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Polar Vortex (polar + vortex)
Selected AbstractsChina's snow disaster in 2008, who is the principal player?INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 14 2009Gao Hui Abstract The unprecedented snow disaster in January 2008 brought serious human and economic losses to China. It has been suggested that the La Nina event is the principal cause. But analysis indicates that in December 2007, the circulation patterns in the tropical regions are quite similar with those in January 2008. In contrast large differences existed at high latitudes, especially the Siberia high (SH) and the north polar vortex (NPV). The differences can also be found between other extreme heavy and light snow years. In the extreme heavy (light) snow years, the SH is stronger (weaker) and the NPV is deeper (shallower). But these extreme snow events don't correspond to ENSO events well. Statistical results also indicate that both the SH and the NPV are independent of ENSO. So, rather than the La Nina event, the abnormal circulations at the high latitudes may play a more crucial role in making this snow disaster. Copyright © 2009 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Long-term variability in precipitation and streamflow in Iceland and relations to atmospheric circulationINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 10 2009Jóna Finndís Jónsdóttir Abstract How the variability of the atmospheric circulation affects precipitation in Iceland is not completely understood. Also, the sea surface temperature (SST) has a strong influence on the temperature over the country, and thereby, snow and glacial melt. This study, therefore, aims at explaining how atmospheric circulation and sea surface temperature influence seasonal and annual precipitation, and, consequently, runoff in Iceland. Empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis is performed on annual and seasonal time series of precipitation and discharge to identify their key modes of variability during the period 1966,2004. The correlation between the time series of each EOF mode with individual time series of sea level pressure (SLP), air temperature and SST was then evaluated. The analyses evidenced how large-scale climate variables are connected to the regional precipitation and runoff in Iceland. They showed that the strength of the polar vortex may be, at least, as important for the precipitation in some areas of Iceland as the strength of the Icelandic Low (IL). Moreover, the location of the semi-permanent IL often defines the predominant wind direction over the country and, as such, the regions of preferred precipitation. Since the watersheds act as large precipitation gauges with response patterns depending on the geology and glaciers, the variability of the annual discharge closely resembles the variability of precipitation, except for the glacial rivers. Glacial melt is highly correlated to air temperature and SST, and the spring discharge is affected by winter and spring temperatures. The results also revealed that Icelandic hydrological conditions in the spring can be forecasted by precipitation and temperature of the autumn and winter seasons, as well as by the general prevalent circulation patterns. Additionally, a potential for seasonal forecast of precipitation, and river discharge in other seasons was identified, particularly if seasonal forecast of SLP is available. Copyright © 2008 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Sensitivity of an Arctic regional climate model to the horizontal resolution during winter: implications for aerosol simulationINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 11 2005Eric Girard Abstract Our ability to properly simulate current climate and its future change depends upon the exactitude of the physical processes that are parameterized on the one hand, and on model configuration on the other hand. In this paper, we focus on the latter and investigate the effect of the horizontal grid resolution on the simulation of a month of January over the Arctic. A limited-area numerical climate model is used to simulate the month of January 1990 over a grid that includes the Arctic and sub-Arctic regions. Two grid resolutions are used: 50 km and 100 km. Results show that finer details appear for regional circulation, temperature, and humidity when increasing horizontal resolution. This is particularly true for continental and sea ice boundaries, which are much better resolved by high-resolution model simulations. The Canadian Archipelago and rivers in northern Russia appear to benefit the most from higher horizontal resolution. High-resolution simulations capture some frozen rivers and narrow straits between islands. Therefore, much colder surface air temperature is simulated over these areas. Precipitation is generally increased in those areas and over topography due to a better representation of surface heterogeneities when increasing resolution. Large-scale atmospheric circulation is substantially changed when horizontal resolution is increased. Feedback processes occur between surface air temperature change over heterogeneous surfaces and atmospheric circulation. High-resolution simulations develop a stronger polar vortex. The mean sea-level pressure increases over the western Arctic and Iceland and decreases over the eastern Arctic. This circulation leads to a substantial cooling of the eastern Arctic and enhanced synoptic activity over the Arctic associated with an intensification of the baroclinic zone. Aerosol mass loading, which is simulated explicitly in this model, is significantly altered by the grid resolution change with the largest differences in aerosol concentration over areas where precipitation and atmospheric circulation are the most affected. The implications of this sensitivity study to the evaluation of indirect radiative effects of anthropogenic aerosols are discussed. Copyright © 2005 Royal Meteorological Society. [source] The influence of stratospheric potential vorticity on baroclinic instabilityTHE QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, Issue 644 2009L. A. Smy Abstract This article examines the dynamical coupling between the stratosphere and troposphere by considering the effect of direct perturbations to stratospheric potential vorticity on the evolution of midlatitude baroclinic instability in a simple extension of an Eady model. A simulation in which stratospheric potential vorticity is exactly zero is used as a control case, and both zonally symmetric and asymmetric perturbations to the stratospheric potential vorticity are then considered, the former representative of a strong polar vortex, the latter representative of the stratospheric state following a major sudden warming. Both types of stratospheric perturbation result in significant changes to the synoptic-scale evolution of surface temperature, as well as to zonally and globally averaged tropospheric quantities. In the case of a zonally symmetric perturbation, the linear growth rate of all unstable modes decreases with increasing perturbation