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European Unemployment (european + unemployment)
Selected AbstractsTHE UNEMPLOYMENT PARADIGMS REVISITED: A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF U.S. STATE AND EUROPEAN UNEMPLOYMENTCONTEMPORARY ECONOMIC POLICY, Issue 3 2009DIEGO ROMERO-ÁVILA This article tests the main unemployment paradigms for the unemployment rates of the states of the United States and the European Union,15 countries over the past three decades. For that purpose, we employ a state-of-the-art panel stationarity test, which allows for an unknown number of endogenous structural breaks as well as for cross-sectional correlation. Overall, our analysis renders clear-cut evidence in favor of regime-wise stationarity in U.S. state unemployment, while hysteresis in European unemployment. Interestingly, the timing of the breaks broadly coincides with major macroeconomic shocks mainly associated with the oil crises of the 1970s and marked changes in interest rates in the 1980s and early 1990s. Based on our results, we draw some policy prescriptions that point to the need for greater flexibility in the European labor markets. (JEL C23, E24) [source] The Role of Shocks and Institutions in the Rise of European Unemployment: the Aggregate EvidenceTHE ECONOMIC JOURNAL, Issue 462 2000Olivier Blanchard Two key facts about European unemployment must be explained: the rise in unemployment since the 1960s, and the heterogeneity of individual country experiences. While adverse shocks can potentially explain much of the rise in unemployment, there is insufficient heterogeneity in these shocks to explain cross-country differences. Alternatively, while explanations focusing on labour market institutions explain current heterogeneity well, many of these institutions pre-date the rise in unemployment. Based on a panel of institutions and shocks for 20 OECD nations since 1960 we find that the interaction between shocks and institutions is crucial to explaining both stylised facts. [source] THE UNEMPLOYMENT PARADIGMS REVISITED: A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF U.S. STATE AND EUROPEAN UNEMPLOYMENTCONTEMPORARY ECONOMIC POLICY, Issue 3 2009DIEGO ROMERO-ÁVILA This article tests the main unemployment paradigms for the unemployment rates of the states of the United States and the European Union,15 countries over the past three decades. For that purpose, we employ a state-of-the-art panel stationarity test, which allows for an unknown number of endogenous structural breaks as well as for cross-sectional correlation. Overall, our analysis renders clear-cut evidence in favor of regime-wise stationarity in U.S. state unemployment, while hysteresis in European unemployment. Interestingly, the timing of the breaks broadly coincides with major macroeconomic shocks mainly associated with the oil crises of the 1970s and marked changes in interest rates in the 1980s and early 1990s. Based on our results, we draw some policy prescriptions that point to the need for greater flexibility in the European labor markets. (JEL C23, E24) [source] European unemployment: the evolution of facts and ideasECONOMIC POLICY, Issue 45 2006Olivier Blanchard SUMMARY European unemployment In the 1970s, European unemployment started increasing. It increased further in the 1980s, to reach a plateau in the 1990s. It is still high today, although the average unemployment rate hides a high degree of heterogeneity across countries. The focus of researchers and policy makers was initially on the role of shocks. As unemployment remained high, the focus has progressively shifted to institutions. This paper reviews the interaction of facts and theories, and gives a tentative assessment of what we know and what we still do not know. , Olivier Blanchard [source] Unemployment, growth and taxation in industrial countriesECONOMIC POLICY, Issue 30 2000Francesco Daveri To the layman, the upward trend in European unemployment is related to the slowdown of economic growth. We argue that the layman's view is correct. The increase in European unemployment and the slowdown in economic growth are related, because they stem from a common cause: an excessively rapid growth in the cost of labour. In Europe, labour costs have gone up for many reasons, but one is particularly easy to identify: higher taxes on labour. If wages are set by strong and decentralized trade unions, an increase in labour taxes is shifted onto higher real wages. This has two effects. First, it reduces labour demand, and thus creates unemployment. Secondly, as firms substitute capital for labour, the marginal product of capital falls; over long periods of time, this in turn diminishes the incentive to invest and to grow. The data strongly support this view. According to our estimates, the observed rise of 14 percentage points in labour tax rates between 1965 and 1995 in the EU could account for a rise in EU unemployment of roughly 4 percentage points, a reduction of the investment share of output of about 3 percentage points, and a growth slowdown of about 0.4 percentage points a year. [source] The Role of Shocks and Institutions in the Rise of European Unemployment: the Aggregate EvidenceTHE ECONOMIC JOURNAL, Issue 462 2000Olivier Blanchard Two key facts about European unemployment must be explained: the rise in unemployment since the 1960s, and the heterogeneity of individual country experiences. While adverse shocks can potentially explain much of the rise in unemployment, there is insufficient heterogeneity in these shocks to explain cross-country differences. Alternatively, while explanations focusing on labour market institutions explain current heterogeneity well, many of these institutions pre-date the rise in unemployment. Based on a panel of institutions and shocks for 20 OECD nations since 1960 we find that the interaction between shocks and institutions is crucial to explaining both stylised facts. [source] |