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Analytical Predictions (analytical + prediction)
Selected AbstractsAnalytical predictions for statistics of cosmic shear: tests against simulationsMONTHLY NOTICES OF THE ROYAL ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY, Issue 2 2004Patrick Valageas ABSTRACT Weak gravitational lensing surveys are rapidly becoming important tools to probe directly the mass density fluctuations in the Universe and its background dynamics. Earlier studies have shown that it is possible to model the statistics of the convergence field on small angular scales by suitably modelling the statistics of the underlying density field in the highly non-linear regime. We extend such methods to model the complete probability distribution function of the shear as a function of smoothing angle. Our model relies on a simple hierarchical Ansatz for the behaviour of the higher-order correlations in the density field. We compare our predictions with the results of numerical simulations and find excellent agreement for different cosmological scenarios. Our method provides a new way to study the evolution of non-Gaussianity in gravitational clustering and should help to break the degeneracies in parameter estimation based on analysis of the power spectrum alone. [source] Investigation of the Influence of Volute Design on Journal Bearing Bias Force Using Computational Fluid DynamicsARTIFICIAL ORGANS, Issue 9 2010Roland Graefe Abstract Hydrodynamic fluid film bearings represent an optimal possibility for rotary blood pump (RBP) miniaturization and wear-free operation. Size is a key parameter in the development of ventricular assist devices (VADs) as smaller patients and the pediatric population become eligible for the device. In order to maintain rotor suspension, radial journal bearings have been widely used in industrial applications as well as in some VADs. A main influence on the performance of such a bearing is the applied hydraulic bias force. This study combines numerical and analytical approaches to determine the bias force of different impeller-volute configurations and the resulting eccentricity for the hydraulic design point and also for off-design operation. Significant differences occur for different impeller-volute configurations, with the circular volute displaying the most beneficial properties for a stable impeller suspension. Moreover, an analytical prediction of eccentricity was found to be incorrect for the relatively small forces that occur in RBPs. [source] Earnings Uncertainty and Analyst Forecast Herding,ASIA-PACIFIC JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL STUDIES, Issue 4 2009Minsup Song Abstract This study empirically investigates how a firm's earnings uncertainty affects analysts' herding behaviors in earnings forecasts. Trueman (1994) and Graham (1999) analytically predict that analysts have higher incentives to issue a herding forecast when a firm's earnings uncertainty is low. We test this analytical prediction using a proxy for bold forecasts used by Gleason and Lee (2003) and Clement and Tse (2005). We classify analysts' earnings forecasts as bold when an analyst's revised forecast is larger (or smaller) than both the analyst's own prior forecast and the mean consensus forecast of other analysts immediately prior to the analyst's forecast. Earnings uncertainty is measured by standard deviation of time-serial earnings forecast errors. A logit regression result shows a positive relation between bold forecasts and earnings uncertainty after controlling for analyst characteristics, which is consistent with the prediction by Trueman (1994) and Graham (1999). We also find that as earnings uncertainty increases, the accuracy of analysts' bold forecasts relative to consensus forecast accuracy also increases. These results imply that analysts are active in producing new relevant information about firms when earnings uncertainty is higher. [source] Pounding of structures modelled as non-linear impacts of two oscillatorsEARTHQUAKE ENGINEERING AND STRUCTURAL DYNAMICS, Issue 5 2001K. T. Chau Abstract A new formulation is proposed to model pounding between two adjacent structures, with natural periods T1 and T2 and damping ratios ,1 and ,2 under harmonic earthquake excitation, as non-linear Hertzian impact between two single-degree-of-freedom oscillators. For the case of rigid impacts, a special case of our analytical solution has been given by Davis (,Pounding of buildings modelled by an impact oscillator' Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics, 1992; 21:253,274) for an oscillator pounding on a stationary barrier. Our analytical predictions for rigid impacts agree qualitatively with our numerical simulations for non-rigid impacts. When the difference in natural periods between the two oscillators increases, the impact velocity also increases drastically. The impact velocity spectrum is, however, relatively insensitive to the standoff distance. The maximum relative impact velocity of the coupled system can occur at an excitation period Tn* which is either between those of the two oscillators or less than both of them, depending on the ratios T1/T2 and ,1/,2. Although the pounding force between two oscillators has been primarily modelled by the Hertz contact law, parametric studies show that the maximum relative impact velocity is not very sensitive to changes in the contact parameters. Copyright © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] IS INBREEDING DEPRESSION LOWER IN MALADAPTED