substantial loss compared to the full sibship analysis. In application to fasting blood sample, two SNPs are found in common for the selection strategies and the full sample among the 10 highest ranked single nucleotide polymorphisms. The EV strategy tends to agree with the IBD-EV strategy and the analysis of the full sample. Genet. Epidemiol. 2009. © 2008 Wiley-Liss, Inc. [source] Soil organic carbon stock change due to land use activity along the agricultural frontier of the southwestern Amazon, Brazil, between 1970 and 2002GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, Issue 10 2010STOÉCIO M. F. MAIA Abstract The southwestern portion of the Brazilian Amazon arguably represents the largest agricultural frontier in the world, and within this region the states of Rondônia and Mato Grosso have about 24% and 32% of their respective areas under agricultural management, which is almost half of the total area deforested in the Brazilian Amazon biome. Consequently, it is assumed that deforestation in this region has caused substantial loss of soil organic carbon (SOC). In this study, the changes in SOC stocks due to the land use change and management in the southwestern Amazon were estimated for two time periods from 1970,1985 and 1985,2002. An uncertainty analysis was also conducted using a Monte Carlo approach. The results showed that mineral soils converted to agricultural management lost a total of 5.37 and 3.74 Tg C yr,1 between 1970,1985 and 1985,2002, respectively, along the Brazilian Agricultural Frontier in the states of Mato Grosso and Rondônia. Uncertainties in these estimates were ±37.3% and ±38.6% during the first and second time periods, respectively. The largest sources of uncertainty were associated with reference carbon (C) stocks, expert knowledge surveys about grassland condition, and the management factors for nominal and degraded grasslands. These results showed that land use change and management created a net loss of C from soils, however, the change in SOC stocks decreased substantially from the first to the second time period due to the increase in land under no-tillage. [source] Electron spin resonance studies on ,-irradiated coffee bean partsINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FOOD SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY, Issue 1 2003Brij Bhushan Summary Using electron spin resonance (ESR) free radicals, present naturally or formed after ,-irradiation of parts of coffee bean, were examined by entrapping the sample in potassium chloride powder in ESR quartz tubes. The ESR signal at g=2.002 was more prominent in the spermoderm than in the whole seed portion of the coffee beans. The ,-irradiation of coffee beans with doses of 5 or 10 kGy, normally used for decontamination, resulted in a dose-dependent increase of a signal at g=2.002 which was accompanied by a weak triplet (aH c. 3.0 mT), and which was also more prominent in the spermoderm. While short-term storage (24 h at 25 ± 0.5 °C) of irradiated beans resulted in a substantial loss of signal at g=2.002, annealing at 50 ± 0.5 °C for 16 h increased this signal intensity in greater proportion than caused by irradiation alone, suggesting that generation of free radicals in the two varieties of coffee beans is not unique to the irradiation processing alone. [source] Second Generation Sol-Gel Encapsulated Lipases: Robust Heterogeneous BiocatalystsADVANCED SYNTHESIS & CATALYSIS (PREVIOUSLY: JOURNAL FUER PRAKTISCHE CHEMIE), Issue 6-7 2003Manfred Abstract The original procedure for the encapsulation of lipases in sol-gel materials produced by the fluoride-catalyzed hydrolysis of mixtures of RSi(OCH3)3 and Si(OCH3)4 has been improved considerably. This involves higher enzyme loading, variation of the alkylsilane precursor, and the use of additives such as isopropyl alcohol, 18-crown-6, Tween,80®, methyl-,-cyclodextrin and/or KCl. A dramatic increase in enzyme activity is observed. The sol-gel lipase immobilizates are also excellent catalysts in the kinetic resolution of chiral alcohols and amines, recycling without any substantial loss in enantioselectivity and a residual activity of 70% being possible even after 20 reaction cycles. [source] 100 years of change: examining agricultural trends, habitat change and stakeholder perceptions through the 20th centuryJOURNAL OF APPLIED ECOLOGY, Issue 2 2009Martin Dallimer Summary 1The 20th century has witnessed substantial increases in the intensity of agricultural land management, much of which has been driven by policies to enhance food security and production. The knock-on effects in agriculturally dominated landscapes include habitat degradation and biodiversity loss. We examine long-term patterns of agricultural and habitat change at a regional scale, using the Peak District of northern England as a case study. As stakeholders are central to the implementation of successful land-use policy, we also assess their perceptions of historical changes. 2In the period 1900 to 2000, there was a fivefold rise in sheep density, along with higher cattle density. We found a reduction in the number of farms, evidence of a shift in land ownership patterns, and increased agricultural specialization, including the virtual disappearance of upland arable production. 