Bilateral Exchange Rates (bilateral + exchange_rate)

Distribution by Scientific Domains
Business, Economics, Finance and Accounting100%

Selected Abstracts

A Structural Investigation of Third-Currency Shocks to Bilateral Exchange Rates,

INTERNATIONAL FINANCE, Issue 1 2008
Martin Melecky
An exchange rate between two currencies can be materially affected by shocks emerging from a third country. A US demand shock, for example, can affect the exchange rate between the euro and the yen. Because positive US demand shocks have a greater positive impact on Japanese interest rates than on euro area rates, the yen appreciates against the euro in response. Using quarterly data on the United States, the euro area and Japan from 1981 to 2006, this paper shows that the third-currency effects are significant even when exchange rates evolve according to uncovered interest parity. This is because interest rates are typically set in response to output and inflation, which are in turn influenced by other exchange rates. More importantly, third-currency effects are also transmitted to the actual exchange rate through the expected future exchange rate, which is, in a multi-country set-up, influenced by third-countries' fundamentals and shocks. Third-currency effects have a stronger impact on the currency of a relatively more open economy. The analysis implies that small open economies should avoid strict forms of bilateral exchange rate targeting, since higher trade and financial openness work as a force intrinsically amplifying currency fluctuations. [source]

Real and Nominal Shocks to Exchange Rates: Does the Regime Matter?

THE MANCHESTER SCHOOL, Issue 5 2002
Liam A. Gallagher
In this paper we investigate the source of Irish real and nominal exchange rate movements during the Exchange Rate Mechanism period. A restricted vector autoregression is employed to decompose Irish pound exchange rate movements into changes due to real and nominal factors, for three bilateral exchange rates,sterling,Irish pound, mark,Irish pound and dollar,Irish pound. The pattern of nominal exchange rate overshooting in response to nominal shocks and the relative importance of nominal shocks as drivers of nominal exchange rates differ between the flexible regime (sterling,Irish pound and dollar,Irish pound) and the target zone arrangement (mark,Irish pound). In contrast real shocks predominantly explain variations in real exchange rates and are independent of the exchange rate regime. [source]

What Should the Weights of the Three Major Currencies be in a Common Currency Basket in East Asia?,

ASIAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL, Issue 1 2006
Kentaro Kawasaki
F31; F33; F36; F42 We consider what type of regional common currency should be introduced in East Asia in the future. The common currency basket is, in itself, more desirable as an anchor currency. In this paper we define two types of currency basket and investigate the long-term sustainability of adopting a common currency basket in East Asia. From our empirical results, a larger weight (but less than 100 percent) for the US dollar in the common currency basket tends to make bilateral exchange rates among East Asian countries stable in the long run. [source]

Assessing the Exchange Rate Sensitivity of U.S. Bilateral Agricultural Trade

CANADIAN JOURNAL OF AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS, Issue 2 2009
Jungho Baek
This paper uses an autoregressive distributed lag approach to cointegration to examine the short- and long-run effects of exchange rate changes on bilateral trade of agricultural products between the United States and its 10 major trading partners. Results show that, in the long run, while U.S. agricultural exports are highly sensitive to bilateral exchange rates and foreign income, U.S. agricultural imports are mostly responsive to the U.S. domestic income. In the short run, on the other hand, both the bilateral exchange rates and income in the United States and its trading partners are found to have significant impacts on U.S. agricultural exports and imports. Dans le présent article, nous avons utilisé un modèle autorégressif à retards échelonnés (autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to cointegration) pour examiner les effets à court et à long terme des variations de taux de change sur le commerce bilatéral des produits agricoles entre les États-Unis et ses dix principaux partenaires commerciaux. Les résultats ont montré que, à long terme, bien que les exportations agricoles des États-Unis soient très sensibles aux taux de change bilatéraux et au revenu étranger, les importations agricoles des États-Unis sont principalement sensibles au revenu intérieur des États-Unis. À court terme, par contre, les taux de change bilatéraux et le revenu des États-Unis et de ses partenaires commerciaux ont des répercussions considérables sur les exportations et les importations agricoles des États-Unis. [source]