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Kinds of Quartile Selected AbstractsImmunosuppressant Therapy Adherence and Graft Failure Among Pediatric Renal Transplant RecipientsAMERICAN JOURNAL OF TRANSPLANTATION, Issue 11 2009M. A. Chisholm-Burns The study objective was to determine the association between immunosuppressant therapy (IST) adherence and graft failure among pediatric renal transplant recipients (RTRs) using data reported in the United States Renal Data System (USRDS), which contains Medicare prescription claims. RTRs (,18 years) who received their only transplant during 1995,2000, experienced graft survival more than 6 months posttransplant, had 36 months of USRDS data (or had data until graft failure or death), utilized Medicare IST coverage, and were prescribed cyclosporine/tacrolimus were included. IST adherence was measured by medication possession ratio (MPR). Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to assess the relationship between time to graft failure and continuous MPR. MPR quartiles were used to examine MPR as a categorical variable (Quartile 4 = adherent group, Quartiles 1,3 = nonadherent group). Kaplan,Meier estimates of time to graft failure were compared between adherent and nonadherent groups. 877 RTRs met inclusion criteria. Cox proportional hazards modeling suggested that greater adherence was significantly associated with longer time to graft failure (p = 0.009), after adjusting for relevant clinical factors. Kaplan,Meier analysis found a difference between adherent and nonadherent groups in graft survival by time (,2= 5.68, p = 0.017). Interventions promoting adherence should be implemented among pediatric RTRs and parents/guardians to optimize graft survival. [source] Oral cleft defects and maternal exposure to ambient air pollutants in New Jersey,BIRTH DEFECTS RESEARCH, Issue 4 2010Elizabeth G. Marshall BACKGROUND Evidence links exposure to ambient air pollution during pregnancy, particularly gaseous pollutants and particulate matter, to an increased risk of adverse reproductive outcomes though the results for birth defects have been inconsistent. METHODS We compared estimated exposure to ambient air pollutants during early pregnancy among mothers of children with oral cleft defects (cases) to that among mothers of controls, adjusting for available risk factors from birth certificates. We obtained ambient air pollutant data from air monitoring sites in New Jersey for carbon monoxide (CO), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), ozone (O3), sulfur dioxide (SO2), particulate matter <10 ,m in aerodynamic diameter (PM10) and particulate matter <2.5 ,m in aerodynamic diameter (PM2.5). We used values from the nearest monitor (within 40 km of the residence at birth) for controls, cleft lip with or without cleft palate (CLP) and cleft palate only (CPO). RESULTS Based on logistic regression analyses for each contaminant and all contaminants together, there were no consistent elevated associations between selected air pollutants and cleft malformations. Quartile of CO concentration showed a consistent protective association with CPO (p < 0.01). For other contaminants, confidence intervals (95%) of the odds ratios for some quartiles excluded one. CLP showed limited evidence of an association with increasing SO2 exposure while CPO showed weak associations with increasing O3 exposure. CONCLUSION There was little consistent evidence associating cleft malformations with maternal exposure to ambient air pollutants. Evaluating particular pollutants or disease subgroups would require more detailed measurement of exposure and classification of cleft defects. Birth Defects Research (Part A), 2010. © 2010 Wiley-Liss, Inc. [source] Immunosuppressant Therapy Adherence and Graft Failure Among Pediatric Renal Transplant RecipientsAMERICAN JOURNAL OF TRANSPLANTATION, Issue 11 2009M. A. Chisholm-Burns The study objective was to determine the association between immunosuppressant therapy (IST) adherence and graft failure among pediatric renal transplant recipients (RTRs) using data reported in the United States Renal Data System (USRDS), which contains Medicare prescription claims. RTRs (,18 years) who received their only transplant during 1995,2000, experienced graft survival more than 6 months posttransplant, had 36 months of USRDS data (or had data until graft failure or death), utilized Medicare IST coverage, and were prescribed cyclosporine/tacrolimus were included. IST adherence was measured by medication possession ratio (MPR). Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to assess the relationship between time to graft failure and continuous MPR. MPR quartiles were used to examine MPR as a categorical variable (Quartile 4 = adherent group, Quartiles 1,3 = nonadherent group). Kaplan,Meier estimates of time to graft failure were compared between adherent and nonadherent groups. 877 RTRs met inclusion criteria. Cox proportional hazards modeling suggested that greater adherence was significantly associated with longer time to graft failure (p = 0.009), after adjusting for relevant clinical factors. Kaplan,Meier analysis found a difference between adherent and nonadherent groups in graft survival by time (,2= 5.68, p = 0.017). Interventions promoting adherence should be implemented among pediatric RTRs and parents/guardians to optimize graft survival. [source] The prognostic value of hemoglobin change after initiating androgen-deprivation therapy for newly diagnosed metastatic prostate cancerCANCER, Issue 3 2006A Multivariate Analysis of Southwest Oncology Group Study 889 Abstract BACKGROUND. The objective of this study was to characterize changes in hemoglobin (HGB) levels after the initiation of androgen-deprivation therapy (ADT) in patients with previously untreated, metastatic prostate cancer who were enrolled in a large clinical trial. METHODS. The multivariate associations between 3-month change in HGB and baseline characteristics were evaluated with a linear regression model. The associations between 3-month change in HGB level and time-to-event outcomes, including overall survival and progression-free survival, were evaluated by using proportional hazards regression models. RESULTS. Quartiles of baseline HGB levels were ,12.0 g/dL, from 12.1 to 13.7 g/dL, from 13.8 to 14.7 g/dL, and >14.7 g/dL. Overall, 3 months after initiating ADT, the mean HGB level declined 0.54 g/dL (standard deviation [SD], 1.68 g/dL); however, the mean HGB level increased by 0.99 g/dL (SD, 1.83 g/dL) in patients who had baseline HGB levels <12 g/dL and decreased 1.04 g/dL (SD, 1.28 g/dL) in patients who had baseline HGB levels ,12 g/dL. After adjusting for potential confounders, including baseline HGB level, a decline in HGB after 3 months of ADT was associated independently with shorter survival (hazards ratio [HR], 1.10 per 1 g/dL decline; P = .0035) and shorter