Home About us Contact
|
Home About us Contact | ||
|
|
||
Favorable Cases (favorable + case)
Selected AbstractsSensitivity analysis of neural network parameters to improve the performance of electricity price forecastingINTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENERGY RESEARCH, Issue 1 2009Paras Mandal Abstract This paper presents a sensitivity analysis of neural network (NN) parameters to improve the performance of electricity price forecasting. The presented work is an extended version of previous works done by authors to integrate NN and similar days (SD) method for predicting electricity prices. Focus here is on sensitivity analysis of NN parameters while keeping the parameters same for SD to forecast day-ahead electricity prices in the PJM market. Sensitivity analysis of NN parameters include back-propagation learning set (BP-set), learning rate (,), momentum (,) and NN learning days (dNN). The SD parameters, i.e. time framework of SD (d=45 days) and number of selected similar price days (N=5) are kept constant for all the simulated cases. Forecasting performance is carried out by choosing two different days from each season of the year 2006 and for which, the NN parameters for the base case are considered as BP-set=500, ,=0.8, ,=0.1 and dNN=45 days. Sensitivity analysis has been carried out by changing the value of BP-set (500, 1000, 1500); , (0.6, 0.8, 1.0, 1.2), , (0.1, 0.2, 0.3) and dNN (15, 30, 45 and 60 days). The most favorable value of BP-set is first found out from the sensitivity analysis followed by that of , and ,, and based on which the best value of dNN is determined. Sensitivity analysis results demonstrate that the best value of mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) is obtained when BP-set=500, ,=0.8, ,=0.1 and dNN=60 days for winter season. For spring, summer and autumn, these values are 500, 0.6, 0.1 and 45 days, respectively. MAPE, forecast mean square error and mean absolute error of reasonably small value are obtained for the PJM data, which has correlation coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.7758 between load and electricity price. Numerical results show that forecasts generated by developed NN model based on the most favorable case are accurate and efficient. Copyright © 2008 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. [source] Charge-Transfer Effect on Chiral Phosphoric Acid Catalyzed Asymmetric Baeyer-Villiger Oxidation of 3-Substituted Cyclobutanones Using 30% Aqueous H2O2 as the Oxidant,CHINESE JOURNAL OF CHEMISTRY, Issue 9 2010Senmiao Xu Abstract The intermolecular charge-transfer effect has been employed for the first time as a modulating approach to affect the enantioselectivity in asymmetric catalysis by taking the chiral phosphoric acid catalyzed asymmetric Baeyer-Villiger oxidation of 3-aryl cyclobutanones as the reaction prototype. It was found that the electron acceptor additives were able to effectively tune the enantioselectivity via donor-acceptor interaction with the catalyst and up to 9% enhancement of ee value was observed in a favorable case. [source] The prospect of high-precision Pb isotopic dating of meteoritesMETEORITICS & PLANETARY SCIENCE, Issue 1 2006Yuri Amelin Pb isotopic dates can be used to link the dates obtained from extinct nuclide chronometers to the absolute time scale. The factors that control precision and accuracy of Pb isotopic dates of meteorites: instrumental mass fractionation in isotopic analysis, mass spectrometer sensitivity, removal of common Pb, multi-stage evolution of U-Pb systems, disturbances caused by diffusion, alteration, and shock metamorphism, and uncertainties in decay constants and the natural ratio of the U isotopes are reviewed. The precision of Pb isotopic dates of meteorites attained with currently available techniques and methodology is ±0.5,1.0 Myr in favorable cases. The accuracy of time interval measurements is approximately the same. The most serious limitation on precision and accuracy of Pb isotopic dates is placed by the presence of common Pb of uncertain and/or variable isotopic composition. Improvement in precision and accuracy of Pb isotopic dates would be possible through combined advancement of techniques of isotopic analysis (most importantly, better control over instrumental mass fractionation) and more effective techniques for the removal of common Pb, together with a better understanding of the effects of thermal metamorphism, shock metamorphism, and aqueous alteration on the U-Pb system in meteorites. [source] Weak alignment offers new NMR opportunities to study protein