POPULATIONS?EVOLUTION, Issue 7 2009A QUANTITATIVE GENETICS MODEL Despite abundant empirical evidence that inbreeding depression varies with both the environment and the genotypic context, theoretical predictions about such effects are still rare. Using a quantitative genetics model, we predict amounts of inbreeding depression for fitness emerging from Gaussian stabilizing selection on some phenotypic trait, on which, for simplicity, genetic effects are strictly additive. Given the strength of stabilizing selection, inbreeding depression then varies simply with the genetic variance for the trait under selection and the distance between the mean breeding value and the optimal phenotype. This allows us to relate the expected inbreeding depression to the degree of maladaptation of the population to its environment. We confront analytical predictions with simulations, in well-adapted populations at equilibrium, as well as in maladapted populations undergoing either a transient environmental shift, or gene swamping in heterogeneous habitats. We predict minimal inbreeding depression in situations of extreme maladaptation. Our model provides a new basis for interpreting experiments that measure inbreeding depression for the same set of genotypes in different environments, by demonstrating that the history of adaptation, in addition to environmental harshness per se, may account for differences in inbreeding depression. [source] The Collapse Response of Sandwich Beams with Aluminium Face Sheets and a Metal Foam Core,ADVANCED ENGINEERING MATERIALS, Issue 6 2004V.L. Tagarielli Abstract Plastic collapse modes of simply supported and clamped sandwich beams have been investigated experimentally and theoretically, for aluminium face sheets and Alporas foam core. The effect of clamped boundary conditions is to induce axial stretching after the initial yield mechanism. Hence, face sheet ductility dictates the level of energy absorption of the beam. Numerical and analytical predictions are validated by the available experimental evidence. [source] Crack opening displacement in plate with bonded repair patchFATIGUE & FRACTURE OF ENGINEERING MATERIALS AND STRUCTURES, Issue 6 2006M. M. RATWANI ABSTRACT Mathematical techniques are extended to compute crack opening displacements in a cracked plate with an adhesively bonded composite patch. The plate and the patch are considered as orthotropic materials. The problem is reduced to the solution of integral equations. A software program is written to compute shear stresses in adhesive, stress intensity factors in the plate and the crack openings at the centreline of the crack. The effects of adhesive thickness, adhesive modulus, patch thickness and plate thickness on crack openings are investigated. A test program is carried out to obtain crack opening displacements in plate with bonded patch. A good agreement with analytical predictions is obtained. The effects of patches bonded on one or both sides of a plate on stress intensity factors are evaluated. [source] Migration load in plants: role of pollen and seed dispersal in heterogeneous landscapesJOURNAL OF EVOLUTIONARY BIOLOGY, Issue 1 2008S. LOPEZ Abstract Evolution of local adaptation depends critically on the level of gene flow, which, in plants, can be due to either pollen or seed dispersal. Using analytical predictions and individual-centred simulations, we investigate the specific influence of seed and pollen dispersal on local adaptation in plant populations growing in patchy heterogeneous landscapes. We study the evolution of a polygenic trait subject to stabilizing selection within populations, but divergent selection between populations. Deviations from linkage equilibrium and Hardy,Weinberg equilibrium make different contributions to genotypic variance depending on the dispersal mode. Local genotypic variance, differentiation between populations and genetic load vary with the rate of gene flow but are similar for seed and pollen dispersal, unless the landscape is very heterogeneous. In this case, genetic load is higher in the case of pollen dispersal, which appears to be due to differences in the distribution of genotypic values before selection. [source] Cold dark matter microhalo survival in the Milky WayMONTHLY NOTICES OF THE ROYAL ASTRONOMICAL SOCIETY, Issue 4 2007G. W. Angus ABSTRACT A special purpose N -body simulation has been built to understand the tidal heating of the smallest dark matter substructures (10,6 M, and 0.01 pc) from the grainy potential of the Milky Way due to individual stars in the disc and the bulge. To test the method, we first run simulations of single encounters of microhaloes with an isolated star, and compare with analytical predictions of the dark particle bound fraction as a function of impact parameter. We then follow the orbits of a set of microhaloes in a realistic flattened Milky Way potential. We concentrate on (detectable) microhaloes passing near the Sun with a range of pericentre and apocentre. Stellar perturbers near the orbital path of a microhalo would exert stochastic impulses, which we apply in a Monte Carlo fashion according to the Besançon model for the distribution of stars of different masses and ages in our Galaxy. Also incorporated are the usual pericentre tidal heating and disc shocking. We give a detailed diagnosis of typical microhaloes and find microhaloes with internal tangential anisotropy are slightly more robust than the ones with radial anisotropy. In addition, the dark particles generally go through of a random walk in velocity