progression-free survival (HR, 1.08 per 1 g/dL decline; P = .013). An unexpected finding was that the effect of baseline HGB on overall and progression-free survival varied significantly by race. CONCLUSIONS. In a sample of men with newly diagnosed, metastatic prostate cancer, a decline in HGB level after 3 months of ADT was associated with shorter survival and progression-free survival after adjusting for disease status and other baseline covariates. Although race alone was not a strong predictor of death or disease progression, the effect of the baseline HGB level on overall and progression-free survival varied significantly by race. Cancer 2006. © 2006 American Cancer Society. [source] The antecedents of non-affective psychosis in a birth-cohort, with a focus on measures related to cognitive ability, attentional dysfunction and speech problemsACTA PSYCHIATRICA SCANDINAVICA, Issue 4 2010J. Welham Welham J, Scott J, Williams GM, Najman JM, Bor W, O'Callaghan M, McGrath J. The antecedents of non-affective psychosis in a birth-cohort, with a focus on measures related to cognitive ability, attentional dysfunction, and speech problems. Objective:, Adults with non-affective psychosis show subtle deviations in a range of developmental trajectories as children and adolescents. Method:, Based on a birth-cohort (n = 3801), we examined the Peabody Picture Vocabulary Test (PPTV) at age 5, and Raven's Standard Progressive Matrices (RSPM) and Wide Range Achievement Test reading scale (WRAT-R) at age 14. Items related to speech problems and attentional dysfunction were available from maternal- or self-report. At age 21, we identified 60 cohort members who were screen-positive for non-affective psychosis (SP-NAP). Results:, Impaired performance on the PPVT and RSPM (but not WRAT-R) predicted SP-NAP for males only. Male cohort members in the highest quartile for attentional dysfunction at ages 5 and 14 were about 5,8 times more likely to develop SP-NAP. SP-NAP in males was significantly associated with speech problems at age 14. Conclusion:, Males who develop non-affective psychoses have subtle impairments in cognitive capacity prior to the development of their psychotic disorder. [source] Factors affecting vocabulary acquisition at age 2 in children born between 23 and 28 weeks' gestationDEVELOPMENTAL MEDICINE & CHILD NEUROLOGY, Issue 8 2007Louise Marston MSc Language development is often slower in preterm children compared with their term peers. We investigated factors associated with vocabulary acquisition at 2 years in a cohort of children born at 28 weeks' gestation or less. For children entered into the United Kingdom Oscillation Study, language development was evaluated by using the MacArthur-Bates Communicative Development Inventories score, completed by parents as part of a developmental questionnaire. The effect of demographic, neonatal, socioeconomic factors, growth, and disability were investigated using multifactorial random effects modelling. Questionnaires were returned by 288 participants (148 males, 140 females). The mean number of words vocalized was 42 (SD 29). Multifactorial analysis showed only four factors were significantly associated with vocabulary acquisition. These were: (1) level of disability (mean words: no disability, 45; other disability, 38; severe disability, 30 [severe disability is defined as at least one extreme response in one of the following clinical domains: neuromotor, vision, hearing, communication, or other physical disabilities]; 95% confidence interval [CI] for the difference between no and severe disability 7- 23); (2) sex (39 males, 44 females; 95% CI 0.4-11); (3) length of hospital stay (lower quartile, 47; upper quartile, 38; 95% CI -12 to -4); and (4) weight SD score at 12 months (lower quartile, 39; upper quartile, 44; 95% CI 1,9). There was no significant association between gestational age and vocabulary after multifactorial analysis. There was no significant effect of any socioeconomic factor on vocabulary acquisition. We conclude that clinical factors, particularly indicators of severe morbidity, dominate the correlates of vocabulary acquisition at age 2 in children born very preterm. [source] Early neurodevelopmental markers predictive of mortality in infants infected with HIV-1DEVELOPMENTAL MEDICINE & CHILD NEUROLOGY, Issue 2 2003Antolin Llorente PhD One-hundred and fifty-seven vertically infected HIV-1 positive infants (85 males, 72 females) underwent longitudinal assessment to determine whether early neurodevelopmental markers are useful predictors of mortality in those infants who survive to at least 4 months of age. Survival analysis methods were used to estimate time to death for quartiles of 4-month scores (baseline) on the Bayley Scales of Infant Development (BSID). Cox proportional hazards progression was used to estimate relative hazard (RH, 95% CI) of death for BSID scores and potential confounders. Thirty infants with BSID scores at 4 months of age died during follow-up. Survival analysis revealed greater mortality rates in infants with BSID (Mental Developmental Index and Psychomotor Developmental Index) scores in the lower quartile(p=0.004,p=0.036). Unadjusted univariate analyses revealed increased mortality associated with baseline CD4+ 29%, gestational age <37 weeks, smaller head circumference, advanced HIV and higher plasma viral load. BSID scores independently predicted mortality after adjusting for treatment, clinical category, gestational age, plasma viral load and CD4+ percentage. [source] Pulse pressure and mortality in hypertensive type 2 diabetic patients.DIABETES/METABOLISM: RESEARCH AND REVIEWS, Issue 3 2006A cohort study Abstract Hypothesis Hypertension is a well-known cardiovascular risk factor in type 2 diabetic patients. It has been suggested that pulse pressure (PP) could be an independent cardiovascular risk factor in the general population, particularly in the elderly. An association between office PP and cardiovascular mortality has been previously reported in diabetic patients, while the relationship between ambulatory measurements of PP and all-cause mortality has not been assessed so far. Aim To assess the relationship between ambulatory PP and all-cause mortality in diabetic patients with hypertension. Methods A cohort study was performed on a consecutive series of 435 diabetic outpatients. All patients underwent office blood pressure measurement (OBP) and 24-h ambulatory blood pressure monitoring (ABPM). Mortality was assessed through queries at the Registry Offices of the city of residence for each patient. Mean follow-up was 3.8 ± 1.2 years. Results Fifty-eight patients (13.3%) died during the follow-up. Mortality was significantly (p < 0.05) higher in patients in the highest quartile and lower in patients in the lowest quartile, when compared to the intermediate quartiles, both for office and ABPM-PP. In a multivariate analysis, after adjustment for numerous variables (including current hypoglycaemic, antihypertensive statin and aspirin treatment), mortality was increased by 3.1 and 5.3% for each incremental mmHg of office PP (p < 0.05) and ABPM-PP (p < 0.001) respectively. Conclusions High PP, assessed through office measurement or ABPM, was associated with increased mortality in hypertensive type 2 diabetic patients. In our sample, PP assessed with ABPM is a better predictor of mortality than office PP. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Baseline serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentrations in the Tromsø Study 1994,95 and risk of developing type 2 diabetes mellitus during 11 years of follow-upDIABETIC MEDICINE, Issue 10 2010G. Grimnes Diabet. Med. 27, 1107,1115 (2010) Abstract Aims, We wanted to test the hypothesis that low serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) concentrations are associated with increased risk of developing Type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) in a population-based cohort during 11 years of follow-up. Methods, The analyses included 4157 non-smokers and 1962 smokers from the Tromsø Study 1994,95 without diabetes at baseline. Subsequent Type 2 DM was defined using a hospital journal-based end-point registry, completed through the year 2005. Participants were allocated into quartiles of serum 25(OH)D within each month to account for seasonal variation, and serum 25(OH)D values both as a continuous variable and in quartiles were used in Cox regression models. The analyses were stratified by smoking. Adjustments were made for age, sex, body mass index (BMI), physical activity and, in non-smokers, former smoking. Results, Type 2 DM was registered in 183 non-smoking and 64 smoking participants. Using the fourth (highest) quartile of serum 25(OH)D as the reference, non-smoking participants in the third, second and first quartiles had age- and sex-adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of incident Type 2 DM of 1.00 (0.62,1.61), 1.50 (0.97,2.31) and 1.89 (1.25,2.88), respectively, whereas the corresponding values for smokers were 1.79 (0.77,4.19), 2.33 (1.02,5.35) and 2.68 (1.18,6.08). Adjustment for BMI attenuated the hazard ratios, and they were no longer significant. Conclusions, Baseline serum 25(OH)D was inversely associated with subsequent Type 2 DM in a population-based 11 year follow-up study, but not after adjustment for BMI. Randomized trials are needed to define the possible role of serum 25(OH)D status, and thereby the role of supplementation, in the prevention of Type 2 DM. [source] Insulin resistance is an independent correlate of increased urine albumin excretion: a cross-sectional study in Iranian Type 2 diabetic patientsDIABETIC MEDICINE, Issue 2 2009A. Esteghamati Abstract Aims, To assess the association of insulin resistance with increased urinary albumin excretion (UAE) in a cohort of Iranian Type 2 diabetic patients. Methods, Three hundred and sixty-one men and 472 women with Type 2 diabetes were enrolled from three different outpatient clinics (Tehran, Iran) during the period 2005,2008. Patients with obstructive uropathy, severe heart failure, liver disease, cancer, autoimmune disease and macroalbuminuria were not included. Microalbuminuria (MA; defined as UAE , 30 mg/day) was found in 242 (29.1%) patients; 591 (70.9%) subjects had normoalbuminuria (UAE < 30 mg/day). Insulin resistance was assessed using homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance (HOMA-IR). Results, HOMA-IR index values were higher in subjects with MA than those with normoalbuminuria (P < 0.00001). Adjusted values (for age, sex and duration of diabetes) of UAE and HOMA-IR were 11.81 ± 7.51 (mg/day) and 3.30 ± 2.21 in normoalbuminuric and 75.36 ± 55.57 (mg/day) and 4.98 ± 3.22 in the MA group, respectively (P < 0.00001 for all). Multiple regression analysis showed that UAE was predicted by HOMA-IR, independently of age, duration of diagnosed diabetes, triglycerides, waist circumference, metabolic control, blood pressure and related treatments (P < 0.00001). When patients were categorized into quartiles of HOMA-IR, those of the fourth quartile (i.e. the most insulin resistant) were at a higher risk of increased UAE than other quartiles [odds ratio (OR) 3.7 (95% confidence intervals 2.7,6.2)]. Conclusions, In Iranian Type 2 diabetic patients, albuminuria was strongly associated with insulin resistance. HOMA-IR is an independent predictor of UAE. [source] Post-challenge glucose predicts coronary atherosclerotic progression in non-diabetic, post-menopausal women,DIABETIC MEDICINE, Issue 10 2007P. B. Mellen Abstract Aims, We sought to determine whether fasting or post-challenge glucose were associated with progression of coronary atherosclerosis in non-diabetic women. Methods, We performed a post-hoc analysis of 132 non-diabetic women who underwent 75-g oral glucose tolerance testing. The primary outcome of interest was progression of atherosclerosis determined by baseline and follow-up coronary angiography, a mean of 3.1 ± 0.9 years apart. We analysed the association of change in minimal vessel diameter (,MD) by quartile of fasting and post-challenge glucose using mixed models that included adjustment for age, systolic blood pressure, total : high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio, current smoking, lipid-lowering and anti-hypertensive medication use and other covariates. Results, At baseline, participants had a mean age of 65.7 ± 6.7 years and a mean body mass index of 27.9 ± 8.5 kg/m2. Although there were no significant differences in atherosclerotic progression by fasting glucose category (P for trend across quartiles = 0.99), there was a significant inverse association between post-challenge glucose and ,MD (in mm) (Q1 : 0.01 ± 0.03; Q2 : 0.08 ± 0.03; Q3 : 0.13 ± 0.03; Q4 : 0.11 ± 0.03; P for trend = 0.02). Conclusions, In post-menopausal women without diabetes, post-challenge glucose predicts angiographic disease progression. These findings suggest that even modest post-challenge hyperglycaemia influences the pathogenesis of atherosclerotic progression. [source] Serum ,-glutamyltransferase within its normal concentration range is related to the presence of diabetes and cardiovascular risk factorsDIABETIC MEDICINE, Issue 9 2005D.