Home About us Contact
|
Home About us Contact | ||
|
|
||
Loop Analysis (loop + analysis)
Selected AbstractsModelling life history strategies with capture,recapture data: Evolutionary demography of the water skink Eulamprus tympanumAUSTRAL ECOLOGY, Issue 4 2001Simon P. Blomberg Abstract Matrix population models, elasticity analysis and loop analysis can potentially provide powerful techniques for the analysis of life histories. Data from a capture,recapture study on a population of southern highland water skinks (Eulamprus tympanum) were used to construct a matrix population model. Errors in elasticities were calculated by using the parametric bootstrap technique. Elasticity and loop analyses were then conducted to identify the life history stages most important to fitness. The same techniques were used to investigate the relative importance of fast versus slow growth, and rapid versus delayed reproduction. Mature water skinks were long-lived, but there was high immature mortality. The most sensitive life history stage was the subadult stage. It is suggested that life history evolution in E. tympanum may be strongly affected by predation, particularly by birds. Because our population declined over the study, slow growth and delayed reproduction were the optimal life history strategies over this period. Although the techniques of evolutionary demography provide a powerful approach for the analysis of life histories, there are formidable logistical obstacles in gathering enough high-quality data for robust estimates of the critical parameters. [source] Predicting the effects of perturbations on ecological communities: what can qualitative models offer?JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY, Issue 5 2005DAVE RAMSEY Summary 1Quantitative predictions of the effects of perturbations on communities of interacting species have often proved to be difficult. However, if precise predictions are not a requirement then qualitative models of community dynamics offer an alternative method for predicting species responses to perturbations. 2We used two qualitative modelling approaches to predict the effects of predator control on the fledging rate of an endangered New Zealand bird, the North Island kokako. The first approach was based on loop analysis and provided predictions on the probable direction of change in species abundances to single species perturbations. The second approach, ,fuzzy interaction webs', used fuzzy logic in the framework of a fuzzy cognitive map to provide predictions on the probable magnitude of change in species abundances to perturbations. 3Using both methods, we predicted the qualitative change in the equilibrium fledging rates of kokako under various regimes of single- and multispecies predator control (ship rats, brushtail possums and stoats). Single species control was insufficient to lift the fledging rate from ,low' to ,moderate'. However, simultaneous control of both ship rats and possums had the greatest influence on the fledging rates compared with any other combination as a result of the additional indirect effect of ship rat control on stoat abundance. 4We propose qualitative modelling of community dynamics as a method suitable for predicting the effects of perturbations in complex ecological communities that can encapsulate diverse sources of knowledge about food web interactions. We believe that these methods are a useful set of heuristic tools that can be used to propose testable hypotheses about ecosystem functioning that can complement existing statistical and quantitative modelling approaches. [source] Surface topography and surface chemistry of radiation-patterned P(tBuMA),analysis by atomic force microscopyPOLYMER INTERNATIONAL, Issue 9 2003Gregory S Watson Abstract Poly-(tert -butyl methacrylate) (P(tBuMA)) thin-film surfaces were patterned by UV radiation at doses in the range 10,100 mJ cm,2, in order to induce laterally differentiated surface chemistry with µm resolution. The most likely pathway for the radiation chemistry predicts a transition from hydrophobicity to hydrophilicity. Outcomes of analysis by atomic force microscopy under air ambient conditions were consistent with that prediction. Topographic and lateral force imaging, in combination with friction loop analysis, revealed shrinkage and increased friction arising from exposure. Force versus distance analysis revealed greater adhesion in hydrophilic regions, due to greater meniscus force acting on the tip. The thickness of adsorbed moisture, increased by a factor of 2.5 from ca 0.8 nm for the unirradiated surface, as a result of greater hydrophilicity induced by radiation. The latter observation shows that the increased friction was due principally to the greater normal force on the tip from an additional meniscus force. Copyright © 2003 Society of Chemical Industry [source] Qualitative modelling for the development of a sustainable management strategy for the Peruvian scallop Argopecten purpuratus (Lamarck 1819)AQUATIC CONSERVATION: MARINE AND FRESHWATER ECOSYSTEMS, Issue 3 2002Marco Ortiz Abstract 1.This study is the first attempt using Levins's Theory (loop analysis) in order to develop a sustainable management for the scallop, Argopecten purpuratus, fishery in Peru during El Niño-Southern Oscillation events (ENSO) and upwelling conditions. Based on this theoretical framework, it was possible to estimate the local stability for each of these model systems and to follow the qualitative changes of the variables in response to external factors. 2.Based on our results, we suggest the following management policies to be implemented: (1) during ENSO events the size at the first capture of the scallops should be >70 mm and (2) the increase in the number of fishermen during ENSO events must be prevented. Both measures increase the sustainability of fishery under ENSO and upwelling conditions. The ecological models predict that during ENSO and upwelling events, any management strategy to increase the recruitment of the scallop would not have a positive impact on the adult stock. 3.Finally, we suggest that more efforts must be focused on the development of extended eco-social models, which incorporate further social and economic variables, increasing realism of the abstractions for this fishery activity. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Modelling life history strategies with capture,recapture data: Evolutionary demography of the water skink Eulamprus tympanumAUSTRAL ECOLOGY, Issue 4 2001Simon P. Blomberg Abstract Matrix population models, elasticity analysis and loop analysis can potentially provide powerful techniques for the analysis of life histories. Data from a capture,recapture study on a population of southern highland water skinks (Eulamprus tympanum) were used to construct a matrix population model. Errors in elasticities were calculated by using the parametric bootstrap technique. Elasticity and loop analyses were then conducted to identify the life history stages most important to fitness. The same techniques were used to investigate the relative importance of fast versus slow growth, and rapid versus delayed reproduction. Mature water skinks were long-lived, but there was high immature mortality. The most sensitive life history stage was the subadult stage. It is suggested that life history evolution in E. tympanum may be strongly affected by predation, particularly by birds. Because our population declined over the study, slow growth and delayed reproduction were the optimal life history strategies over this period. Although the techniques of evolutionary demography provide a powerful approach for the analysis of life histories, there are formidable logistical obstacles in gathering enough high-quality data for robust estimates of the critical parameters. [source] | ||||||||||