Home About us Contact | |||
Monsoon Rainfall (monsoon + rainfall)
Kinds of Monsoon Rainfall Selected AbstractsLocal hydrologic effects of introducing non-native vegetation in a tropical catchmentECOHYDROLOGY, Issue 1 2008Maite Guardiola-Claramonte Abstract This study investigates the hydrologic implications of land use conversion from native vegetation to rubber (Hevea brasiliensis) in Southeast Asia. The experimental catchment, Nam Ken (69 km2), is located in Xishuangbanna Prefecture (22°N, 101°E), in the south of Yunnan province, in southwestern China. During 2005 and 2006, we collected hourly records of 2 m deep soil moisture profiles in rubber and three native land-covers (tea, secondary forest and grassland), and measured surface radiation above the tea and rubber canopies. Observations show that root water uptake of rubber during the dry season is controlled by day-length, whereas water demand of the native vegetation starts with the arrival of the first monsoon rainfall. The different dynamics of root water uptake in rubber result in distinct depletion of soil moisture in deeper layers. Traditional evapotranspiration and soil moisture models are unable to simulate this specific behaviour. Therefore, a different conceptual model, taking in account vegetation dynamics, is needed to predict hydrologic changes due to land use conversion in the area. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Large-scale summer monsoon rainfall over India and its relation to 850 hPa wind shearHYDROLOGICAL PROCESSES, Issue 15 2007V. S. Prasad Abstract The daily variations of the horizontal wind shear at the 850 hPa level between a southern region (5,15°N, 40,80°E; Zone 1) and a northern region (20,30°N, 70,90°E; Zone 2) during the period 1979,2002 were investigated. Investigations revealed that the changes of this wind shear on a daily basis are directly related to the large-scale rainfall over the Indian region during the monsoon season. The wind shear of zonal wind together with Zone 2 is useful for determining active, weak and break periods of the Indian summer monsoon (ISM). Thus, the Horizontal Wind Shear can be used as a dynamical circulation Index (HWSI) for studying ISM variability. Copyright © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Interannual variability of atmospheric water balance over South Peninsular India and Sri Lanka during northeast monsoon seasonINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 15 2008Venkatraman Prasanna Abstract In this study we have investigated atmospheric water balance over South Peninsular India and Sri Lanka during the months October to December (OND) using computed moisture convergence (C) and residual evaporation (E) from National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) reanalysis data and Global Precipitation and Climatology Project (GPCP) precipitation data. The interannual signatures of OND precipitation, moisture convergence and evaporation over the South Peninsular India and Sri Lanka have been captured. The spatial and temporal characteristics of the hydrological cycle and the contribution of evaporation (E) and convergence (C) to precipitation (P) are discussed in detail. Over the South Peninsular India and Sri Lanka, evaporation (E) dominates during the entire monsoon months (OND). However, the interannual variability of precipitation over the domain is not necessarily influenced by the same criteria which influences the mean seasonal precipitation. The moisture from the Indian Ocean (IO) sector also modulates the precipitation over this region on a year-to-year basis. It has been noted that the positive northeast monsoon rainfall (NEMR) is associated with El Nino coupled with IO dipole, but negative NEMR is weakly associated only with La Nina over South Peninsular India and Sri Lanka. There also exists a significant land-atmospheric interaction over the region in modulating the hydrological cycle on a year-to-year basis. Copyright © 2008 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Simulation of Indian summer monsoon: sensitivity to cumulus parameterization in a GCMINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 8 2007S. K. Deb Abstract Hindcasts for the Indian summer monsoons (ISMs) of 2002 and 2003 have been produced from a series of numerical simulations performed with a general circulation model using different cumulus parameterization schemes. Ten sets of ensemble simulations have been produced without using any vegetation scheme but by prescribing the monthly observed SST from the ECMWF (European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts) analyses. For each ensemble, ten simulations have been realised with different initial conditions that are also prepared from the ECMWF data: five each from the April and May analyses of both the years. Stream function, velocity potential with divergent winds at 200 hPa, winds at 850 hPa and rainfall patterns with their anomalies have been analysed and interpreted. The large-scale upper and lower level circulation features are simulated satisfactorily. The spatial structure of predicted July monsoon rainfall over India shows a fair agreement with the GPCP (observed) pentad rainfall distribution. The variability associated with all-India June,July simulated rainfall time series matches reasonably well with the observations in 2003, but the model fails to simulate the observed variability in July 2002. Further evaluation of the model-produced precipitation in seasonal simulations is done with the help of empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs) of the GPCP rainfall over India. Since the first four EOFs explain a significant part of the total variance of the observed rainfall, the simulated precipitation is projected on to these modes. Thus, the differences in simulated and observed rainfall fields manifest in the time series of their expansion coefficients, which are utilised for inter-comparison/evaluation of model simulations. Copyright © 2006 Royal Meteorological Society [source] A study on the effect of Eurasian snow on the summer monsoon circulation and rainfall using a spectral GCMINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 8 2006S. K. Dash Abstract Many studies based on observed data indicate the inverse relationship between the Eurasian snow cover/depth and the Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR). The purpose of this study is to confirm the inverse snow,ISMR relationship by using the observed snow depth data as boundary conditions in the spectral general circulation model (GCM) of Indian Institute of Technology, Delhi (IITD), and to examine the influence of Eurasian snow depth on the monsoon circulation. The original model belonging to the European Centre for Medium range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) at resolution T21 has been modified extensively to a higher resolution of T80L18 at IITD. A two-dimensional Lanczos digital filter has been used to represent the orography realistically. The Historical Soviet Daily Snow Depth (HSDSD) version II data set has been used for conducting sensitivity experiments using the above model. Two sensitivity experiments have been designed, corresponding to two contrasting cases: one with high Eurasian snow depth in spring followed by deficient ISMR and the second with low snow depth followed by excess ISMR. The difference fields of mean monsoon circulation simulated in the above two experiments are examined in detail in order to confirm the influence of Eurasian snow depth on ISMR and to examine the Asian summer monsoon circulation and rainfall. Copyright © 2006 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Hydro-meteorological variability in the greater Ganges,Brahmaputra,Meghna basinsINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 12 2004MD. Rashed Chowdhury Abstract The flows of the Ganges, Brahmaputra and Meghna (GBM) are highly seasonal, and heavily influenced by monsoon rainfall. As a result, these rivers swell to their banks and often overflow during the monsoon months. This is most pronounced in the downstream regions, particularly in Bangladesh, which is the lowest riparian country. The objective of this paper is to study this hydro-meteorological variability in the greater GBM regions, including the headwater regions in India and their role in streamflows in Bangladesh, and explore the large-scale oceanic factors affecting this hydro-meteorological variability. Global precipitation data, Bangladesh rainfall and streamflow records have been analysed and related to large-scale climate patterns, including upstream rainfall, regional atmospheric circulation and patterns of sea-surface temperature. The findings have quantified how the streamflows of these rivers in Bangladesh are highly correlated with the rainfall in the upper catchments with typically a lag of about 1 month. Therefore, streamflows in Bangladesh could be reasonably estimated for 1 to 3 months in advance (especially for the Ganges and Brahmaputra rivers) by employing simple correlation, if rainfall data from countries further up are available on a real-time and continuous basis. In the absence of rainfall data, streamflow forecasts are still possible from unusually warm or cold sea-surface temperatures in the tropics. The study concludes that hydro-meteorological information flow between Bangladesh and other neighbouring countries is essential for developing a knowledge base for evaluating the potential implications of seasonal streamflow forecast in the GBM basins in Bangladesh. Copyright © 2004 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Lagged teleconnections between snow depth in northern Eurasia, rainfall in Southeast Asia and sea-surface temperatures over the tropical Pacific OceanINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, Issue 13 2001Hengchun Ye Abstract This study shows that above-(below-)normal winter snow depth over European Russia and corresponding below-(above-)normal snow depth over central Siberia is associated with reduced (increased) summer monsoon rainfall over southern and western India and eastern Pakistan, and above-(below-)normal sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) over the eastern and central tropical Pacific Ocean during the following winters. The connection is slightly stronger when snow depth over European Russia is above normal than below normal. These results are derived from an examination of 60 years (1936,1995) of winter snow depth data and SSTs, and 45 years (1951,1995) of summer precipitation records. The results of this study suggest that winter snow depth over the western rather than the eastern portion of Eurasia is critical to Southeast Asian summer monsoon rainfall and eastern tropical Pacific SSTs during the following seasons. Copyright © 2001 Royal Meteorological Society [source] A Gill,Matsuno-type mechanism explains the tropical Atlantic influence on African and Indian monsoon rainfallTHE QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, Issue 640 2009F. Kucharski Abstract Recent studies using coupled atmosphere,ocean