space and diffuse out of the microhaloes. We show that the typical destruction time-scales are strongly correlated with the stellar density averaged along a microhalo's orbit over the age of the stellar disc. We also present the morphology of a microhalo at several epochs which may hold the key to dark matter detections. We checked our results against different choices of microhalo mass, virial radius and anisotropy. [source] Radial basis collocation method and quasi-Newton iteration for nonlinear elliptic problemsNUMERICAL METHODS FOR PARTIAL DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS, Issue 3 2008H.Y. Hu Abstract This work presents a radial basis collocation method combined with the quasi-Newton iteration method for solving semilinear elliptic partial differential equations. The main result in this study is that there exists an exponential convergence rate in the radial basis collocation discretization and a superlinear convergence rate in the quasi-Newton iteration of the nonlinear partial differential equations. In this work, the numerical error associated with the employed quadrature rule is considered. It is shown that the errors in Sobolev norms for linear elliptic partial differential equations using radial basis collocation method are bounded by the truncation error of the RBF. The combined errors due to radial basis approximation, quadrature rules, and quasi-Newton and Newton iterations are also presented. This result can be extended to finite element or finite difference method combined with any iteration methods discussed in this work. The numerical example demonstrates a good agreement between numerical results and analytical predictions. The numerical results also show that although the convergence rate of order 1.62 of the quasi-Newton iteration scheme is slightly slower than rate of order 2 in the Newton iteration scheme, the former is more stable and less sensitive to the initial guess. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Numer Methods Partial Differential Eq, 2008 [source] Sandwich structures with composite inserts: Experimental studiesPOLYMER COMPOSITES, Issue 5 2009N.K. Naik Experimental studies are presented on the performance of insert assemblies of the sandwich structures under localized through-the-thickness compressive loading. Through-the-thickness and partially inserted fully potted inserts are studied. Insert materials considered are: aluminum and 3D woven composite. Experimental results are compared with the analytical predictions. It is observed that the specific strength of 3D woven composite inserts is more than that of aluminum inserts. Further, it is observed that the specific strength of through-the-thickness inserts is more than that of partially inserted fully potted inserts. Delamination between upper face plate and core material and sliding of attachment/insert within the core are the main modes of failure initiation. Quantitative results are presented for typical cases. POLYM. COMPOS., 2009. © 2008 Society of Plastics Engineers [source] Energy scavenging for energy efficiency in networks and applicationsBELL LABS TECHNICAL JOURNAL, Issue 2 2010Kyoung Joon Kim Telecommunication networks will play a huge part in enabling eco-sustainability of human activity; one of the first steps towards this is to dramatically increase network energy efficiency. In this paper we present two novel approaches for energy scavenging in networks. One involves thermal energy scavenging for improving wireless base station energy efficiency, and the other involves mechanical energy scavenging for powering sensors in sensor networks, for machine-to-machine (M2M) communications, and for smart grid applications. Power amplifier (PA) transistors in base stations waste 30 percent of the total energy used in a wireless access network (WAN) as heat to the environment. We propose a thermoelectric energy recovery module (TERM) to recover electricity from the waste heat of PA transistors. A fully coupled thermoelectric (TE) model, combining thermoelectricity and heat transfer physics, is developed to explore the power generation performance and efficiency as well as the thermal performance of the TERM. The TE model is comprehensively used to determine optimized pellet geometries for power generation and efficiency as a function of PA transistor heat dissipation, heat sink performance, and load resistance. Maximum power generation and efficiency for various parametric conditions are also explored. Untapped kinetic energy is almost everywhere in the form of vibrations. This energy can be converted into electrical energy by means of transducers to power wireless sensors and mobile electronics in the range of microwatts to a few milliwatts. However, many problems limit the efficiency of current harvesting generators: narrow bandwidth, low power density, micro-electro-mechanical system (MEMS) scaling, and inconsistency of vibrating sources. We explore energy scavenger designs based on multiple-mass systems to increase harvesting efficiency. A theoretical and experimental study of two degrees-of-freedom (2-DOF) vibration-powered generators is presented. Both electromagnetic and piezoelectric conversion methods are modeled by using a general approach. Experimental results for the multi-resonant system are in agreement with the analytical predictions and demonstrate significantly better performance in terms of maximum power density per total mass and a wider bandwidth compared to single DOF (1-DOF) generators. © 2010 Alcatel-Lucent. [source] |