3Despite previous studies showing a substantial loss in heather cover, we found that there had been no overall change in the proportion of land covered by dwarf shrub moor. Nonetheless, turnover rates were high, with only 55% of sampled sites maintaining dwarf shrub moor coverage between 1913 and 2000. 4Stakeholders identified many of the changes revealed by the historical data, such as increased sheep numbers, fewer farms and greater specialization. However, other land-use changes were not properly described. For instance, although there had been no overall change in the proportion of dwarf shrub moor and the size of the rural labour force had not fallen, stakeholders reported a decline in both. Spatial heterogeneity of the changes, shifting baselines and problems with historical data sources might account for some of these discrepancies. 5Synthesis and applications. A marked increase in sheep numbers, combined with general agricultural intensification, have been the dominant land-use processes in the Peak District during the 20th century. Stakeholders only correctly perceived some land-use changes. Policy and management objectives should therefore be based primarily on actual historical evidence. However, understanding stakeholder perceptions and how they differ from, or agree with, the available evidence will contribute to the successful uptake of land management policies and partly determine the costs of policy implementation. [source] Distribution of Patients, Paroxysmal Atrial Tachyarrhythmia Episodes: Implications for Detection of Treatment EfficacyJOURNAL OF CARDIOVASCULAR ELECTROPHYSIOLOGY, Issue 2 2001WILLIAM F. KAEMMERER Ph.D. Distribution of Paroxysmal Atrial Tachyarrhythmia Episodes.Introduction: Clinical trials of treatments for paroxysmal atrial tachyarrhythmia (pAT) often compare different treatment groups using the time to first episode recurrence. This approach assumes that the time to the first recurrence is representative of all times between successive episodes in a given patient. We subjected this assumption to an empiric test. Methods and Results: Records of pAT onsets from a chronologic series of 134 patients with dual chamber implantable defibrillators were analyzed; 14 had experienced > 10 pAT episodes, which is sufficient for meaningful statistical modeling of the time intervals between episodes. Episodes were independent and randomly distributed in 9 of 14 patients, but a fit of the data to an exponential distribution, required by the stated assumption, was rejected in 13 of 14. In contrast, a Weibull distribution yielded an adequate goodness of fit in 5 of the 9 cases with independent and randomly distributed data. Monte Carlo methods were used to determine the impact of violations of the exponential distribution assumption on clinical trials using time from cardioversion to first episode recurrence as the dependent measure. In a parallel groups design, substantial loss of power occurs with sample sizes < 500 patients per group. In a cross-over design, there is insufficient power to detect a 30% reduction in episode frequency even with 300 patients. Conclusion: Clinical trials that rely on time to first episode recurrence may be considerably less able to detect efficacious treatments than may have been supposed. Analysis of multiple episode onsets recorded over time should be used to avoid this pitfall. [source] The fate of seeds in Mediterranean soil seed banks in relation to their traitsJOURNAL OF VEGETATION SCIENCE, Issue 1 2006Juan Traba Abstract Question: Is there any change in seed density and species richness in Mediterranean surface soil banks during summer? Are there any relationships between these summer variations and seed traits (weight, length and shape), without and with controlling the phylogenetic effect? Location: Central Spain. Methods: Samples of the surface soil seed bank were collected in two Mediterranean systems, grassland and scrubland, at two points in the year: immediately after the summer production peak and immediately prior to the autumn germination peak. We used Canonical Correspondence Analysis ordination to check for changes in floristic composition and ANOVAs to check for changes in seed density and species richness between summer and autumn samples. We used multiple regression analysis to analyse the relationship between summer variations in soil seed density and form traits, with and without controlling phylogenetic relations. Results: Soil seed density dropped significantly during the summer in the two systems (28% in grasslands, repeated measures ANOVA test; F = 58.19, P < 0.01; 72% in scrublands, repeated measures ANOVA test; F = 75.67, P < 0.001). Species richness, however, only dropped significantly in the scrubland (32%; repeated measures ANOVA test; F = 9.17, P < 0.05). Variation in the floristic composition of the shallow banks was only significant in the scrubland. Changes in shallow bank density were related significantly to seed morphology features, with greater drops in species with heavier seeds in grasslands and species with longer seeds in scrubland. Conclusions: Our results show a substantial loss of seeds in the uppermost soil layer during the summer period between the point of peak production and the autumn germination peak. This drop was clearer in the scrubland than in the grassland. Longer and/or heavier seeds underwent the greatest declines in density at the end of summer, indicating a more intense effect of post-dispersal predation on large-seeded species. [source] Tests of Association for Quantitative Traits in Nuclear Families Using Principal Components to Correct for Population StratificationANNALS OF HUMAN GENETICS, Issue 6 2009Lei Zhang SUMMARY Traditional transmission disequilibrium test (TDT) based methods for genetic association analyses are robust to population stratification at the cost of a substantial loss of power. We here describe a novel method for family-based association studies that corrects for population stratification with the use of an extension of principal component analysis (PCA). Specifically, we adopt PCA on unrelated parents in each family. We then infer principal components for children from those for their parents through a TDT-like strategy. Two test statistics within the variance-components model are proposed for association tests. Simulation results show that the proposed tests have correct type I error rates regardless of population stratification, and have greatly improved power over two popular TDT-based methods: QTDT and FBAT. The application to the Genetic Analysis Workshop 16 (GAW16) data sets attests to the feasibility of the proposed method. [source] Biological invasions in the Antarctic: extent, impacts and implicationsBIOLOGICAL REVIEWS, Issue 1 2005Yves Frenot ABSTRACT Alien microbes, fungi, plants and animals occur on most of the sub-Antarctic islands and some parts of the Antarctic continent. These have arrived over approximately the last two centuries, coincident with human activity in the region. Introduction routes have varied, but are largely associated with movement of people and cargo in connection with industrial, national scientific program and tourist operations. The large majority of aliens are European in origin. They have both direct and indirect impacts on the functioning of species-poor Antarctic ecosystems, in particular including substantial loss of local biodiversity and changes to ecosystem processes. With rapid climate change occurring in some parts of Antarctica, elevated numbers of introductions and enhanced success of colonization by aliens are likely, with consequent increases in impacts on ecosystems. Mitigation measures that will substantially reduce the risk of introductions to Antarctica and the sub-Antarctic must focus on reducing propagule loads on humans, and their food, cargo, and transport vessels. [source] Low versus high molecular weight poly(ethylene glycol)-induced states of stem bromelain at low pH: Stabilization of molten globule and unfolded statesBIOPOLYMERS, Issue 5 2006Basir Ahmad Abstract The effect of low, medium, and high molecular weight poly(ethylene glycol) (e.g., PEG-400, -6000, and -20,000) on the structure of the acid unfolded state of unmodified stem bromelain (SB) obtained at pH 2.0 has been studied by various spectroscopic methods. The conformation of stem bromelain at pH 2.0 exhibits substantial loss of secondary structure and almost complete loss of native tertiary contacts and has been termed the acid unfolded state (AU). Addition of PEG-400 to AU led to an increase in the mean residue ellipticity (MRE) value at 222 nm, indicating formation of ,-helical structure. On the other hand, PEG-6000 and 20,000 led to a decrease in the MRE value at 222 nm, indicating unfolding of the AU state. Interestingly, at 70% (w/v) PEG-400 and 40% (w/v) PEG-20,000, MRE values at 222 nm almost approach the native state at pH 7.0 and the unfolded state (6 M GnHCl) of stem bromelain, respectively. The probes for tertiary structure showed formation of nonnative tertiary contacts in the presence of 70% (w/v) PEG-400, while 40% (w/v) PEG-6000 and 20,000 were found to stabilize the unfolded state of SB. An increase in binding of 1-anilino 8-naphthalene sulfonic acid and a decrease in fractional accessibility of tryptophan residues (fa) compared to AU in the presence of 70% PEG-400 indicate that the PEG-400,induced state has a significant amount of exposed hydrophobic patches and is more compact than AU. The results imply that the PEG-400,induced state has characteristics of molten globule, and higher molecular weight PEGs led to the unfolding of the AU state. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Biopolymers 81: 350,359, 2006 This article was originally published online as an accepted preprint. The "Published Online" date corresponds to the preprint version. You can request a copy of the preprint by emailing the Biopolymers editorial office at biopolymers@wiley.com [source] Selective Neuronal Vulnerability Following Mild Focal Brain Ischemia in the MouseBRAIN PATHOLOGY, Issue 4 2003Juri Katchanov The evolution of cellular damage over time and the selective vulnerability of different neuronal subtypes was characterized in the striatum following 30-minute middle cerebral artery occlusion and reperfusion in the mouse. Using autoradiography we found an increase in the density of [3H]PK11195 binding sites,likely reflecting microglial activation,in the lesion border at 3 days and in the whole striatum from 10 days to 6 weeks. This was accompanied by a distinct loss of [3H]flumazenil and [3H]CGP39653 binding sites from 10 days up to 6 weeks reflecting neuronal loss. Brain ischemia resulted in a substantial loss of medium spiny projection neurons as seen at three days by Nissl staining, TUNEL and immunocytochemistry using antibodies against microtubule-associated protein (MAP2), NeuN, (,-opioid receptors, substance P, Lenkephalin, neurokinin B, choline acetyltransferase, parvalbumin, calretinin and somatostatin. Both patch and matrix compartments were involved in ischemic damage. In contrast, the numbers of cholinergic, GABAergic, and somatostatin-containing interneurons in the ischemic striatum were not different from those in the contralateral hemisphere at 3 and 14 days. A low density of glutamate receptors, the ability to sequester calcium by calcium-binding proteins and other hitherto unidentified factors may explain this relative resistance of interneurons to acute ischemia. [source] A Longitudinal Study of Emergency Medicine Residents' Malpractice Fear and Defensive MedicineACADEMIC EMERGENCY MEDICINE, Issue 6 2007Robert M. Rodriguez MD Objectives:To determine the baseline level and evolution of defensive medicine and malpractice concern (MC) of emergency medicine (EM) residents. Methods:Using a validated instrument consisting of case scenarios and Likert-type scale questions, the authors performed a prospective, longitudinal (June 2001 to June 2005) study of EM residents at five 4-year California residency programs. Results:All 51 EM interns of these residencies were evaluated; four residents left their programs and one took medical leave, resulting in 46 graduating residents evaluated. MC did not affect the residency choice of interns. Although perceived likelihood of serious disease increased in case scenarios over time, defensive medicine decreased in 27% of cases and increased in 20%. On a scale with 1 representing extremely influential and 5 representing not at all influential, the mean (±SD) influence of MC on interns' and graduates' case evaluation and management was 2.5 (±1.1) and 2.7 (±1.0), respectively. Comparing interns and graduates, there was no significant difference in the percentages of respondents who declared MC (mean difference in proportions, 3.3%; 95% CI =,8.4% to 15%) or refused procedures because of MC (11.5%; 95% CI =,1.3% to 24.3%). More interns, however, declared substantial loss of enjoyment of medicine than graduates (48%; 95% CI = 30.3% to 65.5%). Conclusions:Physicians enter four-year EM residencies in California with moderate MC and defensive medicine, which do not change significantly over time and do not markedly impact their decisions to perform emergency department procedures. Malpractice fear markedly decreases interns' enjoyment of medicine, but this effect decreases by residency completion. [source] Optimal Design of the Online Auction Channel: Analytical, Empirical, and Computational Insights,DECISION SCIENCES, Issue 4 2002Ravi Bapna ABSTRACT The focus of this study is on business-to-consumer (B2C) online auctions made possible by the advent of electronic commerce over an open-source, ubiquitous Internet Protocol (IP) computer network. This work presents an analytical model that characterizes the revenue generation process for a popular B2C online auction, namely, Yankee auctions. Such auctions sell multiple identical units of a good to multiple buyers using an ascending and open auction mechanism. The methodologies used to validate the analytical model range from empirical analysis to simulation. A key contribution of this study is the design of a partitioning scheme of the discrete valuation space of the bidders such that equilibrium points with higher revenue structures become identifiable and feasible. Our analysis indicates that the auctioneers are, most of the time, far away from the optimal choice of key control factors such as the bid increment, resulting in substantial losses in a market with already tight margins. With this in mind, we put forward a portfolio of tools, varying in their level of abstraction and information intensity requirements, which help auctioneers maximize their revenues. [source] Urban disaster recovery: a measurement framework and its application to the 1995 Kobe earthquakeDISASTERS, Issue 2 2010Stephanie E. Chang This paper provides a framework for assessing empirical patterns of urban disaster recovery through the use of statistical indicators. Such a framework is needed to develop systematic knowledge on how cities recover from disasters. The proposed framework addresses such issues as defining recovery, filtering out exogenous influences unrelated to the disaster, and making comparisons across disparate areas or events. It is applied to document how Kobe City, Japan, recovered from the catastrophic 1995 earthquake. Findings indicate that while aggregate population regained pre-disaster levels in ten