models have shown that the tropical Atlantic has a significant impact on the Indian monsoon. In this article, the observational basis for this teleconnection is examined and the physical mechanism responsible for bridging sea-surface temperatures (SSTs) in the Atlantic and precipitation over India is investigated with idealized atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) experiments in which constant SST anomalies are prescribed and ,switched on' in the tropical Atlantic region. A simple Gill,Matsuno-type quadrupole response is proposed to explain the teleconnection between the tropical Atlantic and the Indian basin, with an enforcement of the eastward response likely due to nonlinear interactions with the mean monsoon circulation. The simplicity of this mechanism suggests the reproducibility of this result with a broad range of AGCMs. Copyright © 2009 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Ocean-atmosphere-land feedbacks in an idealized monsoonTHE QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, Issue 576 2001C. Chou Abstract An intermediate-complexity atmospheric model coupled with a simple land-surface model and a mixed-layer ocean model is used to investigate the processes involved in an idealized monsoon occurring on a single rectangular continent. Idealized divergences of ocean heat transports are specified as an annual average ,Q-flux'. In this simple coupled configuration, the mechanisms that affect land-ocean contrast and, in turn, the seasonal movement of the continental convergence zones are examined. These include soil-moisture feedbacks: cooling of tropical oceans by ocean transpoit; ventilation, defined as the import into continental regions of low moist static-energy air from ocean regions where heat storage opposes summer warming; and the ,interactive Rodwell-Hoskins mechanism', in which Rossby-wave-induced subsidence to the west of monsoon heating interacts with the convection zone. The fixed ocean transports have a substantial impact on the continental convection. If Q-flux is set to zero, subtropical subsidence and ventilation tend to substantially limit the poleward movement of summer monsoon rainfall. When land hydrology feedbacks are active, the drying of subtropical continents disfavours continental convection even in the tropics. When ocean transports are included, tropical oceans are slightly disfavoured as regions for producing convection which, by contrast, favours continental convection. The monsoon circulation then produces moisture transport from the ocean regions that allows substantial progression of convection into the subtropics over the eastern portion of the continent. The western portion of the continent tends to have a dry region of characteristic shape. This east-west asymmetry is partly due to the interactive Rodwell-Hoskins mechanism. The ventilation is of at least equal importance in producing east-west asymmetry and is the single most important process in limiting the poleward extent of the continental convection zone. [source] Trend analysis of Indian summer monsoon rainfall at different spatial scalesATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS, Issue 4 2009Subimal Ghosh Abstract The results obtained from a conventional trend analysis of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall over a larger region are contradicted when analysis is performed at a finer resolution because of spatial variability and heterogeneity in the rainfall pattern. The present study analyzes the trend of summer monsoon rainfall all over India at a finer spatial resolution (1° latitude × 1° longitude) to identify the places that have a significant trend in terms of both rainfall amount and occurrence. The results obtained from this study are compared with those of a recent study by Goswami et al. (2006), where trend analysis is performed over a larger region [Central India (CI); 10° latitude × 12° longitude; assumed to be homogeneous in that study]. The increasing trend of occurrence of heavy rainfall and decreasing trend of occurrence of moderate rainfall, as concluded from that study, are contradicted by the present results for some places in CI. The present analysis shows spatially varying mixed responses of global warming toward rainfall occurrence and amounts all over India. The perception of increase in daily rainfall amount and occurrence due to climate change is found to be not correct for some of the regions in India. The possible reason may be the spatial variability of local changes such as rapid urbanization, industrialization and deforestation. Copyright © 2009 Royal Meteorological Society [source] Uncertainties in future projections of extreme precipitation in the Indian monsoon regionATMOSPHERIC SCIENCE LETTERS, Issue 3 2009A. G. Turner Abstract Uncertainties in changes to the spatial distribution and magnitude of the heaviest extremes of daily monsoon rainfall over India are assessed in the doubled CO2 climate change scenarios in the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report. Results show diverse changes to the spatial pattern of the 95th and 99th subseasonal percentiles, which are strongly tied to the mean precipitation change during boreal summer. In some models, the projected increase in heaviest rainfall over India at CO2 doubling is entirely predictable based upon the surface warming and the Clausius,Clapeyron relation, a result which may depend upon the choice of convection scheme. Copyright © 2009 Royal Meteorological Society and Crown Copyright [source] |