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Worst Case Scenario (bad + case_scenario)

Distribution by Scientific Domains

Business, Economics, Finance and Accounting	50%

Selected Abstracts

Worst case scenario: Carcinoma of unknown origin

DIAGNOSTIC CYTOPATHOLOGY, Issue 5 2006
Michael L. Cibull M.D.
No abstract is available for this article. [source]

Social risk assessment of large technical systems

HUMAN FACTORS AND ERGONOMICS IN MANUFACTURING & SERVICE INDUSTRIES, Issue 4 2003
H.J. Pasman
A probabilistic approach to engineering advances. Since risk adhering to a technical structure can be determined quantitatively easier and more accurately than before, criteria for decision making are becoming more important. If the structure is in the public domain, and benefits are not felt, the voluntariness of being subjected to the risk becomes low. Decisions become, in such a case, a political issue on the basis of considerations of ethics, law, and social justice. For a specific case, the comparison of the economic benefits with the total costs, including risk reduction in a worst case scenario, play a major role as we have seen over and over again in, for example, planning nuclear power generation. A criterion for individual risk of 10,5 per year for the purpose of "external safety" is generally accepted. For social risk assessment, however, a group risk criterion is essential and much more difficult to define. An analysis is made. Examples of inconsistency are given. Further dialogue is encouraged. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Hum Factors Man 13: 305,316, 2003. [source]

The successful management of organisational change in tourism SMEs: initial findings in UK visitor attractions

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF TOURISM RESEARCH, Issue 4 2008
Rune Todnem By
Abstract Organisational change management theory for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) within the tourism industry is an under-researched field. Changing political, economic, social and technological factors can leave unprepared SMEs exposed to external as well as internal pressures, which can lead to underperformance, or in worst case scenario, business failure. This paper, reporting on the findings of exploratory research of nine UK-based visitor attractions, all qualifying as SMEs, suggests that the successful management of change is crucial for SMEs' survival and success. The findings argue that the current approach taken to organisational change management within the industry is bumpy incremental, bumpy continuous and planned. Hence, the paper provides a framework for managing organisational change based on eight critical success factors identified by the study: adaptability and flexibility, commitment and support, communication and co-operation, continuous learning and improvement, formal strategies, motivation and reward, pragmatism, and the right people. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source]

Environmental Impact and Added Value in Forestry Operations in Norway

JOURNAL OF INDUSTRIAL ECOLOGY, Issue 1 2008
Ottar Michelsen
Summary The forestry sector is experiencing an increasing demand for documentation about its environmental performance. Previous studies have revealed large differences in environmental impact caused by forestry operations, mainly due to differences in location and forestry practice. Reliable information on environmental performance for forestry operations in different regions is thus important. This article presents a case study of forestry operations in Norway. Environmental impact and value added of selected operations were assessed. This was done with a hybrid life cycle assessment (LCA) approach. Main results, including a sensitivity analysis, are presented for a set of four impact categories. The production chain assessed included all processes from seedling production to the delivery of logs to a downstream user. The environmental impact was mainly caused by logging, transport by forwarders, and transport by truck. These three operations were responsible for approximately 85% of the total environmental impact. The contribution to value added and total costs were more evenly distributed among the processes in the value chain. The sensitivity analysis revealed that the difference in environmental impact between the worst case scenario and the best case scenario was more than a factor of 4. The single most important process was the transport distance from the timber pile in the forest to the downstream user. The results show that the environmental impact from forestry operations in boreal forests was probably underreported in earlier studies. [source]

Die Herausforderung globaler Klimawandel

PERSPEKTIVEN DER WIRTSCHAFTSPOLITIK, Issue 2010
Mojib Latif
The climate problem is therefore closely linked to the way we produce energy. Climate models predict a massive warming by the end of the century should global greenhouse gas emissions not be strongly reduced. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reports that the warming can amount to up to 4°C in a worst case scenario, which would be unprecedented in speed and extent in man's history. This can lead to an increase of extreme weather events and a rise of global sea level by up to 1m. A less known impact of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide is ocean acidification, as the oceans take up large amounts of carbon dioxide. Ocean acidification potentially threatens marine life and global food production. [source]

Can OECD Countries Afford Demographic Change?

THE AUSTRALIAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, Issue 2 2007
Ross Guest
This article provides new calculations on the effects of demographic change on living standards in all 30 OECD countries using the latest demographic projections up to 2050 from the United Nations, World Population Prospects, 2004 Revision. The calculations include several potential dividends that could offset, at least in part, the costs of a lower working age population share. The effects of demographic change calculated here are mechanical in that there is no explicit optimising behaviour. In the worst case scenario, which assumes zero potential dividends and no increase in labour force participation rates, the negative effect of demographic change on living standards among OECD countries over the whole period from 2006 to 2050 ranges from zero to 28 per cent, with an average over all countries of 15.5 per cent. In the best case scenario the average effect is zero. About half of the difference between the best and worst case scenarios is accounted for by higher labour force participation and about half by the potential dividends from demographic change. [source]

THE INCREMENTAL VALIDITY OF INTERVIEW SCORES OVER AND ABOVE COGNITIVE ABILITY AND CONSCIENTIOUSNESS SCORES

PERSONNEL PSYCHOLOGY, Issue 2 2000
JOSE M. CORTINA
Recent research has suggested that scores on measures of cognitive ability, measures of Conscientiousness, and interview scores are positively correlated with job performance. There remains, however, a question of incremental validity: To what extent do interviews predict above and beyond cognitive ability and Conscientiousness? This question was addressed in this paper by (a) conducting meta-analyses of the relationships among cognitive ability, Conscientiousness, and interviews, (b) combining these results with predictive validity results from previous meta-analyses to form a "meta-correlation matrix" representing the relationships among cognitive ability, Conscientiousness, interviews, and job performance, and (c) performing 9 hierarchical regressions to examine the incremental validity of 3 levels of structured interviews in best, actual, and worst case scenarios for prediction. Results suggested that interview scores contribute to the prediction of job performance over and above cognitive ability and Conscientiousness to the extent that they are structured, with scores from highly structured interviews contributing substantially to prediction. Directions for future research are discussed. [source]