-J. Kim Abstract Aims Although many studies have reported an association between serum ,-glutamyltransferase (GGT) and cardiovascular risk factors, the mechanism of this relationship has not been clarified. Methods The medical records of 29 959 subjects (age, median 48, range 14,90 years; 16 706 men, 13 253 women) who visited the Center for Health Promotion at Samsung Medical Center for a medical check-up between January 2001 and December 2003, were investigated. Subjects with hepatic enzyme/GGT concentrations higher than three times the upper limit of the reference range, a positive test for hepatitis C virus antibody, a positive test for hepatitis B virus surface antigen, currently taking anti-diabetic/anti-hypertensive/anti-lipid medication, or a white blood cell (WBC) count higher than 10 000 cells/ml, were excluded. The subjects of each gender were classified into five groups according to their serum GGT concentrations, into quartiles of the normal range of GGT (groups 1, 2, 3 and 4) and into a group with elevated GGT (group 5). Results As the group number increased (group 1 , 5), the frequencies of all of the following increased: (i) diabetes and impaired fasting glucose (IFG); (ii) hypertension, obesity (body mass index , 27 kg/m2), dyslipidaemia (LDL-cholesterol , 4.1 mmol/l and/or triglyceride , 2.46 mmol/l, or HDL-cholesterol < 1.16 mmol/l); (iii) metabolic syndrome. Moreover, these significant relationships between GGT concentrations within its normal range and the presence of diabetes/IFG, hypertension, obesity, dyslipidaemia, and metabolic syndrome persisted after adjusting for several clinical and biochemical variables and for the presence of fatty liver based on ultrasonographic findings. Odds ratios (95% CI) for group 4 (highest quartile of normal range of GGT) vs. group 1 (lowest quartile of normal range of GGT); the referent group, were 3.16 (2.15,4.65) for diabetes, 2.24 (1.73,2.90) for IFG, 1.93 (1.59,2.33) for obesity, 1.38 (1.23,1.55) for dyslipidaemia and 2.88 (2.28,3.65) for metabolic syndrome in men. In women, the odds ratios were 2.72 (1.34,5.52), 3.67 (2.26,5.97), 2.10 (1.61,2.74), 1.80 (1.58,2.04) and 3.57 (2.52,5.07), respectively. Conclusions Our data show that, even within its normal range, serum GGT concentrations are closely associated with the presence of diabetes and cardiovascular risk factors, and that these associations are independent of a fatty liver by ultrasonography. [source] Prediction of Type 2 diabetes in healthy middle-aged men with special emphasis on glucose homeostasis.DIABETIC MEDICINE, Issue 4 2001Results from 22.5 years' follow-up SUMMARY Aims To study the glucose disappearance rate and fasting blood glucose as predictors of Type 2 diabetes in a 22.5-year prospective follow-up of 1947 healthy non-diabetic men. Subjects and methods Of a cohort of 2014 Caucasian men, the 1947 who had both fasting blood glucose <,110 mg/dl and an intravenous glucose tolerance test were included. A number of other physiological parameters were also determined at baseline. Multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to investigate the possible significance of the glucose disappearance rate and fasting blood glucose as predictors of Type 2 diabetes. Results After 22.5 years' follow-up, 143 cases of Type 2 diabetes had developed. Glucose disappearance rate and fasting blood glucose were moderately correlated (r = ,0.32). Men in the lowest quartile of glucose disappearance rate and highest quartile of fasting blood glucose had markedly higher diabetes rates than all other men (P < 0.0001). After adjusting for each other, age, diabetes heredity, body mass index, physical fitness, triglycerides, cholesterol and blood pressure (Cox model), both glucose disappearance rate and fasting blood glucose remained major predictors of diabetes Conclusions Glucose disappearance rate and fasting blood glucose are, in spite of low intercorrelation, major long-term predictors of Type 2 diabetes in healthy non-diabetic Caucasian men. [source] Glycaemia and insulinaemia in elderly European subjects (70,75 years)DIABETIC MEDICINE, Issue 2 2001A. U. Teuscher SUMMARY Aims To determine glycaemia and insulinaemia in elderly subjects aged 70,75 years, living across Europe, who participated in the EURONUT-SENECA (Survey in Europe on Nutrition and the Elderly, a Concerted Action) study. Methods Fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and fasting insulin concentrations were measured in 1830 subjects aged 70,75 years living in 15 traditional towns in 11 European countries. For the diagnosis of diabetes, the recommendations of the 1997 report of the American Diabetes Association ,Expert Committee on the diagnosis and classification of diabetes mellitus' were used. Results A total of 31.6% of the study subjects had either diabetes (17.5%) or impaired fasting plasma glucose (FPG) (14.1%). Fifty-one per cent of the subjects with diabetes were unaware of the disease. No difference in diabetes prevalence was found for sex, but male subjects were more likely to have impaired FPG than female subjects (16.8 vs. 11.5%, P = 0.001). Hyperinsulinaemia (fasting insulin levels in the highest quartile) was associated with increased FPG, body mass index, and waist-to-hip ratio. Conclusions It was found that a substantial number of elderly Europeans have impaired glucose homeostasis, with diabetes and impaired FPG being present in almost a third of European subjects aged 70,75 years. [source] Subjective social status affects smoking abstinence during acute withdrawal through affective mediatorsADDICTION, Issue 5 2010Lorraine R. Reitzel ABSTRACT Objectives Direct and mediated associations between subjective social status (SSS), a subjective measure of socio-economic status, and smoking abstinence were examined during the period of acute withdrawal among a diverse sample of 421 smokers (33% Caucasian, 34% African American, 33% Latino) undergoing a quit attempt. Methods Logistic regressions examined relations between SSS and abstinence, controlling for socio-demographic variables. Depression, stress, positive affect and negative affect on the quit day were examined as potential affective mediators of the SSS-abstinence association, with and without adjusting for pre-quit mediator scores. Results SSS predicted abstinence to 2 weeks post-quit. Abstinence rates were 2.6 (postquit week 1) and 2.4 (postquit week 2) times higher in the highest versus the lowest SSS quartile. Depression and positive affect mediated the SSS,abstinence relationships, but only depression maintained significance when adjusting for the baseline mediator score. Conclusions Among a diverse sample of quitting smokers, low SSS predicted relapse during acute withdrawal after controlling for numerous covariates, an effect accounted for partially by quit day affective symptomatology. Smokers endorsing lower SSS face significant hurdles in achieving cessation, highlighting the need for targeted interventions encompassing attention to quit day mood reactivity. [source] Spatial point-process statistics: concepts and application to the analysis of lead contamination in urban soil,ENVIRONMETRICS, Issue 4 2005Christian Walter Abstract This article explores the use of spatial point-process analysis as an aid to describe topsoil lead distribution in urban environments. The data used were collected in Glebe, an inner suburb of Sydney. The approach focuses on the locations of punctual events