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Differential Mortality (differential + mortality)
Selected AbstractsDifferential Mortality and the Design of the Italian System of Public PensionsLABOUR, Issue 2003Graziella Caselli After reviewing the secular trends in elderly mortality in Italy, and the evolution of regional differences in survival over the last three decades, we evaluate the impact, on the conversion factors introduced by the Dini reform, of a further decline in elderly mortality over the next few decades. We compute the conversion factors using a close approximation to the unknown formula employed in the Dini reform but allowing for gender- and region-specific survival probabilities. Our results leave no doubt about the importance of frequently updating the conversion factors in the light of the rapid increase in elderly survival. The paper also quantifies to what extent gender- and region-specific conversion factors may differ from their currently legislated values, that only vary by age. Finally, we recognize that the actuarial fairness of the system introduced by the recent reform can only be guaranteed on average and that, in the presence of a heterogeneous population of individuals that differ considerably in their mortality prospects, the current system implies a substantial degree of redistribution from high-mortality groups (typically characterized by low income and low wealth) to low-mortality groups (typically characterized by high income and high wealth). [source] Differential tolerance among cryptic species: A potential cause of pollutant-related reductions in genetic diversityENVIRONMENTAL TOXICOLOGY & CHEMISTRY, Issue 9 2004Axayácatl Rocha-Olivares Abstract Differential mortality of cryptic species (i.e., morphologically similar but genetically distinct sibling species) may contribute to observed reductions in genetic diversity at contaminated sites if the members of a complex of cryptic species exhibit differential responses to the contaminants that are present. We conducted toxicity bioassays with both polynuclear aromatic hydrocarbon and metal contamination on Cletocamptus fourchensis and C. stimpsoni from two intensively sampled locations. Previous molecular and detailed morphological analyses segregated these as cryptic species from the cosmopolitan C. deitersi. We found that these species occur together at two field sites and that they exhibit unique toxic responses to heavy metals, suggesting differential tolerances at contaminated sites. These findings suggest that reported losses of genetic diversity at contaminated sites may represent a reduction in species diversity rather than a loss of the presumed less-tolerant genotypes within a species. They also suggest that members of a cryptic species complex should not be used in laboratory toxicity tests unless populations are genetically characterized. Future studies using genetic diversity as a marker of contaminant effects should consider the possibility of undetected cryptic species. [source] Differential mortality of wintering shorebirds on the Banc d'Arguin, Mauritania, due to predation by large falconsIBIS, Issue 2008PIET J. VAN DEN HOUT Predators may influence many aspects of the daily life and seasonal movements of their prey. Here we quantify direct, and evaluate indirect effects of predation by three falcon species (Lanner Falcon Falco biarmicus, Barbary Falcon Falco pelegrinoides and Peregrine Falcon Falco peregrinus) on coastal shorebirds wintering on the Banc d'Arguin, Mauritania, an area hosting approximately 30% of the East Atlantic Flyway population of shorebirds. On the basis of 754 h of observation over five winters, 97 witnessed attacks and 585 collected prey remains, we show that shorebirds were safer in larger flocks, which tended to be attacked less often. Furthermore, species that forage relatively close to shore and in small flocks were depredated more often than expected from their relative abundance. In three species, Red Knot Calidris canutus canutus, Bar-tailed Godwit Limosa lapponica taymyrensis and Dunlin Calidris alpina, the juveniles were more vulnerable than adults. We estimated that on average 1% of the juvenile and 0.1% of the adult Red Knots present were killed by large falcons each winter. For Red Knots we simultaneously quantified annual survival on the basis of an individual colour-marking programme: mortality due to predation by falcons accounted for an estimated 6.2% (juveniles) and 0.8% (adults) of annual mortality. We suggest that juvenile Red Knots are 10 times as likely to be killed by falcons because they use riskier habitats, i.e. early and late tide foraging areas closer to shores where surprise attacks are both more common and more successful. These results indicate that the strength of indirect effects of predation operating in a shorebird population largely outweigh the effects of mortality per se. [source] Does constrained oviposition influence offspring sex ratio in the solitary parasitoid wasp Venturia canescens?ECOLOGICAL ENTOMOLOGY, Issue 2 2008MARIE METZGER Abstract 1.,In haplodiploid organisms, virgin or sperm-depleted females can reproduce but are constrained to produce only male progeny. According to Godfray's constrained model, when p, the proportion of females constrained to produce only male progeny, is not null in a panmictic population, unconstrained females should bias their sex allocation towards females to compensate for the excess of males. These unconstrained females should be able to adjust the sex ratio in response to local variation of p. 2.,In this paper an experimental approach is used to test the hypotheses of this model in the solitary endoparasitoid Venturia canescens under both field and laboratory conditions. Specifically, it is tested whether unconstrained females use their encounters with conspecifics (either male or female) to estimate p and then adjust their sex ratio accordingly. 