amplitude. Initial growth rates in cases with significant asymmetric perturbations are also weaker than those of the control case, but final eddy kinetic energy values are much larger due to the growth of low zonal wavenumbers triggered by the initial stratospheric perturbation. A comparison of the zonally symmetric and asymmetric perturbations gives some insight into the possible influence of pre- or post-sudden-warming conditions on tropospheric evolution. Copyright © 2009 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Variability of the Northern Hemisphere polar stratospheric cloud potential: the role of North Pacific disturbancesTHE QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, Issue 641 2009Yvan J. Orsolini Abstract The potential of the Arctic stratosphere to sustain the formation of Polar Stratospheric Clouds (PSCs) is a key factor in determining the amount of ozone destroyed each winter, and is often measured as a ,PSC volume'. The latter quantity has been shown to closely follow a near-linear compact relationship with winter-averaged column ozone loss, and displays a high variability from monthly to decadal time-scales. We examine the connection between meteorological conditions in the troposphere and the variability of lower polar stratospheric temperatures over the last four decades, and specifically, conditions leading to a high PSC volume. In addition to the well-established connection between the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and the polar vortex, we demonstrate the large influence of precursory disturbances over the North Pacific and the Far East, the region of maximum climatological upward wave activity flux. Namely, very high monthly PSC volume (in the top 12%) predominantly follows the development of positive tropospheric height anomalies over the Far East, which lead to a weakening of the background planetary wave trough, and lessened upward wave activity flux into the stratosphere. Precursory anomalies over the Far East are reminiscent of East Asian monsoon amplification episodes. Copyright © 2009 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Synoptic scale wave breaking and its potential to drive NAO-like circulation dipoles: A simplified GCM approachTHE QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, Issue 638 2009Torben Kunz Abstract Recent studies suggest a synoptic view of the North Atlantic oscillation (NAO) with its positive (negative) phase being the remnant of anticyclonic (cyclonic) synoptic scale wave breaking. This study examines the potential of anticyclonic (AB) and cyclonic wave breaking (CB) to drive NAO-like meridional circulation dipoles by investigating the synoptic evolution of AB and CB events in a mid-latitude eddy-driven jet in a simplified GCM with zonally uniform basic state. First, a method for the detection of such events from daily isentropic maps of potential vorticity and horizontal deformation is constructed. Then, from the obtained sample of events AB- and CB-composites of the upper and lower tropospheric flow are computed, and a distinct spatial and temporal asymmetry in the response to AB and CB events is found. While from the interaction of two AB events (with a mean lifetime of 2.6 days) a strong and short-lived positive phase NAO-like dipole is produced at the surface but not at upper levels, single CB events (4.3 days) are found to drive a strong and more persistent negative phase NAO-like dipole at upper levels but not at the surface. It is concluded that AB (CB) is not capable of driving a positive (negative) phase NAO-like dipole individually. However, the results suggest that equivalent barotropic NAO-like variability may arise from the successive occurrence of AB and CB events. Further, a sensitivity to the strength of the stratospheric polar vortex is found with more (less) frequent AB (CB) events under strong vortex conditions. Copyright © 2009 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Simultaneous Atlantic,Pacific blocking and the Northern Annular ModeTHE QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, Issue 636 2008Tim Woollings Abstract A synoptic situation termed ,high-latitude blocking' (HLB) is shown to occur frequently in both the Atlantic and Pacific sectors, and to result in flow anomalies very similar to those associated with the negative phase of the Northern Annular Mode (NAM) in the respective sector. There is a weak but significant link between the occurrence of HLB in the two sectors, with Atlantic HLB tending to lead Pacific HLB by 1,3 days. This link arises from rare events in which both sectors are almost simultaneously affected by a large-scale wave-breaking event which distorts the polar trough over Northern Canada. In several cases the tropospheric wave-breaking occurs in tandem with a large-scale disturbance of the stratospheric polar vortex. There is, therefore, a physical link between the Atlantic and Pacific sectors, but analysis suggests that this does not contribute to determining the pattern of the NAM, as conventionally defined from monthly mean data. However, an alternative version of the NAM, derived directly from daily data, does appear to reflect this physical link. These conflicting results highlight the sensitivity of the NAM to the period over which data are averaged. Copyright © 2008 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Northern Hemisphere stratospheric summer from MIPAS observationsTHE QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, Issue 622 2007W. A. Lahoz Abstract Data from the MIPAS instrument on Envisat, supplemented by meteorological analyses from ECMWF and the Met Office, are used to study the meteorological and trace-gas evolution of the stratosphere in the Northern Hemisphere during spring and summer 2003. A Pole-centred approach, together with sequences of vertical profiles along the viewing tracks of the MIPAS instrument, is used to interpret the data in the physically meaningful context of the evolving summertime high. During April the vortex break-up and build-up of the summertime high gives rise, in the mid-stratosphere, to a ,frozen-in' anticyclone (FrIAC), over the Pole, encircled by vortex fragments at ,50°N. As the summer moves on, the FrIACs and vortex fragments are gradually smoothed out but they persist in the mid- and upper stratosphere until July,August as roughly zonally symmetric W-shaped tracer isopleths. The persistence of the W shows the slowness of isentropic mixing processes at these levels during the summer. As the summertime high becomes dominant during June,August, net photochemical ozone loss produces a low ozone pool in the lower and mid-stratosphere. Finally, as the summertime high decays and the wintertime polar vortex builds up from September onward, the low ozone pool extends vertically throughout the stratosphere, and the tracer isopleths at high latitudes start to dip, showing the effects of wintertime diabatic descent. Of these features, to our knowledge, the W-shaped tracer isopleths have not been observed previously. Copyright © 2007 Royal Meteorological Society [source] | ||||||||||