defining a point pattern, which can be statistically described through local intensity estimates and between-point distance functions. F -, G - and K -surfaces of a marked spatial point pattern were described and used to estimate nearest distance functions over a sliding band of quantiles belonging to the marking variable. This provided a continuous view of the point pattern properties as a function of the marking variable. Several random fields were simulated by selecting points from random, clustered or regular point processes and diffusing them. Recognition of the underlying point process using variograms derived from dense sampling was difficult because, structurally, the variograms were very similar. Point-event distance functions were useful complimentary tools that, in most cases, enabled clear recognition of the clustered processes. Spatial sampling quantile point pattern analysis was defined and applied to the Glebe data set. The analysis showed that the highest lead concentrations were strongly clustered. The comparison of this data set with the simulation confidence limits of a Poisson process, a short-radius clustered point process and a geostatistical simulation showed a random process for the third quartile of lead concentrations but strong clustering for the data in the upper quartile. Thus the distribution of topsoil lead concentrations over Glebe may have resulted from several contamination processes, mainly from regular or random processes with large diffusion ranges and short-range clustered processes for the hot spots. Point patterns with the same characteristics as the Glebe experimental pattern could be generated by separate additive geostatistical simulation. Spatial sampling quantile point patterns statistics can, in an easy and accurate way, be used complementarily with geostatistical methods. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] The importance of independent risk-factors for long-term mortality prediction after cardiac surgeryEUROPEAN JOURNAL OF CLINICAL INVESTIGATION, Issue 9 2006I. K. Toumpoulis Abstract Background, The purpose of the present study was to determine independent predictors for long-term mortality after cardiac surgery. The European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) was developed to score in-hospital mortality and recent studies have shown its ability to predict long-term mortality as well. We compared forecasts based on EuroSCORE with other models based on independent predictors. Methods, Medical records of patients with cardiac surgery who were discharged alive (n = 4852) were retrospectively reviewed. Their operative surgical risks were calculated according to EuroSCORE. Patients were randomly divided into two groups: training dataset (n = 3233) and validation dataset (n = 1619). Long-term survival data (mean follow-up 5·1 years) were obtained from the National Death Index. We compared four models: standard EuroSCORE (M1); logistic EuroSCORE (M2); M2 and other preoperative, intra-operative and post-operative selected variables (M3); and selected variables only (M4). M3 and M4 were determined with multivariable Cox regression analysis using the training dataset. Results, The estimated five-year survival rates of the quartiles in compared models in the validation dataset were: 94·5%, 87·8%, 77·1%, 64·9% for M1; 95·1%, 88·0%, 80·5%, 64·4% for M2; 93·4%, 89·4%, 80·8%, 64·1% for M3; and 95·8%, 90·9%, 81·0%, 59·9% for M4. In the four models, the odds of death in the highest-risk quartile was 8·4-, 8·5-, 9·4- and 15·6-fold higher, respectively, than the odds of death in the lowest-risk quartile (P < 0·0001 for all). Conclusions, EuroSCORE is a good predictor of long-term mortality after cardiac surgery. We developed and validated a model using selected preoperative, intra-operative and post-operative variables that has better discriminatory ability. [source] Relevance of post-methionine homocysteine and lipoprotein (a) in evaluating the cardiovascular risk in young CAD patientsEUROPEAN JOURNAL OF CLINICAL INVESTIGATION, Issue 1 2005R. Marcucci Abstract Background, Aims of our study were to evaluate the prevalence of high lipoprotein (a) [Lp(a)] and homocysteine levels , both in the fasting state (FHcy) and post-methionine (PMHcy) , in young coronary artery disease (CAD) patients, and to investigate the role of genetic and environmental factors for hyperhomocysteinaemia. Materials and methods, We studied 140 patients with angiographically documented CAD (24 women , 55 years and 116 men , 50 years) and 140 healthy subjects as controls. Results, Both FHcy [13·2 (5·4,45·8) vs. 9·0 (5·1,24) µmol L,1); P < 0·0001] and PMHcy [(39·4 (9·0,66·4) vs. 25·2 (16·4,33·9); P < 0·0001] were significantly higher in patients than in controls. Lp(a) levels were significantly higher in patients than in controls (200 (3,1486) mg L,1 vs. 97 (10,412) mg L,1; P < 0·0001). At the multivariate analysis, adjusted for the classical cardiovascular risk factors and creatinine levels, the OR (95% CI) for CAD at young age significantly increased in the fourth quartile of the distribution of FHcy, PMHcy and Lp(a) levels [FHcy: 14·9 (4·1,58), P < 0·0001; PMHcy: 19·2 (4·0,86·3); P < 0·0001; Lp(a): 19·6 (4·7,78·6): < 0·0001]. Vitamin deficiencies were detected in 28/140 (20%) patients. The prevalence of the homozygous C677T (+/+) methylenetetrahydrofolatereductase genotype was higher, but not significantly different, in patients (22·8%) than in controls (18·6%). The allele frequency of the 844ins68 insertion variant in the cystathionine beta-synthase gene was 0·08 in the control group and 0·06 in the patient group. Conclusions, Results of the present study indicate the usefulness of including fasting and post-methionine Hcy, and Lp(a) determination in the diagnostic panels of young CAD patients, in order to obtain a better assessment of their cardiovascular risk profile. [source] Prognostic value of interleukin-6, plasma viscosity, fibrinogen, von Willebrand factor, tissue factor and vascular endothelial growth factor levels in congestive heart failureEUROPEAN JOURNAL OF CLINICAL INVESTIGATION, Issue 11 2003B. S. P. Chin Abstract Background, Congestive heart failure (CHF) carries a poor prognosis with a high mortality rate, frequent hospitalizations and increased risk of thrombotic complications such as stroke. Cytokines may contribute to the progression and prothrombotic state of CHF, including the pro-inflammatory interleukin-6 (IL-6) and the pro-angiogenic vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), both of which are raised in CHF. The procoagulant properties of both cytokines may be mediated via tissue factor (TF), a potent clotting activator. We hypothesized that plasma levels of these markers, as well as levels of plasma viscosity, fibrinogen, soluble P-selectin and von Willebrand factor (markers of abnormal rheology, clotting, platelet activation, and