years, population had shifted away from the older urban core. Economic recovery was characterised by a three to four year temporary boost in reconstruction activities, followed by settlement at a level some ten per cent below pre-disaster levels. Other long-term effects included substantial losses of port activity and sectoral shifts toward services and large businesses. These patterns of change and disparity generally accelerated pre-disaster trends. [source] Contrasting effects of repeated summer drought on soil carbon efflux in hydric and mesic heathland soilsGLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, Issue 10 2008ALWYN SOWERBY Abstract Current predictions of climate change include altered rainfall patterns throughout Europe, continental USA and areas such as the Amazon. The effect of this on soil carbon efflux remains unclear although several modelling studies have highlighted the potential importance of drought for carbon storage. To test the importance of drought, and more importantly repeated drought year-on-year, we used automated retractable curtains to exclude rain and produce repeated summer drought in three heathlands at varying moisture conditions. This included a hydric system limited by water-excess (in the UK) and two mesic systems with seasonal water limitation in Denmark (DK) and the Netherlands (NL). The experimental rainfall reductions were set to reflect single year droughts observed in the last decade with exclusion of rain for 2,3 months of the year resulting in a 20,26% reduction in annual rainfall and 23,38% reduction in mean soil moisture during the drought period. Unexpectedly, sustained reduction in soil moisture over winter (between drought periods) was also observed at all three sites, along with a reduction in the maximum water-holding capacity attained. Three hypotheses are discussed which may have contributed to this lack of recovery in soil moisture: hydrophobicity of soil organic matter, increased water use by plants and increased cracking of the soil. The responses of soil respiration to this change in soil moisture varied among the sites: decreased rates were observed at the water-limited NL and DK sites whilst they increased at the UK site. Reduced sensitivity of soil respiration to soil temperature was observed at soil moisture contents above 55% at the UK site and below 20% and 13% at the NL and DK sites, respectively. Soil respiration rates recovered to predrought levels in the NL and DK sites during the winter re-wetting period that indicates any change in soil C storage due to changes in soil C efflux may be short lived in these mesic systems. In contrast, in the hydric UK site after 2 years of drought treatment, the persistent reduction in soil moisture throughout the year resulted in a year-round increase in soil respiration flux, a response that accelerated over time to 40% above control levels. These findings suggest that carbon-rich soils with high organic matter content may act as a significant source of CO2 to the atmosphere following repeated summer drought. Nonrecovery of soil moisture and a persistent increase in soil respiration may be the primary mechanism underlying the reported substantial losses of soil carbon from UK organic soils over the last 20 years. These findings indicate that the water status of an ecosystem will be a critical factor to consider in determining the impact of drought on the soil carbon fluxes and storage. [source] Vulnerability of African mammals to anthropogenic climate change under conservative land transformation assumptionsGLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, Issue 3 2006WILFRIED THUILLER Abstract Recent observations show that human-induced climate change (CC) and land transformation (LT) are threatening wildlife globally. Thus, there is a need to assess the sensitivity of wildlife on large spatial scales and evaluate whether national parks (NPs), a key conservation tools used to protect species, will meet their mandate under future CC and LT conditions. Here, we assess the sensitivity of 277 mammals at African scale to CC at 10, resolution, using static LT assumptions in a ,first-cut' estimate, in the absence of credible future LT trends. We examine the relationship between species' current distribution and macroclimatic variables using generalized additive models, and include LT indirectly as a filter. Future projections are derived using two CC scenarios (for 2050 and 2080) to estimate the spatial patterns of loss and gain in species richness that might ultimately result. We then apply the IUCN Red List criteria A3(c) of potential range loss to evaluate species sensitivity. We finally estimate the sensitivity of 141 NPs in terms of both species richness and turnover. Assuming no spread of species, 10,15% of the species are projected to fall within the critically endangered or extinct categories by 2050 and between 25% and 40% by 2080. Assuming unlimited species spread, less extreme results show proportions dropping to approximately 10,20% by 2080. Spatial patterns of richness loss and gain show contrasting latitudinal patterns with a westward range shift of species around the species-rich equatorial