Chao's Estimator (chao + estimator)

Distribution by Scientific Domains


Selected Abstracts


A new method for estimating the size of small populations from genetic mark,recapture data

MOLECULAR ECOLOGY, Issue 7 2005
CRAIG R. MILLER
Abstract The use of non-invasive genetic sampling to estimate population size in elusive or rare species is increasing. The data generated from this sampling differ from traditional mark,recapture data in that individuals may be captured multiple times within a session or there may only be a single sampling event. To accommodate this type of data, we develop a method, named capwire, based on a simple urn model containing individuals of two capture probabilities. The method is evaluated using simulations of an urn and of a more biologically realistic system where individuals occupy space, and display heterogeneous movement and DNA deposition patterns. We also analyse a small number of real data sets. The results indicate that when the data contain capture heterogeneity the method provides estimates with small bias and good coverage, along with high accuracy and precision. Performance is not as consistent when capture rates are homogeneous and when dealing with populations substantially larger than 100. For the few real data sets where N is approximately known, capwire's estimates are very good. We compare capwire's performance to commonly used rarefaction methods and to two heterogeneity estimators in program capture: Mh -Chao and Mh -jackknife. No method works best in all situations. While less precise, the Chao estimator is very robust. We also examine how large samples should be to achieve a given level of accuracy using capwire. We conclude that capwire provides an improved way to estimate N for some DNA-based data sets. Capwire is available at http://www.cnr.uidaho.edu/lecg/. [source]


Rapid biodiversity assessment of spiders (Araneae) using semi-quantitative sampling: a case study in a Mediterranean forest

INSECT CONSERVATION AND DIVERSITY, Issue 2 2008
PEDRO CARDOSO
Abstract. 1A thorough inventory of a Mediterranean oak forest spider fauna carried out during 2 weeks is presented. It used a semi-quantitative sampling protocol to collect comparable data in a rigorous, rapid and efficient way. Four hundred and eighty samples of one person-hour of work each were collected, mostly inside a delimited 1-ha plot. 2Sampling yielded 10 808 adult spiders representing 204 species. The number of species present at the site was estimated using five different richness estimators (Chao1, Chao2, Jackknife1, Jackknife2 and Michaelis,Menten). The estimates ranged from 232 to 260. The most reliable estimates were provided by the Chao estimators and the least reliable was obtained with the Michaelis,Menten. However, the behavior of the Michaelis,Menten accumulation curves supports the use of this estimator as a stopping or reliability rule. 3Nineteen per cent of the species were represented by a single specimen (singletons) and 12% by just two specimens (doubletons). The presence of locally rare species in this exhaustive inventory is discussed. 4The effects of day, time of day, collector experience and sampling method on the number of adults, number of species and taxonomic composition of the samples are assessed. Sampling method is the single most important factor influencing the results and all methods generate unique species. Time of day is also important, in such way that each combination of method and time of day may be considered as a different method in itself. There are insignificant differences between the collectors in terms of species and number of adult spiders collected. Despite the high collecting effort, the species richness and abundance of spiders remained constant throughout the sampling period. [source]


Applications and Extensions of Chao's Moment Estimator for the Size of a Closed Population

BIOMETRICS, Issue 4 2007
Louis-Paul Rivest
Summary This article revisits Chao's (1989, Biometrics45, 427,438) lower bound estimator for the size of a closed population in a mark,recapture experiment where the capture probabilities vary between animals (model Mh). First, an extension of the lower bound to models featuring a time effect and heterogeneity in capture probabilities (Mth) is proposed. The biases of these lower bounds are shown to be a function of the heterogeneity parameter for several loglinear models for Mth. Small-sample bias reduction techniques for Chao's lower bound estimator are also derived. The application of the loglinear model underlying Chao's estimator when heterogeneity has been detected in the primary periods of a robust design is then investigated. A test for the null hypothesis that Chao's loglinear model provides unbiased abundance estimators is provided. The strategy of systematically using Chao's loglinear model in the primary periods of a robust design where heterogeneity has been detected is investigated in a Monte Carlo experiment. Its impact on the estimation of the population sizes and of the survival rates is evaluated in a Monte Carlo experiment. [source]