endothelial damage, respectively) will be useful in predicting morbidity and mortality in chronic stable CHF. Methods and results, One hundred and twenty consecutive out-patients with chronic stable CHF (92 males; mean [SD] age 64 [11] years, mean [SD] left ventricular ejection fraction of 29 [6]%) were recruited and followed for 2 years during which 42 patients reached a clinical end-point of all-cause mortality and cardiovascular hospitalizations, including stroke and myocardial infarction. Plasma IL-6 (P = 0·003) and TF (P = 0·013) levels, but not other research indices, were higher in those who suffered events compared with those without events. Predictors of end-points were high (, median) TF (P = 0·011), and IL-6 (P = 0·023) levels, as well as the lowest quartile of a left ventricular ejection fraction (P = 0·007). A strong correlation was present between TF and IL-6 levels (r = 0·59; P < 0·0001) and with VEGF levels (r = 0·43; P < 0·0001). Conclusion, IL-6 and TF are predictors of poor prognosis in chronic CHF, raising the hypothesis that IL-6 may contribute to the progression and thrombotic complications of CHF via its actions on TF expression. Although VEGF did not independently predict outcome in chronic CHF, the possibility arises that it may act with IL-6 to induce TF expression. [source] Serum homocysteine, creatinine, and glucose as predictors of the severity and extent of coronary artery disease in asymptomatic members of high-risk familiesEUROPEAN JOURNAL OF CLINICAL INVESTIGATION, Issue 7 2002P. Pajunen Abstract Background There has been no previous study to determine the severity and extent of coronary artery disease (CAD) in subjects with no diagnosis or symptoms of CAD at the time of the angiography. Methods Fifty-three subjects, who were siblings of patients with early onset CAD, underwent coronary angiography. Indices to describe per-patient characteristics of CAD were calculated, based on computer-aided quantitative coronary angiography. Clinical and laboratory characteristics were correlated to the angiographic parameters. Results Serum total homocysteine (, = 0·29, P < 0·05) and creatinine (, = 0·47, P = 0·001) levels were related to the global atheroma burden index. The median of the atheroma burden index was two times higher in the top homocysteine quartile compared to the lowest quartile. The overall atheroma burden index correlated significantly with the fasting blood glucose level in all subjects. Diabetes, especially when albuminuria was present, was a powerful risk factor. In a multivariate analysis, only age and sex were independent predictors of atheroma burden. Conclusions Serum homocysteine and creatinine concentrations, and diabetes with albuminuria were found to be markers of the severity and extent of CAD in subjects of high-risk families without symptoms of CAD. [source] Why is soluble intercellular adhesion molecule-1 related to cardiovascular mortality?EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF CLINICAL INVESTIGATION, Issue 1 2002A. Becker Increased plasma levels of soluble adhesion molecules are associated with an increased risk of atherothrombosis. The pathophysiological mechanisms responsible for these associations are not known. The aim of the present study was to investigate the association of soluble intercellular adhesion molecule-1 (sICAM-1) concentration and risk of cardiovascular and all-cause mortality among individuals with and without type 2 diabetes. In addition, we assessed potential pathophysiological mechanisms by which sICAM-1 may promote mortality. Six hundred and thirty-one subjects taken from a general population of the middle-aged and elderly participated in this prospective cohort study. Baseline data collection was performed from 1989 to 1992; subjects were followed until 1 January 2000. Subjects who died had higher levels of sICAM-1 than those who survived (506(164) vs. 477(162) ng mL,1, respectively). After adjustment for age, gender and glucose tolerance status, subjects with sICAM-1 levels in the upper quartile (,550 ng mL,1) had a relative risk of cardiovascular mortality of 2·05 (95% confidence interval, 1·10,3·81) compared to subjects with sICAM-1 levels in the other quartiles. Further adjustment for classical cardiovascular risk factors or indicators of (sub)clinical atherosclerosis, endothelial dysfunction, inflammation and renal function did not materially alter this relative risk. A high sICAM-1 level was more frequent in subjects with type 2 diabetes than in subjects with a normal glucose tolerance (33·3 vs. 17·8%). Individuals with a plasma concentration of sICAM-1 higher than 550 ng mL,1 had a cardiovascular mortality risk that was twice that of individuals with a lower concentration. Classical cardiovascular risk factors (sub)clinical atherosclerosis, endothelial dysfunction and inflammation do not explain this excess risk. [source] Procoagulant factors and the risk of myocardial infarction in young womenEUROPEAN JOURNAL OF HAEMATOLOGY, Issue 1 2006Bea Tanis Abstract:,Objectives:,We investigated whether elevated levels of factor VIII, IX and XI is associated with myocardial infarction (MI) in young women. In addition, we studied ABO blood group, von Willebrand factor (VWF) and C-reactive protein (CRP). Methods and results:,We compared 200 women with MI before age 49 years with 626 controls from a population-based case,control study. Mean levels of factor VIII activity (VIII), von Willebrand factor antigen (VWF), factor IX activity (IX) were higher in patients (133, 134 and 132 IU/dL) than in controls (111, 107 and 120 IU/dL, respectively). Mean levels of factor XI (XI) were equal in patients (114 IU/dL) and controls (113 IU/dL). The odds ratio (OR) for MI for blood group non-O vs. O was 1.6 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1,2.3]. The OR adjusted for age, index year and area of residence for the highest quartile >150 IU/dL of factor VIII was 2.7 (95% CI 1.6,4.6), of VWF 4.7 (95% CI 2.3,9.7), of factor IX 2.6 (95% CI 1.3,5.4) and of factor XI 0.9 (95% CI 0.5,1.4), all compared with the lowest quartile <100 IU/dL. Conclusions:,Non-O blood group, high VWF, factor VIII and factor IX levels are associated with an increased risk of MI in young women, while high factor XI levels are not. [source] Meeting the Need for Personal Care among the Elderly: Does Medicaid Home Care Spending Matter?HEALTH SERVICES RESEARCH, Issue 1p2 2008Peter Kemper Objective. To determine whether Medicaid home care spending reduces the proportion of the disabled elderly population who do not get help with personal care. Data Sources. Data on Medicaid home care spending per poor elderly person in each state is merged with data from the Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey for 1992, 1996, and 2000. The sample (n=6,067) includes elderly persons living in the community who have at least one limitation