zone in central Africa, and an eastward shift in southern Africa, mainly because of latitudinal aridity gradients across these ecological transition zones. Xeric shrubland NPs may face significant richness losses not compensated by species influxes. Other NPs might expect substantial losses and influxes of species. On balance, the NPs might ultimately realize a substantial shift in the mammalian species composition of a magnitude unprecedented in recent geological time. To conclude, the effects of global CC and LT on wildlife communities may be most noticeable not as a loss of species from their current ranges, but instead as a fundamental change in community composition. [source] Modelling carbon balances of coastal arctic tundra under changing climateGLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, Issue 1 2003Robert F. Grant Abstract Rising air temperatures are believed to be hastening heterotrophic respiration (Rh) in arctic tundra ecosystems, which could lead to substantial losses of soil carbon (C). In order to improve confidence in predicting the likelihood of such loss, the comprehensive ecosystem model ecosys was first tested with carbon dioxide (CO2) fluxes measured over a tundra soil in a growth chamber under various temperatures and soil-water contents (,). The model was then tested with CO2 and energy fluxes measured over a coastal arctic tundra near Barrow, Alaska, under a range of weather conditions during 1998,1999. A rise in growth chamber temperature from 7 to 15 °C caused large, but commensurate, rises in respiration and CO2 fixation, and so no significant effect on net CO2 exchange was modelled or measured. An increase in growth chamber , from field capacity to saturation caused substantial reductions in respiration but not in CO2 fixation, and so an increase in net CO2 exchange was modelled and measured. Long daylengths over the coastal tundra at Barrow caused an almost continuous C sink to be modelled and measured during most of July (2,4 g C m,2 d,1), but shortening daylengths and declining air temperatures caused a C source to be modelled and measured by early September (,1 g C m,2 d,1). At an annual time scale, the coastal tundra was modelled to be a small C sink (4 g C m,2 y,1) during 1998 when average air temperatures were 4 °C above normal, and a larger C sink (16 g C m,2 y,1) during 1999 when air temperatures were close to long-term normals. During 100 years under rising atmospheric CO2 concentration (Ca), air temperature and precipitation driven by the IS92a emissions scenario, modelled Rh rose commensurately with net primary productivity (NPP) under both current and elevated rates of atmospheric nitrogen (N) deposition, so that changes in soil C remained small. However, methane (CH4) emissions were predicted to rise substantially in coastal tundra with IS92a-driven climate change (from ,20 to ,40 g C m,2 y,1), causing a substantial increase in the emission of CO2 equivalents. If the rate of temperature increase hypothesized in the IS92a emissions scenario had been raised by 50%, substantial losses of soil C (,1 kg C m,2) would have been modelled after 100 years, including additional emissions of CH4. [source] Precautionary rules for exotic trout aquaculture in fishless shallow lakes of Patagonia: minimizing impacts on the threatened hooded grebe (Podiceps gallardoi)AQUATIC CONSERVATION: MARINE AND FRESHWATER ECOSYSTEMS, Issue 1 2010Julio L. Lancelotti Abstract 1.Conflicts between habitat use and conservation are inherent to the management of wetlands. A major challenge for their management is to preserve habitat while addressing the demands from multiple users. In southern Patagonia (Argentina), a growing aquaculture activity based on rainbow trout introductions in shallow lakes is generating concerns about the effects on the waterbird fauna, including some endemic species. 2.Generalized linear models (GLM) were used to analyse data on the endemic hooded grebe (Podiceps gallardoi) collected over a diverse set of lakes to: (1) build presence-absence models as a function of environmental variables; (2) assess current and potential overlap with trout aquaculture; (3) explore the power of alternative lake assignment algorithms based on habitat variables to segregate critical habitat and aquaculture activities; and (4) explore the correlation between the probability of grebe presence and their abundance in given lakes. 3.Hooded grebe presence is clearly correlated with macrophyte cover, lake area, and water conductivity. Medium size lakes, with a combination of emerging macrophytes, adjacent to open water areas had the highest probability of both hooded grebe presence and abundance. 4.Different lake allocation scenarios are identified that could grant significant protection to hooded grebes without substantial losses for trout producers. The a priori probability to hold hooded grebe, assigned by the model based on lake characteristics, provides a tool that can be used by managing authorities to derive precautionary management rules to regulate aquaculture and to preserve primary hooded grebe habitat. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] | ||||||||||||||||||||||