structure and dynamicsPROTEIN SCIENCE, Issue 1 2003Ad Bax Protein solution nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) can be conducted in a slightly anisotropic environment, where the orientational distribution of the proteins is no longer random. In such an environment, the large one-bond internuclear dipolar interactions no longer average to zero and report on the average orientation of the corresponding vectors relative to the magnetic field. The desired very weak ordering, on the order of 10,3, can be induced conveniently by the use of aqueous nematic liquid crystalline suspensions or by anisotropically compressed hydrogels. The resulting residual dipolar interactions are scaled down by three orders of magnitude relative to their static values, but nevertheless can be measured at high accuracy. They are very precise reporters on the average orientation of bonds relative to the molecular alignment frame, and they can be used in a variety of ways to enrich our understanding of protein structure and function. Applications to date have focused primarily on validation of structures, determined by NMR, X-ray crystallography, or homology modeling, and on refinement of structures determined by conventional NMR approaches. Although de novo structure determination on the basis of dipolar couplings suffers from a severe multiple minimum problem, related to the degeneracy of dipolar coupling relative to inversion of the internuclear vector, a number of approaches can address this problem and potentially can accelerate the NMR structure determination process considerably. In favorable cases, where large numbers of dipolar couplings can be measured, inconsistency between measured values can report on internal motions. [source] A Study on the Influence of the Structure of the Glycosyl Acceptors on the Stereochemistry of the Glycosylation Reactions with 2-Azido-2-Deoxy-Hexopyranosyl TrichloroacetimidatesCHEMISTRY - A EUROPEAN JOURNAL, Issue 3 2005M. Belén Cid Dr. Abstract The stereochemical outcome of glycosylations with 2-azido-2-deoxy- D -gluco- and D -galactopyranosyl trichloroacetimidates as glycosyl donors has been investigated by using a series of chiro -inositol derivatives as glycosyl acceptors. The influence of the absolute configuration, the conformation and the conformational flexibility of the glycosyl acceptor has been studied by using different glycosyl donors under similar pre-established experimental conditions. Although the structure of the acceptor may play a role in governing the stereochemistry of these glycosylations, the results show that, in general terms, the relative influence of these factors is difficult to evaluate. For a given set of experimental conditions, the stereochemical course of these glycosylations depends on structural features of both glycosyl donor and glycosyl acceptor. It is a balance of these factors, where the structure of the glycosyl donor always plays a major role, which determines the stereochemistry of the coupling reaction. Therefore, the examples reported in the literature in which the structure of the glycosyl acceptor appears to be crucial in determining the stereochemistry of the reaction constitute particularly favorable cases which do not presently allow any further generalization. [source] A multiple-scattering theory of circular and linear dichroism for photoemission and photoabsorptionJOURNAL OF SYNCHROTRON RADIATION, Issue 1 2002S. Di Matteo A unified treatment of circular dichroism, both natural and magnetic, in (spin-resolved) photoemission and photoabsorption from core levels is given, valid in the many-body case and for extended systems, together with an extension of the formalism to treat linear dichroism. The reduction of this scheme to a one-electron picture in the framework of multiple scattering theory is briefly discussed and shows the intimate connection of the two spectroscopies via a generalized optical theorem. Plausibility arguments are given that in correlated d -band systems screening and relaxation effects are not so drastic as in other cases, due to the autoscreening action of the excited photoelectron, so that the final density of states is much like the initial unperturbed one. It is shown how to exploit this point of view to obtain in favorables cases separated orbital and spin moment radial (surface) distribution maps from dichroic magnetic EXAFS spectra (photoelectron diffraction patterns) related to the ground state. Dichroic natural spectra, both in photoemission and absorption, are shown to be sensitive only to atoms in chiral geometry. [source] | ||||||||||