3.,As assumed by Godfray's model, constrained females actively search for host patches in the field and under laboratory conditions produce the same number of offspring during their lifetime as unconstrained females. As predicted by the model, unconstrained females produce a sex ratio biased towards females both in the laboratory and in the field. 4.,The results show that this bias is not a response to encounters with conspecifics previous to oviposition. The hypothesis that the bias is due to differential mortality between sexes during ontogeny is also rejected. The proportions of constrained ovipositions estimated in two natural populations explain only a small fraction of the sex ratio bias observed in V. canescens. [source] Exposure to opioid maintenance treatment reduces long-term mortalityADDICTION, Issue 3 2008Amy Gibson ABSTRACT Aims To (i) examine the predictors of mortality in a randomized study of methadone versus buprenorphine maintenance treatment; (ii) compare the survival experience of the randomized subject groups; and (iii) describe the causes of death. Design Ten-year longitudinal follow-up of mortality among participants in a randomized trial of methadone versus buprenorphine maintenance treatment. Setting Recruitment through three clinics for a randomized trial of buprenorphine versus methadone maintenance. Participants A total of 405 heroin-dependent (DSM-IV) participants aged 18 years and above who consented to participate in original study. Measurements Baseline data from original randomized study; dates and causes of death through data linkage with Births, Deaths and Marriages registries; and longitudinal treatment exposure via State health departments. Predictors of mortality examined through survival analysis. Findings There was an overall mortality rate of 8.84 deaths per 1000 person-years of follow-up and causes of death were comparable with the literature. Increased exposure to episodes of opioid treatment longer than 7 days reduced the risk of mortality; there was no differential mortality among methadone versus buprenorphine participants. More dependent, heavier users of heroin at baseline had a lower risk of death, and also higher exposure to opioid treatment. Older participants randomized to buprenorphine treatment had significantly improved survival. Aboriginal or Torres Strait Islander participants had a higher risk of death. Conclusions Increased exposure to opioid maintenance treatment reduces the risk of death in opioid-dependent people. There was no differential reduction between buprenorphine and methadone. Previous studies suggesting differential effects may have been affected by biases in patient selection. [source] Effect of mercury and Gpi-2 genotype on standard metabolic rate of eastern mosquitofish (Gambusia holbrooki),ENVIRONMENTAL TOXICOLOGY & CHEMISTRY, Issue 4 2001Christopher Paul Tatara Abstract Previous studies demonstrated differential mortality among mosquitofish of different Gpi-2 genotypes during acute mercury and arsenate exposures. Mercury-exposed mosquitofish also had Gpi-2 genotype-specific differences in glycolytic and Krebs cycle metabolite pools. The mortality and metabolite data suggested that mosquitofish bearing specific Gpi-2 genotypes might differ in metabolic efficiency, with less efficient Gpi-2 genotypes having higher standard metabolic rates (SMRs) and shorter times to death during acute mercury exposure. Effect of Gpi-2 genotype on SMR was assessed with a factorial arrangement of six Gpi-2 genotypes and two exposure sequences (Control , Control; Control , 100 ,g/L Hg). The SMRs were estimated by measuring oxygen consumption using an indirect, closed-circuit, computer-controlled respirometer. A 48-h exposure to 100 ,g/L of mercury resulted in a 16.7% elevation of SMR above control levels (p = 0.001). The Gpi-2 genotype and the number of heterozygous loci per individual had no significant effect on SMR in mercury-exposed mosquitofish. The experimental results do not support the hypothesis that Gpi-2 genotype-specific differences in glycolytic and Krebs cycle metabolite pools and mortality in mosquitofish exposed to mercury are associated with differences in SMR. [source] Differences in woody vegetation are unrelated to use by African elephants (Loxodonta africana) in Mkhuze Game Reserve, South AfricaAFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY, Issue 1 2010Angela M. White Abstract The reintroduction of African elephants into fenced game reserves throughout South Africa has presented managers with several challenges. Although elephants are a natural part of southern African ecosystems, their confinement to fenced protected areas in South Africa has exacerbated their potential to impact their habitats negatively. However, many studies investigating the impact of elephants have failed to control for the effects of other browsers on the vegetative community. In this study, we used location data on an elephant herd to delineate high-use and low-use areas. This paired design allowed us to minimize confounding factors that could explain differences in the structure, diversity and utilization of woody species. We found little evidence to suggest elephant-mediated change in, or selection for, the structure or diversity of woody species; however, our results suggest that elephants may be altering the composition of species by preferentially using areas with higher canopy diversity and by enhancing sapling recruitment. Although stripping