in activities of daily living (ADLs). Study Design. Using a repeated cross-section analysis, the probability of not getting help with an ADL is estimated as a function of Medicaid home care spending, individual income, interactions between income and spending, and a set of individual characteristics. Because Medicaid home care spending is targeted at the low-income population, it is not expected to affect the population with higher incomes. We exploit this difference by using higher-income groups as comparison groups to assess whether unobserved state characteristics bias the estimates. Principal Findings. Among the low-income disabled elderly, the probability of not receiving help with an ADL limitation is about 10 percentage points lower in states in the top quartile of per capita Medicaid home care spending than in other states. No such association is observed in higher-income groups. These results are robust to a set of sensitivity analyses of the methods. Conclusion. These findings should reassure state and federal policymakers considering expanding Medicaid home care programs that they do deliver services to low-income people with long-term care needs and reduce the percent of those who are not getting help. [source] Joint effects of coffee consumption and serum gamma-glutamyltransferase on the risk of liver cancer,HEPATOLOGY, Issue 1 2008Gang Hu Only three Japanese prospective studies have suggested an inverse association between coffee drinking and liver cancer risk. No prospective studies on the association between serum gamma-glutamyltransferase (GGT) and liver cancer risk have been reported. We aimed to determine the single and joint associations of coffee consumption and serum GGT with the risk of primary liver cancer. Study cohorts included 60,323 Finnish participants who were 25-74 years of age and free of any cancer at baseline. During a median follow-up period of 19.3 years (interquartile range: 9.3-29.2 years), 128 participants were diagnosed with an incident liver cancer. The multivariable-adjusted (age, sex, alcohol consumption, education, smoking, diabetes and chronic liver disease at baseline and during follow-up, and body mass index) hazards ratios of liver cancer in participants who drank 0-1, 2-3, 4-5, 6-7, and ,8 cups of coffee daily were 1.00, 0.66, 0.44, 0.38, and 0.32 (P for trend = 0.003), respectively. Further adjustment for serum GGT in subgroup analysis affected the results only slightly. The multivariable-adjusted and coffee-adjusted hazard ratio of liver cancer for the highest versus the lowest quartile of serum GGT was 3.13 (95% confidence interval = 1.22-8.07). The multivariable-adjusted inverse association between coffee consumption and liver cancer risk persisted when stratified by baseline factors: age more/less than 50 years, current smoker/never smoked/ever smoked, alcohol drinker/never drinker, obese/nonobese, and the highest/lowest three quartiles of serum GGT. A combination of very low coffee consumption and high level of serum GGT was associated with nearly nine-fold increased risk. Conclusion: Coffee drinking has an inverse and graded association with the risk of liver cancer. High serum GGT is associated with an increased risk of liver cancer. (HEPATOLOGY 2008.) [source] Serum levels of vitamin D, PTH and calcium and breast cancer risk,a prospective nested case,control studyINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CANCER, Issue 9 2010Martin Almquist Abstract Previous studies indicate that calcium and its regulating hormones, i.e., parathyroid hormone (PTH) and vitamin D, might affect breast cancer risk. Evidence also suggests that this relationship could be influenced by menopausal status and BMI. We examined breast cancer risk related to prediagnostic serum levels of vitamin D (25OHD2 and 25OHD3), PTH and calcium using a nested case,control design within the Malmö Diet and Cancer Study. There were 764 incident breast cancer cases, and 764 controls were selected by incidence density matching, using age as the underlying time scale, matching on calendar time at inclusion, menopausal status and age at inclusion. Using logistic regression analysis, odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals were calculated for breast cancer risk in different quartiles of the analyzed factors. All analyses were adjusted for risk factors for breast cancer, and for levels of albumin, creatinine and phosphate. Analyses were repeated stratified for BMI and menopausal status, and for low vs. high levels of 25OHD3, PTH and calcium. There was a weak, nonsignificant inverse association between breast cancer risk and 25OHD3, and the OR for the 2nd, 3rd and 4th quartiles, as compared to the first, were 0.84 (0.60,1.15), 0.84 (0.60,1.17) and 0.93 (0.66,1.33). Serum calcium was positively associated with breast cancer in premenopausal women (OR for the 4th quartile = 3.10:1.33,7.22 and p for quartile trend = 0.04), and in women with BMI > 25 (OR for the 4th quartile = 1.94:1.12,3.37 and p for trend < 0.01). There was no association between baseline serum PTH and breast cancer risk. [source] Greater vegetable and fruit intake is associated with a lower risk of breast cancer among Chinese womenINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CANCER, Issue 1 2009Cai-Xia Zhang Abstract The effect of vegetable and fruit consumption on breast cancer risk is controversial. We examined the association between vegetable and fruit intake and breast cancer risk in a hospital-based case,control study conducted in Guangdong, China. Four hundred and thirty-eight cases were frequency matched to 438 controls by age (5-year interval) and residence (rural/urban). Dietary intake was assessed by face-to-face interviews using a validated food frequency questionnaire. Multivariate logistic regression was used to estimate the odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence interval (CI) after adjusting for various potential confounders. Total vegetable and fruit intake was found to be inversely associated with breast cancer risk. The ORs of the highest quartile relative to the lowest quartile of total vegetable and fruit intake were 0.28 (95% CI 0.18,0.43) and 0.53 (95% CI 0.34,0.82), respectively. Consumption of individual vegetable and fruit groups such as dark green leafy vegetables, cruciferous vegetables, carrots and tomatoes, banana, watermelon/papaya/cantaloupe were all inversely and significantly related with breast cancer risk. An inverse association was also observed for vitamin A, carotene, vitamin C, vitamin E, and fiber intake. These data indicate that greater intake of vegetables and fruits is associated with a decreased risk of breast cancer among Chinese women residing in Guangdong. © 2009 UICC [source] Fruit and vegetable consumption and pancreatic cancer risk in the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and NutritionINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CANCER, Issue 8 2009Alina Vrieling Abstract Many case-control studies have suggested that higher consumption of fruit and vegetables is associated with a lower risk of pancreatic cancer, whereas cohort studies do not support such an association. We examined the associations of the consumption of fruits and vegetables and their main subgroups with pancreatic cancer risk within the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC). EPIC is comprised of over 520,000 subjects recruited from 10 European countries. The present study included 555 exocrine pancreatic cancer cases after an average follow-up of 8.9 years. Estimates of risk were obtained by Cox proportional hazard models, stratified by age at recruitment, gender, and study center, and adjusted for total energy intake, weight, height, history of diabetes mellitus, and smoking status. Total consumption of fruit and vegetables, combined or separately, as well as subgroups of vegetables and fruits were unrelated to risk of pancreatic cancer. Hazard ratios (95% CI) for the highest versus the lowest quartile were 0.92 (0.68,1.25) for total fruit and vegetables combined, 0.99 (0.73,1.33) for total vegetables, and 1.02 (0.77,1.36) for total fruits. Stratification by gender or smoking status, restriction to microscopically verified cases, and exclusion of the first 2 years of follow-up did not materially change the results. These results from a large European prospective cohort suggest that higher consumption of fruit and vegetables is not associated with decreased risk of pancreatic cancer. © 2008 Wiley-Liss, Inc. [source] A case,control study on the dietary intake of mushrooms and breast cancer risk among Korean womenINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CANCER, Issue 4 2008Seo Ah Hong Abstract To evaluate the association between dietary mushroom intake and breast cancer risk, a total of 362 women between the ages of 30 and 65 years who were histologically confirmed to have breast cancer were matched to controls by age (±2 years) and menopausal status. Mushroom intake was measured via a food frequency questionnaire that was administered by well-trained interviewers. The associations between the daily intake and the average consumption frequency of mushrooms with breast cancer risk were evaluated using matched data analysis. Both the daily intake (5th vs. 1st quintile, OR = 0.48, 95% CI = 0.30,0.78, p for trend 0.030) and the average consumption frequency of mushrooms (4th vs. 1st quartile, OR = 0.54, 95% CI = 0.35,0.82, p for trend 0.008) were inversely associated with breast cancer risk after adjustment for education, family history of breast cancer, regular exercise [,22.5 MET (metabolic equivalent)-hr/week], BMI (body mass index, Kg/m2), number of children and whether they are currently smoking, drinking or using multivitamin supplements. Further adjustments were made for energy-adjusted carbohydrate, soy protein, folate and vitamin E levels, which tended to attenuate these results. After a stratification was performed according to menopausal status, a strong inverse association was found in postmenopausal women (OR = 0.16, 95% CI = 0.04,0.54, p for trend = 0.0058 for daily intake; OR = 0.17, 95% CI = 0.05,0.54, p for trend = 0.0037 for average frequency), but not in premenopausal women. In conclusion, the consumption of dietary mushrooms may decrease breast cancer risk in postmenopausal women. © 2007 Wiley-Liss, Inc. [source] Cereal fiber intake may reduce risk of gastric adenocarcinomas: The EPIC-EURGAST studyINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CANCER, Issue 7 2007Mendez M.A. Abstract Numerous case-control studies suggest dietary fiber may reduce risk of gastric cancer, but this has not been confirmed prospectively. A previous case-control study reported reduced risk of gastric cardia adenocarcinomas associated with cereal fiber, but not with fruit or vegetable fiber. To date, different food sources of fiber have not been examined with respect to noncardia tumors or diverse histologic sub-types. This study prospectively examines associations between fiber from different food sources and incident gastric adenocarcinomas (GC) among more than 435,000 subjects from 10 countries participating in the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition study. Subjects aged 25,70 years completed dietary questionnaires in 1992,98, and were followed up for a median of 6.7 years. About 312 incident GCs were observed. The relative risk of GC was estimated based on cohort-wide sex-specific fiber intake quartiles using proportional hazards models to estimate hazards ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Intakes of cereal fiber, but not total, fruit or vegetable fiber, were associated with reduced GC risk [adjusted HR for the highest vs. lowest quartile of cereal fiber 0.69, 0.48,0.99]. There was a strong inverse association for diffuse [HR 0.43, 0.22,0.86], but not intestinal type [HR 0.98, 0.54,1.80] tumors. Associations for cardia vs. noncardia tumors were similar to those for overall GC, although cardia associations did not reach significance. Cereal fiber consumption may help to reduce risk of GC, particularly diffuse type tumors. Further study on different food sources of fiber in relation to GC risk is warranted to confirm these relationships. © 2007 Wiley-Liss, Inc. [source] Toenail selenium and risk of hepatocellular carcinoma mortality in Haimen City, China,INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CANCER, Issue 4 2005Lori C. Sakoda Abstract Selenium (Se) is an essential trace mineral with known anticarcinogenic properties in humans. However, few studies have examined the association between Se nutrient status and risk of liver cancer. We conducted a nested case-control study comparing the Se content in toenail clippings of 166 individuals (154 men, 12 women) with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) to 394 healthy controls (360 men, 34 women) in Haimen City, China, where HCC is a leading cause of mortality. Toenail Se concentration was measured by inductively coupled plasma-optical emission spectroscopy. Median toenail Se was lower for HCC cases than controls (p = 0.03). Adjusted odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for HCC mortality by increasing quartile of toenail Se were 1.00 (reference), 0.58 (0.32,1.03), 0.83 (0.48,1.42) and 0.50 (0.28,0.90), with a marginally significant trend in risk observed (p for trend = 0.06). This inverse association appeared stronger among those who did not consume alcohol and among women. Future studies are needed to examine the interrelationship between Se, viral hepatitis infection and HCC in order to better understand the etiologic mechanisms involved and evaluate the true chemopreventive potential of Se compounds for liver diseases. © 2005 Wiley-Liss, Inc. [source] |