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Large Sensitivity (large + sensitivity)

Distribution by Scientific Domains

Earth and Environmental Science	60%

Selected Abstracts

Sensitivity analyses for four pesticide leaching models

PEST MANAGEMENT SCIENCE (FORMERLY: PESTICIDE SCIENCE), Issue 9 2003
Igor G Dubus
Abstract Sensitivity analyses using a one-at-a-time approach were carried out for leaching models which have been widely used for pesticide registration in Europe (PELMO, PRZM, PESTLA and MACRO). Four scenarios were considered for simulation of the leaching of two theoretical pesticides in a sandy loam and a clay loam soil, each with a broad distribution across Europe. Input parameters were varied within bounds reflecting their uncertainty and the influence of these variations on model predictions was investigated for accumulated percolation at 1-m depth and pesticide loading in leachate. Predictions for the base-case scenarios differed between chromatographic models and the preferential flow model MACRO for which large but transient pesticide losses were predicted in the clay loam. Volumes of percolated water predicted by the four models were affected by a small number of input parameters and to a small extent only, suggesting that meteorological variables will be the main drivers of water balance predictions. In contrast to percolation, predictions for pesticide loss were found to be sensitive to a large number of input parameters and to a much greater extent. Parameters which had the largest influence on the prediction of pesticide loss were generally those related to chemical sorption (Freundlich exponent nf and distribution coefficient Kf) and degradation (either degradation rates or DT50, QTEN value). Nevertheless, a significant influence of soil properties (field capacity, bulk density or parameters defining the boundary between flow domains in MACRO) was also noted in at least one scenario for all models. Large sensitivities were reported for all models, especially PELMO and PRZM, and sensitivity was greater where only limited leaching was simulated. Uncertainty should be addressed in risk assessment procedures for crop-protection products. Copyright © 2003 Society of Chemical Industry [source]

Radial profiles of seismic attenuation in the upper mantle based on physical models

GEOPHYSICAL JOURNAL INTERNATIONAL, Issue 1 2008
Fabio Cammarano
SUMMARY Thermally activated, viscoelastic relaxation of the Earth's materials is responsible for intrinsic attenuation of seismic waves. Seismic observations have been used to define layered radially symmetric attenuation models, independent of any constraints on temperature and composition. Here, we interpret free-oscillation and surface wave attenuation measurements in terms of physical structures, by using the available knowledge on the physical mechanisms that govern attenuation at upper-mantle (<400 km) conditions. We find that observations can be explained by relatively simple thermal and grain-size structures. The 1-D attenuation models obtained do not have any sharp gradients below 100 km, but fit the data equally well as the seismic models. The sharp gradients which characterize these models are therefore not required by the data. In spite of the large sensitivity of seismic observations to temperature, a definitive interpretation is limited by the unknown effects of pressure on anelasticity. Frequency dependence of anelasticity, as well as trade-offs with deeper attenuation structure and dependence on the elastic background model, are less important. Effects of water and dislocations can play an important role as well and further complicate the interpretation. Independent constraints on temperature and grain size expected around 100 km depth, help to constrain better the thermal and grain-size profiles at greater depth. For example, starting from a temperature of 1550 K at 100 km and assuming that the seismic attenuation is governed by the Faul & Jackson's (2005) mechanism, we found that negative thermal gradients associated with several cm grain sizes (assuming low activation volume) or an adiabatic gradient associated with ,1 cm grain size, can explain the data. A full waveform analysis, combining the effects on phase and amplitude of, respectively, elasticity and anelasticity, holds promise for further improving our knowledge on the average composition and thermal structure of the upper mantle. [source]

Enhancement in ellipsometric thin film sensitivity near surface plasmon resonance conditions

PHYSICA STATUS SOLIDI (A) APPLICATIONS AND MATERIALS SCIENCE, Issue 4 2008
H. Arwin
Abstract Ellipsometry used in internal reflection mode exhibits enhanced thin film sensitivity if operated close to surface plasmon resonance conditions. Compared to conventional ellipsometry, the changes in the ellipsometric parameter , are several orders of magnitude larger. Here, the origin of this large sensitivity is discussed by analysing thin film approximations of the complex reflectance ratio. It is found that the thickness sensitivity in , is proportional to the inverse of the difference between the intrinsic and the radiation-induced damping of the surface plasmons. (© 2008 WILEY-VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim) [source]

Evolution of the stable water isotopic composition of the rain sampled along Sahelian squall lines,

THE QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, Issue S1 2010
Camille Risi
Abstract In the Tropics, the stable isotopic composition (HDO, HO) of precipitation is strongly modulated by convective activity. To better understand how convective processes impact the precipitation isotopic composition, we analyze the isotopic composition of rain collected during the passage of four squall lines over the Sahel (Niamey, Niger) in August 2006 during the African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis (AMMA) campaign. The high-frequency sampling (5,10 min) of the precipitation allows us to investigate the evolution of the precipitation isotopic composition in different phases of the squall lines. Despite a large variability among the different squall lines, some robust isotopic features appear: the W shape of the ,18O evolution and the deuterium excess decrease in the first part of the stratiform zone. To understand more quantitatively how convective processes impact the precipitation isotopic composition, a simple stationary two-dimensional transport model including a representation of cloud microphysics and isotopic fractionation is developed and forced by three-dimensional winds retrieved from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) radar on 11 August 2006. The model reproduces the robust observed features and a large sensitivity to the squall-line dynamics. This model suggests that the main controlling factors of the isotopic evolution are (1) squall-line dynamics, especially the downward advection of air at the rear of the squall lines, affecting the vapour composition and, by isotopic equilibration, the subsequent precipitation composition and (2) rain re-evaporation. This suggests that water isotopes have the potential to better constrain squall-line dynamics and rain re-evaporation, and to evaluate the representation of convective processes in numerical models. Copyright © 2009 Royal Meteorological Society [source]

Assimilation of Meteosat radiance data within the 4D-Var system at ECMWF: Assimilation experiments and forecast impact

THE QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, Issue 601 2004
Christina Köpken
Abstract The direct assimilation of water vapour (WV) clear-sky radiances (CSRs) from geostationary satellites within the ECMWF four-dimensional variational assimilation (4D-Var) became operational on 9 April 2002 with the assimilation of radiances from Meteosat-7. To extend the coverage provided by geostationary radiances, the derivation of a similar CSR product from the Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites GOES-W and GOES-E was initiated and since 14 January 2003 these data have been operationally assimilated as well. This paper discusses results from the pre-operational impact experiments using Meteosat-7 and the subsequent operational implementation of the WV radiance assimilation. The pre-operational data monitoring of the CSRs shows contamination of certain time slots caused by intruding solar stray light and a certain degree of cloud influence present in the CSR. Data quality control is introduced to exclude affected data. When assimilated, the Meteosat WV CSRs correct the upper-tropospheric humidity field in areas of known model problems. While the analysis draws well to Meteosat data, the fit to other conventional observations does not degrade, and the fit to other satellite observations is noticeably improved. This is visible in statistics for the assimilated HIRS-12 as well as for passive Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit B (AMSUB) radiances, both in the pre-operational experiments and in the operational assimilation cycle. The impact on forecast quality is slightly positive to neutral for different areas of the globe. In some experiments a positive impact on upper-level wind fields (around 200 hPa) is seen, especially in the tropics. A relatively large sensitivity is noted of the mean increments and also forecast scores to the bias correction. Copyright © 2004 Royal Meteorological Society [source]