of bark was higher in high-use areas, there was no evidence of differential mortality of tree species. Therefore, in our study area, and over the current time scale, elephants are having a negligible impact on the vegetative community. Résumé La réintroduction d'éléphants africains dans des réserves de faune clôturées dans toute l'Afrique du Sud représente plusieurs défis pour les gestionnaires. Bien que les éléphants fassent naturellement partie des écosystèmes d'Afrique australe, leur confinement dans des aires protégées clôturées en Afrique du Sud a exacerbé leur capacité d'avoir des impacts négatifs sur leurs habitats. Pourtant, les nombreuses études qui ont recherché l'impact des éléphants ont omis de contrôler l'effet des autres herbivores sur la communauté végétale. Dans cette étude, nous avons utilisé des données sur la localisation des hardes d'éléphants pour délimiter les zones plus ou moins fréquentées. Cette étude couplée nous a permis de minimiser les facteurs prêtant à confusion qui pouvaient expliquer des différences de structure, de diversité et d'utilisation des espèces ligneuses. Nous avons trouvé peu de preuves qui auraient indiqué que les éléphants changeaient ou sélectionnaient la structure ou la diversité des espèces ligneuses; cependant, nos résultats suggèrent que les éléphants pourraient modifier la composition des espèces en choisissant de préférence les zones où la diversité de la canopée est plus élevée et en stimulant le recrutement de jeunes plants. Même si les arrachages d'écorces étaient plus nombreux dans les zones très fréquentées, il n'y avait aucune preuve d'une mortalité différentielle selon les espèces d'arbres. C'est pourquoi, dans l'aire où nous avons travaillé, et pour le moment, on peut dire que les éléphants n'ont qu'un impact négligeable sur la communauté végétale. [source] Demography of lions in relation to prey and habitat in the Maasai Mara National Reserve, KenyaAFRICAN JOURNAL OF ECOLOGY, Issue 2 2002J. O. Ogutu Abstract We studied lion demography in the Maasai Mara National Reserve between September 1990 and April 1992, with a special emphasis on the spatial and seasonal variation in demographic characteristics. Lion density (0.2,0.4 lions km,2) and pride size (range 8,48) were high because of a high resident prey biomass (10 335 kg km,2) augmented by migrant prey to 26 092 kg km,2 in the dry season. Overall, their sex ratio was almost at parity and varied neither spatially nor seasonally. Sex ratio was even among subadults but skewed toward males and females among cubs and adults, respectively. This implies an increasing differential mortality of males with age through subadulthood. The age ratio varied seasonally because of a birth peak in March,June and an influx of subadults into the reserve during July,August, coincident with increases in migrant prey. The birth peak was apparently preceded by another peak in mating activity falling between November and May. Further research should investigate the precise causes of the biased cub sex ratio, low lion density in the Mara Triangle and the higher ratio of subadults in Musiara than in the Mara Triangle or Sekenani. Résumé Nous avons étudié la démographie des lions dans la Réserve Nationale de Masai Mara entre septembre 1990 et avril 1992, en insistant particulièrement sur les variations spatiales et saisonnières des caractéristiques démographiques. La densité des lions (0.2,;0.4 lions/km2) et la taille des troupes (de 8 à 48) étaient élevées en raison de la forte biomasse des proies résidentes (10 335 kg/km2), portée à 26 092 kg/km2 en saison sèche par les proies migratrices. En général, le sex-ratio était à peu près égal et ne variait ni selon les saisons, ni selon les endroits. Les sex-ratio était égal parmi les sub-adultes, mais il déviait en faveur des mâles et des femelles chez les petits et les adultes, respectivement. Ceci implique une mortalité de plus en plus différentielle des mâles à l'âge sub-adulte. L'âge-ratio variait avec les saisons en raison d'un pic de natalité de mars à juin et d'une arrivée de sub-adultes dans la réserve en juillet-août, coïncidant avec l'augmentation des proies migratrices. Le pic des naissances était apparemment précédé par un autre pic des activités d'accouplement, entre novembre et mai. De nouvelles recherches devraient étudier les raisons précises du sex-ratio biaisé chez les lionceaux, de la faible densité des lions dans le Mara Triangle et du taux de sub-adultes plus élevéà Musiara que dans le Mara Triangle ou à Sekenani. [source] Redistribution and Insurance: Mandatory Annuitization With Mortality HeterogeneityJOURNAL OF RISK AND INSURANCE, Issue 1 2003Jeffrey R. Brown This article examines the distributional implications of mandatory longevity insurance when mortality heterogeneity exists in the population. Previous research has demonstrated the significant financial redistribution that occurs under alternative annuity programs in the presence of differential mortality across groups. This article embeds that analysis into a life-cycle framework that allows for an examination of distributional effects on a utility-adjusted basis. It finds that the degree of redistribution that occurs from the introduction of a mandatory annuity program is substantially lower on a utility-adjusted basis than when evaluated on a purely financial basis. In a simple life-cycle model with no bequests, complete annuitization is welfare enhancing even for those with higher-than-average expected mortality rates, so long as administrative costs are sufficiently low. These findings have implications for policy toward annuitization, particularly as part of a reformed Social Security system. [source] | |||||||||||||