Herpetofaunal Diversity and Abundance in Tropical Upland Forests of Cameroon and Panama,

BIOTROPICA, Issue 1 2001
Ulrich Hofer
ABSTRACT Two tropical upland forests, Mount Kupe in Cameroon and Bosque Protector Palo Seco in Panama, were compared in terms of herpetofaunal species richness and density of individuals. Based on rarefaction, whereby samples are standardized for abundance, Palo Seco had significantly more species of frogs and lizards. Extrapolations to total local species richness, by fitting the Michaelis,Menten equation to the species accumulation curves and by using Chao's estimator, yielded divergent results: more lizard species on Mount Kupe, and an equal number of frogs at both sites. These disparities can be accounted for by differences in evenness, which was higher in Palo Seco. Frog density was significantly higher on Mount Kupe, snake density significantly higher in Palo Seco, and lizards exhibited no density difference. Overall, the results revealed a less consistent pattern and more moderate differences than what is known from southeast Asian,-Central American comparisons. This outcome is discussed in the light of available knowledge, but quantitative data from African forests are too sparse to allow general conclusions. Se comparó la herpetofauna de dos bosques tropicales húmedos ubicados en las montañas, Mount Kupe en Camerún y Bosque Protector Palo Seco en Panamá, en relación a la riqueza especifica y la densidad de individuos. Con base en el método de rarefacción, en el cual los muestreos se estandarizan en base a su abudancia, Palo Seco presenta significativamente mas especies de anuros y lagartos. Extrapolaciones con respecto a la riqueza especifica total de los sitios, mediante un ajuste de la ecuación de Michaelis-Menten a las curvas de acumulación de especies, y utilizando el índice de Chao, produjeron resultados divergentes: más especies de lagartos en Mount Kupe, y el mismo número de especies de anuros en ambos sitios. Dichas diferencias pueden resultar de una equitatividad más alta en Palo Seco. La densidad de anuros resultó significativamente más alta en Mount Kupe, mientras que la densidad de serpientes fue significativamente más alta en Palo Seco, y no se encontró una diferencia entre k densidad de lagartos en ambos sitios. En general los resultados muestran patrones menos consistentes y diferencias mis moderadas de las que se conocen entre el Sureste de Asia y Centroamerica. Se discuten los resultados con base en la información disponible, sin embargo, la existencia de datos cuantitativos para bosques africanos es demasiado escaza como para permitir conclusiones generales. RESUMES Se comparó la herpetofauna de dos bosques tropicales húmedos ubicados en las montañas, Mount Kupe en Camerún y Bosque Protector Palo Seco en Panamá, en relación a la riqueza especifica y la densidad de individuos. Con base en el método de rarefacción, en el cual los muestreos se estandarizan en base a su abudancia, Palo Seco presenta significativamente mas especies de anuros y lagartos. Extrapolaciones con respecto a la riqueza especifica total de los sitios, mediante un ajuste de la ecuación de Michaelis-Menten a las curvas de acumulación de especies, y utilizando el índice de Chao, produjeron resultados divergentes: más especies de lagartos en Mount Kupe, y el mismo número de especies de anuros en ambos sitios. Dichas diferencias pueden resultar de una equitatividad más alta en Palo Seco. La densidad de anuros resultó significativamente más alta en Mount Kupe, mientras que la densidad de serpientes fue significativamente más alta en Palo Seco, y no se encontró una diferencia entre k densidad de lagartos en ambos sitios. En general los resultados muestran patrones menos consistentes y diferencias mis moderadas de las que se conocen entre el Sureste de Asia y Centroamerica. Se discuten los resultados con base en la información disponible, sin embargo, la existencia de datos cuantitativos para bosques africanos es demasiado escaza como para permitir conclusiones generales. [source]